GOOG Put Calendar Spread July 22, 2025GOOG has earnings upcoming and is in the top Bollinger band, daily RSI is 74. With a price target of $185 this trade is profitable between $200 and $172 providing a large target window in a short timeframe. Trade will be a
PUT CALENDAR SPREAD
GOOG 8/1 $185P +1
GOOG 7/25 $185P -1
MAX LOSS -$71
MAX GAIN +$410.10
4GOOGL trade ideas
Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Approaches $200 Ahead of Earnings ReleaseAlphabet (GOOGL) Stock Approaches $200 Ahead of Earnings Release
According to the Alphabet (GOOGL) stock chart, the share price rose by more than 2.5% yesterday. Notably:
→ the price reached its highest level since early February 2025;
→ the stock ranked among the top 10 performers in the S&P 500 by the end of the day.
The positive sentiment is driven by expectations surrounding the upcoming quarterly earnings report, scheduled for release tomorrow, 23 July.
What to Know Ahead of Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Earnings Release
According to media reports, Wall Street analysts forecast Alphabet’s Q2 revenue to grow by approximately 11% year-on-year, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of around $2.17 — up from $1.89 a year earlier. Notably, the company has consistently outperformed estimates for nine consecutive quarters, setting a positive tone ahead of the announcement.
Despite the optimism, investors are closely monitoring two key areas:
→ Cloud computing competition , where Google Cloud contends with Microsoft Azure and Amazon AWS;
→ Growing competition in the search sector , linked to the rise of AI-based platforms such as ChatGPT.
In response, Alphabet is significantly increasing its capital expenditure on AI infrastructure, planning to spend around $75 billion in 2025. These investments are aimed at both defending its core search business and advancing the Gemini AI model, while also strengthening Google Cloud’s market position.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock
Since April, GOOGL price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (marked in blue).
From a bullish perspective:
→ the June resistance level at $180 has been breached and may soon act as support;
→ previous bearish reversals (marked with red arrows) failed to gain momentum, suggesting sustained demand is pushing the price higher.
From a bearish standpoint, the price is approaching:
→ the psychological level of $200, which has acted as a major resistance since late 2024;
→ this barrier may be reinforced by a bearish gap formed in early February.
Strong results from the previous quarter, combined with optimistic forward guidance from Alphabet’s management, could provide bulls with the confidence needed to challenge the $200 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Analyzing GOOGL's Path: Breakouts and Critical Support• Strong Upward Trendline : The chart clearly displays an ascending trendline (light blue) from early April, indicating a robust bullish trend. The price has consistently found support at or near this line, reinforcing its significance as a key technical level.
• Recent Breakout and Potential Retest : The price has recently broken above a notable resistance zone around the $181-$183 mark (highlighted in green). The dotted white lines suggest a potential retest of this newly formed support level before a continuation of the upward movement, a common pattern following a breakout.
• Identified Price Targets Ahead : Two distinct target zones are identified above the current price: the $181 to $183 range as the "1st Target" (already reached/broken out of), and a higher "2nd Target" between $191 to $193. These represent areas where upward momentum might face resistance or profit-taking.
• Critical Support Zone for Drop Scenarios : In the event of a price drop, the chart indicates a critical support zone from $171 to $173. This area aligns with the ascending trendline, making it a crucial level to watch for potential bounces if the price pulls back.
• Confirmed Retested Support Below : Further down, the chart highlights a retested support zone between $161 and $163. The repeated testing and holding of this level affirm its strength as a reliable base for the price in the longer term.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
GOOG Earnings Setup (2025-07-23)
📈 GOOG Earnings Setup (2025-07-23) 🚀
🔥 STRONG BULLISH BIAS – 85% Confidence
Alphabet (GOOG) is set to report after market close. Here’s why this setup is 🔥:
⸻
📊 Fundamental Highlights:
• 💸 TTM Revenue Growth: +12.0%
• 🧾 Profit Margin: 30.9%
• 💯 Earnings Beat Rate: 8/8 last quarters
• 📈 EPS Est: $8.95
• 🎯 Forward P/E: Attractive in the AI-dominant market
👉 Score: 9/10
⸻
🔍 Options Market Flow:
• 🚀 Heavy Call buying at $195 strike
• 💰 Implied Move: ±5.12%
• 🛡️ Light Put hedging at $190 shows cautious optimism
• 📉 IV Rank: 0.75 (Elevated but tradable)
👉 Score: 8/10
⸻
🧭 Technicals:
• 🔺 RSI: 73.32 (strong momentum)
• 🔼 Above 50/200 MA
• 🔵 Support: $190.00
• 🔴 Resistance: $200.00
👉 Score: 8/10
⸻
🌍 Macro/Sector Tailwinds:
• 🌐 AI & Ads tailwind still fueling growth
• 📡 Sector leadership + resilient biz model
👉 Score: 9/10
⸻
🛠️ Trade Idea (High Conviction)
🔹 Ticker: NASDAQ:GOOG
🔹 Direction: CALL
🔹 Strike: $195.00
🔹 Expiry: 07/25/2025
💵 Entry Premium: $3.95
🎯 Target Premium: $11.85 (200%)
🛑 Stop: $1.98 (50%)
📅 Entry: Before 07/23 Close (Pre-Earnings)
⸻
📌 Risk-Reward
• Max Loss: $395 per contract
• Target Gain: $1,190 per contract
• Break-even: $198.95
• ⏳ Time-sensitive: Close post-earnings if flat (avoid IV crush)
⸻
🚨 Summary
💥 GOOG looks primed for an upside breakout. Strong fundamentals + bullish technicals + aggressive options flow make this a top-tier earnings play.
