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EURGBP Bullish Setup Analysis – MMC + Volume Absorption + TargetIn today's EUR/GBP 30-minute chart, we can clearly observe a well-structured Market Maker Cycle (MMC) in play, accompanied by Smart Money concepts such as volume absorption, minor BOS (Break of Structure), and reversal zone identification. Let’s walk through the technical story unfolding: 🧠 Step-by-Step Breakdown: 🟣 1. Reversal Zone & QFL (Quasimodo Failed Level) Formation The price made a sharp decline, which trapped retail sellers chasing the breakout to the downside. This drop landed into a key reversal zone — a price pocket where Smart Money often steps in for accumulation. The QFL structure is evident here, showing a previous demand zone break and then recovery — classic stop-loss hunting behavior followed by institutional positioning. This is often considered the “Spring” or “Manipulation” phase in Wyckoff or MMC theory. 🟩 2. Volume Absorption & Compression Phase After tapping into the reversal zone, price action entered a tight compression range, forming a wedge/triangle. During this phase, volume absorption is clearly visible — large players are absorbing selling pressure without letting price drop further. This is a signal of re-accumulation. Buyers are loading up while keeping the price suppressed to mislead retail traders. You’ve rightly labeled this phase as “Structure Mapping + Volume Absorption” — a textbook Smart Money behavior prior to breakout. 🔓 3. Minor Breaks of Structure (BOS) As price consolidates, we begin to see Minor BOS— subtle shifts in structure where previous highs are taken out. These BOS levels are confirmation that demand is outweighing supply. Once we break multiple minor highs, it shows that buyers are now in control — hinting at the transition from Accumulation → Expansion. 📈 4. Projected Next Reversal + Breakout Scenario The marked Next Reversal Zone above (around 0.8680–0.8695) is where we can expect the first true breakout and major expansion. If price enters this area with increased volume, it validates that Smart Money is pushing into the Markup Phase of the MMC. After the breakout, we could see price push toward 0.8710 and above. 📊 5. Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Summary What we’re seeing here is a full-scale MMC pattern unfolding: Manipulation (QFL trap ) → Accumulation (Volume absorption) → Structure Shift (Minor BOS) → Expansion (Reversal breakout) This is the kind of setup that offers high-probability entries for those who understand Smart Money dynamics and wait for confirmation. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Reversal Support Zone: 0.86450 – 0.86500 Breakout Target Zone: 0.86800 – 0.86950 Final Target (Swing): 0.87100+ 🧠 Final Thoughts: This EUR/GBP setup shows everything we love to see: Liquidity taken ✅ Structure forming ✅ Volume building ✅ BOS confirming ✅ Expansion pending 🔜 Be patient. Let Smart Money reveal their hand through price action and volume confirmation.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURGBP pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
1
The Day AheadUnited States June PPI: Not released yet — important for inflation outlook. Industrial Production (June): –0.2% month-on-month (weaker than expected). Capacity Utilisation: Fell to 77.4% from 77.7%. NY Fed Services Business Activity (July): Awaiting release. United Kingdom CPI (June): +3.6% year-on-year — higher than May’s 3.4%. Driven by food and air travel. RPI (June): +4.3% year-on-year — unchanged. House Price Index (May): Home prices +3.9% YoY; rents +6.7% YoY — showing persistent housing inflation. Eurozone / Italy / Canada Italy & Eurozone Trade Balance (May): Not released yet. Canada Housing Starts (June): Awaiting release. Central Banks Federal Reserve: Beige Book due today — expected to provide insights into regional economic conditions. Speeches from Logan, Hammack, Barr, Williams, Barkin — may influence interest rate expectations. Earnings Reports (Major Companies Today) United States: Johnson & Johnson Bank of America ASML Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Kinder Morgan United Airlines Alcoa Europe: Sandvik (Sweden) Market Takeaways Key Theme Market Relevance US Output Weakness May support dovish Fed tone, bond yields could ease. UK Inflation Surprise Could delay Bank of England rate cuts; GBP may gain. Central Bank Watch Fed speeches and Beige Book in focus for policy clues. Earnings Season Major US banks and industrials could drive equity volatility. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
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Long
by lubosi
EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
The Day AheadEconomic Data Highlights: 🇺🇸 US Wholesale Sales (May): Signals business demand. Weaker = bearish USD, growth worries. Stronger = supports USD, may lift yields. 🇨🇳 China Inflation (June CPI & PPI): Key for deflation risks. Low CPI/PPI = bearish CNY, AUD, metals, more rate cut talk. Stronger numbers = risk bounce, may lift AUD and commodities. 🇯🇵 Japan Machine Tool Orders & Money Supply (M2/M3): Shows capex and liquidity. Weak orders = bearish JPY, signs of slowdown. Limited impact unless there's a surprise. Central Bank Focus: 🇺🇸 FOMC Minutes: Hawkish tone = stronger USD, weaker stocks/gold. Dovish tone = bullish risk, weaker USD. 🇳🇿 RBNZ Rate Decision: Expected hold at 5.50%, but tone matters. Hawkish = NZD up, especially vs AUD/JPY. Dovish = NZD drops, AUDNZD could rise. 🇪🇺 ECB’s Nagel & Guindos: Watch for rate cut clues. Dovish = EUR weakens. Hawkish = EUR support, esp. vs JPY/CHF. Trade Setups to Watch: USD trades post-FOMC (DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY). NZD crosses after RBNZ (NZDUSD, AUDNZD). AUD & metals reacting to China inflation. EUR pairs ahead of more ECB talk Thursday. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
