Apple losing $3Trillion clubNASDAQ:AAPL lost a fair amount of market share this week.
Coming under pressure from comments by Trump and tarrif news.
Apple seems to be a target for the president despite him answering a call on live TV today using an Iphone...kinda ironic.
Apple could easily chop in this 9% range before it makes a definitive move.
I lean more bullish since we're testing the lows of the trade range.
If Apple holds here it could be forming a right shoulder for a very bul,ish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
4AAPL trade ideas
AAPL Mid term supportApple (AAPL) remains a strong player in the market, but whether it's a "buy" depends on various factors. Analysts have noted that Apple continues to generate impressive revenue, but its growth rate has slowed compared to competitors. The company is investing heavily in artificial intelligence and has maintained a strong dividend history1. Some experts believe Apple is fairly valued at around $200 per share, with potential risks related to tariffs.
If you're considering investing, it might be worth reviewing Apple's latest earnings, growth strategy, and broader market conditions. You can check out more details here and here. Let me know if you want a deeper dive into any specific aspect!
AAPL. LONG@193. SHORT@200. LONG@184. SHORT@206. May 23 2025. Overview -
Trump has announced that AAPL needs to pay 25% to the US for manufacturing the iPhone in India and not in the US.
The stock is currently trading at 194.32
IF-THEN STATEMENTS (INTRADAY PLAN) -
1. If the 193 level is held - we go long till 195-197.
2. If the price fakes out high to 195-197 - we wait for a sell confirmation (e.g. buyers being absorbed or selling pressure) and we go short.
3. If the 193-195 level is consolidating but with high selling aggression - we go short till 184 area.
4. If the 193 level doesn't hold at all - we wait for a second attempt and get an entry off of the VWAP, if possible. We stay bearish for the entire day (with 184 being out next potential pivot).
$AAPL 4-Hour Chart Breakdown – Pullback in Play?Apple’s recent surge may be stalling. On the 4H chart (shown), the candles are beginning to reject resistance and rolling over from the highs around $213. I believe we are entering a short-term downward phase, with price likely to revisit the $205 area before any meaningful bounce.
MACD has just turned positive on the daily — but the weak histogram suggests the move may lack conviction.
RSI is beginning to fade from its highs earlier this week — confirming momentum loss.
Watch for a move toward $205 as a potential retest of the previous breakout zone.
If buyers fail to defend that level, further downside could unfold. A confirmed bounce from that zone, however, could set up a great long opportunity. Let’s see how price behaves.
Thoughts? Drop yours below
Apple Inc (AAPL) 4-hour chart Trade IdeaSmart Money Concepts (SMC) — especially demand zones, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and market structure.
📊 1. Market Structure
The chart shows a shift toward bullish structure after a significant downtrend earlier.
Price formed a higher low inside a strong demand zone (highlighted in pink), suggesting potential trend reversal.
The recent bullish impulse suggests a possible break of structure (BOS) or change of character (CHoCH).
🟩 2. Demand Zone
A major demand zone is highlighted in pink (around $197–$201).
Price reacted strongly from this zone, where multiple buy orders were triggered:
Buy 100 @ 211.36
Buy 100 @ 211.35
Buy 100 @ 211.30
Buy 100 @ 211.32
This zone likely represents institutional interest or an area of accumulation by smart money.
📐 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Several FVGs (imbalances) are marked on the chart:
Bearish FVGs formed during previous sell-offs (marked in red).
A recent bullish FVG (marked in green) has just formed and partially filled, indicating momentum continuation.
These gaps act as potential support/resistance levels and often attract price action to rebalance inefficiencies.
🎯 4. Targets & Risk Management
Take-Profit (TP) target: $249.07
This level is a previous high and likely premium zone based on SMC theory — where smart money exits.
Stop-Loss (SL): $192.98
Below the demand zone — reasonable invalidation point if price breaks structure and goes lower.
⚖️ 5. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry around $211.30 – $211.36
SL around $192.98 → ~18 points risk
TP at $249.07 → ~38 points reward
Risk-to-Reward ≈ 2.1:1 → This is a favorable RRR setup.
🔍 Conclusion
Current Bias: Bullish
Entry Justification: Strong reaction from demand zone + buy orders aligned with FVG
Outlook: Price may aim to fill higher imbalance and reach the premium target zone (~$249), as long as it holds above the demand zone
Invalidation: A break below $192.98 would invalidate the bullish setup
An AAPL (quick) turnover trade - long at 196.25There's nothing particularly pretty about AAPL's 2025 chart. It's in a solid downtrend since the start of the year, losing 24%+ this year. However, a recent higher high and higher low since the April 8th low, and support from the April 21 pullback low close by gives me a little hope that a quick snapback is potentially in store. Potentially grabbing the upcoming dividend is just a bonus. 4 down days is typically a good contrarian indicator as well, though its run of 8 consecutive up days just prior to this tell me there may be more room to run lower.
But AAPL is AAPL and when someone comes up with a legit challenger to them, I'll worry about this trade. Until then, I'll yawn, be patient, and collect my profit eventually. If that's in 2 days, great. If it's in 2 months, not as great but I have literally never had AAPL not pay me and I don't expect this time will be any different.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
AAPL is currently in a sideway-bearish phase—no bullish breakout
📉 Daily Chart – No Confirmed Bull Trend Yet
On the daily chart, AAPL has not established a clear bullish trend.
Price remains below the Confirmation Trigger at 199, which means the bull structure is not validated yet.
Both AO and RSI are showing sideway movement, with no strong momentum to the upside.
🕓 4H Chart – Fails to Break Order Block
On the 4-hour chart, AAPL has made multiple attempts but failed to break through the order block resistance.
Current price structure indicates a bearish-sideway trend—selling pressure is present but not aggressive enough for a full breakdown.
🕒 15-Minute Chart – Bear Trend Clearly Forming
On the 15-minute timeframe, a clear bear trend is emerging:
AO shows a distribution phase.
RSI is below the midline, confirming seller dominance in the short term.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Major Support: 182
🔺 Strong Resistance: 199
✅ If AAPL holds above 182, this area could act as a foundation for a new upward leg in the daily trend.
❌ If price breaks below 182, AAPL may officially enter a full bearish trend on the daily timeframe.
✅ Summary (Updated):
AAPL is currently in a sideway-bearish phase—no bullish breakout confirmed.
The 182 level is critical:
Holding above keeps bullish potential alive.
Breaking below confirms a full bear trend on the daily timeframe.
📌 If price consolidates above 182, AAPL may be forming a new support base, potentially building at least two legs before attempting a bullish structure reset.
➤ Strategy: Stay cautious—only consider long positions after a confirmed breakout above 199 or evidence of solid support holding above 182.
AAPL – Long Trade Setup (Support-Based Reversal Opportunity)Apple (AAPL) is pulling back toward a key support zone between $197–$198, aligning with both previous structural support and potential demand zone behavior. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward profile for a swing long entry.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$197 – $198
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $210 – $215
🥈 $225 – $233
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $190
Apple 24hr potterboxI know apple is going to make all of that up and be a number one stock again. why wouldnt it be. The stock market goes up just not in a straight line. I use dollar cost method which you by every month or week with the same amount every month and just keep buying. It has worked very well for me , instead watchin this screen everyday I have set my acconts to buy every month . I do not use discord because of two many grown men acting like children. Its all fun and games until you miss a trade because someone wants to be funny. Happy trading.
“Shaky Support: AAPL’s Bearish Setup Unfolding” 1. Sharp Decline and Recovery (Late March to Early May)
There was a significant drop in price followed by a strong rebound, but that rebound stalled just under previous resistance levels (around late April), forming a short-term lower high.
2. Current Structure Looks Weak:
Price is now consolidating sideways with a slight downward drift after rejecting the $207–$210 area. This could be interpreted as a bearish flag/pennant breakdown after the failed rally.
3. Volume Spikes on Drops:
Noticeable volume increases on the selloffs — especially during the big dip — which hints at distribution rather than accumulation.
4. Short-Term Trend:
The current short-term trend is downward. The price is making lower highs and lower lows after the bounce, indicating possible continuation to the downside unless new buying pressure steps in.
AAPL Bearish Continuation Strategy (Short-Term Swing)
Bias: Bearish (based on lower highs, breakdown after failed rally, and weak consolidation)
ENTRY:
• Trigger: Enter put options or a short position if price breaks below the recent consolidation low (around $196–$197).