🔔 Watch $195–$200 zone post-earnings.
💬 Drop your thoughts 👇 — are you playing GOOG this earnings?
Alphabet - The textbook break and retest!📧Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the chart of Alphabet we can basically only see green lines. And despite the recent correction of about -30%, Alphabet remains in a very bullish market. Looking at the recent all time high break and retest, there is a chance that we will see new all time highs soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
With price near $190 and strong volume, $200+ looks imminent.🔥 NASDAQ:GOOGL Weekly Chart Signals a Golden Cross
Alphabet’s (GOOG)9-week MA is crossing the 20 and 50-week MA—classic bullish setup. With price near $190 and strong volume, $200+ looks imminent.
💡 Why It’s Climbing:
- AI breakthroughs (Gemini, DeepMind)
- Google Cloud gaining traction
- Big tech rotation + investor flow
📈 Golden crosses like this often lead to multi-month rallies. GOOG’s chart is flashing green.
Earnings Incoming: July 23, 2025 (After Market Close)
Alphabet (GOOG) is set to report Q2 earnings this week, and expectations are high:
- EPS Forecast: $2.14 per share, up 13% YoY
- Revenue Estimate: $79.2B, an 11% increase from last year
- Key Drivers: AI momentum (Gemini, DeepMind), Google Cloud growth, and strong YouTube ad performance
💡 With a golden cross forming and earnings likely to show double-digit growth, GOOG could get the catalyst it needs to break past $200.
GOOG - Possible Break OutHello Everyone,
Happy Sunday to All.
I would like to make a quick Analyse on GOOG. When i was scanning the stocks,i reliazed that this could be a possible breakout and could be a opportunity to buy.
This looks like a breakout and i am expecting to Re-test trend line which price level 175 $.
Then first target is 190-192 which is approx %8 - 10 above from 175.
If it will restest and hit the 175 , this could be good entry point.
If not then first target is 190-192 which is approx %5 above current price level.
Long Term , of course Google is Google no doubt to jump in every price points :)
For me, short term i would wait 175 and put my order to that price , then wait for next moves.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovely Sunday and good start a Week
Momentum Watch: GOOG Entry ZoneNASDAQ:GOOG – Trend Continuation Setup
The price has been trending within a clean ascending channel since April 2025.
After a pullback toward the midline and Bollinger basis, price is showing potential support.
Setup:
• Entry: $175 (conceptual)
• Stop: $165.5 (below channel)
• Target: $208 (upper boundary)
• Risk/Reward: 3.51
Stochastic is retracing but remains above key support zone.
As long as the channel holds, expecting continuation toward $200–208 by late September.
⚠️ Market remains under pressure following July 9th events, which could increase short-term volatility across tech.
EOY based on yesterday's earnings and the flywheel effect# Alphabet's Accelerating Flywheel: Q2 2025 Earnings Validate the Strategy
technicals grounded in an anchored pitchfork hinged on the pre-covid levels (covid bottom just makes the path too aggressive for EOY) and fib retracements of the 2022 bear market decline. General and simple targets since moving averages aren't providing much clarity. Single stock analysis is even more voodoo than large sector indexes, so I'll focus on fundamentals instead:
## The Flywheel In Action: Q2 2025 Results
Alphabet's blowout Q2 2025 earnings provide concrete evidence that their integrated AI flywheel is already spinning faster. **Revenue grew 14% to $96.4 billion, crushing expectations**, while the company raised its 2025 capital expenditures from $75 billion to **$85 billion**—a bold investment that initially spooked some investors but actually signals the flywheel's acceleration.
