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EURNZD trade ideas

EURNZD Is Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
5
EURNZDEU10Y= 2.602% EUR INTEREST RATE after governing council decision 25basis point on deposit facility 2% main refinancing operation 2.15% and marginal lending facility 2.40% NZ10Y=4.56% NZD INTEREST RATE =3.25%The current Official Cash Rate (OCR) in New Zealand is 3.25%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) last updated this rate on May 28, 2025, with the next update scheduled for July 9, 2025.. The OCR is the main tool used by the RBNZ to manage inflation and maintain price stability. A higher OCR generally leads to higher interest rates across the economy, which can help to cool down inflation. Conversely, a lower OCR can stimulate economic activity by lowering interest rates. What is the OCR? official cash rate is used to achieve and maintain price stability. New Zealand's central bank is called Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL =1.96% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=1.25% CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE= FAVOUR EURNZD sell , but the internal demand structure break of supply roof shows that buying will continue despite yield and interest rate differential in favor of NZD The technicality of sell will be on the confluence on ascending trendline supply roof . UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL DATA REPORT. New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Review Date: July 9, 2025 Consensus: RBNZ is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate at 3.25%. Most major banks and economists forecast no change, though a minority expect a 25 basis point cut. Markets anticipate only one more cut this year, likely in Q3. Q2 2025 Inflation Data Date: July 21, 2025 Significance: This release will be closely watched for signs of persistent or easing price pressures, which could influence future RBNZ policy decisions. Labor Market Data Next Release: Early August 2025 (Q2 data) Recent Trend: Unemployment rate stable at 5.1% in Q1, with employment growth of 0.1%. Eurozone ECB Policy Announcements Next Meeting: July 18, 2025 Focus: Markets are watching for signals on the pace of further rate cuts, with the ECB expected to continue a gradual easing cycle as inflation moderates. Eurozone Inflation (CPI) Next Flash Estimate: July 17, 2025 Recent Data: June inflation at 2.0% year-on-year, in line with expectations. Eurozone GDP and Employment Next Release: July 30, 2025 (Q2 preliminary) Recent Data: Q1 GDP growth at 0.6% quarter-on-quarter; employment up 0.2%. Other Events to Watch Commodity Prices: Dairy auction results and global commodity trends can impact NZD. Chinese Economic Data: As a major trading partner, Chinese data releases (trade, GDP) can influence NZD and thus EURNZD. Summary Table: Major Upcoming Data Date Event/Release Region Expected Impact on EURNZD July 9, 2025 RBNZ Policy Decision New Zealand High (rate hold/cut) July 17, 2025 Eurozone Flash CPI Eurozone Moderate (inflation, ECB outlook) July 18, 2025 ECB Policy Meeting Eurozone High (rate guidance) July 21, 2025 NZ Q2 Inflation New Zealand High (future RBNZ moves) July 30, 2025 Eurozone Q2 GDP/Employment Eurozone Moderate Early Aug NZ Q2 Labor Market New Zealand Moderate Market Outlook EURNZD is sensitive to central bank policy divergence, inflation trends, and labor market data from both regions. RBNZ’s July 9 decision and Q2 inflation will be pivotal for NZD direction, while ECB’s July meeting and Eurozone inflation will shape EUR moves. Traders should also monitor commodity prices and Chinese economic releases for additional NZD volatility triggers. In summary: The next two weeks feature several high-impact events for EURNZD, led by the RBNZ policy review (July 9), Eurozone inflation and ECB meeting (July 17–18), and New Zealand’s Q2 inflation (July 21). These releases will set the tone for the cross, with policy signals and inflation data likely to drive volatility. #eurnzd
by Shavyfxhub
3
EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact. 🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
9
EURNZD – Bearish Reversal Expected from Channel Top ResistanceEURNZD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the 2H chart and printed a rejection wick, suggesting exhaustion and potential for a pullback. The pair is likely to retrace toward the channel midline or base, with downside targets near 1.9423 and 1.9264, assuming confirmation follows. 🧠 Fundamentals: EUR Drivers: ECB remains cautious with weak Eurozone inflation and rising recession risks. Recent German and Eurozone data (retail sales, factory orders) disappointed. Political instability in France and ECB’s dovish tone are capping upside momentum in the euro. NZD Drivers: RBNZ remains one of the more hawkish central banks, reiterating restrictive stance despite slowing inflation. Dairy auctions improved recently, adding strength to NZD fundamentals. China exposure is a double-edged sword — optimism helps, but slowdown risk remains. 