AA – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📈🟢
🔹 Asset: Alcoa Corporation (AA – NYSE)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout + Retest
📊 Trade Plan – Long Position
✅ Entry Zone: $23.72 (Breakout + Retest)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $22.15 (Below support + structure low)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $25.72 – Mid-range resistance
📌 TP2: $28.24 – Major supply zone
📐 Risk-Reward Calculation
🟥 Risk: $1.57/share
🟩 Reward to TP2: $4.52/share
📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.88 – Great swing potential
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Wedge breakout with bullish momentum ✔
📌 Perfect retest near confluence zone ✔
📌 Volume spike confirms breakout intent ✔
📌 Trendline flip as dynamic support 🔄
📉 Risk Management Strategy
🔁 Move SL to breakeven after TP1
💰 Book 50% gains at TP1
🚀 Let runners target TP2
⚠️ Setup Invalidation If:
❌ Price breaks and closes below $22.15
❌ Fakeout trap with volume divergence
❌ Weak continuation on breakout
🚨 Final Thoughts
✔ Momentum-backed breakout play
✔ Ideal for swing traders with tight risk
✔ Clean structure, clear zones — classic ProfittoPath setup
🔗 #AlcoaTrade #BreakoutSetup #ProfittoPath #SmartMoney #SwingTrading #NYSE #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup #RiskReward #BullishReversal
4AA trade ideas
Potential Downtrend in AlcoaAlcoa has bounced this month, but some traders could think it’s due for a pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower lows and lower highs since December. The aluminum company has climbed to the top of that falling channel, which may create potential resistance.
Second, prices stalled at the falling 50-day moving average (SMA) in February and seem to be peaking at the same SMA this month.
Speaking of the 50-day SMA, it recently had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA.
Next, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.
Finally, the 52-week low is near $27 and last year’s low is under $25. Combined with the falling channel, those levels may provide space for potential moves to the downside.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
ALCOA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 32/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Alcoa Wave Analysis – 3 March 2025
- Alcoa broke key support level 33.35
- Likely to fall to support level 30.00
Alcoa recently broke the key support level 33.35, which stopped the previous wave b of the active ABC correction 2 from the end of November – as can be seen from the daily Alcoa chart below.
The breakout of the support level 33.35 accelerated the active short-term impulse wave c from the start of February.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Alcoa can be expected to fall to the next round support level 30.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave c).
Bearish on short term AAI know everyone is bullish on aluminum, but I’m bearish and targeting around $25. Why?
Because the price couldn't break the monthly range (Monthly EQHs) and hasn't yet reached the discount of the latest bullish monthly leg. Ergo, I’m waiting for the price to retrace back to the discount before it moves higher again
The price swept the previous STH, then closed back into the range and below the CE of the monthly IFVG.
I’d like to see a move lower to collect LRLR, then retrace back to the discount and the monthly BKR.
AA eyes on $40: about to Break-Out or Lower High?AA has been climbing over the last month.
Currently testing a major resistasnce zone.
Look for Break-n-Retest or Triple-Rejection.
$ 39.81 - 40.27 is the exact zone of interest.
$ 41.63 - 41.97 is the next resistance above.
$ 36.09 - 36.57 is a Must-Hold support below.
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ALCOA - A Technical Breakdown A technical breakdown of Alcoa looking at 3 different setups all completing in the same zone.
SETUP 1 - A Fibonacci inversion trade where price is expected to terminate after it's most recent pullback
SETIP 2 - A bullish Cypher pattern which is an Advanced pattern formation that forms after a period of indecision.
SETUP 3 0 A potential bullish Gartley which is a harmonic pattern which complete within our previous structure killzone.
Questions, comments & ideas, please leave them below.
I wish you guys a great end to your trading week and a great weekend as well.
Akil
A A =Alright Amigo, Lets go to move up!Greenbar sits on the breakout position with 11 months of consolidation
5/10/20/60 are lining below over200MA
MACD splits with 2nd Greenbar + strong signal
over the oblique resistance
expect earning to be good in near future
Market Cap about 6B
More investors are joining the group
1st Target : $48
2nd Target : $58
Alcoa Could Be Fighting HigherAlcoa has fought higher since October, and some traders may expect further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the December 27 high of $35.03. The aluminum company rallied above that level in early April and retested it in mid-April. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, AA is nearing its previous 52-week high of $38.20. Chart watchers could pay attention to that level for signs of a breakout.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA since early last month. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in early April. That may suggest the longer-term trend is getting more bullish.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
ALCOA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022124Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 27/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AA - Cyclical Nature calls for Cycle Lows in MarchReviewing a longer term chart of Alcoa, it's hard to miss the cyclical nature of this stock. Regularly hitting cycle lows in March each two years. Stochastics still falling and a closer analysis indicates that there will be one more leg down. However, now is the time to put this one on your radar.
I have already taken a position but had sold January calls to generate some income while I am waiting for this to bottom. Think that with inflation not backing down, this one is going to be a big winner for the next two years. Notice that the tops are pretty regular as well.
Alcoa - Friday's Test of Low = Buying OpportunityThe first impulse move off the low illustrates a possible 5 wave impulse structure. Assuming we are in wave 4, a fifth wave, most likely exceeding the high of wave 3 can push AA to 35-36 over the very short term. Watching to see if the closing low of three weeks ago holds. This has often been a trigger for my trades.
AA Alcoa Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AA before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AA Alcoa Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.13.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.