### Why the $85 Billion Capex Increase is Strategic Genius
The additional $10 billion isn't just spending—it's **strategic reinvestment in the flywheel's core components**:
**Infrastructure Dominance:** Google Cloud revenue surged 32% to $13.6 billion, now approaching a $50+ billion annual run rate. The capex increase funds the massive data centers and TPU clusters needed to serve exploding AI demand.
**Competitive Validation:** Even OpenAI, Google's biggest AI rival, is now renting Google's TPU chips to power ChatGPT—choosing Google's proprietary hardware over Nvidia GPUs for cost-effective inference. This partnership alone validates the integrated hardware-software advantage.
**Market Leadership:** With AI Overviews reaching 2+ billion users (up from 1.5B last quarter) and Gemini hitting 450+ million users, Google is proving it can deploy AI at unprecedented scale while generating immediate revenue.
## The Core Flywheel System
**The Engine:** World-class AI research (DeepMind, Google AI) creating increasingly capable models that serve as tools for invention, not just products. Gemini's rapid user growth proves the models are competitive.
**The Fuel:** Search and YouTube revenue provides patient capital for long-term moonshots, while diverse data from billions of users continuously improves AI models. Q2's strong advertising performance ($64B+) funds the entire system.
**Custom Hardware Advantage:** Proprietary TPUs optimized for their AI software create faster, more efficient training and inference than competitors using general-purpose chips. OpenAI's adoption proves TPUs offer superior cost-performance.
**The Multiplier:** Quantum computing research that could eventually solve problems impossible for classical computers, creating step-change advantages in materials science and optimization.
## AI Integration Across the Ecosystem: The Ultimate Moat
Alphabet's true competitive advantage lies in **embedding AI across their existing billion-user platforms**, creating compound defensibility:
**Search Dominance:** AI Overviews now appear in 2+ billion monthly searches across 200+ countries, fundamentally changing how users interact with information while maintaining Google's search monopoly. Users increasingly expect AI-powered results, making switching costs even higher.
**Productivity Lock-in:** Gmail's Smart Compose, Google Docs' AI writing assistance, and Sheets' intelligent data analysis create sticky enterprise and consumer habits. Once teams adopt AI-enhanced workflows in Google Workspace, migration becomes exponentially more difficult.
**Developer Ecosystem:** Google's coding tools (Colab, Android Studio) now feature AI pair programming, while languages like Go and Dart benefit from AI-optimized development. This creates a generation of developers trained on Google's AI tools.
**Educational Moat:** Chromebooks in schools now include AI tutoring and personalized learning, creating habits among students who will become tomorrow's decision-makers. Google for Education's AI features make alternative platforms seem primitive.
**Entertainment Integration:** YouTube's AI-powered recommendations, creator tools, and content moderation have become so sophisticated that creators and viewers alike can't imagine the platform without them. This strengthens YouTube's dominance over TikTok and other competitors.
**Mobile and Browser Dominance:** Android and Chrome's AI features (Smart Reply, intelligent autofill, predictive text) create seamless experiences that competitors struggle to match without Google's data advantages.
## Near-Term Flywheel Accelerators
**Physical AI & Robotics:** Moving from digital-only AI to robots that can perceive and manipulate the physical world. Waymo has now driven 100+ million autonomous miles, generating unique physical-world training data.
**AI Biology:** DeepMind's protein folding breakthroughs and Isomorphic Labs' drug discovery pipeline could create massive pharmaceutical revenues while advancing the core AI engine.
**AI Materials Science:** Already discovering thousands of new materials that could dramatically improve batteries, semiconductors, and other hardware across all ventures—feeding back into better TPUs and infrastructure.
## The Compounding Network Effects
**Data Flywheel:** More users → More training data → Better AI models → Better products → More users. AI Overviews now drive 10%+ more queries for the types of searches that show them.
**Revenue Flywheel:** AI success → Higher cloud/advertising revenue → More R&D investment → Better AI → Market expansion. Google Cloud's 32% growth funds continued AI leadership.
**Talent Flywheel:** Best AI infrastructure → Attracts top researchers → Better models → More ambitious projects → Attracts even better talent. The recent $2.4B Windsurf acquisition shows Alphabet winning the talent war.
**Infrastructure Flywheel:** More AI demand → Larger TPU deployments → Better hardware optimization → Lower costs → More competitive offerings → More demand.
