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4F trade ideas

RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - F EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential. In this edition, we'll be looking at NYSE:F ... I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility. If price can hold above $3.50 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked. My key upside targets include: - $5.70 (Conservative) - $6.80 (Medium) - $9.95 (Aggressive) If however price falls below $2.70 ... Bearish risk potential may be unlocked. (My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart) Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future. If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below. Mr RM | Risk Mastery Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
NYSE:FLong
by Bullfinder-official
Ford Motor (F, $11.72) (MACD) positive turned , January 31, 2024Ford Motor (F, $11.72) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned positive on January 31, 2024 This is a Bullish indicator signaling F's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. A.I. dvisor identified 44 similar cases where F's MACD histogram became positive, and 32 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 73%. F in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024 The 10-day moving average for F crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%. Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bullish Trend Analysis The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where F's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%. The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In 55 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on January 31, 2024. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%. F moved above its 50-day moving average on January 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. Following a +3.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 205 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%. Bearish Trend Analysis The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected. Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%. F broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
NYSE:FLong
by Serhii_Bond
Ford at a Crossroads: Assessing the Road Ahead for Investors In the ever-evolving landscape of the automotive industry, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) stands at a crossroads, grappling with challenges that have impacted its stock performance. While the last two months of 2023 brought about a commendable surge of over 20%, Ford's overall annual gain of 5% pales in comparison to the S&P 500's impressive 24% climb. Investors, however, remain cautiously optimistic, raising questions about the viability of Ford as a smart buy in the current market. Challenges and Setbacks: Ford's journey in 2023 was fraught with challenges, most notably a labor strike that temporarily led to the withdrawal of guidance. The estimated $1.7 billion earnings impact and an additional $8.8 billion in expenses over the life of a new contract have certainly raised eyebrows. The third-quarter results, missing Wall Street estimates, further underscored the difficulties faced by the automaker. Macro headwinds, such as higher interest rates, added to the complexity of an already tough environment for the industry. EV Ambitions and Setbacks: In the face of adversity, Ford pinned hopes on its electric vehicle (EV) ambitions, exemplified by the Model e. Despite a 26% revenue climb in the last quarter, weaker-than-anticipated demand prompted a delay in approximately $12 billion of EV-related investments. This strategic move, however, raises concerns about Ford potentially lagging behind competitors in the rapidly evolving EV market. Evaluating the Bigger Picture: Amidst these challenges, a critical analysis of Ford's long-term investment potential comes into focus. One prominent argument against including Ford in one's portfolio is the absence of an economic moat. Despite its household name status, Ford competes in a crowded market with numerous auto brands, limiting the influence of its brand name on financial performance. The lack of scale advantages and consistently low operating margins present additional hurdles. Ford's mass-market approach, while ensuring widespread accessibility, requires continuous heavy capital investments in manufacturing capabilities, workforce maintenance, advertising, and research and development. Warren Buffett's disapproval of such capital-intensive requirements, especially in inflationary times, adds weight to concerns about Ford's investment appeal. Shareholder Returns and Valuation: Examining Ford's track record of shareholder returns over the past decade reveals a total return of 19%, inclusive of dividends. This figure, however, pales in comparison to the S&P 500 index, which would have more than tripled your investment with a 213% total return. While Ford's current price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 might be alluring to some investors, skeptics argue that the cheap valuation alone is not reason enough to expect market-beating returns in the long term. Conclusion: Ford's journey in 2023 has been marked by both challenges and moments of optimism. As investors weigh the company's prospects, the absence of an economic moat, lack of scale advantages, and historical underperformance in shareholder returns raise valid concerns. While the stock's recent surge may inspire hope, the cautious investor may find themselves hesitating to embrace Ford as a compelling long-term investment in the dynamic landscape of the automotive industry. As the company navigates the road ahead, only time will reveal whether Ford can successfully address these challenges and emerge as a resilient player in the market.
