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4AMD trade ideas

AMD Analysis: Navigating Historical Trends 2025.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices). Weekly Chart Analysis Looking at AMD's weekly chart, the stock has followed a historical long-term trendline since the 1970s. Over the years, there have been four major trendline breaks, each followed by substantial corrections: 87%, 75%, 93%, and 54% corrections from the trendline break points, with an average correction of approximately 77%. Importantly, these corrections are measured from the trendline break, not the stock's all-time high. Recently, AMD has broken below its long-term trendline again. This suggests we should be prepared for the possibility of a 77% correction from this point. Where Would a 77% Correction Lead? A 77% correction from the trendline break would bring AMD to approximately $35. The $35 Zone: Why It’s Significant The $35 level is particularly noteworthy because: It aligns with the green box zone, which acted as a resistance area before AMD’s breakout to all-time highs in 2018–2019. It coincides with a retest zone in the white box, where historical support was tested. It also matches historical resistance dating back to the 2000s, making it a logical retest zone. If AMD were to rebound, $35 would be a strong candidate for a turnaround point. Bearish Indicators Several factors point to a continued bearish trend: AMD appears to have completed a symmetrical triangle pattern with a downside breakout. It has broken below the August 5, 2024 weekly low, a key support level. The only remaining support is at $116.37, marked by the green box. If $116.37 breaks, and the pattern turns out to be a descending triangle, the target could exceed 85%, reaching levels even lower than $35. Currently, AMD is trading within the white box supply zone. A break below $116.37 opens the door to $93, the lower boundary of the white box. However, if AMD moves like it did in the red box supply zone in the past, we could see an expanded downward pattern. Historically, AMD has experienced declines of up to 67% from its highs, which supports the possibility of further downside. When to Buy? Based on AMD’s historical behavior: Optimal Buy Zone: If AMD drops approximately 70%, reaching $35, it could represent a long-term investment opportunity. This level aligns with key historical support zones and could serve as an excellent entry for investors looking to capitalize on AMD's growth potential. Conservative Buy Levels for Upside Momentum: First Entry: When AMD breaks above the weekly 20 EMA, currently at $140.35. This level is still far from the current price. Second Entry: Upon a breakout above the yellow box supply zone, which marks the upper boundary of the descending triangle pattern. While the pattern and resistance trendline are broken, overhead supply zones remain significant obstacles. Third Entry: If the purple box (Ichimoku Cloud) on the weekly chart provides support, this could also indicate a potential entry point. Conclusion AMD is a unique stock that may not be well-suited for gradual accumulation due to its high volatility and tendency for deep corrections. While it has been a market leader during bullish periods, the stock’s history shows frequent, severe pullbacks of 70% or more. This makes timing critical for successful trades. Bearish Outlook: The current trend is downward, and there’s potential for the stock to drop further, possibly to the $35 zone. Bullish Outlook: For buyers, $35 could represent a once-in-a-decade opportunity to accumulate shares if AMD’s long-term growth narrative remains intact. Alternatively, entering on clear breakout levels with a cautious approach is advised. Investors must remain patient and disciplined, waiting for either a deep correction or a confirmed trend reversal. Only then can AMD offer the high reward-to-risk opportunities it’s historically known for. Let’s stay sharp and trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Greedy_allday
2
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24 NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50 NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50 NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50 NASDAQ:AMD Trends: NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, advancedmicrodevices, amd, NASDAQ:AMD , chipstocks, microchips, microchipdevices, google, googledrive, googlechip, googlesupercomputer, smci, supermicro, nvda, nvidia, nasdaq, ndq, qqq, techstocks,
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TonyAiello
4
$AMD - things could be betterNASDAQ:AMD has been an absolute pain-trade for me. I committed the sin of not waiting for the bottom signal and not managing risks when the trade didn't work. But things might be looking a little better. Both MACD and RSI are turning up, signaling that we may have at least found the bottom and there's a possibility of a potential reversal. 👀 See support and targets in the chart. As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting that anyone follow my trades. You do you.