**Ecosystem Lock-in:** AI features across Gmail, Docs, YouTube, Search, and Android create switching costs that compound across products. Users don't just leave Google Search—they'd have to abandon their entire digital workflow.
## The Strategic Moat Widens
While competitors excel in individual areas, Alphabet's advantage comes from **deep integration creating compound effects**:
- **Capital Moat:** The $85B capex commitment (13% increase from 2024) exceeds most competitors' total revenues
- **Integration Moat:** OpenAI using Google TPUs despite being competitors proves the hardware-software integration is unmatched
- **Scale Moat:** 2+ billion AI Overview users and $50B+ cloud run rate create network effects competitors can't replicate
- **Ecosystem Moat:** AI embedded across Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Workspace creates compounding switching costs
- **Innovation Velocity:** Time from AI research to deployed products at billion-user scale continues compressing
## The Key Insight
The Q2 earnings reveal that Alphabet isn't just building an AI company—**they're building the infrastructure that accelerates invention itself**. Each breakthrough feeds back into the system: new discoveries generate revenue that funds more research, create better tools for the next breakthrough, and attract top talent.
More importantly, they're embedding AI so deeply into users' daily workflows—from Gmail to YouTube to Search—that switching becomes not just inconvenient but practically impossible. When your email, documents, entertainment, and information all work seamlessly together through AI, why would you ever leave?
The $85 billion capex increase signals management's confidence that they're approaching "escape velocity"—where their innovation rate becomes impossible for competitors to match. While others debate AI spending, Alphabet is already demonstrating profitable AI deployment at unprecedented scale while simultaneously investing in the next acceleration phase.
**The Bottom Line:** Alphabet's integrated flywheel of AI research, proprietary hardware, massive data, and patient capital is creating an innovation velocity that competitors are finding increasingly difficult to match. But their true moat is embedding AI so deeply into billions of users' daily habits that the entire Google ecosystem becomes indispensable—and the Q2 results prove this strategy is already working.
Alphabet (Google) - Ready to Surge Again? | Ew analysisWe appear to be in the final wave of a major bull run that began all the way back in 2005. If this count unfolds as expected, Google could potentially rally toward the $350–$620 range or even higher representing a gain of over 200% from current levels. This would mark the completion of the fifth and final wave before a major long-term correction sets in.
That said, it's important to stay cautious. A sustained break below the current gray wave 5 would invalidate this scenario and suggest that the long-standing bull cycle may already have come to an end.
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Google About to 10x Off Agentic AIAlright, no dashes, just straight talk:
If you believe agentic AI is going to take off and actually become a core part of everyone’s daily life, Google is the best setup out there. They already have the user base, the data, and the infrastructure. Think search, Android, Gmail, YouTube, Maps, Chrome, and their cloud business. When agents start handling people’s shopping, emails, research, travel bookings, and even business ops, who do you think is going to provide all the backend and get the cut on every transaction? Google.
It’s the same reason Nvidia exploded. Everyone needed their GPUs for AI. Now, when everyone needs a digital agent, that agent will run through Google’s stack and Google will get a slice every time. Whether it is transaction fees, premium AI services, cloud usage, or new ways to monetize ads, Google will be there at every layer.
If agentic AI becomes as big as people are predicting, it will basically become the new operating system for how the world gets things done. Google is in the best position to own the rails and the agents themselves. Everyone else just becomes an app inside Google’s world.
My trade is simple. I keep buying GOOGL, especially on pullbacks. I ignore the noise and sit on it. You get the protection of their old businesses and massive upside if AI agents really take off.
TLDR: When the agentic AI wave hits, Google will be the casino. Everyone else will be just a player at the table.
Google trading north of support ahead of earnings!Ahead of today’s Q2 earnings release, you can see the price of Alphabet is trading just above a 6M support at US$191.54. Finding acceptance north of this support level could prompt buyers to change gears and potentially target a 1M resistance level at US$202.40. If price makes it above here, you will likely see the Stock challenge all-time highs of US$208.70, formed in early February this year. Failure to hold above US$191.54, nevertheless, could see price action target 6M support at US$184.51.
FP Markets Research Team.
Silicon Valley Shaken by China’s Free AI OffensiveSilicon Valley Shaken by China’s Free AI Offensive
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Artificial intelligence is undergoing its first major geopolitical fracture. While OpenAI strengthens its infrastructure by renting servers from Google Cloud, China’s advance with free generative models threatens to redefine the balance of power in the sector. Names like Qwen, InternLM, Yi, Baichuan, ChatGLM, or Ernie Bot (from Baidu), as well as initiatives backed by Tencent, Alibaba or iFlytek, are emerging strongly. Many of these open-source models already match — and in some tasks outperform — DeepSeek and compete with giants like GPT-4. A new global chessboard is being drawn with direct consequences for Alphabet, owner of Gemini and the same cloud service now supporting its main rival.
