SMCI โ Triple Breakout in Play, Eyeing $90 TargetSMCI is setting up for a strong upside move with multiple bullish signals:
EMA 200 breakout at $42
Ichimoku Cloud breakout at $45
Symmetrical triangle pattern forming โ potential breakout above $55
A confirmed breakout above $55 on volume could trigger a rally toward the $90 zone, aligning with the triangleโs measured move. Price is currently holding above both the EMA200 and the cloud, reinforcing trend strength.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $46.15 (current)
Confirmation: Breakout above $55
Stop Loss: Below $42
Target: $90
Bias: Bullish continuation
Watching for volume expansion and weekly close above the upper trendline for full confirmation.
#SMCI #Breakout #EMA200 #IchimokuCloud #SymmetricalTriangle #SwingTrade #AIStock
4SMCI trade ideas
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
SMCI watch $42.89-44.88: Double Golden fib zone a major LandmarkSMCI surged with news plus chip sector strength.
Seems to have obliterated a Double Golden zone.
Expect some orbits around this high gravity object.
$42.89 - 44.88 is the exact zone of concern.
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Previous Plot that caught the Bottom and Break Out
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SMCI watch $38.38/87: Key resistance to Tariff Relief pumpSMCI bounced into a minor but significant resistance.
Looking for a Break-n-Retest for possible buy entries.
Retested first support and trying to hold it right now.
$ 36.38-36.87 is the exact zone to break for bulls.
$ 34.37-35.02 is the support that bulls must hold.
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SMCI hit its 1W MA50, eyes a massive break-out.Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) has surged more than +15% today after the company announced a multi-year, $20 billion partnership with Saudi data center firm DataVolt.
Technically that brought it on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the first contact with it since the week of February 18 2025, which was the previous Top. The current rally as well as the one that led to the Feb 18 Top, is fueled by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) which held as Support on both occasions.
The driving pattern behind those Bullish Legs is a Channel Up (blue) and this is not the first time SMCI comes across such formation. It was in fact a similar Channel Up that took the stock from the 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis and guided it to its new Bull Cycle. That rose by +950% before it pulled back on its first consolidation.
As a result, we have a short-term Target at $80.00 and after a pull-back, long-term Target at $180.00 (+950% from the bottom).
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SMCI heating up, if price trend holds, gap up guaranteedMACD and RSI shows similarities to the exuberance we saw in February. MACD is still below levels that helped push the price to $60+... Can it go there? Opening moves remain critical, given limit sell triggers.
Short position is 21% and short ratio is 1.4. We may see an epic squeeze as many will scramble to cover.
SMCI has low P/E, so whichever way you are looking at it, good moment to buy for long, for those swing trading this, time to nibble and take profits!
Enjoy the ride
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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SMCI ONCE IN A LIFETIME DIP BUY!!!Ive taken a $600 position on SMCI I will be looking to size into as it works. You can clearly see what happened last time we were at this price area. I have less than a $1 stop loss if price were to return below the green line. This will be a LONGGGGGGGGGGG hold into the future.
SMCI โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐ ๐ข
๐น Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI โ NASDAQ)
๐น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐น Setup Type: Breakout Retest at Key Supply Zone
๐ Trade Plan โ Long Bias
โ
Entry Zone: Around $36.67 (breakout + retest confirmation)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): $34.25 (below structure & recent low)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $39.51 โ Prior resistance zone
๐ TP2: $43.36 โ Major structure / supply zone
๐ Risk-Reward Calculation
๐ฅ Risk: $36.67 - $34.25 = $2.42/share
๐ฉ Reward to TP2: $43.36 - $36.67 = $6.69/share
๐ R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.76 โ Strong long setup
๐ Technical Highlights
๐ Trendline breakout with retest at resistance โ
๐ Holding above yellow resistance zone โ
๐ Strong bullish momentum on breakout โ
๐ Good volume + clean continuation structure ๐ผ
๐ Risk Management Plan
๐ Move SL to breakeven after TP1
๐ฐ Take partial profits at TP1
๐ Let runners target TP2
๐ Discipline over impulse โ follow chart
โ ๏ธ Setup Invalidation If:
โ Breaks and closes below $34.25
โ Reversal with strong bearish engulfing
โ Fails to hold above yellow zone
๐จ Final Thoughts
โ Clean technical breakout with volume and structure
โ Defined stop, solid R/R = smart trade setup
โ Great candidate for swing traders looking for momentum
๐ #SMCI #StockBreakout #ProfittoPath #ChartSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrade #NASDAQStocks #SmartTrading #RiskReward #MomentumPlay
SMCI: Enormous buy opportunity for a $70 Target.Super Micro Computer went from oversold to almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.789, MACD = -2.030, ADX = 39.343) as it is having an enormour turnaround on the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the Channel Up today. This is so far the biggest 1D green candle since January 19th 2024. The 1D RSI is on the same rebound as the February 3rd bottom was, so at least a +158.65% bullish wave is to be expected. Go long, TP = 70.00.
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Opening (IRA): SMCI April 17th 34 Covered Call... for a 32.13 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 32.13/share
Max Profit: 1.87
ROC at Max: 5.82%
50% Max: .94
ROC at 50% Max: 2.91%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call if take profit is not hit.