SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272).
Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market $42–43
— Target 1: $55.91
— Target 2: $63.57
When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
4SMCI trade ideas
SMCI Long Trade Setup!📈
🕒 Timeframe: 30 min
📉 Pattern: Falling wedge breakout 🔼
📍 Entry: Around $47.50 ✅
🎯 Target: $50.03 💰
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $46.40 🚫
🔍 Why This Trade?
🔓 Breakout from falling wedge — bullish sign
🧱 Strong trendline + horizontal support
📊 Volume surge = smart money interest
🕯️ Bullish candle = potential momentum play
SMCI Long Swing Setup – Positioned for AI-Driven Infrastructure Super Micro Computer, Inc. NASDAQ:SMCI is a critical player in the AI infrastructure boom, supplying high-performance servers to NVIDIA, AMD, and major data centers. With accelerating demand for compute power, SMCI is well-positioned for continued upside.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: Current market price or $40 – $43 support zone
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $70
o 🥈 $100
o 🥉 $120
• Stop Loss: Weekly close below $30
HERE IS THE #CHART FOR $SMCI Bullish with consolidation risk. Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is at $143.81, up 0.09% daily and 25.14% monthly, as shown in the finance card above. X posts highlight strong momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day SMA ($129.74) and a potential Wave 5 targeting $154-$160, supported by analyst upgrades (Mizuho, Melius to Buy; targets $140-$175). AI chip demand (MI350 outperforming Nvidia’s B200, Oracle/Zettascale deals) and 40% YoY revenue growth drive optimism. However, a high P/E (105.42) and choppy price action suggest a possible pullback to $141.63-$142. Support is at $141.63; resistance is at $147.75-$150. A break above $147.75 could target $154; a drop below $141.63 risks $138
Potential Doubling Move in SMCISometimes it pays well to look at a weekly charts as they give opportunities for a very large moves and potential for massive gains. In this example, SMCI is such a stock. The stock first broke out of resistance zone, white rectangle, and made a strong push into 100s. It then retraced the move back into the rectangle zone, but in this instance, the resistance turned into support. It is these zones that act as support/resistance are the powerful levels. Since the support held, it can easily move back into the $99 or so to re-test those highs again, a potential 100% upside.
SMCI on WatchLooking to buy a pullback to .50 fib or a breakout and retest above today's high, $46.92.
Why:
Relative strength compared to SPY.
Bullish MACD
All EMAS pointed upwards
Consolidating for weeks
The breakout is not ideal since the Risk/Reward is only 1.43. May not enter that if there is not strong volume.
SMCI – Wedge Breakout Triggering Around 46 ZoneNASDAQ:SMCI – Wedge Breakout Watch with Intraday Setup Potential
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) is working on a wedge breakout, and it's pressing right into the key $46 zone — the trigger area for a clean move higher.
🔹 Wedge Structure Clearing
Price has been compressing into a wedge, and it's now testing the upper trendline.
The $46 level is the key breakout point — if it clears and holds, this could unleash serious momentum.
🔹 Intraday Setup Developing
If NASDAQ:SMCI can hold this level intraday and consolidate, I’m watching for an entry signal right at or slightly above $46.
Volume confirmation will be key here — watching the tape closely.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Watching for clean hold + setup at $46 zone.
2️⃣ Stop: Below yesterday’s low — keeps the trade tight and risk defined.
3️⃣ Add: If it breaks $46 with volume, I’ll build into the position.
Why I Like This Setup:
Breakout from compression = potential expansion
Clear risk level, clean structure — everything I want in a breakout trade
If it holds this level today, this could turn into a trend day.
SMCI: First 1D Golden Cross in years just formed.Super Micro Computer turned marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.363, MACD = 1.620, ADX = 16.124) but is essentially neutral, consolidating practically for the past month. They big news is that today it is forming the first 1D Golden Cross since June 1st 2020, the period after the COVID crash recovery. Trading inside a Channel Up and given the Inverse Head and Shoulders being formed, we expect the stock to target its 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 83.00).
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$SMCI "Buy The Dip" Value AreaSMCI (Super Micro Computer) has weathered the storm from all the negative press and I believe it is poised to go on a big run. This $26-$47 area is the BEST value you are going to get on it. This is probably the last discount before takeoff. We may not see this level again. As NVDA continues to fly, so will SMCI. Always do your own DD.
SMCI - Coiled to Spring SoonDirectional - Bullish, EMAs Positively Stacked and expanding
Momentum - Bullish, RSI Daily 56.8
Volatility - Upward Implied, Bollinger Bands Contraction 85% Daily, angled to the upside with price above Basis
Strength - SCMI/NVDA Ratio Pairs at Support
Sentiment - Positive, Multiple AI Contracts Announced $20B+
One of the only tech stocks yet to bullishly retrace from the April crash
News sends SMCI down?I do dowsing for my information on stocks, & it came to my attention that SMCI may have some news around 9 am tomorrow that sends it down over 13% (taken from the Fri close).
It suggested just a daytrade - for reference last Thursday dowsing also said there was a short daytrade in TSLA & you probably know it was down 18+%.
