Disney and Avatar Let's wait to see how much the movie AVATAR collects, now that the studios are bought by Disney
4DIS trade ideas
Theta Machine > Closed All for Inflation #
I decided to close all my NAKED PUT trades instead of Hedging with $SPY, the reason to that is the move tomorrow can offset my HEDGE if goes against me, even with Beta Weight Portfolio.
So in this case I will reestablish all positions once we are over with the uncertainty, and that's until FOMC (Wednesday 2:00pm).
Disney long4hr momentum has confirmed push to the upside. Entry and target levels are shown on the chart
DIS New Trade > Naked Put
New Trade $DIS
Naked Put
Strike $75
Premium $0.43 x 3 contract = $129.00
Adding to the previous contracts at the same Strike 75 for a total credit of $563.00
DIS 1W BUY STOPWe see the conditions for an upside move due to good fundamental observations and cheap stock prices
DIS AnalysisPrice is playing out as analyzed last week. Price bounced off the fair value gap at 96.32 and right now, it seems that price will be heading towards the bearish POI at 108.84.
DIS, 10d+/15.12%rising cycle 15.12% more than 10 days
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
Descending TriangleEarnings are after market close.
It does not look like analysts are expecting a lot but you never know.
Neutral pattern until broken.
Wide channel down with a horizontal support line at the bottom of the triangle.
No recommendation.
Upcoming Quarter's Earnings
Announce Date
11/8/2022 (Post-Market)
EPS Normalized Estimate
$0.56
EPS GAAP Estimate
$0.35
Revenue Estimate
$21.44B
Analysts Group 1 EPS Revisions (Last 90 Days)*
UP-1
Down-20
Group 2:
Up 5
Down 18
DIS AnalysisPrice played out nicely as analyzed last week. Price filled the fair value gap at 96.32 and bounced off it. From here, I'm expecting price to continue higher to mitigate the last bearish POI of this leg down at 108.84 before continuing lower.
SCALP ON DIS LONG ( 11.23.2022)Newly, reinstated CEO Bob Iger moved quickly to announce restructuring plans for the company. Iger is said to have already began to undo a corporate structure put in place by his hand-picked successor. Iger said the restructuring would result in changes to Disney Media & Entertainment Distribution, a unit former CEO Bob Chapek formed in October 2020 to centralize all film and television sales and distribution. The unit’s chairman, longtime Chapek lieutenant Kareem Daniel, will leave the company. Separately, Walt Disney said on Monday Iger will get an annual base salary of $1 million and a long-term incentive award with a target value of $25 million
short on DISin the short term it seems to have a higher probability of a negative movement regarding price elasticity and GAP.
DIS AnalysisPrice respected the bearish POI at 98.11 and did not manage to close above the opening price despite high volume. I'm expecting price to go lower and fill the fair value gap at 96.32 before we see where do price wants to go from there.
DISNEY TO $45Disney already dropped over 50%, while SPY currently is about 20% down (I’m rounding it here). Monthly charts obviously shows support around $90, which price tested multiple times over the last 7 years. Once that support is broken, AT MINIMUM I expect another 50% decline. That would be a price target of $45, round top back to 1998, 2000 and 2011 highs.
Jim Cramer yesterday tweeted “Disney, pay 98 if you can. That will be nothing ...versus where it goes” after announcement of the new CEO - last nail in the coffin - I will easily take an inverse of Jim’s view.
Long on DISLong on DIS till 110, the sell it. wait for a bounce back and trade long till 150 , 2S&H.
DIS AnalysisPrice played out as analyzed last week. Price filled the fair value gap and is heading toward the bearish POI at 98.11. I'm expecting a continuation lower or a consolidation at this level.
Buying Disney break of recent high.Walt Disney - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 102.11 (stop at 97.88)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of the recent high at 101.50 should result in a further move higher.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Our profit targets will be 112.48 and 117.48
Resistance: 102 / 106 / 110
Support: 95 / 90 / 85
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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double bollinger & ichimoku DIScombination double bollinger band and ichimoku can give a good incidator to buy and sell
$DIS with a Bearish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bearish outlook for $DIS after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D.
11/9/22 DISThe Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS )
Sector: Consumer Services (Cable/Satellite TV)
Market Capitalization: $158.150B
Current Price: $86.75
Breakdown Price ( hold below): $90.20
Sell Zone: $98.10-$89.45
Price Target: $68.50-$64.40 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 98-102d
Contract of Interest: $DIS 2/17/23 85p
Trade price as of publish date: $6.10/contract
DIS AnalysisPrice dumped lower as per my previous analysis without hitting the bearish POI at 109.88. Right now, the bullish POI at 90.23 has been violated and price has broken market structure to the down side. I'm expecting a bullish retracement to fill the fair value gap before continuing lower.
$DIS Is Disney Headed to the Low 80's?I'm open to anything here on $DIS I just went back to see where the next area of support might come into play... Looks to me to be the low $80's. Only time will tell. But, I'm thinking when it starts basing might be a good time to get a "value" stock. TBD. I'm not ready to buy just yet and it's too late to short for me. Ideas, not trading / investing advice.
DIS - BEARISH SCENARIODisney`s Q4 report released yesterday was a little nightmare for the investors. The company reported EPS of $0.30, $0.29 worse than the analyst estimates of $0.59. Revenue for the quarter came in at $20.15B versus the consensus estimate of $21.38B.
One of the reasons for the worse results is the additional spending to grow their streaming services.
Although Disney+, reported 164.2 million subscribers in the fiscal fourth quarter, surpassing the estimates of 161 million. The streaming unit lost $1.5 billion during the period.
The next two price targets are:
$92 support level
$82 support level
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