Will Ford selloff stall at swing lows?Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.21 (stop at 10.55)
Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers.
11 continues to hold back the bears.
We look to buy dips.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07
Resistance: 11.95 / 12.50 / 13.15
Support: 11.35 / 11.00 / 10.61
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
4F trade ideas
F - Ford formed the Descending TriangleOn weekly chart Ford is completing to form one of the bilateral pattern - the Descending Triangle.
I am keep watching on further trend to make a decision on entering the position. Will it broke upper line or bottom line then short or long position will open accordingly.
The upper target is around 20
The lower target is 5
Potentially bearish pattern in Ford MotorFord Motor has been conspicuously weak since the summer – despite months of the broader market attempting to rally. Now with anxiety spreading toward the economy and financial system, the automaker could be showing signs of continuing lower.
The main pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since August. Each time, the stock has proceeded to hold roughly $11. The result is a descending triangle – a potentially bearish continuation pattern.
That $11 price area could be relevant because it was the level F held in April 2021, shortly before its big electric-vehicle push began.
Next, this chart includes our 2 MA Ratio custom script with the default settings of the 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Notice how the relationship has remained in negative territory for most of the past month.
Finally, $11.75 could be viewed as a near-term threshold. That was the monthly low in February that F has been unable to reclaim. If prices remain below it, traders may look for a break of the longer-term support.
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Ford and what to doPre-Sales of the Lightning were stellar. Haven't seen a truck on the streets as of yet but 2022 models were sold out and delivered.
2023 Models are being sold as we speak.
Also that Ford Electric network isn't the greatest thing on Earth which compounds things
Ford is still in the downtrend towards earnings. I wouldnt anticipate it breaking out until once we get numbers on how successfully 2023 is going.
Trending 222 Bearish on the daily and I expect it to continue.
Short on Ford until a week before earnings is my non-financial advise.
F 4/28 12P
FORD GOING THROUGH WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION: PROFITABLE ENTRIES SOONIf you are new to Wyckoff accumulation or distribution, please visit school.stockcharts.com
Unless you are familiar with the different steps in the Wyckoff method, some of the terminology and price stages will not make any sense to you, so I encourage you to read up on Wyckoff theories.
A couple of points to know:
-Fed is releasing expected rates tomorrow. Some say an almost 50% chance that they will ease rate increase down. No matter which way it goes, I believe that the rate increase (at any point basis) has already been "built into the cake", so to speak. I believe most people are net short the entire market structure, which makes for a very painful lesson to the common trader when market makers find liquidity to offset retail trader sheep behavior.
-Ford itself is at least short term accumulating while the markets in general are quietly building up steam to break short sighted sellers that only equate an economy in turmoil into market selloffs.
-Think about it... If shorting the market in general at a time when market weakness and fear are at an all time high was lucrative, THE COMMON RETAIL TRADER WOULD BE A MILLIONAIRE. But you're not... So why isn't it that easy? Because if it was, everyone would literally be doing it.
-Market structure strives on one main component: the majority cannot win. And if the majority are all going one way, it better not be the right way, or their way must be altered or manipulated to be the wrong way. This is the only way to keep the powerful in power, and power structures intact.
-The only way to survive as a trader is to recognize when that altering (or better yet, manipulating) is being done.
What to understand about the chart:
-Liquidity is what drives the market. Better yet, what drives the market makers.
-To understand when there is a fundamental shift (or reversal) by a market maker, you have to understand the signals they give, to give yourself a chance to get into the market with them.
-Markets in general are directional towards either supply, or demand. THE WAY PRICE REACTS TO LIQUIDITY IS WHAT ULTIMATELY DETERMINES REVERSALS.
-In Ford's case, the market structure changed to go towards the upside of liquidity last Monday. Market makers are now reacting to that shift, and manipulating the markets to position themselves for the perfect profit opportunity.
-This is where Wyckoff's work comes into play...... Once we have established that the market made a change in behavior, the Wyckoff structure begins to form. (In this case, being an accumulation pattern since we have shifted from price falling from liquidity, to all of a sudden pushing above it).
*I WILL BE MAKING A VIDEO ABOUT THIS SHORTLY TO EXPLAIN IN DETAIL*
(NOTE: FORD IS AN OPTIONABLE STOCK, SO YOU CAN "SHORT" IT BY PURCHASING PUT OPTIONS WHEN THE TIME COMES)
FordMotor, 10d+/70.03%rising cycle 70.03% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
$FORD - Triangle BreakoutThird consecutive upward swing breaking above the 50 EMA.
Candle not yet closed, but all remain unchanged, this is an above average sized bullish candle ... which is just as well depicted in the RSI plot.
The bulls have the momentum. There are converging technical hints vouching for their case.
On the not so bright side, volume is not ideal and there are plenty of overhead obstacles just ahead of the price.
No matter what you do: manage risk, manage risk, manage risk, manage risk ....
F seems to have peakedFord's cycle analysis seems to indicate a peak for the near term (Earnings is a wild card here). Its also hitting up against 78.6% short term Fib levels at $13.86. With Ford cutting its prices on Mach-E will out pressure on revenue and Ford would have to increase its sale (hopefully due to demand from reduced prices).
As cycles indicate a peaking and with ER around the corner, I am out of this position for now. ER could be the deciding factor to see if Ford still remains within the cyclic channels or if the cycles need to shift.
Disclaimer: My opinion on stocks are mine alone and not to be taken as Investment advice.
F Ford Motor Options Ahead of EarningsFord follows Tesla’s example and cuts price on Mustang Mach-E from as little as $600 to as large as $6,000. Most notable are the cuts to the Premium eAWD Standard range model, which takes it to $53,999 from $57,676.
Looking at the F Ford Motor options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $13.5 strike price Calls with
2023-2-3 expiration date for about
$0.21 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$F: Bullish trendI'm not particularly fond of $F's CEO as of late, but he is the one doing a less worse job when it comes from transitioning from ICE to EV among legacy firms, so I give Jim that. Setup here is good and there is a gigantic YEARLY scale uptrend signal in the stock, so as long as it holds over yearly support, it could catapult the stock WAY up over time. Setup here is decent, and offers a nice swing trade op for us.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Ford levels below 11 continue to attract.Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.21 (stop at 10.55)
Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07
Resistance: 13.50 / 14.00 / 14.60
Support: 12.50 / 12.00 / 11.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.