Since I blew off the TSLA guidance, I don't want to miss this one! The idea is to short into the $35-36 area and buy it there.
I may be off on the timing. This morning I asked how many hours till this occurs & it was 20 or 20.4 from around 8:30 a.m. There is also something the 11th. Maybe that is when it really turns back upward?? Of course, it could be nothing too, but I'll check in on Wed.
It will be a "scene of the crime" trade at the target area, so this could be really nice catching both sides IF IT'S CORRECT. My work can be spot on at times & miss entirely others, but I did pull an oracle card from a website that has tons & tons of cards it "randomly" chooses from. I asked about this idea and it gave the YES card - your intuition is correct. We'll see.
Bearish or bullish SMCI Stock USD. Breakpoint coming.Technical and Fundamental Analysis for SMCI 🚀
The current stock price of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is $41.87 USD . The target sell point is set at $73 USD, indicating a potential upward movement. The s upport level for buying is $34 USD , suggesting that if the stock price drops to this level, it may be a good opportunity to purchase.
It is crucial to maintain the resistance level at $41 USD ; otherwise, the stock may decline further to the support level of $34 USD.
Technical indicators on the chart include moving averages and volume data, which help in understanding the stock's price trends and market sentiment. The green and red bands represent different moving averages, showing the stock's volatility and potential price movements.The annotations on the chart highlight key support and resistance levels, providing a visual guide for trading decisions.
Fundamentally , Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a company listed on NASDAQ, and its stock performance is influenced by various factors such as market conditions, company earnings, and industry trends. Investors should consider both technical and fundamental aspects before making trading decisions.
Conclusion: 🚀
The analysis suggests monitoring the resistance level at $41 USD closely. If the stock price maintains above this level, it may move towards the target sell point of $73 USD. However, if it fails to hold this resistance, it could drop to the support level of $34 USD, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
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SMCI Trade Recap📈Getting ready to start a new swing trade on SMCI, and I’ve mapped out my game plan with a tiered entry strategy and clear profit targets.
Here’s how I’m setting it up:
Entry Levels (Scaling In):
$40.50 – First buy if it pulls back to this area. Looks like solid support, and I’ll test the waters here.
$35.80 – Adding more if it dips further. This level has acted as a strong bounce zone in the past.
$30.60 – Final entry if it gets down here. Oversold territory + psychological level = great risk/reward.
Profit Targets (Scaling Out):
$47.00 – First target to take some profits off the table.
$51.60 – Second target — likely to see some resistance here.
$60+ – Stretch target. If the momentum is strong, I’ll hold a portion with a trailing stop and let it ride.
Game Plan: I’m staying patient with entries, letting price come to me. The idea is to build the position gradually and reduce risk by scaling in. I’ll also be keeping an eye on volume and broader market sentiment — if the setup changes, I’ll adapt.
Let’s see how it plays out — risk-managed, calm mindset, and ready to pivot if needed. 🚀
SMCI BUYBUY SMCI at 35.00 to 33.00, riding it back to 120.00 to 130.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 27.00!
WARNING: This is only a journal of my opinion of the market and only for my journaling purpose. This information and publication are NOT meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
SMCI – Falling Wedge Breakout Setup | 2–4 Day SwingWe're watching NASDAQ:SMCI on the 30-minute chart forming a textbook falling wedge pattern. Price is compressing under the breakout line, with RSI flattening and volume fading – a classic pre-breakout structure.
Entry Trigger:
Above $42.00 with confirmation.
Targets:
TP1: $46.00
TP2: $48.00
Invalidation:
Break below $39.50 – setup is off.
Trade Notes:
Volume dry-up = energy build-up
RSI in reset zone (~36) = potential momentum shift
2–4 day swing idea based on breakout + momentum
"We don't force trades – we prepare for them."
SMCI LONG IDEASMCI broke out of a downtrend and support level with a strong weekly bullish candle. This is a signal that the stock is ready for appreciating in value. The first signal was in November 2024 when there was a divergence on awesome oscillator. This was followed by a breakout of down trend line in February 2025, which made price to move from around 36 to around 66.
Currently, price is showing a strong momentum to rally up again. With a pullback to the key level, the best time to buy the stock is at current price or between 38 and 40. An aggressive trader/investor could have when the previous weekly candle closed bullish, while a conservative trader/investor would have waited for the pullback to the key level which is what's happening at the moment.
The entry is around 38 and 40 while the stop could be 25 and the target can be 66 and 119.
Confluences for the signal:
1. Price broke out of a down trend line and closed with a strong weekly bullish candle.
2. Price also closed above a support level.
3. Price was coming from a strong support level.
4. Awesome oscillator is still below 0 and it's just resuming bullish region.
Disclaimer: this is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
SMCI - Updated AnalysisThe algorithm's tell us a lot on a chart like SMCI where we can't seem to catch a long term trade in either direction. That's because we have a big fight going on between higher time frame algorithms like tapered buying green and our LTF purple and recent yellow strong buying.
Use this as a helpful guide for short term trades upcoming while we identify the higher time frame direction.
Happy Trading :)