4GOOGL trade ideas
GOOGLE Impulse Spike for Friday, January 31 2025The Fibonacci levels on Google line up precisely at many junctures.. The FIB level just above the price channel and the closing price for Thursday, January 30, 2025 is near $203.85..
I'm of the opinion that price seeks that level today and then fades toward the gap (and a FIB level) at $182.25 -- A gap fill or gap JUMP to $174.75 is also possible.. This will depend on guidance after earnings.
One should consider the AI market is becoming saturated, and the vast money spent to promote Kamala will reflect in earnings *this* cycle, but not for the next cycle. I personally don't resonate with the myriad upgrades for price targets the expert pundits are making.
These are just my opinions and are not recommendations to buy or sell any stock or options.
Breaking: Alphabet ($GOOG) Shares Drop 7% in PremarketAlphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) witnessed a significant 7% drop in premarket trading on Wednesday, driven by investor concerns over slowing cloud growth and the tech giant’s hefty $75 billion investment into artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. This figure far exceeded Wall Street’s projected $58 billion, raising doubts about the necessity and efficiency of such high spending.
AI Investment and Competitive Pressure
Alphabet has been aggressively investing in AI research and its integration across Google Search, Cloud services, and other platforms. However, the emergence of China’s low-cost DeepSeek AI model—which reportedly rivals leading U.S. AI models—has triggered discussions about whether Big Tech companies need to allocate billions toward AI advancements.
Cloud Growth Concerns
Alphabet's cloud division reported a 30% revenue increase to $11.96 billion in Q4, but this marked a slowdown compared to the 35% growth in Q3. In contrast, Microsoft Azure saw a 31% increase, while Amazon Web Services (AMZN) is projected to post only a 19% rise. Despite the slowdown, analysts believe the surging demand for AI-powered cloud computing will keep the long-term outlook positive for Alphabet’s cloud business.
Advertising Challenges
Beyond AI and cloud investments, Alphabet is grappling with fierce competition in the digital advertising space. With marketers increasingly shifting to social media-driven ad platforms like Meta’s Facebook and Instagram, and ByteDance’s TikTok, Google’s traditional ad model faces mounting pressure.
Technical Analysis
At the time of writing, NASDAQ:GOOG shares are down 6.75%, signaling a potential bearish continuation pattern. The stock appears poised to form a gap-down pattern, a bearish technical indicator that may lead to further downside pressure.
- Support Levels:* The first minor support lies at $197, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A breakdown below this level could result in gap-filling towards $185-$190.
- Major Structural Support: The BOS (Break of Structure) level is set at $155. A dip to this level could trigger further bearish sentiment and result in deeper losses.
- Moving Averages: Despite the premarket decline, NASDAQ:GOOG remains above key moving averages, suggesting that the broader trend remains bullish unless further downside momentum builds.
- RSI Positioning: Prior to this drop, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 64, indicating that the stock was not overbought. This means the decline is not necessarily a reaction to overvaluation but rather a response to external market forces and investor sentiment.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook
While some brokerage firms have cut their price targets on Alphabet, the median price target now stands at $220—still above its current premarket trading price of $191.20. Alphabet’s stock had gained 9% in 2024 before this drop, outperforming Amazon’s 10.3% gain and Microsoft’s -2.2% decline.
Conclusion
Despite the current dip, Alphabet’s long-term prospects in AI and cloud computing remain strong. The significant AI investment could prove to be a long-term advantage if it strengthens Alphabet’s competitive positioning. However, traders should closely monitor key support levels ($197 and $155) and whether the stock can hold above key moving averages.
For long-term investors, the recent drop could present a buying opportunity, but in the short term, further downside volatility is possible as market sentiment adjusts to Alphabet’s spending strategy. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether NASDAQ:GOOG can recover swiftly or continue its downward trajectory.
GOOGLE Buy the earnings dip and Target $215.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 09 2024 Low. Just last Friday it formed a Bullish Cross on its 1D MACD and is rising, which inside this Channel Up pattern, has been a strong buy signal.
Given that the company's Earnings miss will force the stock to open near or at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), take this excellent dip opportunity to buy the technical pattern and target $215, which is the standard +15% Higher Lows rebound the Channel had on each Bullish Leg.
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$GOOG breakout-pullback opportunityThis is a daily of GOOG, showing a swing high to the left, a breakout on high volume, and a pullback to the breakout level due to earnings reaction. If you have been waiting to get in on this monster, now is a high-probability time to do so.
$GOOGL Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits AllTime High Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits All-Time High 📉✨
1/9
Global stocks dipped after Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) missed earnings expectations, putting pressure on Wall Street futures. Investors are now questioning tech's growth outlook. 📉 Could this signal a broader tech revaluation?
