EURGBP SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | D17/18 | W29 | Y25💼 EURGBP SHORT – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | D17/18 | W29 | Y25
FUN COUPON FRIDAY INCOMING !
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
EURGBP is currently reacting from a key higher time frame supply zone, with price action showing weakness at premium levels. Momentum has slowed, and early signs of distribution are appearing. With structure aligning bearishly across multiple timeframes, the pair presents a short bias opportunity.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Price reacted from a high-probability bearish OB.
Rejection wicks and a shift in candle body control point to supply dominance.
Momentum is fading, confirming the presence of smart money sellers.
✅ 4H Order Block
Clear mitigation of 4H OB followed by an internal break of structure (iBoS).
Price is respecting the OB zone, printing lower highs beneath key supply.
Perfect mid-timeframe confirmation of trend transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
1H structure shifted bearish, validating LTF trend alignment.
Price building supply chain with continued lower highs and bearish engulfing patterns.
Ideal zone for entry on pullback or liquidity sweep.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core Principles:
💰 Max 1% risk per trade
📍 Only execute at pre-identified zones
⏰ Set alerts — avoid impulsive trades
📉 Respect RR — minimum 1:2 per position
🧠 You're not paid for frequency. You're paid for discipline and execution quality.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
“Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants.”
Stay mechanical, stay focused, and allow the probabilities to play out. Your job is to control risk — not the outcome.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
📌 The confluences are stacked.
📌 The bias is confirmed.
Let your execution reflect your discipline, not your emotions.
❤️ Good luck this week, and as always – I’ll see you at the very top.
EURGBP trade ideas
EURGBP Bullish continuation breakout supported at 0.8620The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8620 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8620 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8700 – initial resistance
0.8715 – psychological and structural level
0.8740 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8620 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8600 – minor support
0.8590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8620. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBP EUR/GBP Pre-Market Top-Down Analysis
Date: July 13, 2025
Session: London Pre-Market
Analyst: Sub Saharan
🕰️ 1H Chart Overview
EUR/GBP is currently trading around 0.86652, with bullish momentum pushing toward the previous high at 0.86704, marked as HH (Higher High) on the chart. This level is a significant resistance, and a confirmed break and close above it could signal further bullish continuation.
🔍 Structure Breakdown
Key Levels and Market Structure:
HH (Higher High): 0.86704
LL (Lower Low): 0.85997
Recent HL (Higher Low): Series of HLs forming support during the rally.
Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred on July 11, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Key POI (Point of Interest): 0.86586 – Marked for potential buy entries based on LH structure.
🔁 Scenario Planning
🔼 Bullish Continuation Scenario
Bias: Buy on retracement
Plan: If price pulls back and respects the LH zone (0.86586) without breaking below it, look for bullish setups with target around or above 0.86704.
Confirmation: Rejection candle or bullish engulfing at POI
🔽 Bearish Reversal Scenario
Bias: Sell if structure shifts
Condition: If price breaks below the last HL to form a Lower Low (LL), it may indicate weakness.
Plan: Wait for a pullback to the broken LH zone (0.86586) to re-test as resistance, then sell with confirmation.
Target: Mid-range or previous low near 0.85997
🧠 Trading Insight
The price is in a bullish correction phase within a rising trend.
Aggressive buyers may consider early entries at or above 0.86586, but conservative traders should wait for price action confirmation.
If a lower low prints, treat it as a signal for potential structure change and reposition for short-term sells.
🧾 Trade Management Tips
Use 0.86704 as your decision point. Break and hold = bullish continuation.
POI at 0.86586 is key for both buy re-entries or sell re-tests.
Set alerts for structural changes (new LL or break of HH).
📌 Summary
Bias Key Level Action
Bullish 0.86586 Buy on retracement (if HL forms)
Bearish Below 0.86586 Sell if LL forms, re-test at LH
Stay patient and react to structure—not emotions. London session volatility may provide the liquidity needed to trigger setups.
EURGBP Perfect Channel Up giving one more buy opportunity.Last time we looked at the EURGBP pair (May 30, see chart below) we gave the most timely buy signal right at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone, and the price is only a few candles away from the 0.87400 Target:
If we look at the price action from a 4H perspective we can see that it is a Channel Up that has been driving the pair upwards since the May 28 bottom and today's rebound is taking place after a direct hit on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is the start of the new Bullish Leg. Since the previous two have increased by +1.90%, this rally has the potential to even exceed our 0.87400 Target marginally. Still, this is a perfect bullish set-up.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8569
1st Support: 0.8538
1st Resistance: 0.8640
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP Short Trade Risking 1% to make 1.3%OANDA:EURGBP Short swing trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.35%
Don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader, this is good trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
EG longs from previous day session lowsFound this long trade completely on the go as price was droping into previous day asian session OB and seeing how price moved quite impulsively up from that same area on tuesday 8th July, I expected another impulsive reaction from the OB.
I'm already in the trade with a 5 pip stop, targeting tokyo session high from this morning, giving a RR at 1:3 at just 0.35% risk.
Stop is already in BE, so letting this one run its course.
Ready to Raid the Chunnel? EUR/GBP Bullish Strategy Unveiled!🔐💸"The Chunnel Heist: EUR/GBP Bank Job with Thief Trading Style"💸🔐
Master Plan for Smart Money Robbers, Scalpers, and Swing Traders – Chart Ready Strategy to Boost Your TradingView Clout
🌍 Greetings, Global Hustlers & Strategic Traders!
Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! Ni Hao! Ciao! 👋🌟
Welcome to Thief Trading Style, where we treat the market like a high-stakes heist and every pip is precious loot! 🏦💰
This time, the target is the EUR/GBP Forex Vault – nicknamed "The Chunnel". It’s time to outsmart the system and execute a calculated plan that balances technical setups with a thief’s precision. 🐱👤🔥
🧠 Heist Blueprint: EUR/GBP Bullish Setup
🔍 Concept:
We're spotting a bullish bias with underlying momentum for a breakout heist.
This move is not for the faint-hearted – police traps (resistance zones) and bearish defenders are guarding the top, but our tools (TA + FA) suggest a strong breakout is brewing. ⚠️📊
🚀 Thief Strategy at a Glance:
🟢 Entry (Stealth Mode)
💥 "The vault is wide open – grab the bullish loot!"
Initiate BUY positions on pullbacks, using a layering/DCA style entry system.
📅 Recommended on 15m or 30m charts for precision.
🎯 Key Entry Zone: Recent swing lows/highs – the quieter, unguarded door into the vault.
🛑 Stop Loss (Silent Exit Strategy)
Set SL near the most recent 1D timeframe wick low – smart risk management is key.
Adjust size based on your risk tolerance, lot sizes, and how deep you’ve stacked the entries.
🏁 Target (Escape Route)
🎯 Main Target: 0.88000
But remember – sometimes it’s safer to exit early if things get hot. Use trailing SLs to secure your loot and dodge the heat. 🔥🚓
💸 Scalper Advisory – Quick Snatch & Run
Scalpers should only ride the bullish momentum.
If your wallet's heavy, jump in early. If not, trail the swing traders and plan your entry like a pro.
🛡 Use tight trailing SLs to keep your gains in the bag.
📈 Why the Chunnel Heist Now?
The market is shifting:
🔹 Overbought conditions
🔹 Signs of trend reversal
🔹 Bullish divergence + liquidity grab setups
🔹 Positioning based on COT reports, sentiment analysis, macroeconomic shifts, and intermarket flow
👉 Full FA/TA/COT breakdown liinkedd in the Klick 🔗🔗
📢 Heads-Up: News Alert 🚨
📰 Major news events ahead – stay sharp.
❌ Avoid fresh entries during high-impact announcements.
✅ Use trailing SLs to lock profits and reduce emotional exposure.
❤️ Support the Heist, Boost the Team
🔥 Smash the "Boost" button if you're down with the Thief Trading Style
– it powers our next robbery and keeps the strategy alive!
