GOOGL Looks Ready to Move — Breakout or Trap?Let’s Talk Strategy 🔍
Alright, here’s what I’m seeing on GOOGL right now based on the charts and GEX data.
🧠 Big Picture (1D Chart)
GOOGL’s been grinding its way out of that falling channel since mid-April, and to be honest, it’s looking decent. It’s hovering right under that key 170.48 zone — a clear resistance from past rejections. The MACD is still positive but starting to flatten, and Stoch RSI looks like it's trying to cool off.
So for the weekly outlook, I’m watching that 170 level closely. If we pop above it with volume, we might get a clean trend continuation toward 177. If we stall or reject, could just be a lower high forming.
⏱️ Intraday Structure (1H Chart)
Zooming into the 1H, price action has been pretty choppy between 162 and 166. It looks like we're basing just under the GEX wall at 167.5–170.
Notice how we keep rejecting around 166? Yeah, that’s no coincidence. There’s a big ol' GEX resistance wall right there.
🧠 GEX Levels & Options Flow
Here’s what’s interesting:
* 🔹 Gamma Wall / Highest Net GEX sits right at 169–170. That’s our ceiling unless some major call flow or IV expansion comes in.
* 🔻 PUT support is solid at 157.5, backed by the HVL level.
* 📊 IVR is low (23.7) and IVX is slightly lower than avg → not expecting explosive moves yet unless we get a macro catalyst.
🛠️ My Thoughts & Trade Ideas
This is one of those “coiling spring” setups. If we push above 170 and hold — I’m interested in long calls, targeting 172.5 or even 177.5 by next week. But I’m not buying the top blindly. I need to see real strength above the gamma wall.
Bullish Idea:
If price clears 167.5 and GEX shifts upward, I’d grab the 170C 5/10 or 5/17, depending on momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
If we reject again at 166–167 and break under 162 with volume, I’d consider puts targeting 157.5, where the support and HVL sit.
✅ Final Take
I like the way GOOGL is shaping up. It’s showing strength but still under pressure from option market makers. I’ll be patient for a breakout — no need to front-run this one. Let the GEX and levels guide the setup.
Let me know how you’re playing this — scalp, swing, or staying out? 👇
This is just my perspective and not financial advice. Trade safe, manage your risk, and stick to your plan.
4GOOG trade ideas
Googl at pivotGoogl is at a pivot point here touching historic levels from 2021. The company is a cash flowing machine and FUD has taken control at this point. The market forgets that the company is diversifying away from search as a business. The market forgets about youtube, waymo, and recent wiz acquisition. Stocks bottom on bad news, not good news. I think we see 200$ soon. Double bottom is apparent to me.
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Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Drop Over 7% in a Single DayAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Drop Over 7% in a Single Day
According to the Alphabet (GOOGL) stock chart, yesterday’s main trading session opened around $163.70 but then saw a sharp decline, hitting an intraday low of approximately $148 per share. By the close, bulls managed to recover only a small portion of the losses. As a result, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell by more than 7% during the session – marking the worst performance among the S&P 500 constituents (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).
Why Did GOOGL Shares Fall?
The drop followed remarks by Eddy Cue, Apple’s Senior Vice President of Internet Software and Services, who:
→ noted a decline in search traffic on Safari;
→ revealed plans to expand Safari’s search capabilities using artificial intelligence.
These developments heightened concerns over Google’s dominance in search and its advertising revenue. According to media reports, analysts are warning of rising competition from AI-powered search platforms such as OpenAI, Grok, and Perplexity.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares
In our 23 April analysis, we identified a descending price channel and emphasised the psychological significance of the $150 level, which had served as a key support in 2024.
Since then, bulls showed confidence by pushing the price above the red channel. In addition, the chart has begun to outline a potential ascending trend channel (marked in blue).
However, yesterday’s statement from competitors shifts the outlook. The current GOOGL stock price is positioned at the lower boundary of the blue channel – which could act as support, reinforced by the psychological $150 level.
On the other hand, a bearish breakout below this area may revive the downtrend that began in February, potentially paving the way for a test of this year’s lows.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
5/7/25 - $googl - Adding it back today at $1505/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GOOGL
Adding it back today at $150
- i'll leave valuation for another post, except to say (based on the logic below), it's more attractive than the converse.
- aapl news/ testimony saying 'search lower'. okay.
- in my own experience, it did get disintermediated by various ai chats (i use several), but ultimately i'm finding two things 1/ i am spending more time in search, so the pie is growing and that still includes the same amt of time/ searches in google and 2/ google's search has gotten much better w/ the gemini response
- will it be harder to monetize ads? probably yes.
