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EURNZD trade ideas

EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis 🚀🔄 The chart illustrates a key technical setup on the EURNZD pair with both bullish and bearish possibilities depending on price action near critical zones. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completed 📉 A harmonic structure has formed and completed near the resistance zone (~1.9500), triggering a bearish move towards the target at 1.90688. Major Resistance Zone 🔺 Marked between 1.9450 - 1.9500, where previous price action showed strong rejection (highlighted by the red arrow). This remains the key zone to break for further upside. Support & Breakout Zone 🟦 The price bounced off the support zone around 1.9068 - 1.9100, aligning with trendline support and a previous structure level. This zone also aligns with the target of the bearish harmonic move. Trendline Retest & Bullish Continuation Possibility 🔼 The price broke above the bearish leg and is now consolidating. If price closes above 1.9350-1.9400, a potential breakout toward the 1.9500 resistance zone is expected (blue arrow). 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and hold above 1.9400 Target: 1.9500 Resistance Zone Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with volume above current range ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at current level (near 1.9350-1.9400) Target: 1.9068, the harmonic completion target and support zone Confirmation: Bearish engulfing/rejection candle with trendline break 📌 Conclusion: EURNZD is at a crucial decision point. Watch closely for a breakout above or rejection from the current price range to determine whether the pair will retest highs or complete the bearish target move.
by MrStellanSight
7
EURNZDEU10Y= 2.602% EUR INTEREST RATE after governing council decision 25basis point on deposit facility 2% main refinancing operation 2.15% and marginal lending facility 2.40% NZ10Y=4.56% NZD INTEREST RATE =3.25%The current Official Cash Rate (OCR) in New Zealand is 3.25%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) last updated this rate on May 28, 2025, with the next update scheduled for July 9, 2025.. The OCR is the main tool used by the RBNZ to manage inflation and maintain price stability. A higher OCR generally leads to higher interest rates across the economy, which can help to cool down inflation. Conversely, a lower OCR can stimulate economic activity by lowering interest rates. What is the OCR? official cash rate is used to achieve and maintain price stability. New Zealand's central bank is called Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL =1.96% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=1.25% CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE= FAVOUR EURNZD sell , but the internal demand structure break of supply roof shows that buying will continue despite yield and interest rate differential in favor of NZD The technicality of sell will be on the confluence on ascending trendline supply roof . UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL DATA REPORT. New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Review Date: July 9, 2025 Consensus: RBNZ is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate at 3.25%. Most major banks and economists forecast no change, though a minority expect a 25 basis point cut. Markets anticipate only one more cut this year, likely in Q3. Q2 2025 Inflation Data Date: July 21, 2025 Significance: This release will be closely watched for signs of persistent or easing price pressures, which could influence future RBNZ policy decisions. Labor Market Data Next Release: Early August 2025 (Q2 data) Recent Trend: Unemployment rate stable at 5.1% in Q1, with employment growth of 0.1%. Eurozone ECB Policy Announcements Next Meeting: July 18, 2025 Focus: Markets are watching for signals on the pace of further rate cuts, with the ECB expected to continue a gradual easing cycle as inflation moderates. Eurozone Inflation (CPI) Next Flash Estimate: July 17, 2025 Recent Data: June inflation at 2.0% year-on-year, in line with expectations. Eurozone GDP and Employment Next Release: July 30, 2025 (Q2 preliminary) Recent Data: Q1 GDP growth at 0.6% quarter-on-quarter; employment up 0.2%. Other Events to Watch Commodity Prices: Dairy auction results and global commodity trends can impact NZD. Chinese Economic Data: As a major trading partner, Chinese data releases (trade, GDP) can influence NZD and thus EURNZD. Summary Table: Major Upcoming Data Date Event/Release Region Expected Impact on EURNZD July 9, 2025 RBNZ Policy Decision New Zealand High (rate hold/cut) July 17, 2025 Eurozone Flash CPI Eurozone Moderate (inflation, ECB outlook) July 18, 2025 ECB Policy Meeting Eurozone High (rate guidance) July 21, 2025 NZ Q2 Inflation New Zealand High (future RBNZ moves) July 30, 2025 Eurozone Q2 GDP/Employment Eurozone Moderate Early Aug NZ Q2 Labor Market New Zealand Moderate Market Outlook EURNZD is sensitive to central bank policy divergence, inflation trends, and labor market data from both regions. RBNZ’s July 9 decision and Q2 inflation will be pivotal for NZD direction, while ECB’s July meeting and Eurozone inflation will shape EUR moves. Traders should also monitor commodity prices and Chinese economic releases for additional NZD volatility triggers. In summary: The next two weeks feature several high-impact events for EURNZD, led by the RBNZ policy review (July 9), Eurozone inflation and ECB meeting (July 17–18), and New Zealand’s Q2 inflation (July 21). These releases will set the tone for the cross, with policy signals and inflation data likely to drive volatility. #eurnzd
by Shavyfxhub
3
Potential bullish rise?EUR/NZD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.92267 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.91362 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.94477 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
War shock moves EURNZD: breakout targets 196.69The US strike on Iran hit risk currencies hard. NZD, AUD, and JPY dropped, while EURNZD broke out of a rectangle pattern. We analyse the setup, target at 196.69, and possible entry zones. Would you trade this in wartime volatility? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
The Trap Has Been Set. Will Price Take the Bait?EURNZD just broke structure on the 4H chart and is now pulling back into a zone where things could get interesting. After the initial drop, price is retracing into an area filled with imbalance and liquidity. This looks like a setup where the market may lure in buyers before making its next move lower. If sellers step in where expected, we could see a clean continuation to the downside. As long as price remains beneath that reaction zone, the bearish narrative stays intact. One to keep an eye on in the coming sessions. Just a word of caution : Always wait for a clear change of character on the 15-minute timeframe before considering any entry. If that confirmation doesn’t show up, price can easily break through the zone and continue climbing.
Short
by J4mesWick
1
EUR/NZD Daily AnalysisAs we can see, price was printing lower highs from mid April this year, and at the same time, was getting squeezed into the 1.8850 level. With the buyers defending 1.8850 successfully, it was just a matter of time before either resistance or support was breached. In June we saw a break to the upside and the trendline tested for several days before buyers took price higher than it's been in over a month. If you agree with this analysis, look for buys setups that meet your strategy rules.
by FusionMarkets
1
EURNZD – Buy the Dip at Trendline and EMA SupportTrade Idea Type: Buy Limit Entry: 1.9367 Target: 1.9549 Stop Loss: 1.9306 Duration: Intraday Expires: 04/07/2025 06:00 Technical Overview The short-term bias remains positive, with intraday dips consistently attracting buyers. Price action suggests that the sequence of higher lows and higher highs is still intact, with no clear sign of trend exhaustion. Trendline support at 1.9330 and the 20-period 4H EMA at 1.9366 align near the proposed entry, strengthening the support zone. A rebound from this area could confirm continuation toward resistance at 1.9549. No major economic events are expected in the next 24 hours, allowing technical factors to dominate intraday price action. Key Technical Levels Support: 1.9360 / 1.9327 / 1.9262 Resistance: 1.9438 / 1.9488 / 1.9550 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Signal_Centre1