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Euro / New Zealand Dollar

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EURNZD trade ideas

EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis 🚀🔄 The chart illustrates a key technical setup on the EURNZD pair with both bullish and bearish possibilities depending on price action near critical zones. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completed 📉 A harmonic structure has formed and completed near the resistance zone (~1.9500), triggering a bearish move towards the target at 1.90688. Major Resistance Zone 🔺 Marked between 1.9450 - 1.9500, where previous price action showed strong rejection (highlighted by the red arrow). This remains the key zone to break for further upside. Support & Breakout Zone 🟦 The price bounced off the support zone around 1.9068 - 1.9100, aligning with trendline support and a previous structure level. This zone also aligns with the target of the bearish harmonic move. Trendline Retest & Bullish Continuation Possibility 🔼 The price broke above the bearish leg and is now consolidating. If price closes above 1.9350-1.9400, a potential breakout toward the 1.9500 resistance zone is expected (blue arrow). 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and hold above 1.9400 Target: 1.9500 Resistance Zone Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with volume above current range ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at current level (near 1.9350-1.9400) Target: 1.9068, the harmonic completion target and support zone Confirmation: Bearish engulfing/rejection candle with trendline break 📌 Conclusion: EURNZD is at a crucial decision point. Watch closely for a breakout above or rejection from the current price range to determine whether the pair will retest highs or complete the bearish target move.
by MrStellanSight
7
EUR/NZD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Conviction LongMacro Thesis: EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models. 🔍 Key Drivers: 1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO): The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while the ECB remains cautious but not overly dovish. In contrast, New Zealand is showing consistent deflationary pressure – inflation data is softening, M2 growth is stagnant, and real activity (PMI, Retail Sales, NFP) continues to cool. This creates a clean fundamental divergence in favor of the euro. 2. COT Positioning: There is no excessive long build-up on the EUR side, and NZD remains weak across institutional positioning metrics. This opens the door for further upside without the risk of crowded positioning. 3. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes): Z-Score data highlights NZD as sitting at an extreme negative reading (Z_Long < –1.7), suggesting it is fundamentally oversold and under institutional pressure. EUR, by contrast, is neutral. This imbalance further validates the long EUR/NZD setup, particularly from a flow and momentum continuation standpoint. 4. EXO Models (Score, RR_w, Interest Rate Bias): The pair scores well in weekly RR analysis, supported by strong ENDO/EXO bias convergence. NZD continues to lose monetary support (dovish IR & Overnight trends), while EUR stays relatively neutral. From a structural model perspective, the bias is clearly long. 5. Sentiment Environment: The global risk-on tone continues, but it’s paired with relative softness in commodity currencies like NZD. That dynamic adds additional fuel to the long side of EUR/NZD, especially while EUR remains resilient and stable. ✅ Summary & Trading Plan: Bias: Long EUR/NZD Conviction Level: High (9/10 – multi-layer confirmation) Holding Horizon: 1–3 weeks Invalidation: Exit on reversal of NZD macro tone or shift to risk-off globally Why This Pair? EUR/NZD offers one of the clearest expressions of fundamental divergence in the current macro environment. You have stable inflation and steady growth in Europe versus a weakening macro pulse in New Zealand. There are no major positioning risks, sentiment supports the setup, and structurally the pair aligns with the broader market tone. Clean macro. Clean structure. No crosswinds.
Long
by Idealadvantage
EUR/NZD Robbery Blueprint – Targeting Pink Zone Profits💰EUR/NZD Robbery Setup: The Bullish Breakout Blueprint for Euro vs Kiwi Heist! 🚨📈 (Targeting High-Risk Zones With Dynamic Entry & Exit Tactics – Long Setup Explained) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Pirates & Chart Bandits, 🏴‍☠️💸📊 Ready to rob the Kiwi vaults with precision? Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Strategy🔥 (technical + fundamental), here’s the grand blueprint for the EUR/NZD Long Heist. We’ve scoped the market, sniffed out consolidation traps, and locked eyes on that Pink Zone of high-risk, high-reward. The bulls are regrouping. This is our moment. 📍 🎯 ENTRY PLAN – “The Breakout Is The Lock Pick” 📈 Strike Price: 1.93900 Wait for a clean candle close above the Major Dynamic Resistance (MA level). Once breached, place buy stop orders above the MA line — entry must align with breakout rules. 