Google’s parent company has once again bared its teeth. Alphabet published second-quarter 2025 results that comfortably beat market expectations. Revenues are rising, profitability is solid, and its financial strength allows it to buy back shares at a dizzying pace. But behind all the shine, one shadow remains: its bet on artificial intelligence, Gemini, still hasn’t taken off compared to ChatGPT — and now faces a tsunami of free AI coming from China.
China’s Free AI Offensive: Intelligence for All (Without Paying)
The latest developments unveiled by Beijing are setting off alarms in Silicon Valley. Models like InternLM2, Qwen2, and Yi are not only distributed freely but show results equivalent or superior to paid models in key natural language tasks. Trained with massive corpora and backed directly or indirectly by the state, these AIs are designed to scale in universities, startups, and local companies, replacing Western software at no cost and with open licenses. The open-source ecosystem, combined with a local (albeit limited) chip market, allows China to reduce dependence on the West while exporting influence to emerging markets like Central Asia, Africa, or Latin America.
Xi Jinping Hits the Brakes… or Does He?
Since Xi Jinping’s speech calling for “moderation” in public investment in sectors like AI or electric vehicles, the message seems more like an attempt to control bubbles than halt progress. The president was clear: “Not the entire country should be building cars or processing data.” With irony, he labeled local governors as “three-pat officials”: one on the head to get the idea, one on the chest to sell it, and one on the backside to run when it blows up. Elegantly Brutal Comment. Behind the humor lies a serious backdrop: inflated bubbles, centers without qualified staff or functioning chips, and falsified sales data. This isn’t surprising given China’s price wars in the auto sector and shady practices inflating sales through vehicles insured before actual purchase, which has triggered a wave of new regulations and controls. This war has spread to AI, with centers being built without skilled personnel or working chips. According to Xi, unchecked growth is not worth it if it means excessive corporate and state debt.
OpenAI Rents Google Servers: Strategic Move or Dependence?
In an unexpected twist, OpenAI has started using Google Cloud infrastructure. The paradox is clear: Google, a direct rival with Gemini, is now supporting the race leader. The move seems pragmatic: OpenAI needs scale, and Google has one of the world’s most powerful cloud networks. This could translate into meaningful revenue for Alphabet, at the cost of ceding leadership perception in AI.
From a strategic standpoint, integrating into OpenAI’s service ecosystem could win Alphabet a long-term technological and economic victory by boosting cloud revenues and indirectly funding Gemini.
Alphabet Analysis (GOOGL)
🤖 Gemini, the Eternal Contender?
The paradox is clear: by using Google Cloud — one of the world’s most powerful cloud services — OpenAI generates income for Alphabet. Meanwhile, Alphabet still struggles to differentiate itself in generative artificial intelligence. Gemini continues searching for its place. Despite being one of Alphabet’s boldest bets, its progress has been slow and adoption lukewarm, and it hasn’t yet delivered significant returns on its own. Gemini has yet to achieve massive direct monetization. While integrations with Google Workspace — Gmail, Docs, and the Android ecosystem — are gaining visibility, user perception is still dominated by OpenAI. And now, with the emergence of free Chinese AIs, Gemini may be pushed aside even in markets where Alphabet aimed to lead digital transformation, like India, South America, or parts of Eastern Europe.
This alliance with OpenAI may have a mixed impact: positive on revenues, but negative for perceptions of technological leadership. Meanwhile, the market is watching open-source models like Qwen2, InternLM2, and Yi from China — all free — gain traction in sectors once reserved for the West. In the short term, this may seem like a trade-off, but from a strategic viewpoint, it could be one of Alphabet’s key long-term business moves. Alphabet has historically invested in competitors and made key acquisitions to reinforce its ecosystem — this could be one of those strategic bets, helping to fund Gemini’s path toward long-term tech leadership. Especially considering that in Q1, it increased R&D spending — particularly in AI and quantum computing — and that the cloud business must sustain its operating profitability (which grew 25% in Q1), this move could provide essential capital for this critical business vertical. Alphabet posted $33.8 billion in Q1 revenue, with total operating margins around 28%. AI as a future lever: Gemini 2.5 Pro and AI Overviews, already with 1.5 billion monthly users, could be catalysts accelerating multiple products.