NYSE:F
by DEXWireNews
Ford Motor's Resilience in 2023: Navigating Problems & Prospects Ford Motor has emerged as a resilient force, reporting its best annual auto sales in the United States since 2020. The Detroit automaker's success in 2023 can be attributed to sustained demand for its crossover SUVs and pickup trucks, reflecting the prevailing trend of American consumers favoring larger vehicles for their safety and utility. A Year of Triumph Despite Headwinds: 1. Robust Sales Performance: Ford Motor's vehicle sales witnessed a notable uptick, rising by 7.1% to 1.99 million units in 2023. While this figure represents a slight dip from the 2 million units achieved in 2020, it signals a commendable rebound in the face of market challenges. 2. Consumer Shift to Larger Vehicles: The American automotive landscape has seen a distinct shift towards larger vehicles, such as crossover SUVs and pickup trucks, at the expense of sedans and hatchbacks. Ford's strategic emphasis on these segments aligns seamlessly with consumer preferences, contributing to its robust sales performance. 3. Electrification Success: Ford's foray into the electric vehicle (EV) market has proven successful, with sales of its EV models, including the F-150 Lightning pickup truck and Mustang Mach-E crossover, surging by nearly 18% to 72,608 units. The company's EV models now account for a noteworthy 3.6% of its total sales, showcasing a growing appetite for electrified options among consumers. 4. Hybrid Momentum: In addition to its electric offerings, Ford's hybrid vehicle sales experienced a remarkable growth of more than 25%, reaching 133,743 units and constituting about 7% of its total sales. This signals an effective dual-strategy approach by the automaker, catering to both electric and hybrid preferences in the market. Industry Dynamics and Challenges: 1. Market Trends: The broader U.S. new vehicle sales market concluded the year at around 15.5 million units, with electrified vehicles, including hybrids, making up nearly 17%. This underscores the industry's gradual shift towards cleaner and more sustainable transportation options. 2. Consumer Caution Amidst Interest Rates: Analysts have raised concerns about the potential impact of high-interest rates on consumer appetite for new vehicles in the future. Ford's ability to navigate this challenge will be critical, as economic factors continue to play a pivotal role in shaping the automotive landscape. Ford's Market Position and Technical Analysis: Market Standing: Despite the challenges, Ford Motor solidified its position as the third-largest automaker by sales in the United States, trailing behind industry giants General Motors and Toyota. This underscores Ford's enduring presence and competitiveness in a dynamic market. Technical Analysis While the stock has faced challenges, breaking through support at $11.70, it is essential to note that Ford has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term. This suggests a slower initial falling rate, and an established break predicts a further decline. Conclusion: In summary, Ford Motor's performance in 2023 showcases resilience, adaptability, and strategic foresight in navigating an ever-evolving automotive landscape. The success in the sales of larger vehicles, coupled with a strong showing in both electric and hybrid segments, positions Ford well for the future. However, the company must remain vigilant amidst economic uncertainties, particularly concerning interest rates, and continue to innovate to stay at the forefront of the rapidly changing automotive industry. As consumers increasingly embrace sustainable and technologically advanced options, Ford's commitment to electrification could be a key driver of its future success.
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Short in Ford "I have recently initiated a short position on Ford stock as the price has reached a significant supply zone. Through comprehensive technical analysis and market observation, I have identified this zone as a key resistance level where selling pressure is expected to intensify, potentially leading to a downward price movement. This trading decision is based on the belief that the price will decline as the supply exceeds demand within this zone. Furthermore, I have observed additional bearish indicators that support my decision to take a short position. As a diligent trader, I will closely monitor the price action, market sentiment, and relevant fundamental factors to effectively manage my position and make necessary adjustments as the trade progresses. Implementing a robust risk management strategy is crucial to safeguard my capital and optimize potential profits. Please note that trading stocks, including Ford, involves risks, and careful consideration is essential. I highly recommend conducting thorough research, developing a sound risk management plan, and, if necessary, seeking guidance from a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Kindly note that the above text is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is always advisable to seek professional advice and conduct thorough analysis before making any financial transactions."
NYSE:FShort
by JuanHernandez
FORD: Time To Recover The Lost ValueFORD: Time To Recover The Lost Value I will share with you only the technical outlook for NYSE:F -FORD. The price reached $9.6 at the end of October 2023. This area was very old and was last tested in January 2021 or almost 2 years ago. The price broke out of a large daily wedge pattern and looks set to recover again. Even if the price tests 11 - 11.50 the picture already changed and NASDAQ:FORD price should rise again. The correction moment is supported also by the Stochastic indicator which is showing for overbought conditions. However, the price may also continue to rise from the market price. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck!
NYSE:FLong
by KlejdiCuni
F - Is it going to be a good Christmas with Ford? Is it time for a reversal for NYSE:F ? Since early 2022, Ford's Price Performance has not been pretty good for their investor. In the recent stages, the price has formed a consistent Downtrend Channel since July 2022. Potential Bullish Divergence from its weekly chart MACD Oscillator might hint us at a reversal but surely need trend reversal confirmation from the daily chart. If the price cannot break $10.64 as its neckline in an imaginary double bottom potential, then we need to at least see any bullish divergence potential in the daily chart from the oscillator. For bullish divergence to appear, the price needs to go lower than $9.63 but the oscillator keeps making a higher low. If the price can break $10.64, the nearest target is the double bottom pattern target at $11.61 You may also manage your risk for entry when the price breaks the minor downtrend as shown in the picture below: Performance-wise, in the last 20 years, December only has a 40% rate of Positive Return with only a 20% winning rate in the last 10 years. There are still 2 weeks in November, and it has 67% winning history since 20 years ago and 73% winning history in the last 10 years. I'd probably go Long for this opportunity until the end of November 2023.
NYSE:FLong
by dhimaswppr
Ford Slides After New Profit Forecast, UAW Strike-Cost TallyFord pegged the cost of the six-week UAW strikes at $1.7 billion, more than rival GM's $1.1 billion estimate, while issuing an updated 2023 profit forecast. Ford Motor (NYSE: F) - shares moved lower Thursday after the carmaker followed General Motors (GM) - Get Free Report in reinstating its full-year profit forecasts while noting it will lose around $1.7 billion from the United Auto Workers strike that ended late last month. Ford said it sees adjusted full-year profit in the region of $10 billion to $10.5 billion, down from its July estimate of between $11 billion and $12 billion. Free cash flow should improve to between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. The group reached a deal with the UAW on October 26 that will see members receive a 25% pay increase, including an initial boost of around 11% and a further 30% increase in cost-of-living adjustment payments. Ford said the contract would add $8.8 billion in costs over the 4 1/2-year contract. GM said the six-week UAW strike would would clip around $1.1 billion from the group's bottom line. But as at Ford, GM said it would ultimately improve free cash flows thanks in part to strike-related shutdowns at various facilities around the country. GM said it saw full-year adjusted profit in the region of $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion, down from its prior forecast of $12 billion to $14 billion. Diluted earnings, GM said, would likely come in between $7.20 and $7.70 a share, compared with its prior range of between $7.15 and $8.15 per share. The carmaker also said it would boost its quarterly dividend by 33%, to 12 cents a share, starting in 2024 while immediately retiring $6.8 billion in GM stock through its new $10 billion buyback.