- is the lazy google culture going to be mostly replaced by AI? also yes (hurray!) and nobody seems to want to underwrite this
- so as long as their general digital businesses (must consider maps, email, cloud... many others incl. ai effors, waymo, i could go on) remain not falling apart at the seams, i'd believe their size/ capex budget still puts google as a leading AI-software winner from today
- add to this that most of the biz is digital e.g. no tariff exposed (yes the ads they serve are affected so i get it)
- also no real "china" exposure like say aapl/ nvda etc.
- so ultimately, does it go lower? V says "idk and idc" it's one of these businesses that post last results still delivered. generates cash. valuation reasonable as i mention above (we can get into this in another note later or in the comments)
- but days like today and it's mostly deleveraging. no real money LO is selling this thing in size, the opposite
- so i'm a buyer. necking out w/ some bi weekly calls for notional which allows me to get the "fed" reaction wrong and also benefit from a move higher.
- stock is a buy here
- and thanks aapl. keep talkin'
V
Google: A compelling buy at the current priceHello,
As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." This mindset is particularly relevant right now with Alphabet Inc.
Despite being a company whose products we use daily—and will likely rely on even more in the future—Alphabet's stock recently declined following comments from Apple’s Eddie Cue regarding a drop in Safari search traffic. This has sparked concerns about Google's dominance in search and its ad revenue streams. Analysts are also highlighting growing competition from AI-driven platforms such as OpenAI, Grok, and Perplexity, raising questions about the future growth of Google Search.
While the headlines may seem discouraging, we remain confident in Google’s enduring leadership in the search space, underpinned by its unmatched scale, infrastructure, and user base. We also believe the market continues to underestimate how far ahead Google truly is in artificial intelligence.
In our view, this dip represents a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors. Below is our in-depth analysis of Alphabet and why we believe it remains a strong investment.
Alphabet, Inc is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. Google Services includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. Google Services generates revenues primarily from advertising; fees received for consumer subscription-based products such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, and NFL Sunday Ticket, as well as Google One; the sale of apps and in-app purchases and devices.
KEY NOTES FROM THE Q1 2025 EARNINGS CALL
Revenue up to $ 90.23 Billion (Q1 2024: $ 80.54 Billion)
Operating income for quarter one 2025 at $ 30.61 Billion (Q1 2024: $ 25.47 Billion)
Net income for quarter one 2025 at $ 34.54 Billion (Q1 2024: $ 23.66 Billion)
Diluted Earnings per share closed at $ 2.81 as at 31st March 2025 (2024: $ 1.89). Alphabet’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 representing a 5% increase from the previous quarterly dividend of $0.20.
Cash and cash equivalents remained flat as of the end of March 31 2025 at $ 23.26 Billion (2024: $ 23.47 Billion)
Google advertising continues to do the heavy lifting for the alphabet business contributing $ 66.89 Billion of the total $90.23 Billion. Google Services includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. Of this amount, the breakdown is as below
•Google search & other: $ 50.70 Billion
•Youtube ads: $ 8.93 Billion
•Google Network: $ 7.26 Billion
Other services offered by the platforms contributed revenues as below
Google subscriptions, platforms & devices: $ 10.38 Billion
Google cloud: $ 12.26 Billion
Other bets: $ 450 million. Other Bets is a combination of multiple operating segments that are not individually material.
Hedging gains: $ 260 million
The company announced a share buyback program of up to $70 billion of its class A and class C shares. The buy backs will be executed through open market purchases or through privately negotiated transactions.
Business Opportunities/Strengths
Alphabet’s advertising business is firmly embedded in digital advertising budgets, allowing it to capitalize on the ongoing growth in digital ad spending.
The significant cash flows from advertising enable Alphabet to reinvest in growth areas like Google Cloud, AI-enhanced search, and innovative ventures such as Waymo. (Waymo is Alphabet's autonomous driving technology subsidiary, focused on developing self-driving cars and related technologies.)
With a strong foothold in the public cloud market, Alphabet has a substantial opportunity as a major provider for enterprises transitioning to digital platforms.
Risks to consider
Although Alphabet is working to diversify, text-based advertising remains its primary revenue source, presenting a concentration risk.
Ongoing investments in emerging, sometimes unproven technologies through its Other Bets segment continue to strain cash flows.
Increasing regulatory scrutiny of Alphabet's search dominance worldwide could lead to significant market disruptions through structural reforms.