A (Nearly) Perfect Quarter
Alphabet posted $93.84 billion in revenue in Q2 2025, a year-on-year growth of +10.7%. Net income reached $26.5 billion, with estimated EPS at $2.18. Operating margins improved to 34% (up from 32.4% in Q2 2024), reflecting more efficient management, while other Big Tech players have opted for cuts. One key standout was Google Cloud, which grew over 25% YoY ($12–13.1B), consolidating its profitability and strengthening its role as Alphabet’s second-largest revenue stream behind advertising.
Is Advertising Still the Engine?
Ad revenues rose by a solid +8.5%, reaching nearly $67 billion, with YouTube and Google Search leading the recovery (~$52–53B). Alphabet shows that even in disruptive times, its model continues generating cash.
Regulatory Risks
Growing antitrust pressure (Chrome, search case) with upcoming decisions could impact its business model and valuation.
Massive Buyback and Strong Cash Position
Alphabet isn’t just earning — it’s returning value to shareholders. The company announced a $70 billion share buyback, showing confidence in its future. Its cash position remains one of the strongest in the sector.
Technical Analysis (Updated)
Yesterday’s closing price was $191.37, within the consolidation zone from early 2025 that took the stock to its all-time high of $208.21. The upward channel seems to be testing a strong resistance zone, and the RSI is showing overbought conditions at 72.66%. The golden cross identified on June 30 remains intact. The strong trading zone around the point of control at $166.67 appears to act as support for the recent rally, indicating a positive bias. Key supports lie around the 200-day moving average ($172.9) and the 50-day moving average ($168). A convincing close above $194–195 may lead to further gains, while losing the $172.9–168 zone could suggest a correction due to high speculation or partial institutional sell-offs.
Conclusion: Train Wreck or Calculated Strategy?
The dominance of artificial intelligence is no longer just a game between American giants. China has entered the arena with a radical strategy: offering free, functional models to the world. The emergence of these state-backed models will force Silicon Valley to respond through moves like this one. Alphabet finds itself at a crossroads. Its financial strength and cloud business give it tactical advantages — even while renting infrastructure to its rivals — although this may dilute its presence as a developer. Still, its big AI bet appears to be advancing more slowly than many hoped. Alphabet’s strategy of participating in its rival’s business could be seen as weakness… or as a long-term masterstroke. Everything will depend on whether Gemini can reach the level of sophistication, adoption, and monetization that its ambition promises. Until then, the global AI landscape has become more complex, more competitive… and more Eastern.
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Head and Shoulders on $GOOGL right before earnings?- NASDAQ:GOOGL perhaps good news are already priced in?
- No positions on NASDAQ:GOOGL but interestingly it has given both bears and bull something to consider?
- Spectating what happens next!
- Interesting setup, bulls eyeing 200+ and bears targeting low 160s
- Good luck
GOOGL Ready to Recharge or Break? TA for July 16📊 GEX Sentiment & Options Outlook (Based on July 15 Data)
* Key Resistance Zone:
‣ 184–185: Highest Positive NET GEX, 3rd Call Wall → Strong gamma resistance
‣ 190–192.5: Additional call wall cluster—unlikely to break without strong momentum
‣ 195: GEX10 level (top bullish magnet if a breakout triggers)
* Support Zone:
‣ 180: Minor call wall, near current price
‣ 177.5: HVL zone for July 18 expiration — gamma cushion
‣ 172.5 / 167.5: Key PUT walls — heavy gamma support
* GEX Bias:
→ Neutral-to-Bullish skew with 43.11% Call Wall support near 180, and strong upward pressure up to 185 if price stays above 180.
* Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 38.8 (moderate)
* Calls Dominance: 27% of total options flow
* Bias: Bullish if price remains above 180 base; bearish break under 177.5 may open path to PUT zones.
📈 1-Hour Chart Smart Money Price Action (SMC-Based Analysis)
* Market Structure:
* Strong BOS (Break of Structure) confirms trend
* Minor CHoCH pullback near 180–182 zone showing healthy consolidation
* Holding mid-channel support trendline
* Key Zones:
* Purple Supply Zone at 182.5–183.5 — expect reactions
* Demand Zone near 174.5–172.5 — major support and rebuy area
* Trendline Support: Still intact, price respecting channel so far
* Trade Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above 183
* Target: 185 → 187.5
* Stop: Below 180
* 🔻 Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Loss of 180 and breakdown under 177.5
* Target: 174.5 → 172
* Stop: Above 182.5
* Bias: Consolidating, leaning bullish if it defends trendline and clears purple supply. Look for a reclaim of 183 with volume for next leg.
