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EURJPY trade ideas

EURJPY 4h strong support zone EUR/JPY – 4H Chart Analysis (Feb 27, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis The chart shows that EUR/JPY has broken out of a descending channel, indicating a potential bullish reversal. A higher low formation could confirm the beginning of an uptrend. The key resistance level to watch is 159.87, where the price could face selling pressure. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI is currently at 51.89, signaling that momentum is shifting towards the bulls. The previous downtrend showed oversold conditions, and now RSI is starting to rise, confirming a potential bullish move. 3. Key Levels to Watch Support: 156.38 (Breakout retest zone; price must stay above this to remain bullish) 155.50 - 156.00 (Demand zone; if lost, downtrend may resume) Resistance: 159.87 (Major resistance; could act as a take-profit zone for longs) 162.00 (Next resistance if the uptrend gains strength) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price holds above 156.38 and continues its breakout move, a rally towards 159.87 is likely. Long Setup: Entry: Around 156.50 - 157.00 Stop-loss: Below 156.00 Target: 159.87 📉 Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) If price fails to hold above 156.38, a drop back into the channel could happen. A rejection at 159.87 could also trigger a retracement. 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bullish, targeting 159.87 if support at 156.38 holds. Trade idea: Look for a pullback entry near support and ride the breakout move. Risk management: Keep a tight stop below 156.00 to avoid false breakouts.
Long
by Forexbeats
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
EURJPY INTRADAY bearish below 158.50 The EURJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 158.50, the 03rd February swing low level and falling resistance trendline zone. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 158.50 level could target the downside support at 155.73 followed by 154.74 and 153.25 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 158.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 161.28 resistance followed by 162.74 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURJPY Strong oversold buy opportunity.The EURJPY pair broke again below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of its Rectangle pattern and is consolidating. Every time this break-out occurred, the price was a buy opportunity. This time, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which makes the opportunity even stronger. We are expecting a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test below the Lower Highs trend-line at 162.250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
#027 Trust The Process EURJPY Sell 2009SGT 25022025Selling EURJPY. I have only a few things to say, 1st - I didn't go to work yesterday because I was so tired. I am always lethargic I think I am so weak. 2nd - I wanted to go work at 8pm, now is 8pm. But I think I need to drag to 9pm. I ned to make some money to pay for living expenses and stuff. Even if I manage to be a successful trader, I will continue working. Right now, I think I am sitting on -13R loss across 4 accounts, over 26 trades, open and closed. 2011SGT 25022025 Add : This EURJPY trade is based on 1 Minute Time Frame, and I took it originally for my Oanda mt4 accounts. Whenever possible and I have the energy and space to do those things, I will take trades as much as I could. I think, blowing my accounts is my secret super power. ...2016SGT 25022025
Short
by goh8888lester
Eur/Jpy Long swingOn longer timeframe I am looking for shorts on Eur/Jpy but in nearest time I expect some kind of pullback up to MA20 and possibly up to trendline seen on dailychart. For entry look for confirmation in priceaction. It may take couple of days into next week to see what price wants to do. 154.500 is a good place to enter. If price falls straight through support than wait with pulling a trigger. In this case area under lows can be a good place for long entry. But it price struggles to move lower it's your sign to go long. For target aim for MA20 around 158.500 on dailychart and if price looks to hold here expect more upside, up to current highs around 163.00 Stop-loss under major lows.
Long
by VarisLizbowskis
1
EUR/JPY Tests Key Support at 156.00 – Breakdown or Bounce?📉 EUR/JPY edges lower to 156.38 (-0.22%) as sellers pressure key support. 🔎 Technical Setup: 156.00 major horizontal support holding for now. Bearish bias intact below 50-day EMA (160.08) & 200-day EMA (161.87). Break below 156.00 could open downside toward 152.50-153.00. 📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 36.62 → Not oversold yet, but approaching key levels. MACD remains bearish, confirming ongoing downside pressure. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch: Bulls must defend 156.00 or risk further selling pressure. A break & close below 156.00 could accelerate losses toward 152.50. Bulls need a reclaim of 158.50-160.00 for trend reversal. 🚀 Decision point for EUR/JPY – will 156.00 hold? 📌 Watching daily close for confirmation. - MW
by FOREXcom
Which pair to watch after Merz wins?The rise of the euro and German stocks reflects the market's response to Friedrich Merz's victory in the German legislative elections held on Sunday, February 23, 2025. This victory seems to herald a political shift towards increased government spending, bringing hope for boosting the struggling German economy. The euro experienced a notable recovery against the G10 currencies, rising by about 0.5% against the US dollar, supported by investor expectations that the new government will abandon the conservative financial approach. Concurrently, the EUR/JPY pair appears poised for a short-term rise, reversing its previous downward trend to an upward one. Currently, this pair is trading at important support levels ranging between 156 and 156.7, enhancing the likelihood of continuing the upward trend and surpassing the recent corrective phase towards a target level of 159.832. It is important to note that this positive outlook will be invalidated if the price falls and closes daily below the 155.506 level.
by CFI
EURJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 156.763. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 158.582 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Potential bullish rebound?EUR/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: `155.94 1st Support: 153.99 1st Resistance: 158.57 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EUR/JPY: Strong Reversal Zone in PlayWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURJPY Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex
2
EURJPY forming a bottom?EURJPY - 24h expiry Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart. Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 156.97 level. Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. We look to Buy at 156.75 (stop at 155.72) Our profit targets will be 159.47 and 160.55 Resistance: 159.10 / 160.55 / 162.00 Support: 154.40 / 151.10 / 149.30 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 24 February 2025 - EURJPY reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00 EURJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the multi-month support level 156.00 (which has been reversing the pair rom last August) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line – if the pair closes today near the current levels. Given the strength of the support level 156.00 and the bullish euro sentiment seen today, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 158.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal