ExhaustedThe long red candle indicates an overbought market. Despite the good economic results no new highs could be reached and the week showed beginning profit taking. Most of the market participiants are long and convonced of the good results. They are right and many of them are sitting on good profits. The more profit taking will come in here they will be thinking of taking an increasing part of their profit.
f this is true the chart picture will show a double top and a beginning bear market in the shorter time frame.
4PLTR trade ideas
Chapter 4: “The Winds Shift”The morning sun had barely risen when PLTR stood once again atop its hard-won ground at $119.85.
Behind it lay the shattered green line, now a path paved by victory; ahead, the final gates of $122 gleamed, radiant yet distant.
But as the warrior gazed toward those heights, a subtle chill crept through the air.
The wind — once warm and pushing at its back — began to shift.
Something unseen stirred.
At first, it was a faint resistance, like climbing a hill with each step heavier than the last.
Buyers pressed forward, but their strength no longer carried the same force.
The candles wavered, flickering between green and red, as if uncertain which direction fate would choose.
And then…
the clouds gathered.
A sudden, sharp gust swept across the battlefield.
Without warning, a red streak fell from the sky — a swift, merciless strike.
$119… $118… $117.50…
One by one, the levels gave way beneath the weight of the selloff.
The crowd below gasped, their cheers silenced into stunned whispers.
“A pullback,” said the seasoned watchers.
“No — a test.”
The warrior planted its sword at $117.43, steadying itself against the trembling earth.
This was no defeat.
This was the trial between surges, the quiet before the next roar.
Above, the dashed white line — the ascending path toward $122 — remained unbroken, like a promise waiting to be claimed.
Below, the green line shimmered faintly, its support lingering, a reminder of how far they had come.
In this moment, the battle paused.
The bulls gathered their breath, their resolve.
The bears watched from the shadows, unsure if their strike had been enough.
And the market… waited.
A stillness before the next move.
“We’ve pulled back,” whispered the warrior, “but we have not fallen.”
“The path remains.
The sky above is still ours to claim.”
And as the candles narrowed, coiling in quiet preparation, all eyes turned once again to the horizon.
For though the winds had shifted…
the climb was far from over.
Chapter 3: “The Skyveil @$116 Shattered” (Buy until $124)The smoke still clung to the air as the dust settled atop $113. Behind them, the battlefield lay littered with broken resistance. But NASDAQ:PLTR did not stop to rest.
No… the warrior lifted its gaze, and there it was:
The green dotted line.
A spectral threshold, shimmering above the plains at $116–$117, a boundary etched by the hands of past momentum. For many, it was a ceiling. For PLTR, it was a dare.
“Cross me,” the line seemed to whisper.
“If you can.”
And so… they marched.
With each step higher, the volume beneath them rumbled like war drums.
Every tick upward: a shield raised, a sword drawn.
$114… $115… $116…
And then — the clash.
The green line wasn’t just a price level.
It was a fortress in the sky.
As PLTR’s price struck its surface, a shockwave rippled through the chart.
Red candles flared, sellers firing their volleys from the ramparts.
The price staggered backward, briefly retreating toward $115.75… $115.50…
But this wasn’t retreat.
This was the drawing back of an arrow before the release.
Suddenly —
A surge of volume.
A roar of momentum.
A candle forged in fire.
A towering green candle burst forth, piercing the green dotted veil, splitting it like thunder cleaving the night.
Stop-losses ignited.
Shorts fled.
Momentum traders piled in, shouting like an army unleashed.
PLTR didn’t just break the green line.
It obliterated it.
The price flew higher: $117… $118… $119.85.
Every level above was no longer resistance —
it was acceleration.
And now, standing tall at $119.85, up +8.5%, the warrior looked beyond.
Ahead shimmered new battlements:
$120… $121… $122.
The final walls before reclaiming the higher kingdom.
The market watched in awe.
“It was never about breaking resistance,” whispered the charts.
“It was about proving the sky was never the limit.”
PLTR stood, sword raised, armor shining in the glow of its momentum.
The green line broken beneath its feet.
The wind at its back.
And as the candles flickered forward, every tick toward $124 felt inevitable.
The battle wasn’t over....
...The conquest had only just begun.
