#EURJPY: Major Swing Sell +1100 Pips, One Not To Miss! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is most likely to continue its bullish trend, as the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to decline due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Historically, JPY and CHF, alongside gold and silver, have been favoured by global investors and remain bullish. Strong fundamentals and technical support further support our analysis.
The 167-169 price region remains a critical point for sellers, where we anticipate significant selling volume. There are two entry points to consider: one near the current price and another slightly further away. Please monitor volume and use smaller time frames for entries.
Our Swing Target is at 154, but you can also target smaller zones once the trade is activated. For instance, set take-profit levels at 164, 160, and finally, at 154.
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EURJPY trade ideas
EURJPY Just Broke Out – Is This the Start of a Summer Rally?📊 1. COT Report – Euro & Yen
EUR (Euro FX – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: +5,968 | Short: -4,293 → Net Long increasing
Commercials:
Long: +11,480 | Short: +24,451 → Net Short
→ Speculators are clearly bullish on the euro.
JPY (Japanese Yen – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: -5,319 | Short: +1,235 → Net Long decreasing
Commercials:
Long: +31,893 | Short: +25,462 → Hedging, but still net short
→ The yen continues to be sold, especially by institutional players.
📌 EUR/JPY COT Summary:
Speculators are buying EUR and selling JPY → strong bullish bias on EUR/JPY.
🧠 2. Retail Sentiment
80% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY, with an average entry at 161.50
Current price is around 167.20 → retail is heavily underwater
✅ Strong contrarian bullish signal
📉 3. Technical Analysis
Price broke out of a long-term range, printing new yearly highs
RSI is overbought but with no active bearish divergence
Price sits inside a major supply zone between 166.50 and 168.00, where previous rejections occurred
A potential pullback to the 164.60–164.15 area aligns with ascending trendline support
🟡 Likely Scenario:
A healthy technical pullback to 164.50–165.00 to cool off RSI,
followed by a continuation higher if supported by momentum and COT positioning
📅 4. Seasonality
June is historically a bullish month for EUR/JPY:
5-year avg: +1.167%
2-year avg: +2.41%
→ Seasonality supports more upside into early July
🌍 5. Macro Context
BoJ remains dovish, no sign of imminent tightening
ECB is steady but relatively less dovish → rate differential still favors the euro
No signs yet of verbal intervention from Japan.
EURJPY – Daily Chart selling zone alert |||||Price is approaching a major higher-timeframe supply zone near 168.000 – 172.000, an area historically respected by institutional sellers.
This zone aligns with a previous price rejection and a trendline resistance visible on a multi-year chart.
Expecting a possible liquidity grab into the zone followed by a sharp rejection.
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🧠 Smart Money Insight:
Possible SMC-style reaction anticipated:
Liquidity inducement above highs
Sharp rejection from seller zone
BOS (Break of Structure) for confirmation
Right-side inset illustration highlights expected distribution before drop.
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🔎 Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone: 168.000 – 172.000
Current Price: 166.420
Target After Rejection: 150.000 – 148.000
Invalidation Above: 173.500
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🧩 Trading Plan:
Wait for price action confirmation in the supply zone.
Look for M15/H1 shift in structure and strong bearish engulfing patterns.
Risk management is key: Place stop-loss above zone highs.
EUR/JPY Sell incomingWe see this Pair reached the Top of a HTF Structure
It breaked out and formed some LTF Correction but not to go higher
instead it reversed. Now we are forming some LTF Correction what also is forming
to a Head and Shoulder Pattern.You can see the HnS forming when you go to LTF.
Wait for the current correction to fninish to confirm this setup
EUR/JPY Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on EUR/JPY , We have a very clear breakout and now i`m waiting for retest to broken res and new support and waiting for good bullish price action to enter a buy trade and targeting at least previous high , if the price go back below my support with daily closure then this idea will not be valid .
SELL EURJPYIn todays session we are monitoring EURJPY for selling opportunity. Our entry is at 167.302 our stop is above 168.000 and targets are below 165.200. Use proper risk management and remember the stop loss should be adjusted based on your risk management, sometimes it can be too tight or it can be extended depending on validity of a set up . Cheers to you all.
