EJ updateRecent insights from Forex Factory indicate that eurozone data has been somewhat disappointing, while safeโhaven flows and dovish policy expectations in Japan continue to support the yen. Meanwhile, the latest COT report shows that large speculators have been building net-long positions in JPY futures relative to the euro, suggesting market participants are favoring the yen in the current riskโoff environment.
Combining these factors, the nearโterm outlook for EUR/JPY appears to be bearish, with the pair likely to trend lower in the coming days. Key support levels should be watched closely, as a breakdown there could accelerate the decline, though any unexpected positive euro data or a shift in risk sentiment might lead to short-term volatility.
EURJPY trade ideas
EUR JPY SHORTHello everyone, I hope you have had an excellent week of trades as well as me, I share my next trade idea to start next week, is to enter short in the eur jpy pair and continue with the current trend, if the market on Sunday opens with a higher gap at the close of today, it would be a much better entry point, otherwise if it opens right where it closed, we can still enter, I also leave the take profit zones, do not be greedy, if the market is giving us some profit we can withdraw and look for the next opportunity, greetings to all my new followers, I hope to continue sharing good ideas with everyone, good weekend.
EUR/JPY Trading Setup โ Falling Wedge Breakout Potential1. Overview of the Market Structure
The EUR/JPY daily chart presents a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern has been forming for several months, indicating that the price has been consolidating within a narrowing range. The falling wedge typically suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a potential breakout to the upside could follow.
The chart also highlights key support and resistance zones, along with a well-defined trading setup based on technical confluences.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Level: ~ 155.819 (Marked as Stop Loss)
This level has acted as strong support multiple times.
A break below this level would invalidate the bullish bias.
Resistance Level: ~ 163-164
The price has previously struggled to break above this region.
Currently, it is retesting this level after a breakout attempt.
Target Levels:
175.246 โ This aligns with a previous all-time high zone and a strong resistance level.
179.562 โ Marked as the ultimate target, indicating a full breakout potential.
3. Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Analysis
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that indicates a decrease in selling pressure over time.
The price has tested the lower trendline multiple times, showing strong demand at support.
Recently, the price broke above the upper wedge trendline, suggesting that a breakout is in progress.
However, the breakout needs confirmation in the form of a successful retest at the previous resistance level (~163-164).
4. Retest Confirmation & Trade Setup
Retest Scenario: If the price holds above the previous resistance and confirms it as support, the probability of continuation towards 175-179 increases.
Entry Strategy: A buy entry can be considered after a successful retest with bullish price action confirmation.
Stop-Loss Placement: Below 155.819 (previous strong support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: The target offers a strong risk-reward ratio if the breakout holds.
5. Market Sentiment & Volume Analysis
The previous downward move showed declining bearish momentum, further confirming the validity of the falling wedge.
A volume increase on the breakout would provide additional confirmation.
If the price consolidates near the breakout zone with low volatility, a strong move upward could follow.
Final Conclusion: Bullish Breakout in Progress
The falling wedge breakout suggests that EUR/JPY is poised for further upside.
A successful retest at 163-164 could push the price towards 175.246 and ultimately 179.562.
Risk management is crucial, and a stop-loss below 155.819 is recommended to avoid invalidation of the setup.
This setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity, but confirmation through price action and volume analysis remains key.
Key Trading Plan Summary:
๐ Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
๐ Breakout Confirmation: Yes, but retesting is ongoing
๐ Entry Point: Above 163-164 after successful retest
๐ Stop Loss: Below 155.819
๐ Target Levels: 175.246, then 179.562
๐ Risk-Reward: Favorable if breakout sustains
Would you like any refinements or a more concise version for your TradingView post? ๐๐
CHECK EURJPY ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends ๐๐ผ
EURJPY trading signals technical analysis satup๐๐ผ
I think now EURJPY ready for BUY trade EURJPY BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) ๐๐ผ
ENTER POINT (161.600) to (161.500) ๐
First tp (162.000)๐
2nd tp (162.600)๐
Last target (163.200) ๐
stop loss (160.800)โ
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
EUR/JPY NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
EURJPY โ False breakout of key resistance ...FX:EURJPY is forming a false breakdown of resistance and draws us a reversal pattern against the upper boundary of the descending price channel, as well as the pressure on the market creates the correction of the dollar...
On the daily chart the structure is bearish. After the false breakout of the global resistance a correction is formed, within which the price can test the imbalance zone or the previously broken resistance and continue its fall after the liquidity capture. The global trend is neutral and in this case it is worth considering local support levels as targets
Resistance levels: channel boundary, 162.3, 163.0
Support levels: 160.84, 158.9
A retest of the channel resistance or the area of 162.4 - 163 is possible. But any return of the price under the resistance of the descending channel and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may provoke further decline
Regards R. Linda!
Trading Idea: EUR/JPY Buy Setup Based on Retail Flow SentimentA strong buy signal has emerged on EUR/JPY, driven by retail trading flow analysis. Let's break down the setup and why this trade aligns with smart money strategies.
Signal Breakdown
Retail Sentiment Shift ๐
After breaking above the descending triangle, we observed a surge in retail sell positions, indicating a strong bearish bias among traders.
Despite a minor pullback, the majority of retail traders remain short, reinforcing the likelihood of a stop-out rally.
Price Action & Smart Money Reaction ๐ฆ
The breakout invalidated the bearish triangle pattern, yet retail traders continued shorting.
