EUR/NOK - Trend reversal?the market reached new intermediate highs & shows positive signs for a bullish trend. So far, the market reacted to my stored trading area. However, we should remain cautious and wait to see more upside moves before we go long. In the chart you can see a possible outcome for a bullish trend reversal.
EURNOK trade ideas
Six moth of downtrend finaly breaks? This week Nor broke Eur down trend by closin green candel, in next week we will see if its a fake out or if its a break.
But in my own concullutions of trading, when a candel breaks and closes above or below the trendline it means the trend line is broke. But however next week we will se if its a fake out or if it confirms the break out!
The reson why this is happening is it becus it hitted and bounced to uppside of weekly support.
EURNOK: From A Techno-Fundamentalist's View - April 2021EURNOK: From A Techno-Fundamentalist's View
Fundamentals:
Norway is an export-dependent economy and her currency is effected by oil. OIl prices and Norway's inflation remain strong, but not overheated. This is almost a goldilocks zone to support the thesis for a greater expectation that Norway's central bank will maintain a further hawkish stance for their monetary policy. A stronger NOK means that inflation risks will be dampened and the CPI-ATE (consumer price index adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products: www.ssb.no) will stay lower. This is a stable environment for this export-dependent central bank's current sentiment and moves.
Furthermore, another contributive thought that will influence the NOK currency is that September 2021 will be the time Norway will have elections. Thus, there will be more fiscal spending along the way by the government.
When it comes to the Euro-zone, money will keep the central bank at bay with its current plans with little activism. The EUR currency is weak and its central bank prefers to keep things the same as it is. The Euro-zone itself prefers not to take fiscal measures as the USA has done to give its economy the same thrust. There is good inflation and its equity market is rising. The idea of "why fix what is not broken prevails.
Technicals:
A sustained trend from March 2020 continues to be in play. Any pullback has been an opportunity to take a sell position.
Currently, another pullback seems to be failing again.
MACD still bearish
RSI still bearish
EURNOK 4H 375pip SELL - For week starting 29.3.2021What's up please comment what I can do better.
I have spotted a smaller head and shoulders pattern (0vert last 8 days) forming on the a pull back of the EURNOK downtrend which began this time last year. The 1D trend line (orange) was recently broken up and then back down, the most recent wick up failed on the 25th and lost momentum suggesting a considerable number of swing buyers have left the market, allowing the selling pressure to increase. The 100ma is in our favour as well as the TDI indicator which is turning bearish overall.
We're looking for solid confirmation of the neckline and the 100ma being broken (especially whichever comes last) before we enter this as price could simply be ranging irregularly and catch us out. Be careful entering this on Monday as there's more fakeouts at market open. If you get in this trade around the entry shown on my screen, I would set: TP1: 50pip TP2: 90pip at fib level 1.000 meeting the yearly low and TP3 at 375pip @ fib level 1.618. We're likely going to see a rejection of fib level 1.000 so make sure you break even at tp1. SL at 40-60pip.
If we hit TP2 definitely keep a runner as we're on a downtrend and want to see monthly and yearly lows broken.
Be careful my slimes
Vince / Vmoney
EURNOK for recent lows? 🦐EURNOK is now testing a daily support over an ascending trendline.
According to plancton's strategy, if the market will break below, we can set a nice short order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.