🔍 Technical Structure: Clear ascending channel from mid-June remains intact. Price rejected perfectly at the upper trendline near 1.9585. Strong bearish divergence may form if rejection persists. Bearish scenario targets the 1.9423 zone first (support + midline), then 1.9264 (bottom of channel). Invalid if price breaks and closes above 1.9600 on strong volume. ⚠️ Risk Factors: A sudden euro bid from safe-haven demand or ECB surprise could break the channel. NZD weakness could emerge if China disappoints or RBNZ shifts tone unexpectedly. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: EURNZD often lags risk-sensitive NZD pairs (like NZDJPY, NZDCAD), especially during Asia session moves. However, during European hours, EUR’s tone can dominate due to ECB speeches or EU data. ✅ Trade Bias: Bearish TP1: 1.9423 TP2: 1.9264 SL: Above 1.9600 Event to Watch: ECB speakers this week China CPI/PPI (affects NZD) US CPI (indirect cross-pressure on both currencies) 📌 Look for bearish confirmation on the 2H/4H candle close below 1.9540. Risk-reward favors a tactical short if the channel structure holds.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰 🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟 "The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!" 🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA): EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance! 🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!) 🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves): "Swipe the loot on pullbacks!" Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs. Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps! 🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan) 📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!) 💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!) 🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!) ⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead! Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk! News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility. Trailing SL = Your getaway car! 📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment. Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 Like & Share to strengthen our crew! More alerts = More profits! 🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
Long
by Thief_Trader
Potential bullish rise?EUR/NZD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.92267 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.91362 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.94477 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis 🚀🔄 The chart illustrates a key technical setup on the EURNZD pair with both bullish and bearish possibilities depending on price action near critical zones. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completed 📉 A harmonic structure has formed and completed near the resistance zone (~1.9500), triggering a bearish move towards the target at 1.90688. Major Resistance Zone 🔺 Marked between 1.9450 - 1.9500, where previous price action showed strong rejection (highlighted by the red arrow). This remains the key zone to break for further upside. Support & Breakout Zone 🟦 The price bounced off the support zone around 1.9068 - 1.9100, aligning with trendline support and a previous structure level. This zone also aligns with the target of the bearish harmonic move. Trendline Retest & Bullish Continuation Possibility 🔼 The price broke above the bearish leg and is now consolidating. If price closes above 1.9350-1.9400, a potential breakout toward the 1.9500 resistance zone is expected (blue arrow). 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and hold above 1.9400 Target: 1.9500 Resistance Zone Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with volume above current range ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at current level (near 1.9350-1.9400) Target: 1.9068, the harmonic completion target and support zone Confirmation: Bearish engulfing/rejection candle with trendline break 📌 Conclusion: EURNZD is at a crucial decision point. Watch closely for a breakout above or rejection from the current price range to determine whether the pair will retest highs or complete the bearish target move.
by MrStellanSight
7
The Trap Has Been Set. Will Price Take the Bait?EURNZD just broke structure on the 4H chart and is now pulling back into a zone where things could get interesting. After the initial drop, price is retracing into an area filled with imbalance and liquidity. This looks like a setup where the market may lure in buyers before making its next move lower. If sellers step in where expected, we could see a clean continuation to the downside. As long as price remains beneath that reaction zone, the bearish narrative stays intact. One to keep an eye on in the coming sessions. Just a word of caution : Always wait for a clear change of character on the 15-minute timeframe before considering any entry. If that confirmation doesn’t show up, price can easily break through the zone and continue climbing.
Short
by J4mesWick
1