Recommendation
We view Alphabet as a solid business with diverse solutions ranging from advertising, cloud business and driverless cars as well. While we acknowledge that the antitrust cases have continued to make headlines, we encourage investors to remain invested and focused on the business’s strengths. The business has unique products that will have the ability to remain leaders for a very long period of time. Android is the operating system for the majority of the world’s smartphones with more than two-thirds of all smartphones in the world running it. Virtually all smartphones, other than those manufactured by Apple, run on Android. We see this remaining as a google strength for a very long time. The Google Play Store’s unmatched ecosystem creates significant barriers for competing operating systems, limiting their access to critical applications. The recent correction on US technology companies provides us with a solid buying price for some of these great companies. Alphabet alone corrected by about 31% and has since bounced back.
We see the current price as a great entry price for long term investors based on both technical and fundamental analysis with a target price of $ 203.
GOOGL Alphabet Inc (Google) Opportunity After the Breakout?The stock's recent breakout from a descending channel pattern indicates potential for continued upward momentum. Monitoring the $155 support level is crucial, as a drop below may signal a trend reversal.
📊 Technical Analysis
Current Price: $161.96
52-Week Range: $140.53 – $207.05
Recent Breakout: Surpassed descending channel resistance
Key Support: $155
🎯 Entry Points:
$158 (ideal pullback)
$155 (support confirmation)
$145-132 (aggressive long-term entry)
📈 Targets:
First target: $168
Second target: $182
Third target: $196+
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
GOOGL Breaking Down or Just Resting? Watching This Zone Closely 🧐Looking at the daily chart, GOOGL had a strong bounce earlier in April but seems to be pausing right at a familiar trouble spot. Price is now stalling near the March-April highs — an area where buyers have previously run out of steam. The last few candles are showing rejection wicks, suggesting that sellers are defending this zone again.
MACD has crossed bullish but isn't accelerating aggressively, and Stoch RSI is in overbought territory — hinting at some short-term exhaustion. This makes me think we might not get a clean breakout unless volume really picks up.
Now switching to the 1-hour timeframe, you can see it even more clearly — GOOGL has been stuck in a descending wedge pattern since that big earnings candle. Price keeps testing the upper wedge but fails to break through convincingly. Momentum looks weak here — MACD is flattening, and Stoch RSI is curling down. This tells me buyers are hesitant, and the bulls need a push soon or this could slip further.
Looking at the GEX and options data, there’s a big gamma wall sitting at $165, which aligns perfectly with the top of the wedge. That's going to act like a magnetic ceiling unless there's a serious catalyst. Meanwhile, downside support exists near $157.5 where the HVL (high volume level) aligns with GEX support. IV is down -9.98%, and the Options Oscillator shows heavy PUT positioning, meaning options sentiment is skewing defensively even though price hasn’t broken down yet.
🔎 My Take:
Right now, GOOGL is in a "prove-it" zone. Bulls had a great run but are hesitating at resistance. If price can reclaim and hold above $161.30–$165 (especially on volume), that would trigger momentum continuation and possibly a gamma squeeze toward $170+. Otherwise, failure to break out — especially if price dips below $157.5 — opens up room for a quick fade toward $155 or even $150 PUT walls.
✅ Trading Thoughts:
* Bullish scenario: Look for price to reclaim and hold above $161.30 with volume. A breakout through $165 could trigger a fast move toward $167–$170.
* Ideal Call setup: 165C or 167.5C (May expiry), but only above $161.30 with momentum.
* Bearish scenario: If price gets rejected again and loses $157.50, I’d look short down to $155 or even $150 PUT GEX wall.
* Ideal Put setup: 155P or 150P (May 10DTE) if $157.50 breaks.
* Neutral: It’s in a wedge with low momentum and IV compression. Don’t force trades here — let price pick a side. This is one of those "react, not predict" moments.
Alphabet Shares Surge 6% In Premarket Amid Earnings BeatShares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) spike 6% in Friday's premarket session amidst earnings beat.
Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) reported first-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts’ expectations, sending shares higher in extended trading Thursday.
The tech giants reported revenue of $90.23 billion, up 12% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Net income of $34.54 billion, or $2.81 per share, compared to $23.66 billion, or $1.89 per share, a year earlier, also topping Wall Street’s estimates. Google Cloud revenue rose 28% to $12.3 billion, while Search & Other segment revenue grew 10% to $50.7 billion.
Alphabet also raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to 21 cents, and announced an additional $70 billion in stock buybacks. Alphabet's Class A shares rose close to 5% in after-hours trading. The stock was down about 16% for 2025 through Thursday’s close.