Our trading flow model shows short positioning far exceeding rolling averages, a classic trap scenario where market makers may push prices higher to liquidate retail shorts.
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: ๐ 161.50
Stop Loss: โ 159.70
Target: ๐ฏ 175.56
Rationale: Retail traders are heavily short, margin utilization is rising, and smart money may continue squeezing higher.
Bonus: ๐ฐ This setup also benefits from a positive carry swap, making it even more attractive for medium-term holding.
Final Thought
Our EUR/JPY trade strategy is built on 80% trading flow sentiment and 20% technical & fundamental analysis. Retail traders often get trapped at key reversal points, and we capitalize on these inefficiencies.
๐ Will the smart money push EUR/JPY higher? Drop your thoughts below! ๐
EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move.
Given the potential volatility around this zone, itโs crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
EURJPY Breakout Analysis: Falling Wedge & Key LevelsChart Pattern Breakdown
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe for EUR/JPY, revealing a strong technical setup with multiple key patterns in play. The price action has been forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, followed by a breakout.
Falling Wedge Formation
A falling wedge pattern is characterized by a narrowing range, where both highs and lows trend downward but converge towards a breakout point. This setup indicates a loss of bearish momentum and the potential for a strong bullish move once the price breaks out.
The wedge began forming in early February, with price making lower highs and lower lows within the structure.
The support level remained stable, while the resistance trendline kept the price within a tightening range.
Around early March, the price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, confirming the bullish breakout.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 163.500 - 164.000, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
The market tested this level but struggled to break through immediately, confirming its importance.
Support Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 158.500 - 159.000, acting as a strong demand zone.
This area provided multiple bounces before the final wedge breakout.
Current Price Action & Trading Setup
Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke the wedge and moved higher, testing the resistance zone.
Pullback & Retest: The market is currently pulling back, testing the recent breakout area. This could be an ideal entry point for a long trade.
Bullish Target: The next significant resistance is at 166.754, followed by an extended target at 166.938.
Trade Plan
โ
Long Entry: On a successful retest of support near 160.500 - 161.000
๐ฏ Target 1: 166.754
๐ฏ Target 2: 166.938
๐ Sell Stop (Stop Loss): Below 158.918 to minimize risk
Conclusion
The EURJPY chart is showcasing a strong bullish setup with a confirmed falling wedge breakout. As long as price holds above the key support level, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards the 166+ zone. Traders should watch for confirmations such as bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, and trendline support before entering a long position.
๐ Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! ๐
EURJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 161.01
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 162.16
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
eurjpy buy signal
Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 161.131
Target Level: 162.550
Stop Loss: 160.184
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup Breakdown (2H Chart)1. Market Structure & Trend Shift
The pair was in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
However, price broke below the ascending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
A retest of the broken trendline confirms bearish strength, as price rejected from it.
2. Entry Strategies
โ
Break & Retest Entry (Best Option)
Since price already broke and retested the trendline, the best entry point was:
Sell Entry: After price rejected the broken trendline (confirmation candle).
Confirmation: A bearish candle with a long upper wick or strong red close.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent high (around 163.3).
Take Profit (TP): Targeting key support zones (159.0, then 156.0).
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss Placement: Above the last high (163.3), ensuring room for market fluctuations.
Take Profit Zones:
First TP: 159.0 (psychological level & previous support).
Final TP: 156.0 (major support & full bearish target).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
If SL = 2.0 pips and TP = 6.0 pips, RRR = 1:3 (ideal for strong trades).
Ensures potential profits outweigh risk.
4. Bearish Confirmation Signs
๐ด Lower Highs & Lower Lows โ Trend is shifting down.
๐ด Bearish Engulfing Candles โ Strong selling pressure.
๐ด Volume Increase on Down Moves โ Sellers are in control.
๐ด Retest Rejection โ Confirms trendline break is valid.
5. Potential Trade Outcome
โ
Bearish Scenario (Best Case)
Price continues falling towards 159.0, then 156.0.
The trade follows a clean trendline break & retest pattern.
Successful high RRR trade (1:3 or better).
โ Invalidation (Worst Case)
If price reclaims 163.3, the bearish setup is invalid.
This could trigger a stop-loss hit or indicate a fake breakout.
Adjust strategy and wait for a stronger confirmation.
Final Trading Plan:
โ
Wait for confirmation before entering (trendline rejection or strong bearish candle).
โ
Manage risk properly (never risk more than 2-3% per trade).
โ
Stick to the plan and avoid emotional decisions.
DeGRAM | EURJPY decline in the channelEURJPY is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance, which has previously acted as a point of decline.
The chart keeps the harmonic pattern relevant, as well as the descending structure.
We expect the decline to continue.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments, and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
DeGRAM | EURJPY retest of trend lineEURJPY is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price broke the upper boundary of the channel, formed a harmonic pattern and approached the dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains the descending structure.
We expect the decline to continue after consolidation under the nearest support level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments, and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
CHECK EURJPY ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends ๐๐ผ
EURJPY trading signals technical analysis satup๐๐ผ
I think now EURJPY ready for BUY trade EURJPY BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) ๐๐ผ
ENTER POINT (161.500) to (161.400) ๐
First tp (161.700)๐
2nd tp (162.000)๐
Last target (162.300) ๐
stop loss (161.000)โ
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management