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EURJPY trade ideas

EUR/JPY 4H Timeframe AnalysisEUR/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: The EUR/JPY pair is currently in an uptrend, having successfully broken the downtrend with a breach of minor key resistance at 158.000, which has now turned into support. The formation of higher highs and higher lows confirms this trend change and indicates bullish momentum. The recent break of the next minor resistance at 159.4 confirms that buyers have stepped in, with price action moving towards the next major key level at 161.100. Additionally, the concept of manipulation or liquidity grabs at key levels is crucial. The price has temporarily broken through significant levels, hunting stop losses before reversing direction. This stage has already occurred, and the price is now poised to break the major key resistance. Price Action Expectation: We are observing liquidity forming below the major key level. We are waiting for a breakout above 161.100 to confirm the continuation of the uptrend. The plan is to place a buy stop order at 161.430, just above the major resistance, allowing entry once a move beyond this level is confirmed. A stop loss is considered below the liquidity at 160.700, which is a strategic location for risk management. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 161.430 (just above the major resistance after a breakout) Stop Loss: 160.700 (below the liquidity zone) Take Profit: At the next major resistance level Additional Considerations: You also mentioned a potential bearish flag pattern, which suggests a possible short breakout in the future. However, more confluence or confirmation is needed before placing sell orders. The flag pattern could signal a potential reversal, so it’s important to wait for confirmation, such as a break below a support level or a bearish candlestick pattern, before acting on a short setup. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair is exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by technical indicators and a favorable fundamental outlook. Key economic indicators from the US, such as PMI, retail sales, and the Federal Funds rate, will significantly influence market sentiment and the USD's strength against the JPY. Traders should remain vigilant for potential breakouts and ensure proper risk management strategies are in place. Fundamental Outlook: The upcoming BOJ (Bank of Japan) Policy Rate decision this Thursday is likely to impact the EUR/JPY pair. If the BOJ maintains its ultra-loose monetary policy with no changes to rates, we could see the JPY remain weak, supporting the continuation of the EUR/JPY uptrend. However, if the BOJ signals a shift towards tightening or offers hawkish commentary, we might see JPY strength, leading to a pullback in EUR/JPY. Market sentiment will be crucial—hawkish news from the BOJ could trigger a risk-off move, benefiting the JPY, while dovish news may encourage a risk-on sentiment, driving EUR/JPY higher. Traders should remain cautious around the BOJ release, as volatility could lead to price manipulation or liquidity grabs, particularly near the 161.100 resistance level.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
EURJPY: Capturing BOJ decisionsFrom technical perspective, the price moved to significant orders in the past. And once reach there, there's bearish engulfing candle formed. To see inclination of price movements coherently: 1. GDP of Euro Zone in stagnant level without significant increase or decrease (demand in EURO is stagnant) 2. Japan CPI keeps growing (demand in YEN) Therefore, there's possibility liquidity created first there with bearish engulfing, signifies bearish movement ahead.
Short
by kolabid
EURJPY SELL Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
Short
by Tonksovave
Simple AMD concept played out.Note that this is a bullish AMD, but the model can also appear in a bearish form. What is important to remember is that the accumulation phase often lasts the longest as we can see the H1 tf of EurJpy. The manipulation phase is usually relatively short, and liquidity is almost always removed at the button especially with spikes common with JPY pairs. The distribution phase is characterized by a rapid and forceful movement, where support and resistance levels are largely ignored. Pay Attention to Details - (PAD)...GraCex
by BlueBlurd
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