Each boost strengthens the team and spreads the loot. Let’s out-trade the market, not just survive it. 🚀💰
⚠️ Disclaimer (The Clean Getaway)
📌 This is an educational, entertainment-based strategic overview – not financial advice.
📌 Always do your own due diligence and trade based on your personal risk profile.
📌 Markets shift quickly – adapt, adjust, and don’t marry your trades.
💬 Leave a comment if you’re riding this plan or if you’ve got your eyes on the next target.
🎯 Follow for more Thief Trading Heists – the next plan drops soon!
Stay stealthy, stay profitable. See you at the vault! 🏦🐱👤💸
Ready to Raid the Chunnel? EUR/GBP Bullish Strategy Unveiled!🔥🤑 "THE CHUNNEL HEIST: EUR/GBP BULLISH LOOTING SEASON!" 🏴☠️💸
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Bandits! 🌟
(Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!)
Based on the 🚨THIEF TRADING STYLE🚨 (a ruthless mix of technical & fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a major heist on EUR/GBP "The Chunnel"—time to LOOT THE BULLS!
🚨 HEIST BLUEPRINT (LONG ENTRY) 🚨
🎯 Escape Zone: High-risk RED MA Zone (Overbought? Reversal? Trap? Bears lurking? Cops are waiting!).
🏆 Take Profit & Run! You’ve earned it, outlaw! 💰🔥
🔓 ENTRY: "VAULT IS OPEN—SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" after the breakout
Pullback Entry near the Moving average @0.84850
Buy Limit Orders preferred (15-30min timeframe).
Swing Low/High Pullbacks = Perfect Stealth Entry.
⛔ STOP LOSS (SL): "DON’T GET CAUGHT!"
📍 Thief SL: Recent swing low (4H timeframe) @ 0.84000 (Scalping/Day Trade Basis).
⚠️ Adjust based on your risk, lot size & multiple orders!
🎯 TARGET: 0.85850 (OR ESCAPE EARLY IF HEAT’S ON!)
📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (BULLISH CATALYSTS)
💥 EUR/GBP is BULLISH—backed by:
Fundamentals (COT Report, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Quantitative Edge (Check out for full intel! 👉🌎🔗)
🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = DANGER ZONE!
📉 Avoid New Trades During High-Impact News!
🔒 Use Trailing Stops—Lock profits, evade volatility traps!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (SUPPORT THE MISSION)
🔥 Hit the "LIKE" & "BOOST" button—strengthen our Profit Robbery Squad!
🤑 Daily Market Heists = Easy Money (Thief Trading Style FTW!)
Stay tuned for the next heist plan! 🚀🐱👤💖
EURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakoutEURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakout — it's a deep reaction before the real move
EURGBP continues to form a textbook bullish megaphone, a structure designed not to trend, but to destabilize — forcing liquidity on both sides while smart money quietly positions. Two touches above (January and April), two below (February and May) — clean geometry, expanding volatility. Price is now reacting from the lower boundary, but we are still inside the pattern — and that matters.
The reaction zone sits right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near 0.8350, precisely where price meets the lower trendline and the 200-day moving average. The bounce didn’t come from noise — it came from confluence. Candle structure is clean, volume slightly expands — not panic, but controlled demand. As long as price holds above the MA200, the scenario remains intact. A break below kills the setup — but that hasn’t happened.
We’re not in breakout mode — yet. But price action is shifting. Pullbacks are weak, candles are full-bodied, and sellers don’t press. Momentum indicators confirm early recovery, but the real signal lies in how price holds its ground at key structure without struggle. Buyers aren’t running — they’re holding position.
If the market pushes above 0.8430–0.8480 and confirms — acceleration begins. Until then, we remain in balance. Every candle is a stress test — and so far, the structure is holding strong. If smart money controls 0.8350, the breakout won’t just be bullish — it’ll be aggressive.
EURGBP reached strong resistance: Likely reversal incomingPrice has been in a strong impulsive rally, pushing aggressively into a well established resistance zone. This zone is marked by a prior sharp sell-off, suggesting it could trigger selling interst again.