Chapter 2: “The Siege of $113” (BUY) (LONG)As the sun rose over the battlefield of the premarket, a new fire ignited in the heart of $NASDAQ:PLTR. No longer crawling beneath the walls, no longer whispering hope in the shadows — this morning, it stood tall, armor glinting, sword raised, its banner flying at $112.44.
The crowd of traders watched, holding their breath. For the first time in days, the warrior had not just broken the outer defenses…
…it was now staring down the gatekeepers of $113.
Above it loomed the yellow dashed ramparts — the fortified resistance of the bears, the final barricade before reclaiming the highlands of $114 and beyond.
Behind those walls, the bears sharpened their claws, watching the advancing price with growing unease. Their fortress had once been impenetrable. But today… cracks were showing.
And then — a surge.
The premarket volume roared like a war horn. Green candles marched forward, beating against the yellow line like a battering ram. Each tick upward was a shout:
“We’re not backing down.”
“We’re taking back what’s ours.”
The price hovered at $112.44 — tense, ready, coiled like a spring. Every trader, every algorithm, every fund manager watching knew:
This was the moment. The critical battle.
PLTR: Double Top Short?Palantir hit a premium zone and rejected off a weak high (~$125) with strong bearish flow confirmation ($3.1M vs $905K bullish in <30D options). Smart Money Concepts (SMC) signals — including multiple CHoCH and BOS — suggest distribution is underway.
🔻 Bearish Setup (Primary Bias – 65%)
Entry: $110–$112 (supply retest zone)
TP1: $100 (psych + EMA)
TP2: $87.49 (discount zone)
TP3: $71.51 (equilibrium block)
Invalidation: Above $125.50
📈 Bullish Scenario (35%)
Buyers may step in between $100–$106 (EMA cluster)
Breakout above $115 could squeeze toward $125 again
🔎 Volume profile shows topping behavior. Institutional flow favors the short side. Watching for confirmation below $107.
$PLTRGeo-Economic Strategy + AI = Future Power 🧠💥
As tensions and disruptions rise between India and Pakistan, this may be India’s moment to invest or partner in predictive military AI systems like those developed by $PLTR.
These systems could help anticipate operations before they unfold, protecting infrastructure & economic flow from unexpected military shocks.
Meanwhile, NASDAQ:PLTR is showing strong demand above the $80 level, supported by rising AI competition and global defense adoption.
AI isn’t just for productivity. It’s becoming a strategic weapon whoever owns the best models, owns the advantage.
Chapter 1: PLTR's Comeback (Buy)In the land of Wall Street, PLTR was a warrior that had been knocked down but not defeated. After a rough battle the day before, where bears pushed it deep into the trenches (the big drop from above $115), it found itself walking wounded near the $107 valley.
But then something changed.
A small but determined army of buyers started lifting it from the depths, forming a staircase of higher lows ...step by step... each bounce catching on the red upward slanted support line, like hands reaching up from the crowd.
Though the sky was still clouded by blue dashed downtrend lines (resistance clouds of the past), the price began pushing closer to the walls of the bear fortress around $110.
Today, a breakthrough happened:
For the first time in a while, PLTR climbed back over $110, piercing the orange dashed resistance like a sword cutting through weak armor.
The candles stood taller, the volume whispering the promise of strength...not explosive yet, but steady like a brewing rebellion.
The stock was now above the short-term moving averages (green and red lines curling upward), signaling momentum was turning.
The yellow dashed line up ahead (at $113–$114) stood like the gates of a higher kingdom ...the next mission.
But right here, right now, NASDAQ:PLTR was no longer fighting below the fortress walls. It had scaled them.
Chapter 9: “The White Line Breach”For days, the NASDAQ:PLTR battlefield stood frozen under the shadow of the white dashed resistance—an angular ceiling forged from hesitation, indecision, and algorithmic hesitation. It was the Interference Veil, where countless bullish advances had been halted and turned back by automated sentries and institutional watchers cloaked in silence.
But on this day, at 129.12, the veil trembled.
The Bulls had not retreated. They had regrouped—silently accumulating forces along the orange trench of rising support, camouflaged by volatility and misdirection. With perfect timing, they synchronized their move. And then...