🎯 Final Thoughts
If GOOGL holds above 180, there's potential for a gamma squeeze into 185–187.5. However, a break below 177.5 flips sentiment short, targeting the demand zone around 174–172. Wait for structure confirmation before chasing.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Open AI building it's own Browser- Open AI building it's own Browser. They have the talent to build it.
- Apple buying Perplexity AI
- MARKETSCOM:GOOGLE chrome isn't the best. I find Firefox better than Chrome but that's subjective. There's no stickiness in web browsers honestly. It's just that there are no good options.
- Recently, Google chrome added some weird looking AI summarizer on top which must be reducing number of organic hits to the website.
- I'm bullish long term but bearish short term. Open AI is really disruptor and has strong talent density better than Google in my opinion.
Google Wave Analysis – 21 July 2025
- Google broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance 191.65
Google recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 185.00 and the upper trendline of the daily Rising Wedge from the start of May.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave C of the intermediate ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Google can be expected to rise further to the next resistance 191.65 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
GOOGL Eyeing a Gamma Launch Above $182. for July 14🔹 GEX Options Sentiment Analysis
* Gamma Resistance Zone:
The $180 level marks the highest positive Net GEX / Call Wall, making it a magnet and potential resistance for GOOGL.
Above that:
* $182.5 = 2nd Call Wall
* $185 = 3rd Call Wall
* $186.43 is the extreme call zone from GEX
* Put Walls (Support):
* $172.5 = 2nd Put Wall
* $167.5 = HVL
* $165 = 3rd Put Wall
* IVR & Call/Put Sentiment:
* IVR = 38.4 → moderate implied volatility ranking
* IVX avg = 42
* GEX Score = 🟢🟢🟢 (bullish bias)
* CALLs flow = 26.5% net positive
🔸 Implication:
With price above $180 gamma wall and still pushing into $182.5–$185 range, GOOGL is positioned for a potential gamma squeeze, especially if volume supports a move over $182.5.
💡 Options Trade Suggestion Based on GEX
Bullish Scenario:
* 📈 GOOGL 182.5C 07/19 or 07/26
* Entry: On break and hold above $181.50
* Target: $185–$186.5
* Stop: Below $179.50
* Reason: Riding gamma squeeze above the GEX resistance wall with strong call flow and IV breakout potential.
Bearish Rejection Scenario (if false breakout):
* 📉 GOOGL 175P 07/26
* Entry: If price rejects $182.5 and breaks below $179
* Target: $174 → $172.5
* Stop: Above $181.20
📊 1H Chart Analysis (SMC Price Action)
* Market Structure:
* Clean Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above previous highs.
* Price is currently consolidating inside a bearish OB between $180–$181.40.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $178.8 / $177.6
* Demand Zone: $174.65 → $172.79
* Resistance: $182.5 → $185 zone
* Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above $177.6)
* Trendline: Still being respected, with CHoCH flip bullish.
📍 Trade Setup Based on 1H Chart
Scalping Intraday Long Setup:
* Long above $181.40 (breakout from OB)
* Target: $182.5 → $185
* Stop: Below $179.80
Intraday Short Setup (if rejected):
* Short below $179
* Target: $177.6 → $174.6
* Stop: Above $181.25
🧠 Final Thoughts
GOOGL looks ripe for continuation as long as price remains above the $180 GEX wall. However, failure to clear $182.5 could invite profit-taking. Watch volume into open and how it behaves near the order block range.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade your plan, manage your risk, and stay adaptive to market conditions.
GOOGL Raid Plan: Bulls Set to Hijack the Chart!💎🚨**Operation GOOGL Grab: Robbery in Progress! Swing & Run!**🚨💎
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Silent Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready for another high-stakes market heist – this time, we’re raiding the vaults of GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) using the Thief Trading Strategy™. Based on sharp technical intel and subtle fundamental whispers, the setup is clear: the bulls have cracked the code, and it’s time to grab our loot.
🟢 🎯 ENTRY POINT - THE LOOT ZONE
"The vault is wide open!"
Snatch your bullish entry anywhere on the chart, but the pros will place limit buys on recent pullbacks (15m/30m zones), either on swing lows or highs. The pullback is your door in — don’t miss it!
🛑 STOP LOSS - ESCAPE ROUTE
Set the Thief SL at the recent 2H swing low (162.00).
But remember, each robber’s risk appetite is unique — adjust your SL based on your size, cash, and courage.
