AVGO one of the few tech hardware stocks strongAVGO nice earnings beat and guidance. This is a AAPL supplier which might of added to AAPL relative strength Friday. The market sentiment indicators are overly pessimistic right now. That being the case AVGO likely a good continuation trade on market strength.
4AVGO trade ideas
GAP UP ON STRONG VOLUMNE + CLIMB ABOVE 50-DAY LINEToday Broadcom gapped up on more than double average daily volume as a result of reporting strong earnings. In the process, the stock climbed above its 50-day moving average line, an intermediate-term bullish signal.
According the the WSJ, this stock has an OVERWEIGHT consensus analyst rating and an average price target of $287.81, almost 24% higher than today's closing price.
THE WEEK AHEAD: AVGO EARNINGS; EWZ, GDX, XLooking at what's left of the trading week post-Labor Day ... .
AVGO (announcing earnings on Thursday after market close) is the only fairly liquid underlying that interests me for an earnings-related volatility contraction play (rank 57/30-day 37). The 63% probability of profit Sept 21st 200/205/235/240 iron condor pictured here is preliminarily going for 1.65 with a theta of 5.17 and a net delta of .67 with wide bid/ask showing in the off hours. Unfortunately, those 5-wides aren't available in the October monthly at the moment, so be mindful of the fact that you may experience difficulty or have to adjust on roll out if you have to since there aren't any 205's or 235's in the October yet.
EWZ is still in a state of high anxiety with a 52-week rank in the 90's and the 30-day above 40%. The 72% probability of profit October 19th 28/38 short strangle camped out around the 20 delta is still paying over a buck (1.28), which is nice in a sub-$35 underlying.
GDX (rank 44/30-day 26): Gold and silver have had the bejesus beaten out of them, so it's no surprise that the implied is relatively high here. Given the beat-down: October 19th 19 short straddle, 1.37 credit, 18.21 delta (bullish assumption). Alternatively, October 19th 19 short put (synthetic covered call), .87 credit, 59.74 delta.
Lastly: another underlying that's gotten a smack-down -- X (earnings announced 31 days ago). The October 19th 27/33 neutral assumption short strangle is paying 1.06, but I could also see going plain Jane 30-delta short put (bullish assumption) -- the October 19th 28's paying .83; going 70 delta synthetic covered call -- the October 19th 32's paying 2.94; or going skewed short straddle -- the 40 delta October 19th 32 short straddle's paying 3.67, with the strategy selected matching the strength of your assumption ... .
Short Strangle AVGOAs of Thursday 7/12, I've entered into a short strangle 185/230 @ Sep 21 expiration for a net credit of 8.24 in hopes of managing at 50% max profit. Strike selection was a bit on the aggressive side, but saw a double fibs on support and resistance levels outlined in the red and green rectangles, and think that realized volatility is likely to contract over the following 6-15 trading days from initial execution.
AVGO Elliott wave analysisI am new to this but I do see a pattern using Elliott wave on AVGO stock. If this is correct then the stock should be heading towards 186.
Wave 2 was small so as expected wave 4 was big. Wave 3 was exactly 1.618 of wave 1. Following ABC pattern wave C should end at 186. Also wave B had lower volume then wave A.
Please do comment if you think I am wrong as I would like to learn.
Thanks
AVGO: Sort opportunityAn intraday high potential, Back Tested Sort Analysis.
We ll try to enter into the correction of the uptrend movement tracking trend oscillators as below:
Price is likely to move within the parallel channel having the potential to break it down.
CCI triple top divergence breaking down the zero level.
Triple top resistance level.
A Breakaway gap at the end of a price pattern and signaling the beginning of the reversal.
We ll try to find an entry price within the expected pull back zone 257.90 - 260.60 as previously being back tested.
DETAILS ON THE CHART
NOTE: Entry range area above the entry point, is calculated upon 80% of the recorded pullback back tested past performances
DISCLAIMER: This is a technical analysis study, not an advice or recommendation to invest money on.
AVGO ShortAVGO, after forming a 4 month flat base last year, broke out on big volume . After reaching its peak around 285, it's been struggling for 2 months, coming back to the breakout level. Then it finally gave up and plunged through the breakout level on big volume . After coming back from the bottom of the previous base (on really low volume ), it tried to break out again, but failed on a huge volume , falling back to the same level, which acts as a neckline in the forming head & shoulders pattern. It had 2 attempts to break above the 200 day MA, both resulting in failure. It will probably consolidate between the neckline and the Moving Averages for a while, but when it breaks the Neckline, it is clearly going to be in a downtrend.
Silver Lake Green LightIts go time for long positions on AVGO! SilverLake Investments (global leader in tech investments) just purchased $85 million of open market shares.
The trend line says it all. AVGO is a money making machine. Not to mention AVGO is likely going to make another pass at QCOM now that its in the crossfire of the US-China trade war. If they aren't able to acquire QCOM they will buy another (smaller) company.
AVGO price target of $325
Broadcom - Price correctionFrom market analysis the price for this Stock - Broadcom - seems it has reached it highest point last December and now is in a correction phase, Elliot wave ABC. Today it has opened with a price GAP which in my analysis seems it is a continuation gap which occurs in the middle of the trend in this case: downtrend.
In my opinion go short and target would be in the are of previous low; 228.
*** This is not an investment advice ***