The breach .
A violent yet precise upward strike—piercing the white line. Not with brute force, but with surgical precision. Candles flared upward like tracer rounds, slicing through the thin air of resistance, signaling that the containment dome had cracked.
The Bears scrambled, shocked. Their white line had been their defense perimeter. Now, it glitched.
The Bulls didn’t just want victory—they wanted altitude. The moment they broke the veil, momentum algorithms triggered. Buyers flooded in, pushing the price toward the green gates of 130.00—the Gateway to the Terror Dome. A final boss battle awaited beyond it.
Below, the orange support line remained intact—an unbroken lifeline channeling bullish energy upward. The breach wasn't a climax. It was a signal flare.
Something bigger was coming.
...to be continued to Chapter 10: The assault on $130.50...
Why it's time to take a closer look at Palantir stockWell well well, a good mystery starts with a whisper. For Palantir, it began in 2003, in the shadows of war-torn Iraq and Afghanistan. U.S. forces were struggling. Data was scattered. Decisions were delayed. Then came a company that promised to stitch the chaos together - to map the battlefield, spot terrorists, and maybe, just maybe, save lives!
After two decades: Palantir is no longer just a software firm - it's a silent architect behind some of the West’s most mission-critical operations.
🕵️♂️ Mission?
Not just to build technology. Not just to analyze data. But to influence life-and-death decisions - "Our product is used on occasion to kill people," their leadership says without blinking.
💼 Game?
Winning Defense Department contracts - and commercial giants too.
They've hired former Pentagon insiders, like Gregory Barbaccia and Shyam Sankar, and even political power players like Machalagh Carr, formerly Chief of Staff to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Play chess, not checkers?
💉 During the COVID-19 pandemic, Palantir stepped into the public health arena, building the infrastructure to track outbreaks and distribute vaccines for the U.S. government. They weren’t just responding - they were organizing the response.
🧠 And now? AI is their battlefield.
In August 2024, they deepened ties with Microsoft, integrating Azure OpenAI with Palantir's AIP - but not just anywhere. In classified environments. The stakes? National security. The client? The U.S. government.
Chapter 5: “Operation: Break the Ceiling" (Buy) (Long)The sky was quiet.
Too quiet.
A calm so perfect it made the watchers uneasy.
Price hovered in the highlands of $121, just beneath the outpost towers of $124 —
not pressing, not charging…
simply present.
But beneath that calm…
a mission was unfolding.
A silent infiltration.
The bears had fallen into rhythm.
Their sentries lined the upper fortresses,
comforted by routine.
Sell walls rested like rusted armor at $123… $124… $126.
Nothing unusual.
Nothing alarming.
They had seen bulls climb before — loudly, predictably, emotionally.
But this time…
there was no climbing.
This time,
the bulls were already inside.
They had entered beneath the surface —
not with volume,
but with silence.
Their movements did not trigger alerts.
Their footprints were traced in subtle accumulation,
their weapons hidden inside passive bids and split spreads.
One by one, they infiltrated the upper levels of the chart,
moving through forgotten gaps,
nesting in the creases of illiquidity,
planting their charges .
They weren’t here to trade.
They were here to detonate .
The structure had been compromised.
What looked like sideways movement
was merely preparation.
A disguise.
A mask worn by momentum itself.
They moved with purpose —
not to break resistance,
but to shatter expectation .
The white ascending line arched above them like a tensioned wire.
Beneath it, the bulls crawled like operatives through the ductwork of the market.
And at the center of their plan
sat the payload —
a momentum surge wired to explode
beneath $124… and aimed directly at $129 .
The bears sensed it.
But they didn’t know what “it” was.
They reinforced their walls.
They adjusted their orders.
But they were guarding against noise…
not ghosts .
And then,
without sound, without volume, without warning...
one candle blinked .
It wasn’t large.
It wasn’t dramatic.
But it was perfect.
It sliced upward, clean as a blade.
And in that moment,
everything changed.
The white path lit up.
The tape rippled.
The chart cracked.
Price surged.
Not wildly —
surgically.
$122.60…
$123.80…
$124.90…
Each level breached with clinical precision,
as if it had been drawn,
practiced,
rehearsed.