NASDAQ:AMD
by PaperBozz
AMD coiling to $148-160 range by post-earnings- NASDAQ:AMD is one of the beaten down names. It's not too cheap at the current valuation but it's growth for upcoming 2-3 years are promising which deserves a higher multiple. - 25%+ growth rate when revenue is in billions is a big deal unlike NASDAQ:PLTR which has high 20s % growth rate on a revenue of 250 mil a quarter. - Technical supports strong rebound to 148-160 range to test 200 SMA. Good setup for Q1 2025. - Downside risk is to 94-105 if it continues to meltdown.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bigbull037
AMD at BUY ZONES with EarningsAMD is at an Inflection Point. Upcoming Earnings and Company Forecasting will determine bearish continuation or rebound. Currently at my 1st buy zone at 200 EMA + is also at VWAP from 2021 High and 2022 low. Downside: with 17% downside to 2nd Strong Buy Zone around $95. - Technical Indicators: Oversold with Bullish Divergence on RSI, MACD, STOCH, -Timeline: concurrent with downtrend timescale from previous draw (over 300 days) ^$^ I have begun accumulation buying shares and selling puts. *I hope to see $95 and $75 with further accumulation and holding to sell at $160 (39% gain at current price) , $180 (56%) , $220 (91%) + keeping 25% shares for long term portfolio. -News: Downgrades "conservative PC and traditional server unit outlook—and modest growth for data center graphics processing unit (GPUs), possible exporting regulations & lower exposure to AI compared to competition. Positives: outsourced manufacturing model, as its tight relationship with industry leader Taiwan Semiconductor TSM enabled it to grab a technological lead when rival Intel INTC stumbled with its internal manufacturing road map. AMD’s data center business should boom over the next few years. Its server central processing units should be in high demand, as should its GPUs suited for AI workloads. All information opinions & analysis welcome- good trading
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Black_Sheep1
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) AnalysisCompany Overview: Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD is a global leader in high-performance computing, graphics, and AI solutions, catering to enterprise, gaming, and data center markets. The company's strategic focus on innovation, competitive pricing, and market expansion has solidified its position as a compelling alternative to larger industry players. Key Growth Catalysts Data Center Momentum: AMD’s EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs are gaining significant traction among enterprise and cloud customers. Increasing adoption of AMD’s products by major hyperscalers reflects its strong positioning in AI workloads and high-performance computing (HPC). AI Leadership Expansion: Recent acquisitions of Silo AI and ZT Systems bolster AMD's expertise in AI model development and HPC systems, addressing growing demand for scalable AI infrastructure. Partnerships with leading cloud providers like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud further strengthen its foothold in the AI and gaming-as-a-service markets. Gaming and Graphics: AMD’s Radeon GPUs and Ryzen CPUs remain highly competitive in the gaming sector, supported by robust demand for gaming consoles and PC components. Collaboration with console manufacturers like Sony (PlayStation) and Microsoft (Xbox) ensures consistent revenue streams. Innovation and Pricing: AMD’s focus on delivering price-performance leadership positions it as a viable competitor to industry giants like NVIDIA and Intel. Cutting-edge technologies like 3D chip stacking and advanced manufacturing nodes give AMD a technical edge. Financial and Market Outlook Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with Microsoft and Google provide long-term growth potential in cloud computing and AI services. Revenue Growth: AMD’s expansion into AI accelerators and HPC ensures consistent double-digit growth in revenue and profitability. Investment Thesis Bullish Case: We remain bullish on AMD above the $108.00-$110.00 range, supported by its strong product lineup, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships in key growth sectors like AI, cloud, and gaming. Upside Potential: Our price target is $225.00-$230.00, reflecting confidence in AMD’s ability to expand market share and sustain innovation-driven growth. 🚀 AMD—Leading the Next Wave of High-Performance Computing and AI Transformation. #AI #CloudComputing #Gaming #HPC
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
AMD Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought AMD on this strong buy rating: My price target for AMD in 2025 is $175, driven by the following fundamental factors: Robust Growth in Data Center and AI Segments: AMD is experiencing significant momentum in its data center business, particularly with its EPYC processors and AI accelerators. The company has raised its revenue outlook for its MI300 AI accelerators to over $5 billion for 2024, reflecting robust demand and an expanding market presence. Analysts project that AMD's earnings per share (EPS) will grow by approximately 55% in 2025, driven by increasing contributions from these high-margin segments. This growth trajectory positions AMD favorably to capture a larger share of the rapidly expanding AI and data center markets, which are projected to see substantial investments in the coming years. Competitive Positioning Against Rivals: AMD's strategic focus on providing cost-effective and high-performance solutions allows it to compete effectively against industry giants like NVIDIA. The launch of its MI325X accelerator, which offers competitive performance at lower price points compared to NVIDIA's offerings, is expected to attract hyperscale clients. This competitive edge is crucial as demand for AI processing power continues to surge across various industries. Strong Financial Health and Valuation: AMD's financial metrics indicate a solid foundation for growth. The company has demonstrated impressive gross margins, recently reported at around 52%, and is expected to see further margin expansion as it shifts towards higher-margin products. Currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 24x for fiscal 2025, AMD is considered undervalued compared to its peers, particularly given its projected earnings growth. Analysts have set an average price target of $182 for AMD by the end of 2025, suggesting significant upside potential from current levels. Strategic Acquisitions and Leadership: Under CEO Lisa Su's leadership, AMD has transformed into a powerhouse in the semiconductor industry. Recent strategic acquisitions, such as ZT Systems, enhance AMD's capabilities in providing comprehensive AI infrastructure solutions. This strategy not only expands AMD's product offerings but also strengthens its relationships with key clients in the cloud computing space.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TopgOptions