• Confirmation: Look for increased volume and a clean close below the $196 level on the 1h chart.
TARGETS:
1. First Target: $188 – minor support zone from early May.
2. Second Target: $180 – psychological and historical support area.
STOP LOSS:
• Placement: Tight stop just above the recent consolidation high — around $202.50–$203.
• Keeps risk controlled and invalidates breakdown setup.
OPTION STRATEGY (if using options):
• Put Option: 2–4 weeks out, ITM or slightly OTM strike ($200 or $195 puts).
• Spread Alternative: Bear Put Spread ($200/$190) to lower cost and define risk.
Why This Works:
• Price has rejected previous resistance near $207.
• Structure is showing a bear flag/pennant failure.
• Volume confirms sellers are active on the drops.
World's number 1 brand - AppleApple's iPhone 15 was the best-selling smartphone globally in 2024, according to Counterpoint Research's Global Handset Model Sales Tracker. Apple and Samsung continued to dominate the top 10 best-selling smartphones list, with no other brands making the list for the third consecutive year!
It has a very powerful stickability once a consumer started using it. From phone to laptop and cloud, it dominates while other brands try to play catch up. WB also mentioned that Apple shares is the largest holding in the Berkshire's Hathaway holdings, a staggering 60 billion investment. Mind you, he did not buy Apple during the IPO days else his returns would be even more !
The share price fell almost 35% from the peak and rebounded quickly when it hit the support level at 169.49. Now, at slightly below 200, I think Mr Market is offering opportunities for us to accumulate/long this company.
Once the tariff issues settled down, this stock will continue to rally. Meanwhile, we are seeing reducing sales in China, Apple moving part of its operation to India , etc. This are smokescreen and once must not let these temporary issues affect the decision in buying this great company.
Think again, if there is no short term negative news such as this, how else would the share price falls 35% for no apparent reasons? And if you are not smart/quick enough to go grab some, well........years down the road, you would see that Mr Market does give second chances to all - you just have to be alert to take a calculated risks and a longer time horizon to reap the rewards.
I am vested and thus my views are biased. You are free to disagree and as usual, please DYODD.
Apple Shares (AAPL) Drop Below $200Apple Shares (AAPL) Drop Below $200
Late last week, Apple released a quarterly report that beat analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.65, forecast = $1.63
→ Revenue: actual = $95.36bn, forecast = $94.5bn
However, today AAPL stock price is below the psychological $200 mark, over 7% lower than last week’s high (point E).
Why did AAPL shares fall?
According to media reports, investors were concerned about weaker-than-expected services revenue and disappointing sales in China. These factors have renewed fears that the ongoing US–China trade tensions could have a deeper impact on Apple going forward.
Bearish sentiment may also have been amplified by Warren Buffett’s decision to step down as head of Berkshire Hathaway — as we noted yesterday — since his company is one of Apple’s major shareholders.
Technical Analysis of Apple Shares (AAPL)
Key AAPL price action patterns (marked) show a sequence of lower highs and lows, forming the basis for a downward channel. Fibonacci ratios reinforce bearish characteristics in price movements:
→ The rise from B to C is approximately 50% of the decline from A to B
→ The rise from D to E is around 50% of the decline from A to D
This technical picture suggests a potential bear market, where rallies may be corrective rebounds following impulsive drops. This strengthens the scenario in which AAPL shares could continue falling within the established descending channel.
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Apple UpdateNot much to add to my Apple analysis. Price is behaving accordingly. As of now, price is in a spot where it needs to make a decision. Both patterns I am tracking suggest a continued move lower. The question is: will it fall to the turquoise box, implying that minor B is already complete? Or will it fall slightly lower to the grey target box competing minor B at that time.
Both patterns I am tracking point to the upper grey target box for intermediate wave (B) eventually. Intermediate (A) took just over 100 days to complete. If (B) is to follow suit, then we still have another 75 days or so until it completes. It doesn't have to take that long as no rules govern time duration. That's just an educated guess on the likely time frame we're looking at. It is for this reason I lean towards the white count. Hopefully we will find out or at least get more clues to the more immediate count this week.
APPLE Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 205.25
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 208.36
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why
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