And through it all,
no bull said a word.
From below, traders watched in disbelief.
“It’s flying—
But there’s no panic.
No chasing.
No… noise.”
Because it wasn’t hype.
It wasn’t FOMO.
It was execution.
And now, as the dust settles,
the operation continues.
The white line has curved again.
The last red band nears.
And just ahead,
above the final towers,
veiled in pre-detonation quiet —
stands $129.
The thirteenth gate.
The last stronghold.
And the final objective in this phase of the mission.
They’re not done.
They’re not loud.
They’re just getting closer.
Mission status: underway.
Next objective: breach confirmed at $129
Somebody is cleaning house.The key to whether this happens will be in the rapid pace at which shorts take hold here. Talk about narrative, I can't imagine what stories we will be told while they continue the SWEEP all the way down to $61.00. You might not fall for the narrative they try to sell you on, but $61.00 will be a hard pill to swallow if you're just picking up shares now, to say the least.
Now they may SWEEP the high liquidity again before they hit the lows, but I would almost guarantee you that is the next target.
PLTR Just Had a Rug Pull – Here’s What I’m Watching👀
So PLTR had a solid ru lately — we broke out of that long downtrend in April, started building higher lows, and ripped all the way to the $125 zone. But yesterday? Oof. Big red candle straight off resistance. That move flushed through the trendline and parked price right around $108 — a level we really need to hold or it starts to look weak.
🧠 My Thought Process:
* Daily Chart shows we’re still in an overall uptrend since March, but this latest pullback is sharp. MACD is starting to roll over, and Stoch RSI already crossed down. I don’t like that combination when we’re at resistance.
* 1H Chart confirms the break of the rising trendline. We dropped fast on volume, found a floor around $107–108, and now we’re just consolidating. Could be a base forming — or a bear flag.
🧲 GEX and Options Insight:
* Gamma ma shows $121–125 as the heavy call resistance zone. That’s our ceiling for now.
* On the downside, $100 is massive PUT support, and there’s a wall sitting at $98.72, which I think could be a magnet if bulls don’t step up.
* GEX is super bearish right now — three red circles, and CALL$ is up at 26.7%, meaning there’s a good amount of overhead pressure. IV rank is also high, so premiums are inflated.
⚔️ Trade Ideas I’m Considering:
1. Bearish short-term:
If we break below $107, I might go for a Put debit spread targeting $100–98. That setup keeps risk-defined and aligns with the GEX magnet zone.
2. Neutral bounce play:
If we reclaim $110+ and start seeing strength with volume, maybe a short-dated Call scalp up to $115, but I’d be quick to cut it. That GEX wall at $121 is brutal resistance.
🔁 Summary:
Right now, PLTR is at a decision zone. The bulls lost momentum, and the options flow is leaning bearish. If we get a bounce, ’m not chasing unless we clear $111–113 with strength. Otherwise, I’ll be watching for a grind lower toward $100–98.
This week might be chop, so I’ll stay nimble.
Disclaimer: This is just my view and how I’m planning. Do your own DD and manage your risk.
From Gut to Algorithm: How AI Is Changing the Game for TradersArtificial Intelligence isn't just changing tech — it’s rewriting the rules of trading and investing.
What used to be the domain of seasoned floor traders and intuition-driven bets is now increasingly dominated by algorithms, machine learning models, and predictive analytics.
Here is how AI changing the markets — and what it means for traders like you.
📈 AI in Action: How It’s Used in Markets
AI impacts trading in ways both seen and unseen. Here’s how:
Algorithmic Trading:
High-frequency trading (HFT) firms use AI to make thousands of trades per second, exploiting tiny inefficiencies.
Sentiment Analysis:
AI scans news articles, social media, and earnings calls to gauge market mood before humans even blink.
Predictive Analytics:
Machine learning models digest millions of data points to forecast stock movements, currency fluctuations, and market trends.
Portfolio Management:
Robo-advisors like Betterment or Wealthfront use AI to automatically rebalance portfolios — making decisions humans might overthink.
Risk Management:
Banks and hedge funds use AI to predict and manage market risks faster than traditional risk teams ever could.
🤖 Why AI Is a Game-Changer for Traders
AI isn’t just about speed. It's about edge.