🔁 Optional: For early robbers, place buy limits on the nearest swing low within the 15M or 30M timeframe (confirmation from wick rejections). 📌 Set alerts (📳) at breakout zones. Stay sharp. Opportunity doesn't knock—it smashes doors. 🛑 STOP LOSS – “Protection Is Power” Set your SL near the previous swing High/Low wick (4H chart zone), aligning it with your personal lot size, risk %, and number of trades. 📍“SL is your vault lock. Set it smart, not soft. You’re not gambling — you’re robbing with logic.” 🔥 Reminder: No premature SL on pending orders—wait for breakout validation. 🧨 TARGET – “Escape Plan” 🎯 Profit Target: 1.97500 Or dip out early if resistance alarms start ringing. 🏃‍♂️💨 ⚖️ OVERVIEW – “The Scoreboard” The EUR/NZD is currently in a neutral chop, but multiple trend reversal signs are emerging. 🔥 Oversold zones, squeeze structure, and a potential bull charge all support this heist-worthy long setup. 📚 BONUS INTEL Unlock the deeper story: 🧠 Sentiment Analysis 💼 COT Report Data 🌍 Macro Insights 🔍 Intermarket Correlations 📊 Quant Metrics 👉 Followw the 🔗 in the idea for more details and thief-style scoring! 🚨 NEWS ALERTS & POSITION MANAGEMENT 🗞 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Use trailing SL to protect and lock in gains as the plan moves. Stay adaptive — markets shift fast. 💥 FINAL WORD – “Boost The Gang, Fuel The Plan” If this heist plan fuels your trading journey, smash the Boost button 💥💖 Help more traders rob the market, not each other. We operate clean, with precision and thief-style logic. Let’s get this bag. 💰💼🎉 🧠 Stay tuned for the next operation. Till then — rob smart, rob safe. 🐱‍👤🤑📈
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 EUR/NZD – 28 June 2025 TRADE PLAN 🔥 📋 Plan Overview Parameter Details Type Intra-Day Direction Long Status Pending (Awaiting zone tap + confirmation) R:R 1:3+ Confidence High (85%) 📈 Market Bias EUR/NZD remains in a bullish structure on H4/D1, consolidating after the breakout above 1.9300 zone. We are looking at a continuation play from a refined M15-H1 demand zone after a minor retrace. 🔰 Confidence Factors ✅ HTF confluence: D1 + H4 bullish structure ✅ M15 OB + H1 BOS ✅ Clear volume alignment — recent breakout supported by high volume ✅ No macro/fundamental contradictions 📍 Entry Zone(s) 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.9315 – 1.9290 (H1 OB + M15 refinement + volume base + inducement layer) ❗ Stop Loss Reasoning SL: 1.9255 Placed well below the OB + liquidity sweep low, outside minor wicks, beyond noise zone. 🎯 Take Profit Targets 🥇 TP1: 1.9365 (minor H1 structure high, ~50 pips / ~1.5R) 🥈 TP2: 1.9400 (HTF resistance, ~90 pips / ~3R) 🥉 TP3: 1.9450 (extended runner, swing high test) 🧠 Management Logic Risk 1% of account on this setup Take 33% at TP1 → move SL to breakeven Take 33% at TP2 → trail remainder on H1 fractals Exit all if H1 BOS down confirmed ⚠️ Entry Confirmation Conditions M15 bullish engulfing or BOS in zone NY or London session volume spike Preferable: SMT divergence with correlated pairs ⏳ Trade Validity Window H1 setup = 12-24 hours ❌ Invalidation Clean close below 1.9260 on H1 HTF shift bearish (D1 rejection candle, H4 BOS down) 🌐 Macro Snapshot EUR relatively supported by broader risk tone NZD quiet macro tone, no key news Cross: EUR/USD holding above supports Sentiment score: +7/10 (risk-on bias, no major headwinds) ✅ Summary 👉 Entry Zone: 1.9315–1.9290 👉 SL: 1.9255 👉 TP1: 1.9365 👉 TP2: 1.9400 👉 TP3: 1.9450 👉 Risk: ~30-50 pips 👉 Reward (TP2): ~90+ pips → R:R = 1:3+ Status: Pending zone tap + confirmation
Long
by jibkhan111
EURNZDEURNZD is maintaining a strong bullish structure, supported by a clean ascending trendline and the 200 EMA, both acting as dynamic support. Price recently pulled back into a key demand zone, which also aligns with trendline support and the EMA — creating a confluence area. As long as this zone holds, we can expect bullish continuation toward the previous swing highs, potentially targeting the 1.9450+ area. A strong rejection from the current level could confirm a fresh impulsive wave upward
by Trader1mran
EUR/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.915 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy! Hello,Traders! EUR-NZD is trading in a Strong uptrend and the pair Is printing higher highs and Higher lows while breaking Important key levels such As 1.9270 which is now A support and the pair Is consolidating above the New support so we are Bullish biased and we will Be expecting a further move Further up on Monday Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
EuroNewzealand dollar.. a possible sell to Buy structure Price is still bullish from 4hr structure leg.. but I'll love to see a sell reaction come next week and here is why From 4hr Timeframe, price has taken out the inducement and is respecting the structure demand level, but 1hr seems to 15min TF seems to be telling that price has invalidated a major bullish leg and will likely go the extreme of the structural leg before continuing the bullish trend Whatever the price give come next week I'll react accordingly #SMC concept
Long
by abiodunfestus500