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4SMCI trade ideas

SMCI - Play of the year!Correction - I made the last video on this SMCI opportunity two months ago in mid-December stating "Golden opportunity right in front of us?". And I was just thinking - is this too obvious? Clearly it was and I'm glad I took advantage. This was the most educated gamble of all time! Was worth every penny that could have been lost. From here, I expect similar movement after sufficient liquidity is built in a controlled manner. Not rushing into another position here until I see certain levels and algorithms in play - But the breakout of our HTF selling channel is a great start and now would love to see ourselves build controlled liquidity prior to another breakout! Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ReigningTrades
3
SMCI. Huge Levels approaching. SMCI is approaching some major levels. All my levels are fib pulls from the yearly and monthly swings. They have been wildly accurate. I have been long since $26 and have fully exited my long today. We have major confluence from multiple fib pulls at the $76 level. This is a major profit target for longs. This is also a huge short opportunity. I expect SMCI to either dump of $76 or gain and possibly reach $88. I dont see new all time highs in the near future. I believe we will dump down past the $52 level that we have already held on the daily when we gapped up the other day. Let me know if you have questions.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by JR_Stocks
5
SMCI - RETRACED from $67 to $50 - that is good enough 4 me.the retracement meets all criteria, time to go long. If SmCi delivers on its projections of $40 Billion in revenue by 2026, that means that in 1 year the shares trade for $197 each. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has recently experienced a significant pullback, retracing 20% from $67 to $50, which presents an attractive entry point for long positions. This correction offers a compelling opportunity to invest in a company with strong fundamentals and growth potential. The stock's valuation metrics are particularly appealing: Low P/E ratio: SMCI's price-to-earnings ratio is significantly lower than the peer average, indicating the stock is undervalued compared to its competitors. Attractive P/S ratio: With an enterprise value/revenue that is relatively low, SMCI appears undervalued relative to its sales performance. Growth potential: The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, showcasing its strong market position. Analyst optimism: Recent analyst actions reflect confidence in the company's prospects. Industry leadership: SMCI has emerged as a prominent player in the technology hardware industry. Given these factors, SMCI appears undervalued and poised for potential upside. The recent pullback provides an opportune moment to establish or increase long positions in this promising tech stock.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
THEORETICALS ALL MET OR VERY CLOSE. next $88 of $98SMCI HAS MET ALL ITS THEORETICAL PIVOT POINTS. IN MY OPINION HUMBLE OPINION I THINK SUPERMICRO IS READY TO GO BACK UP. THE NEW THEORETICAL IS ABOVE $67. GOOD LUCK ENJOY THIS. STOCK HAS A VERY LOW PE. IT'S NOW CLEARED FROM ALL ACCUSATIONS THAT WERE MADE UP BY THE INFAMOUS HINDENBURG REPORT with the help of the woman from Ernst & Young who is a well-known "Obama-NOID", Obama supporter. I know I'm not supposed to say this things. Anyhow in my opinion Ernst & Young was complicit with the Hindenburg report in an orchestrated effort to short the segment that included Nvidia and everybody else the problem with the SMCI is that it has a low liquidity, and therefore it behaves like a penny stock once the stock is bumped down, It's very difficult to move it up again unless everything is cleared, like now for example, everything has been cleared about SMCI, which is a great company and it's definitely the top dog in the segment if you think about it, SMCI, the one that carries all the chips without SMCI. They wouldn't be in the video or an AMD or an Intel in the AI segment. I just bought the whole thing and I will continue buying on the way up. You can do the same if you like it's sort of a safe way to do it. You don't get as big of a returns, but it's safe and I like safety more than anything good luck, boys and girls enjoy the ride. I think we're going to 88 now maybe even 90 on a straight line very likely and then we should be reaching $187 for the stock. These are my opinions, of course sometimes they don't print out. Sometimes they do most likely they will, but the responsibility is yours, so please make sure that you do all your calculations, correctly. Just to help you our - SMCI is projecting $40 Billion in revenue in 2026, that means the stock will likely print above $260 ... do the numbers ... I did mine.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