✅ Processing Power:
AI can analyze complex patterns across decades of historical data — something a human could never do in a lifetime.
✅ Emotionless Trading:
AI doesn’t panic, get greedy, or revenge trade. It executes the plan — consistently.
✅ Adaptive Strategies:
Machine learning models evolve over time, adjusting to changing market conditions without needing a human hand.
⚠️ The Dark Side: Risks and Challenges
AI isn’t magic. It introduces new risks into markets:
Flash Crashes:
Algorithms can amplify volatility — causing sudden, violent moves like the 2010 Flash Crash.
Overfitting:
AI models might "learn" patterns that don’t actually exist, leading to disastrous real-world trades.
Market Homogenization:
If everyone uses similar AI models, trading strategies become crowded — making the market more fragile.
Ethical Concerns:
Who is accountable if an AI trader manipulates a market unintentionally? Regulators are still catching up.
🧠 What This Means for You
Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, understanding AI is becoming a competitive necessity.
Retail traders are starting to access AI-powered tools once reserved for institutions.
Custom indicators, predictive models, and smart portfolio managers are more available than ever.
But remember: AI is a tool, not a crystal ball.
Human judgment, risk management, and emotional discipline still matter.
In the end, the best traders will be those who can combine machine intelligence with human intuition.
in conclution:
Markets have always rewarded those who adapt.
AI isn’t replacing traders — it’s changing what trading looks like.
The future belongs to those who can learn faster, adapt smarter, and trade sharper.
Stay curious.
Stay strategic.
Stay ahead.
put together by: @currencynerd
courtesy of: @TradingView
Palantir has a 7 peg ratio, it was cheap at 2. now what?palantir stock is trading at 7x its growth rate in pe, over 200 pe.
Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch would hate this valuation, even though the business is great.
Id be a buyer at 33, roughly where the 200 week or 1000 day moving average is, but thats because I want bargain prices and growth stocks.
PALANTIR Channel Up intact. Eyeing $185 on this rally.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up and is currently on its most recent Bullish Leg following the approach f the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Having also rebounded on its long-term RSI Support Zone, the buying pressure is the strongest we've seen inside this pattern, having recovered all loses in just 4 weeks.
Given that the most usual rally was +183.03%, we expect this Leg to reach at least $185.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation | (May 2025)PLTR | Neutral-to-Short | Overvaluation + Hype Exhaustion Risk | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Palantir has been riding the AI hype wave, but valuations are extremely stretched. Despite strong growth, price action shows signs of slowing — making this a "watch closely" rather than "chase blindly" setup.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Watching for short setup — not entering yet
Entry Zone: If price retests $19–20 and stalls again
Stop Loss: Above $121.50 (breakout continuation risk)
TP1 (potential short): $117.00 — minor structure support
TP2: $15.50 — deeper pullback zone
TP3 (optional): $113.90 — if broader correction plays out
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Fundamentals at a Glance:
Revenue: $2.87B | Net Income: ~$460M
Market Cap: $291B (!) — over 10x revenue, signals extreme overvaluation
P/S Ratio: 19x
Price to Cash Flow: 272x — typical range for healthy companies is 20–40
EPS and Book Value: Weak vs market cap (Tangible BV: $2.13)
Beta: 2.45 — very volatile
✅ Business Model:
Palantir builds AI-driven software for government and commercial use. Notably, government revenue and commercial segments both grew ~40% YoY — great performance, but possibly priced in already.
❌ Current Market Behavior:
Everyone's talking about PLTR — hype levels are extremely high
Price currently sitting near previous all-time highs
Technicals show signs of exhaustion — money is slightly flowing out on 30min charts
Daily chart still bullish, but 4H shows price stalling — a correction seems likely
A dip to ~$19 or lower (4–5% pullback) would be normal, even healthy
❌ Short Setup Caution:
Although the chart leans bearish short term, this is a hype-driven stock. Fighting it blindly with a short could be risky. If a correction does set in, it's more likely to be a measured move rather than a full trend reversal — for now.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching for a short opportunity if rejection confirms near $20–21. No position for now — observing price behavior closely as hype may still carry it higher in the short term.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.