The current move appears overextended in the short term. The ascending channel is extremly vertical, showing momentum, but this type of movement often leads to exhaustion, especially when met with a key zone like so. Volume profile shows a lack of recent trading activity at these levels, which can exaggerate volatility once price enters this area.
Given how clean and one-sided the climb has been, a pullback is not only likely, but it would be healthy. The projected reaction toward the 0.85800 area makes sense technically: it corresponds with key Fibonacci retracement levels (between 0.5 and 0.618), adding confluence to the idea of a corrective move before any continuation or reversal.
Until there’s a clear break above the upper bound of this zone with sustained volume, this remains a high-probability area for short-term rejection or distribution.
If price starts printing long upper wicks, slowing momentum, or bearish engulfing patterns on lower timeframes, that could offer early signals of weakness and a shift in momentum.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice . Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURGBP: Bullish Move After False Breakout 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP will likely go up from a key daily/intraday support,
following a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish triangle on an hourly time frame.
The price may go up to 0.86218 level then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Two interesting FX technical strategies under close watchWhile the US dollar is the weakest major currency on the foreign exchange (FX) market this year 2025, and the question of its low point arises, two other currencies seem important to me to put under close watch for this month of July: the Pound Sterling (GBP) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD). To begin with, you can reread our latest analysis below (by clicking on the chart), which raises the question of a possible future low point for the US dollar on the FX.
The British pound, which was buoyed by positive momentum at the start of the year, is now facing fiscal and bond risks that are weakening it. At the same time, the Hong Kong dollar is testing the solidity of its parity mechanism with the greenback, forcing the local monetary authority to step up interventions to preserve its credibility. The EUR/GBP rate could be a good strategy for hedging against the risk of a fall in sterling. As for the USD/HKD rate, the upper end of the PEG could once again provide good resistance for a trading strategy.
1) Sterling is under pressure from UK bond yields, and the EUR/GBP rate presents an interesting chart configuration
The EUR/GBP rate, a barometer of confidence in the British currency, could come under upward pressure if UK budget fears persist. Tensions intensified after Keir Starmer's Labour government abandoned several budget-saving measures, deepening an already worrying deficit. As a result, yields on 30-year British government bonds jumped 19 basis points in a single session, their biggest rise since April, triggering a sharp decline in the pound. This context is reminiscent of the episodes of 2022 under Liz Truss, when British fiscal credibility wavered sharply. In the short term, the prospect of an autumn tax hike by Chancellor Rachel Reeves could fuel volatility.
From a technical analysis point of view, the EUR/GBP rate is following an underlying uptrend, and the guarantor of this trend is support at 0.8250. We must therefore keep a close eye on the evolution of British long rates and tax announcements, which will condition the trajectory of the EUR/GBP rate. If British debt continues to worry the market, then the EUR/GBP rate could continue its rise towards resistance at 0.90. Breaking support at 0.8250 would invalidate this chart scenario.
2) The USD/HKD rate is testing the upper end of the PEG defended by the Hong Kong monetary authorities
The USD/HKD rate is once again testing the upper limit of the “peg” set between 7.75 and 7.85 HKD per US dollar. Since the end of June, the weakness of local interest rates, with the one-month Hibor falling to 0.86%, i.e. almost 350 basis points below the cost of the dollar, has encouraged speculative positions against the Hong Kong dollar. To defend parity, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened on several occasions, repurchasing a total of 59 billion Hong Kong dollars and significantly reducing the liquidity of the banking system. The latest operation, for HK$29.6 billion, is testimony to the extent of the pressure on the peg.
For traders, this context offers short-term technical opportunities, by playing the bounces near the upper limit of the convertibility band. Nevertheless, the persistence of a high interest-rate differential between the United States and Hong Kong raises the risk of prolonged tension. In recent years, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has always succeeded in preventing the 7.85 resistance level from being breached, but caution and risk awareness are required before using this resistance for FX trading strategies.
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