2/9
Alphabet’s earnings disappointment impacted sentiment across markets, while some European stocks showed resilience. Novo Nordisk delivered positive earnings, highlighting sector-specific strength. 🏢📊
3/9
Currency Moves: The USD/JPY pair saw notable movement as the yen strengthened. Japan’s wage data came in higher than expected, fueling speculation of another rate hike. 💴 Could this be a turning point for the yen's momentum?
4/9
The dollar weakened against major currencies, driven by Japan’s wage growth data and broader market uncertainty. Currency traders, take note: further BOJ tightening may continue shifting capital flows. 📉
5/9
Gold Surge: The precious metal hit a record high today. A weaker dollar and heightened geopolitical risks are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. 🚀 Will this trend hold if market volatility persists?
6/9
Political surprise: President Trump made unexpected remarks about potential U.S. involvement in Gaza for economic development. Despite the shock value, markets largely shrugged off the news. 🗞️ Investors kept their eyes on the numbers instead.
7/9
Market Insights:
Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ): Missed earnings shook tech stocks.
USD/JPY: Yen gains signal a potential shift in forex markets.
Gold: Safe-haven demand pushes prices to new highs.
8/9
Investors may need to reassess their tech positions in light of Alphabet’s performance. Meanwhile, forex traders could find opportunities in USD/JPY movements, and gold investors are riding a bullish wave. 🧭
9/9
What's your market outlook after today's moves? Vote now! 🗳️
Tech will rebound soon 📈
Volatility will dominate 🔄
Gold remains king of 2025 ✨
Alphabet - 5 waves up completed and correction incoming ?The reaction of price to the lastest earnings wasn't positive and it went down a few fib levels.
It was right at the top of the channel and 5 waves since 2022 could be completed.
Alternatively this drop can be wave IV of 5 and we will see one more higher high in the 220$ area.
2/4/25 - $googl - Why not. Buy into EPS2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GOOGL
Why not. Buy into EPS
- i've always liked NASDAQ:META more
- but seeing they're exposed to the same trends, the deepseek BS should be (and mkt has agreed, at least temporarily), a net +ve to software-first businesses esp w their own language models and esp native inference chips (TPUs at google don't seem to be in the multiple).
- low 20x PE, 3.5% fcf yield, growing DD and a consumer that has proven to be resilient in 4Q vis a vis subscription names like NYSE:SPOT , or consumption names like $meta...
- worth a roll esp bc chart has good upside to let run into price discovery
- keeping it small, but setup seems to favor a small punt long
whatcha think anon?
V
Google Wave Analysis – 4 February 2025
- Google under the bullish pressure
- Likely to rise to resistance level 210.00
Google is under bullish pressure after the earlier breakout of the resistance level 200.00, which is the upper border of the sideways price range inside which the pair has been moving from December.
The breakout of the resistance level 200.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (C) from September.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Google can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 210.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis – Potential Downside RisksAlphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon:
Extended Distance from 55 EMA:
The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible.
Bearish Divergence:
The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence.
Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings:
Earnings Report on Tuesday:
Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures.
Revenue Growth Concerns:
The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services.
Competitive Pressure in AI:
Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability.
While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level.
92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment.
This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.
GOOG 4TH FEB READ DESCRIPTION Google is showing no sign of loss of momentum on Daily, Weekly & Monthly.
Again since it is All Time High so we ill have to understand the risk involved here.
I will Scalp here with stocks for a quick 10% move
NOTE: DO NOT TRADE OPTIONS
Google: Room to Head HigherFor the past two months, GOOGL has been stuck in a sluggish sideways phase, with even its latest breakout attempt quickly sold off. During the magenta wave , we still expect a new high, though a direct transition into the subsequent wave remains technically possible. In our 33% likely alternative scenario, we would have to reckon with a significantly delayed continuation of the overarching upward cycle. In this case, GOOGL would still be working through the (intermediate) correction of the green wave alt. , which would bottom below the support at $147.22.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on GOOGL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $7.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOOGLE $GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS Feb4'25GOOGLE NASDAQ:GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS ALPHABET'S EARNINGS Feb4'25
Google Zones:
Google BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $199.00 - $215.00
Google DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $193.50 - $199.00
Google SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $180.00 - $193.50
Google Trends:
Google Weekly Trend: Bullish
Google Daily Trend: Bullish
Google 4H Trend: Bullish
Google 1H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:GOOG earnings are set for Tuesday, Feb 4 (post-market), will the earnings report fuel further upside, or is a pullback on the horizon? All of my timeframes on my indicator show bullish trends. NASDAQ:GOOG has been in a strong uptrend since early December, gaining ~15% since Dec 9. Leading up to earnings, price formed an ascending pattern, breaking out past resistance on Jan 30. My bullish zone projects a ~6% upside, while the bearish zone mirrors this range.
I am linking my previous NASDAQ:GOOG analysis, from nearly a year ago.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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GOOGLE Wyckoff Distribution?Google is showing characteristics of Wyckoffe distribution as indicated by the initial impulsive move up, a buying climax, multiple secondary tests, and this final upthrust movement into heavy call gamma resistance at $210. A close below $200 could precede a major sell-off lasting up to 1-2 months. Will be watching closely on earnings. This is not financial advice, this is simply my opinion and part of my trade journal where I am keeping ideas on market movements but not necessarily taking any position.
GOOGL GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations from GEX Chart
1. Call Resistance:
* Strong call resistance at $210, indicated by the highest positive gamma concentration. This level is likely to act as a ceiling unless there's a strong bullish breakout.
2. Put Support:
* Significant put support is observed at $185, with additional support near $180. These levels are critical for maintaining bullish momentum.
3. Gamma Pivot Zone:
* $200 appears to be the gamma flip zone, where the gamma exposure transitions between negative and positive. Holding above this level suggests bullish sentiment, while falling below could signal bearish pressure.
4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* IVR at 61 indicates moderately high implied volatility, presenting an opportunity for premium-selling strategies.
5. Implied Volatility (IVx):
* IVx at 45.8 suggests stable volatility expectations, which may favor directional or neutral strategies depending on the market structure.
Option Trading Suggestions
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If GOOGL sustains above $200:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $200 (Buy Call)
* Strike 2: $205 (Sell Call)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Targets the resistance at $205 while reducing cost and risk.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If GOOGL fails to hold $200:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $200 (Buy Put)
* Strike 2: $195 (Sell Put)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Aims to capture downside movement toward the next support at $195.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* For a range-bound movement between $195 and $205:
* Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor.
* Sell Put: $195
* Buy Put: $190
* Sell Call: $205
* Buy Call: $210
* Reasoning: Captures premium within the expected range while limiting risk.
Thoughts and Insights
* Momentum Assessment: The $200 level is critical for maintaining bullish momentum. A breakout above $205 could open the door to $210.
* Volatility Context: Moderately high IVR suggests that premium-selling strategies like Iron Condors could be effective.
* Key Levels to Monitor:
* Support: $195, $185
* Resistance: $205, $210
Reminder:
GEX data updates automatically every 15 minutes. Always check real-time data before making trading decisions to ensure accuracy and adjust for any new developments.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and risk management before trading.
GOOGL at a Pivotal Crossroad! Key Levels and Trade Setups-Jan 3Technical Analysis (TA):
Current Price Action:
* GOOGL has recently broken out of a descending channel and is now trading above $200, showing bullish momentum.
* The price reached a high of $205.48 and is currently consolidating.
Key Support and Resistance:
* Support Levels:
* $200 (psychological level and recent breakout point).
* $192.50 (historical support and HVL zone).
* Resistance Levels:
* $205.48 (intraday high).
* $210 (highest positive GEX/Call Resistance).
Trend and Indicators:
* MACD: Positive momentum but showing signs of potential divergence. Watch for a cross to confirm direction.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought, suggesting possible short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Volume: Increasing on the breakout, indicating strong interest from buyers.
Price Scenarios:
* Bullish: A breakout above $205.50 could see a test of $210, aligning with the highest positive GEX level.
* Bearish: A failure to hold $200 may lead to a retest of $192.50 and further downside toward $185.
Options GEX Analysis:
* Call Walls:
* $205.48 (key resistance).
* $210 (highest positive GEX, strong gamma wall).
* Put Walls:
* $192.50 (support zone).
* $185 (2nd Put Wall and significant downside support).
Options Metrics:
* Implied Volatility (IVR): 57.2 (elevated, indicating higher premium levels).
* Call Volume Dominance: 25.8% ($205 strike seeing significant activity).
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): Positive, supporting bullish bias.
Trade Setups:
Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $205.50.
* Target: $210.
* Stop-Loss: $202.
Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $200.
* Target: $192.50.
* Stop-Loss: $203.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risks carefully before trading.
bullish breakout consolidating with clear flag pattern above the channel, a successful breakout will lead to 216 than 253 end target
GOOGL testing 200 multiple times NASDAQ:GOOGL May be seeing a new high after testing the psychological resistance at 200.00 multiple times. Furthermore, the stochastic shows overbought crossover but no strong correction is in place. in other words, the overbought signal is indicating strong buying interest rather than weakening expression. Also, price action signal higher lows within the range and as such, the positive buying is still strong. Volume remain healthy.
Maintain a buy with Target at 220, based on positive long and mid-term momentum.
Google shares Alphabet's (Google) expected Q4 2024 metrics include: Google Properties revenue at $63.43B (+10.9% YoY), Google Cloud at $12.14B (+32.1%), YouTube ads at $10.16B (+10.4%), and Google Search & Other at $53.18B (+10.7%). Total revenue is forecasted at $81.38B (+12.5% YoY).
Google short: An Update to price and time targetI've previously mentioned that I expect Google to go up towards earnings and then down. This is an update to the same idea but now that the waveforms are clearer, we can roughly gauge how it will move.
Of course, as of this writing, I do expect that the price target of $204.29 will be hit before the intersection of the trendline with the Fibonacci Extension level (which is on 6th Feb).
Take note that earnings after market hours of 4th Feb. What this means is that we have 2 scenarios with different ways to handle our trades:
1. Price will be hit before earnings: in this case, I expect price to crash immediately in after-hours and at the next opening.
2. Price will be hit after earnings: In this case, I expect price to move up in after-hours, gapped up even above our target price of $204.29 and then started to sell down.
$GOOG bullish spike and channelThis is a daily of GOOG. It has seen a bullish spike and the formation of a relatively tight bullish channel. Use this as a guide to add to tactical positions or to take relatively quick swings by buying at lower bound of channel and selling at upper. Let me know if this is of any use and I would like to hear some success stories or criticisms. Either way, best of luck and good trading.
-Mr Joseph
GOOGL Stock: Current Market OverviewNASDAQ:GOOGL
The stock has been in a consolidation phase since reaching its peak on December 17, signaling a period of indecision in the market. This range-bound movement offers traders a critical opportunity to monitor key levels, as these could indicate the next significant price move.
Let’s break down the critical technical aspects:
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones: The stock has established key support levels at $190.68 and $187.37 . These price points may act as floor prices, potentially providing a cushion against further declines.
Resistance Zone: On the upside, $202.29 is the level to watch. If the stock pushes above this mark, it could signal renewed bullish momentum, but if it fails to break this resistance, downward pressure may persist.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern
A key pattern that we should watch for is the Head and Shoulders formation . This pattern could begin forming depending on the stock's behavior within the current range. Here’s why this matters:
The Head and Shoulders: If the stock fails to break above the resistance at $202.29 and begins to trend lower, we could see the development of a bearish head and shoulders pattern.
Left Shoulder: Formed from the peak at $201.
Head: Occurred at the recent high of $202.29, where the stock may have struggled to push higher.
Right Shoulder: The right shoulder could begin to form around the $197.90 level, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which often acts as a critical resistance level.
Neckline: The neckline for this pattern would be around the $187.37 support level. A break below this fractal would confirm the pattern, suggesting further downside for the stock.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels
Fibonacci retracement levels are useful tools for traders looking to identify potential reversal points. Currently, the stock is approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $197.90 , which could be a strong resistance area as mentioned above.
If the stock declines from here, the $179 level becomes a critical target, coinciding with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension . This area could act as an important support zone for multiple technical reasons.
Bullish Shark Pattern
An interesting development to consider is the potential formation of a bullish shark pattern around the $178.15 level, aligning with the Fibonacci extension. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $181.24 may also come into play, strengthening the ascending trendline support formed since the early September lows.
If the stock approaches these levels, we should monitor for signs of reversal. The trendline support could act as element of support for a bullish recovery if the stock shows signs of bouncing from this area.
Key Takeaways
Watch the $187.37 Support: This level is critical for traders monitoring the potential for a head and shoulders pattern. A break below it could signal further downside, with the $179 level as the next key target.
Resistance at $202.29: The stock is currently capped by this level, and we should monitor for a breakout. If the stock surpasses this resistance, expect bullish continuation.
Fibonacci Levels: The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $197.90 and the 161.8% extension at $179 are important price points to watch for potential reversals.
Bullish Reversal Potential: A bullish shark pattern could emerge at the $178.15 level, supported by the 38.2% retracement at $181.24. This may offer buying opportunities.
Final Thoughts: The Uncertainty Ahead
While these technical patterns and levels provide a framework for understanding the stock's potential movement, it's important to note that this scenario is not guaranteed. The stock could easily break above the $202.29 resistance, in which case we may see further upward movement supporting the bullish trend.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