🎯 TARGET - GETAWAY MONEY
💼 Main Target: 186.50
Or if heat rises early, vanish with your gains before the full score hits. Disappear like a ghost — profit first, questions later!
🧲 FOR SCALPERS – THE QUICK GRAB
Only ride the long wave — shorting is off-limits in this mission.
If your wallet is loaded, dive in. If not, join the swing crew.
Use trailing SL to protect your cash stack 💰.
📈 THE SETUP – WHY THIS RAID WORKS
The GOOGL Market is bursting with bullish energy — a classic Red Zone robbery moment.
Overbought tension, fakeouts, trend shifts — exactly where we love to strike! Consolidation and reversals = opportunity for the brave.
📣 TRADING ALERT - NEWS AHEAD!
🚨 Avoid entries during news releases – they trigger alarms!
Use trailing SL to lock in your stash, especially during high-volatility windows.
🔍 TIPS FROM THE THIEF’S DESK
Stay updated with the latest whispers — from fundamentals to geopolitical noise, COT positioning to sentiment swings. The market changes faster than a thief on the run — so adapt fast!
💖 Show some love: 💥Hit that Boost Button💥
Let’s fuel this robbery plan with more power and precision.
Every day in the market is a new heist — let’s win like thieves, not sheep. 🏆💪🤝❤️🚀
I'll be back soon with another masterplan...
📡 Stay sharp, stay hidden — and always aim for the vault. 🤑🐱👤🎯
$GOOGL $GOOG AI Signals a Volatile Expansion 🔍 Technical Overview (Daily TF)
GOOGL is currently trading at $180.19, breaking upward inside a well-defined bullish channel, hugging equilibrium levels after consolidating just below the $184 resistance zone. This setup reflects classic Smart Money reaccumulation behavior:
🟩 Current Structure: CHoCH → BOS confirmed on higher lows
📊 Equilibrium: Mid-channel value alignment; strong price efficiency with low imbalance
🟧 Premium Zone: $202.81–208 marked for liquidity sweep (target zone)
🔴 Strong Highs: Not yet swept; draw on liquidity to the upside likely
Key price levels:
Resistance zone: $184.00–208.00
Support cluster: $172.00–168.00
Discount Block (Demand): $144.00–132.00
🤖 VolanX AI Models Forecast (as of July 12)
📌 Model 1 – Smart Money AI Trading Suite
LSTM Forecast: +9.0% gain expected over next 14 days
Target: $196.34
Market Condition: Overbought (No order blocks currently)
Volatility: 26.4%
Volume Shift: -15.5% (suggesting short-term supply exhaustion)
📌 Model 2 – WaverVanir DSS Platform
Sentiment Score: 78 (bullish bias)
15-Day Prediction: $182.34 (+1.2%)
30-Day Prediction: $184.36 (+2.3%)
📈 Note: The DSS is projecting slower upside in comparison to the Smart Money AI suite. This divergence suggests that while short-term price may rise, the major move could depend on external catalysts.
🌍 Macro & Catalyst Outlook
NASDAQ Tech Momentum: Q2 earnings in July will be a key macro driver
Yields & Dollar Index: Softening DXY supports tech; watch 10Y real yield inversion
AI Sector Beta: GOOGL is lagging NVDA/MSFT but may play catch-up into August
CPI/Inflation Watch: If inflation readings cool, it may trigger flows into mega-cap tech
Fed Policy Risk: September dot-plot shift could trigger volatility (Fed pivot vs sticky inflation)
🧠 WaverVanir DSS Conclusion:
📌 Bias: Bullish-to-Neutral
📌 Trade Zone: Watching for breakout above $184 to trigger sweep toward $196–202
📌 Invalidation: Break below $168 invalidates bullish structure; targets $144 liquidity pool
📌 Strategy: Standby mode; entry requires confirmation of volume breakout above range high.
📢 WaverVanir Insight:
"Smart Money has shown its hand — compression is a prelude to expansion. We're monitoring confluence between AI signal alignment and SMC structures. $196 target remains valid unless CHoCH flips bearish with volume."
#WaverVanir #VolanX #SmartMoneyConcepts #GOOGL #AITrading #InstitutionalFlow #LSTM #VolumeProfile #TradingView #MacroAnalysis #StockForecast #Alphabet #MarketForecast
GOOG Wave B
Bullish price action from the last couple of months has been unconvincing, and this looks more like a wave B correction.
A break of the black ascending channel would be a trigger for wave C.
It would be interesting to see a reversal pattern in smaller timeframes if price touches the gray supply zone.