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
FORD MOTOR CO (F) 1M NYSE:F FORD MOTOR CO (F) 1M ### Current Situation: - **Stock Price:** $9.84 - **Moving Averages:** Below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) - **Volume:** 508 million - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Between 50.00 and 40.00 - **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):** Signals below the histogram ### Analysis: 1. **Price and Moving Averages:** - The stock trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs typically indicates a bearish trend. - This positioning suggests a lack of upward momentum and possibly a bearish sentiment among investors. - These MAs might act as resistance levels if the stock tries to move upwards. 2. **Volume:** - A high trading volume of 508 million can indicate strong interest in the stock. However, the interpretation depends on the price movement context. High volume with a price decline can signal strong selling pressure. 3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** - An RSI between 50 and 40 is often considered a neutral zone. However, trending towards 40 can indicate that the stock is approaching the oversold territory, which sometimes precedes a potential upward reversal. - It's important to watch for whether the RSI crosses below 40, as it could reinforce the bearish trend. 4. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):** - MACD signals being below the histogram, especially if the MACD line is trending downwards, suggests bearish momentum. - This might indicate that the downward trend is strong and could continue in the short term. ### Implications and Potential Strategies: - **Short-Term Traders:** - There might be opportunities for short-selling, given the bearish indicators. - Watch for any bullish signals or a reversal pattern as an entry point for buy positions. - **Long-Term Investors:** - It's essential to consider fundamental factors alongside these technical indicators. - If the fundamentals are strong, this bearish trend could present a buying opportunity. However, caution is advised until there are signs of trend reversal. - **Risk Management:** - Given the bearish indicators, risk management is crucial. Setting stop-loss orders can help mitigate potential losses. ### Conclusion: The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend for Ford Motors stock in the short term, with several indicators pointing to downward momentum. It's crucial for investors to monitor upcoming price movements and news that might affect the stock. Also, integrating this technical analysis with a fundamental analysis of Ford Motors and the broader market conditions is essential for a well-rounded investment decision. Remember, investing in the stock market involves risks, and this analysis does not constitute financial advice. It's always advisable to consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:FLong
by rodulfox
$F / FORD PEG Trade IdeaNYSE:F (Ford) Simplified Trading Blueprint Why Trade Ford: Quick Points High volume: Lots of trading after earnings report. Price dropped below $10: Big deal for traders. Bearish signs: Technical cues predict more drops. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate: $10.00 (critical psychological barrier) Below: $9.56, $9.11, $8.41 Special Note: $10.20 zone (major make-or-break area) How to Trade: Step-by-Step Set Up for Success: Add an Anchored VWAP on the chart, starting from the earnings moment. When to Jump In: Price dips below $10? Go short (sell, expecting to buy back cheaper). But: If it's heading toward the VWAP, pause. Wait for a clear sign. Protecting Your Capital: Set a stop loss at the VWAP level shown on a 1-minute chart (e.g., was $10.24 last Friday). Cashing In: The Smart Way: First target: $9.56. Hits it? Great! Sell half to lock in profits. Move your stop loss to where you entered the trade (break even). You're now playing risk-free! Holding On for More? Still got half your position? Watch those lower levels ($9.11, $8.41) for more profit-taking. What If Things Change? Price climbs above the VWAP or starts hovering around $10.20? Be alert! Big decisions happen here. If it starts breaking through the bearish patterns, that's the market telling you something new. Golden Rules: Keep These in Mind Trading's not about certainties; it's about playing the odds smartly. Stick to the plan, but be ready to adapt. Conditions change fast. Most importantly, don't risk more than you can afford to lose. There's always another trade.
NYSE:FShort
by thinkCNE
F Ford Motor Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought F here: or sold before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of F Ford Motor Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 11.50usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-10-27, for a premium of approximately $0.31. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:FShort
by TopgOptions
F 5/13/2023F F me? No F you! Daily chart analysis The current Ford chart has a very familiar look to it. If you pull the BTCUSD and look at the period between Dec. 2017 – Nov. 2018, you will see the noticeable similarities. You have a Parabolic move to higher prices, a crash back down, following by price forming a descending triangle with lower highs into support level. The BTCUSD descending triangle broke down and price continued crash to lower prices. I am expecting the same to happen here. Downtrend + Descending Triangle (Bearish pattern) = Short trade. This will be my cue to enter trade short. Entry: 11.67 Stoploss: 13.20 (-13.11%) Target: 6.00 (+48.59%)*, 3.71 RR Ratio *Initial target is 6.00 but price could go as low as 4.75
NYSE:FShort
by rudcharts