Bulls Could "Wedge" Their Way Into Higher Prices On EGOANDA:EURGBP has made some impressive moves up since the Low from May 29th and Price just fell short of the Highs of April 11th before falling into a very familiar Bullish Pattern, the Falling Wedge! The Falling Wedge is typically a Bullish Pattern where we expect Price to give us a Bullish Break of the Falling Resistance and Successful Retest of the Break before Price heads Higher! Wedge Patterns can play both Reversal and Continuation Patterns dependent upon the location they form and surrounding Major Support/Resistance or Highs/Lows. In this case, we will be looking for a Continuation with Price being in an Uptrend before pausing slightly for a Consolidation Phase to form the "Triangle" of the Pattern. *It is important to note that both the Falling Resistance and Falling Support have only been tested twice where three tests of both Trendlines should point to a strong equilibrium from both Bears and Bulls, validating the legs of the Triangle and strengthening the Consolidation Bias. ( So we could see Price test the Falling Resistance one last time before falling down to the Falling Support for a 3rd test! ) Lastly, when it comes to a Wedge Pattern, we should suspect that once Price makes a 3rd Test of the Falling Support and Retraces to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ .85887, this will signal the End of the Consolidation Phase! - And this will be the time to enter! **Once the Pattern is Confirmed and Breakout is Validated, based on the "Flagpole" or Rally prior to Price falling into the Consolidation Phase we can anticipate Price to potentially rise to the most recent High on April 11th of .87374 and give the next Previous High on November 16th 2023 of .87657 a try! Fundamentally, news is light this week for both currencies in the pair with GDP m/m releasing for GBP on Friday, July 11th with a Forecast of .1%, a .4% increase from June's -.3% Also, CPI y/y for GBP will be released the following week on Wednesday, July 16th.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
EURGBP BUY TADE PLAN## 🔥 **Pair + Date** **EUR/GBP – July 7, 2025** --- ## 📋 **Plan Overview Table** | Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status | | ----------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---- | ------------- | | Retracement | Long (Buy) | 75% | 1:2+ | Pending setup | --- ## 📈 **Market Bias & Type** * **Bias:** Bullish retracement setup — price is approaching prior structure support near 0.8600 after impulsive bullish rally. * **Type:** Continuation (trend resumption post pullback) --- ## 🔰 **Confidence Level** **75%** * Technical structure: 35% (clear break & retest zone at 0.8600 / daily trend still intact) * Momentum: 20% (prior bullish impulse dominant on higher TFs) * Macro alignment: 20% (Euro macro slightly stronger than GBP; risk-neutral sentiment) * Session alignment: 0% (pending session confirmation) --- ## 📍 **Entry Zones** * **Primary Entry:** 0.8600 – 0.8590 (liquidity sweep + prior structure) * **Secondary Entry:** 0.8580 – 0.8570 (deep retracement / value zone) --- ## ❗ **SL with Reasoning** * **Stop Loss:** 0.8545 * Reasoning: Below structural support and liquidity pocket — invalidates bullish bias if price accepts below this level. --- ## 🎯 **TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets** * **TP1:** 0.8635 (recent structure highs / partial take) * **TP2:** 0.8665 (4H supply zone / recent swing high) * **TP3:** 0.8685 (extension target / overextension possible on strong bullish impulse) --- ## 🧠 **Management Strategy** * Risk 1% per setup. * Scale in at secondary zone if triggered. * Move SL to BE once TP1 hit. * Trail stops above H1 swing lows as price climbs. --- ## ⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist** ✅ Bullish rejection wicks / engulfing candle on M15/H1 ✅ Volume spike on retrace ✅ Entry aligned with London or NY session flow --- ## ⏳ **Validity** * **H1 retracement:** Valid for 12-24 hours or until zone is invalidated. * **H4 structure:** Valid for 48+ hours barring major macro shifts. --- ## ❌ **Invalidation Conditions** * Clean acceptance + close below 0.8545 on H1. * GBP macro suddenly strengthens on surprise data / BOE commentary. --- ## 🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot** * **ECB:** Neutral-hawkish bias, steady policy outlook. * **BOE:** Mixed signals, mild dovish tilt post last inflation print. * **Macro driver:** Eurozone slightly firmer fundamentals vs GBP. * **Sentiment:** Risk-neutral → no safe-haven demand distorting flows. --- ## 📋 **Final Trade Summary** EUR/GBP bullish retracement play targeting continuation of trend with value buys at 0.8600–0.8570 zone. SL 0.8545, TP 0.8635 / 0.8665 / 0.8685. Wait for confirmation before entry. --- ⚠ **Reminder:** This is not investment advice. Forex trading carries substantial risk. Trade with discipline, use licensed brokers, and follow your plan strictly.
Long
by jibkhan111
EURGBP uptrend support retest at 0.8600The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.8600 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.8600 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.8670 – initial resistance 0.8700 – psychological and structural level 0.8720 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8600 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.8590 – minor support 0.8570 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8600. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation