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4MCD trade ideas

MCD looking to rebound off of 231 supportHad a major run up 12MAR21 and price has been steadily inclining since then until 7JAN. Since 7Jan it has dropped $40 and fell through all three SMA's (50/100/200). 50/100 about to cross signaling a downtrend. - last time this happened was 28DEC20 resulting in a $13 downtrend over 3 months hugging the 200 SMA. It has a history of staying above the 200. Besides COVID March, the times it has dipped below it quickly found its way back. Friday resulted in a Green Hammer bouncing off the 231.41 support. Negative Catalyst: Billionaire activist causing disruption within the company by nominating board members to support the kinder treatment of Pigs used for bacon at McDonalds eventually causing MCD to raise prices of its overpriced food. MCD had reported that disruption in its supply chain and the Omni virus have drastically impacted its expansion in the foreign market and sees no signs of getting past them. Wheat is expected to increase in price as the conflict in Ukraine continues. The grain shortage is affecting the cattle production has feed issues are surfacing. Feeder cattle sag to four-month lows.
NYSE:MCD
by MktNts
$MCD to 236 by end of quarter or all time highs$MCD - it took out the quarterly top, is now below 50% on the quarterly, and will likely make an outside bar candle (3) to take it to 236 by the end of the quarter. SHEEESSHHHH. This could also go the other way and look to make new highs again. Quarterly (White Fib & Red 50%): Currently a 2-2 with the high taken out, possible 3 down candle this quarterly as price has now passed 50% at 252.93. Monthly (Blue Fib): 2-1D Monthly 50% trigger Weekly (Yellow Fib): 2-2D Weekly Bearish Continuation if it breaks 250 to the downside. Also has the potential for a Bullish Randy Jackson if price breaks above 256.92 which also happens to be the weekly rejection to the downside. Daily (Grey): 2-1D Bearish Continuation or 2-1U Daily Reversal. Volume Sentiment: The downtrending candles show more volume of sellers when compared to buyers on the uptrend. I would expect this trend to continue if we are expecting to see 236 by the end of the quarter. Should this ticker decide to get bullish, I will be watching for price to move to the upside increased volume of buyers for confirmation. Bullish Targets: Look for a break above 252.29 on the daily with volume and take it up to 254.6. Should things continue with volume and if the area turns into support then you can take it up to 262 for the Bullish Randy Jackson for the week. Bearish Targets: Look for a break below 250 on the daily with volume. Take it to 245.25 and 243.95. If we retest 250 and aren't able to break above that then you can continue to take it down to 236.16 for the rest of the quarter. Overall I look for MCD to keep it hot with many options from the dollar menu bearish continuation to the big mac daddy bullish Randy Jackson (with volume) should things reverse from here.
NYSE:MCD
by GammaRayGoated
Mcd trade plan Nice head and shoulders pattern on mcd. the neckline is almost the same as the trend line so my entry is going to be the break of the trend line which is a little bit under the neckline. I'm going to get otm puts for April or may so there is enough time for mcd to hit our 3rd pt if it wants to go that far. my r/r is about 5-1 which is pretty good. my first pt has a r/r of 1.5-1 and the second pt has a r/r of 2.4-1. I still have to do the math and determine if contracts are over valued or undervalued since all this Ukraine stuff has messed with the price of options. Iv is at 27% which is a good sign and macd is also bearish.
NYSE:MCDShort
by UnknownUnicorn15677399
4
McDonald's | Fundamental AnalysisAs many people know, McDonald's recovery is now at its peak. Last week, this fast-food titan announced its Q4 earnings results, which include record sales growth as the company recovered from the 2020 pandemic recession. The chain is becoming much more profitable, thanks to a combination of cost-cutting and price increases. Let's take a look at some key findings from the fourth-quarter report to gauge the company's state of affairs. Investors feared that the latest variant of the coronavirus might hinder McDonald's growth recovery, but those fears proved to be exaggerated. Comparable-store sales were up 10.8 percent on a two-year basis, smoothing out fluctuations associated with temporary store closures. This result represents an acceleration from the previous quarter when revenues rose 10.2% on this basis. Of course, the U.S. market has slowed a bit, with two-year numbers down to 13% from 15% in the third quarter. However, McDonald's is still showing attendance growth and growth in average spending per visit in all of its key geographic regions. CEO Chris Kempczinski, in a press release, called the 2021 results, which include McDonald's fastest growth in U.S. history, "a truly exceptional result." The chain's global sales for the full year rose 21 percent to $112 billion. Of course, McDonald's has not escaped a sharp rise in inflation, which has hit food ingredients especially hard in recent months. For example, wages rose more than 10 percent for most of 2021, and food costs rose about 6 percent. The chain has more than offset these pressures by raising prices, aggressively cutting costs, and increasing efficiency through more takeout and delivery sales. In fact, operating profit increased 17%, outpacing overall revenue growth. This success has allowed operating margins to soar to 42.4% of sales from 36.7% a year ago. McDonald's is now showing record profitability, even as costs across the business are rising rapidly. Operating profits for the full year topped $10 billion, a new record. Kempczinski and his team are watching for some major potential challenges for fiscal 2022, including continued pressure to pass on higher food costs to consumers. Some key markets, such as China, face further COVID-19 restrictions. And competition in home food delivery remains as fierce as ever. But last year's results confirm that this restaurant chain has several world-class assets that allow it to thrive in almost any market environment. It's also a testament to the flexibility of its massive fast-food platform to cater to a wide range of tastes, whether premium drinks and sandwiches or inexpensive meals. As a result, investors have every reason to expect positive returns from owning McDonald's stock. Of course, it's unlikely that the company will ever repeat its 2021 performance when its revenues rose 14% after a downturn in 2020. But the restaurant chain has regularly gained share in a huge global market and boasts some of the highest margins and cash flow in the industry. These factors, as well as a growing dividend, should help shareholders continue to outperform the market by owning these shares.
NYSE:MCDLong
by FOREXN1
7
MCD Earnings Musk eating a Happy Meal if McDonald's accepts DOGEElon Musk said he would eat a Happy Meal on TV if McDonald's started accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment. Even BurgerKing, who had joint marketing campaigns with Dogecoin before, commented on the tweet. MCD McDonald's global sales increased 12.3% in Q4, +7.5% in U.S. sales but: Revenue: $6.01 billion vs $6.02 billion expected EPS: $2.23 vs $2.33 expected My scenario is a bounce from this support, forming a Head and Shoulders Bearish chart parttern with a price target around $229.
NYSE:MCDLong
by TopgOptions
Consumer discretionary stocks are doing fine. McDonald's exampleHi everyone, As millions of retail crypto and options speculators lose their savings, McDonalds Corporation is rubbing its hands with a hideos grin. "Ah, yes, millions of fresh employees, just what I need" . In all seriousness, consumer discretionary sector as a whole was obviously contracting with the broad market. However, not quite at the same pace. NYSE:MCD stock has seen a maximmum drawdown of 8.7%, whereas S&P dropped 12% from the top. Though if you look for a safehaven amidst the increased volatility, it is much safer to buy consumer defensive names, such as Campbell Soup ( NYSE:CPB ), Kroger NYSE:KR , Procter&Gamble ( PG ), etc. All these names performed really well this month compared to the general market. McDonald's is a cyclical consumer stock, which means it will outperform the market during the economic expansion period. And when is this going to happen? My opinion is the following: 1. Market is in turmoil, so the Fed is not going to raise rates. 2. Inflation will slow down. Inflation is connected to the supply chain issues, not to the Fed printing money (because in reality they did not print anything, but that's another topic for discussion). 3. All Covid measures are going to be cancelled this year, as the global context on taming this virus started to shift. The above reasons lead to a major economic expansion and another consumer discretionary stocks boom later this year. McDonalds happens to be one of them. Oh, yeah, also check my levels on the chart. As always, trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise.
NYSE:MCDLong
by AyBe_Invest
3
Short MCDMCD has been on a tear since COVID and rightfully so. With restaurants shutting down and consumers unable to go in to restaurants, the best alternative was fast-food. However, with states trying to get back to a semblance of normalcy, fast-food chains are losing that customers to sit down restaurants (MCD included). MCD has reached a favorable target for me to short it and there is a gap to the downside at $250 that still needs to be filled. Any puts ITM or slightly out of for the next few weeks are favorable; I would even short earnings up here. Not financial advice
NYSE:MCDShort
by FiboTrader1
5