Breaking down the stage of SMCI pop (with real time forecasts). SMCI has now completed all the general stages of the Minsky bubble. It made the rally, it made the top, it made the capitulation and then it made the mean reversion. Big win for the efficacy of the Minsky model. Let's now run through the stages as they happened. Because after the fact, it's easy. Everyone sees it. To benefit from a bull market you need to know how to take profit at the right time - let's review the clues we had. SMCI had its "New Paradigm" moment in mid 2024. Original full post below. At that point we had all the classic tells of a top forming. But if you trade market tops a lot, you know there's can be a some gaming going on before it actually ends. Most often what we see is there being a bluff sell off and then a spike of the high. This provide a lot of liquidity for Mr Big to sell into Mr Little because My Little is either hitting stops above the high or FOMOing into the "New breakout" because they seen the previous versions pop 20 - 50% and they're not about to miss this one!!! Getting the general zone on this one was easy. The market essentially topped on the 4.23. If we discount the spike outs. And I've written super in depth posts about how most major inflection points in markets come from 4.23's. Since my time writing these posts/models for 4.23 reversals I've also dug into testing my fib based ideas against historic markets via different AI tools and actually found AI when given the test criteria will also define 4.23's as being related to speculative bubbles. Like I said above, usually we fake crash, spike out and then real crash. So after we hit the first section of the move we went long into the low. Because even in a stronger drop we typically see the 76 bull trap here. And then in classic form, we topped on the butterfly. Absolutely textbook. ==== I'll now leave you with a series of NVDA charts. 4.23: Butterfly: And all of this is happening inside the zone I flagged up as the trend completion area for NVDA when it was trading under 500. === What's the difference between SMCI and NVDA? Maybe about 6 months.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by holeyprofit
SMCI - Eyeing this for a potential reloadBEWARE - Market-wide we're seeing a potential institutional "rugpull" sort of situation after plenty of ATH's made last week. Not predicting the market's "top" but I am seeing a common theme on many charts that correlate to the S&P recent ATH and subsequent dump (especially considering it wasn't provoked by any specific news). Also, SMCI specific, keep in mind their deadline approaching to submit the required documents to avoid de-listing. Goes without saying that this would have a huge effect on the stock if somehow they failed to submit. Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:SMCI
by ReigningTrades
TRYING NOT TO CHASE TOO MUCH Supermicro did excellently nice after hours, however, it also touched a particular pivot point so I think that tomorrow we should be able to find the CI at about 53 to 52 or 54 whatever it is a little lower because this was really a massive gap up and the market maker should not be so happy about this. They may need to bring everything down to be able to reengage all the derivatives that work off this stock. This is all theoretical. It doesn't need to happen, but in general when you finish her, a wedge it follows a predetermined pattern that is quite reliable in my opinion.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by imcnf5c4ff
SMCI Pulling Back After Earnings Surge! Is a Bounce Coming? Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * SMCI spiked following earnings but has since retraced, now trading near $48.20. * The stock is testing key support at $48.50, a crucial level for a potential bounce. * POC (Point of Control) at $51.08 is the major level that bulls need to reclaim. 2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $48.50 (Current level), $45.50, $41.64 (Major downside risk). * Resistance: $51.08 (POC), $58.28 (Breakout zone). * Upside Targets: $57, $60, $66.42. 3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish momentum, showing weakness. * Stoch RSI: Extremely oversold, signaling a potential short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity between $48.50 and $51, meaning strong accumulation. GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $57, $60 → Resistance areas. * Put Walls: $39, $35 → Major support. 2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 41.1 (Moderate) * IVx Avg: 136 (High IV, potential for premium selling). * Call Positioning: 99.8% bullish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Bullish if $51 is reclaimed. 3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: If SMCI reclaims $51, consider long positions targeting $57-$60, with a stop at $48. * Bearish Setup: If SMCI breaks below $48, short setups targeting $45-$42, stop at $50. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $45 support or call spreads near $60 resistance. 📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * SMCI remains highly volatile due to earnings—watch for a reclaim of $51 for a bullish continuation. * If $48 fails, expect a test of $45-$42. * High IV makes option selling attractive, especially for short-term plays. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
NASDAQ:SMCI
by BullBearInsights
SMCI: Rejection on the 1W MA50 will be the last buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 76.279, MACD = 3.600, ADX = 40.488) as a result of the relentless rally of the past 2 weeks but on 1W (RSI = 57.515) it just turned bullish, which is indicative of the long way it has to cover until it makes new ATH again following last year's accounting discrepancies. The price is about to test the 1W MA50 as a Resistance, which under normal circumastances of Bull Cycle, it is a support. A potential rejection there, should provide the last buy opportunity that will test the 1D MA50 as a Support. We remain long on SMCI, next TP = 95.00. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by InvestingScope
1