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EURJPY trade ideas

EUR/JPY - First steps into correction, getting back on track!Hi guys we are looking over at EUR/JPY , we had a huge swing to the lower end and a very very strong support area. We can see the RSI has crumbled but ended up formulating an Ascending Channel which we will follow into revaulation towards the 159 area. Entry: 156.550 Target 1: 157.380 Target 2: 158.150 Target 3: 159.100 SL: 155.100 RR is sitting at 1:4! Tell me below in the comments what is your opinion on this trade? Will the Hawkish BoJ interfere and push this further down?
Long
by DG55Capital
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY has broken out of the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 157.19 1st Support: 155.60 1st Resistance: 158.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/JPY Bulls Seeking Signal as Price Clings to SupportEUR/JPY is teetering above known support, but with momentum favouring the bears, there’s no need to rush into longs. If the pair continues find buyers on dips below 156.21, a long trade could be considered above the level with a stop beneath for protection. 158 looms as an initial target, with 159 and 161 other levels to watch. The preference is to wait for a bottoming signal before entering, similar to the morning star patterns seen in December and early February. RSI (14) and MACD remain firmly bearish, reinforcing the need for patience given the setup is counter to momentum. A convincing break below 156.21 would invalidate the setup, opening the door for shorts targeting a retest of 154.41. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
EURJPY 2H SHORTEURJPY 2H Fundamentals: •Eurozone 10Y Bonds broke a key ascending trendline to the downside and have now retested it before continuing lower. This suggests that the EUR is overvalued and that investors are losing confidence in the Eurozone. •Conversely, Japanese 10Y Bonds have been in a strong uptrend for a while now. •The Non-Weighted Currency Index also shows that the Yen is strong, as it recently broke a descending trendline, retested it, and then surged higher. •Meanwhile, the Non-Weighted Currency Index of the Euro shows the opposite pattern. A bearish flag is forming on the daily timeframe, which could indicate a potential decline. •Lastly, we have the monetary policy divergence between the ECB and the BoJ. The BoJ is expected to hold rates, while the ECB is expected to cut. •The only concern is risk sentiment, which could weigh negatively on the Yen. Technical Analysis •On the daily timeframe, there is a strong uptrend, but a bearish triangle has formed. •On the 8H timeframe, we can see a 61% Fibonacci rejection, forming a clear double top, signaling strong selling pressure, followed by a break of a key support level. •On the H4 timeframe, another double top confirms the sellers’ strength, further validated by the break of the 50-SMA, which had previously acted as a dynamic support. •I am expecting a rejection at 50% Fibonacci at 156.180, which will be my entry price. •Stop-loss at 159.400, slightly above the previous support-turned-resistance. •Target: 149.000, a psychological level and a round number. •Retail traders are mostly long (80%), confirming that a short position would be a valid opportunity.
Short
by Marco-kh
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 24 February 2025 - EURJPY reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00 EURJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the multi-month support level 156.00 (which has been reversing the pair rom last August) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line – if the pair closes today near the current levels. Given the strength of the support level 156.00 and the bullish euro sentiment seen today, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 158.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EUR/JPY - Bullish Rejection from Key Support📈 Trade Idea: Long EUR/JPY Analysis: Price aggressively rejected the downside with a long wick, indicating strong buyer interest at a key support level. This suggests a liquidity grab, where price swept lows before pushing back up. A potential bullish reversal could be in play, targeting the next resistance zone. Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup): 🔹 Entry: 156.991 (Rejection from support) 🔹 Stop Loss: 156.846 (Below recent low, invalidates bullish bias) 🔹 Take Profit: 157.281 (Fixed at 2R) Risk/Reward: ✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips ✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Why this trade? ✔️ Liquidity grab below previous lows ✔️ Strong bullish rejection at key demand zone ✔️ Potential reversal targeting previous resistance 📌 Looking for price to maintain above 156.50 to sustain bullish momentum.
Long
by riojulianprt62512
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 159.53 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 160.24 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.97 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Expecting bullish volatility from this bearish contractionSupported by the daily rejection block, we're looking for bullish opportunities because we have cleared the immediate swing high at 158.000. This sentiment indicates a strong bullish market. Anticipating this corrective movement to reduce further and mitigate the breaker block at 157.350 to activate buyers for a volatile bullish move. - Entry: 157.350 - Stop Loss: 156.550 (80 pips risk) - Target: 161.350 (400 pips potential gain) This trade setup suggests a bullish opportunity with a risk-reward ratio of 1:5.
by tokelohomi