Alphabet Reiterates Spending Plans as AI Features Expand Reach and Engagement
CEO Sundar Pichai said Search growth was driven by "engagement we’re seeing with features like AI Overviews, which now has 1.5 billion users per month" after launching in May 2024.2
“We do see a tremendous opportunity ahead of us across the organization,” CFO Anat Ashkenazi said, adding that Alphabet ended the quarter with more Cloud demand than it had capacity.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of NASDAQ:GOOG are up 5% in Friday's premarket trading, bouncing off from the critical support zone of $146. NASDAQ:GOOG 's next top is the $200 resistant a move that will deliver a stunning 29% in gains. All present metrics are pointing to a bullish campaign, the asset is already trading below key moving averages giving NASDAQ:GOOG room to capitalize on this technical to make a comeback.
Google stock oscillates below $170 after earnings releaseGoogle's stock managed to post a bullish gap of more than 3% in the last session, shortly after the company announced its quarterly results. Initially, it was reported that total sales for the last published quarter reached $90.23 billion, compared to the expected $89.12 billion. In addition, the company posted earnings per share of $2.81, beating expectations of $2.00. This positive outcome initially triggered a spike in investor confidence, but for now, the market sentiment has stabilized, and the stock is closing the week with a bearish candlestick on the chart.
Previous trendline break:
The recent consistent bullish movements in Google have been important in breaking a downward trendline that was previously dominant on the chart. For now, this has paved the way for a new bullish bias, and a new upward trendline could be forming, potentially becoming the most relevant technical structure for the stock in the coming sessions. However, it is important to note that this early bullish trendline still requires new price highs to confirm its strength.
ADX:
Although ADX oscillations remain above the neutral 20 level, the slope of the line has started to turn negative. This suggests that, despite the positive earnings, volatility may be beginning to decline, which could eventually lead to a sideways bias in the stock’s movements in the short term.
MACD:
The MACD histogram continues to show oscillations above the neutral 0 line, but it is becoming increasingly necessary for this to be sustained to confirm the buying strength reflected in the moving averages. If the MACD starts to decline, it could be interpreted as a bearish correction signal that may weigh on Google's price.
Key Levels:
$175: A relevant resistance aligned with the 100- and 200-period moving averages. Buying oscillations reaching this level could reactivate bullish momentum and give way to a new relevant uptrend.
$160: A nearby support zone aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. It could serve as a tentative barrier where potential short-term downside corrections might occur.
$143: A definitive support that coincides with the recent lows of the stock. A pullback toward this level could reactivate the previous bearish trend in this market.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$GOOG Possible Demand Zone 155-143 Targeting 178 By earning!One of worst weekly candles and 3 bearish soldiers pattern made it extremely bearish but now entered the demand zone between 155 to 143 expecting accumulation into this range then possible bottom by mid of April then moving higher after earning targeting upper gap but we keep the target more secure by targeting 178 as closing trade. 161-164 is strong resistance . so the idea bye with weakness and accumulate during coming days with stop loss below 140 approx. Earning estimate 1.6 which is a drop from 2.4 last quarter by 30% - P/E at 19.98 EPS at 8.12 - Average analyst rating at 215 (+60$) from last close at 156. these fundamental make this idea is much likely to succeed. Good luck - please like and share . thanks
GOOGL SUPPORT AND RESISTANCEGOOGL is trading near the $154.50 level after rejecting the $170 resistance zone, where a sell block (2B) is marked.
There’s a visible gap acting as near-term support around $150.
Below, major buy zones (4B) are aligned at $150–$140, with deeper support at $130, which coincides with the weekly support level.
As long as price holds above the $150 gap, buyers may attempt to regain control.
A break below $150 could push the stock toward the $140 and $130 supports.
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Google in trouble with Apple AI? Watch $146 next?Apple has confirmed it is actively exploring a redesigned web browser across iPhone, iPad, and Mac with a focus on AI-powered search. The potential shift away from Google as the default search provider on iOS devices, poses a direct risk to Alphabet’s search business.
Alphabet shares fell $14.11 (-8.54%) to $151.09 USD on the news, breaking below the 50-day moving average at $162.00 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the February high and April low, after finding resistance at the 38.2%.
From its February high, Alphabet is now down 27.1%, with a year-to-date loss of 21.1%.
While the stock remains above its 2025 low of $140.53, downside levels to monitor include ~$145.90.
$GOOGL Breakdown – AI Risk Is No Longer "Future Tense"🚨 BREAKING: NASDAQ:AAPL confirms they are exploring AI-powered search within Safari after a decline in browser searches for the first time ever.
💥 NASDAQ:GOOGL is down over 8% intraday, cracking long-term trendline support and decisively below the 200DMA ($173).
📉 The setup is ugly:
Insiders sold post-earnings (again).
Trendline + moving average both lost.
Volume spike and vertical price action = capitulation risk ahead.
🔻 Downside momentum could accelerate if price fails to reclaim $155 quickly.