EUR/JPY Approaching Key Sell Zone – Rising Wedge at Resistance
EUR/JPY is trading within a rising wedge formation and is now approaching a key resistance zone near 167.583. The current area is marked as a potential sell zone, especially as price nears the upper boundary of the wedge and key horizontal resistance.
A rejection from this area could lead to a corrective move toward the 165.363 or 164.419 support levels. However, a clean breakout above 167.583 would invalidate the short-term bearish scenario.
🔻 Sell Zone: 167.40 – 167.58
🔹 Target 1: 165.36
🔹 Target 2: 164.41
🔹 Pattern: Rising wedge
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Bias: Bearish unless breakout confirmed
Diamond Continuation Hello traders!
We’ve just seen a clean breakout from a Diamond Continuation Pattern on the 1H EURJPY chart — and it came with a surge in volume, confirming the move.
🔹 Pattern: Diamond Continuation
🔹 Breakout Level: 166.735
🔹 Target: 168.803 (100% measured move)
🔹 Stops:
• Conservative: Below 165.824 (mid-range support)
• Aggressive: Below 164.919 (diamond low)
Price held firm inside the diamond, then exploded through the top boundary on strong momentum. The breakout is now live and confirmed. If the structure holds above 166.73, we stay focused on the full projection into 168.80.
✅ Key Strategy:
Use the previous low or the 50% midpoint for stop placement. We’re managing this as an active long continuation — structure, volume, and fib all align.
📈 Stay patient, manage the risk, and let the market unfold.
EUR/JPY Short Pair: EUR/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Entry: Sell only below 166.680
Stop Loss: 167.230
Take Profit Targets: 165.500
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.2
This short trade setup on EUR/JPY (1H timeframe) is based on a potential breakdown of the ascending trendline that has been supporting recent bullish momentum. Price action shows signs of exhaustion near the 167.20 resistance area, with bearish divergence on the RSI and weakening MACD momentum. To maintain discipline and avoid premature entries, the trade will only be triggered if a new candle opens below 166.680, confirming a valid break of structure. The position will be protected with a stop loss at 167.230, above the recent high, while the take profit target is set at 165.500, offering a clean move back to previous support levels. This setup maintains a favorable risk/reward ratio of approximately 2.2, making it suitable for short-term swing traders seeking high-probability confirmation-based entries.
EURJPY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 166.677.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 167.654 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/JPY Breaks Fibonacci Barrier – Room to RallyEUR/JPY has broken convincingly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 167.42, clearing a major technical hurdle and reaffirming bullish momentum. This breakout also aligns with the pair's broader uptrend supported by the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, which are upward sloping and stacked in bullish order.
Technical Highlights:
Trend & Structure: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows; today's close above the 167.42 Fibonacci level confirms continuation.
Moving Averages: Price is comfortably above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, with both acting as dynamic support zones.
MACD: Rising and bullish, with widening histogram bars indicating strengthening momentum.
RSI: At 70.4, the RSI has just entered overbought territory. While this signals strength, traders should also stay alert for signs of potential short-term consolidation or cooling.
Key Level to Watch: The next upside target lies near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 170.93. That level could act as a magnet in the coming sessions if bullish momentum persists. Any retest of the breakout zone around 167.4 could serve as a launchpad if defended.
EUR/JPY remains technically strong, with bullish continuation favored unless price breaks back below the 50-day SMA.
-MW
EURJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 164.890.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 166.192 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅15' Order block identification
✅Daily Order block rejection
✅4H order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURJPY - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the green zone is a major weekly high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and weekly high.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY - BullishStory: Market is in bullish trend with series of HH and HLs. There is no divergence on the chart therefore we expect market to continue bullish trend. as the market is continuing bullish, we look for any continuation pattern. Yes, we have found one, which is bullish flag pattern.
there is no reversal or harmonic pattern.
Anticipate : it is anticipated that market will breakout the Flag neck line and we anticipate the market to reach its projection of flag-pole.
Plan is to enter in the market on break out of neckline and continue riding till the projection of flag-pole with our SL placed just below the Marked HLs and we set our TP1 and TP2 with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.