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4SMCI trade ideas

SMCI - Climbing out of the GRAVE! 100% UpsideNASDAQ:SMCI 🎯$64 🎯$85 Incoming WOW, from dead company to short attacks into oblivion this company has clawed back from the grave! - Inverse H&S - Fake Out on the S/R Zone - Green H5 with Bullish Cross - Volume shelf with GAP - Up Trending Wr% - RSI/ STOCH breaking out of downtrend If I was to enter this trade I would look for an entry at the retest of the Inverse H&S breakout (Blue Circle) while we also create a WCB! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by RonnieV29
The Reactive on SMCI has completed The stock is ready for a massive thrust UP to $129 or more.... Why is this. Well SMCI filed the 8K Report on December 2nd. There are rumores the 10k and 10q maybe ready. Lastly, business for SMCI is super strong. With Europe starting to negotiate large investments in AI, Sovereign AI, this means AI by country. Elon Musk has been speaking about AI data Centers and he did explain that these centers would be ultimately built in every city and town of the world. (subject to population size). He esplained that this would be a service similar to a utility, swage, electricity and AI. We have a very long way to go..... with SMCI
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom 🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms. 🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary. 🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist. 🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided. 🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards. 🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature. 🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed. 🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home. 🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite. 🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch
SMCI’s Game-Changing Move: Could This Be a 500% Opportunity? Bullish Analysis for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) 1. Valuation Metrics P/S Ratio: Previously 7.46, now just 1.43, showcasing significant undervaluation compared to historical levels. P/E Ratio: Previously 90, now 16.67, making the stock much more attractive to value-focused investors. Fair Value Estimate: According to Simply Wall Street , the fair value per share is estimated at $439.38 , suggesting substantial upside from the current price levels. 2. Strong Financial Metrics Current Market Cap: $18.87 billion. Revenue: This year's revenue is $14.94 billion, and 2025 revenue is expected to exceed $23 billion, surpassing the current market cap—a promising signal of growth potential. Financial Health: SMCI can cover all its debt twice over , with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 , which sits comfortably in the ideal range of 0.30–0.60. 3. Growth Drivers New Manufacturing Facility: A facility in Malaysia is expected to become operational in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, enabling SMCI to scale up its AI server production. Liquid Cooling Expertise: SMCI specializes in liquid cooling technology , critical for the new generation of powerful chips and data centers, including Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs , which are experiencing record demand as Nvidia ramps up production. 4. Technical and Price Action Support Levels: SMCI has established strong support at $30. Trend Reversal: The stock has broken the structure of its downtrend and is now showing clear signs of heading to the upside, further reinforcing bullish momentum. Resistance Levels: Potential price targets based on resistance areas: Target 1: $50 (52.4% increase). Target 2: $70 (113.4% increase). Target 3: $100 (204.8% increase). Target 4: $120 (265.8% increase). Long-term Target: $200+ (509.75% increase). 5. AI Market Leadership SMCI’s continued focus on AI servers positions it as a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing AI-driven computing market. Conclusion With its attractive valuation, robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and leadership in liquid cooling and AI servers, SMCI is well-positioned for substantial growth. The recent trend reversal adds technical confirmation to the fundamental bullish case, making current price levels a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the AI and data center markets.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ValchevFinance
Micro Computer 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview: Trend: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is in a strong uptrend, recovering from previous lows with high momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: $50–$52 (potential breakout zone). Support: $44–$45 (Supertrend support). Indicators: EMA 9: $44.72 (acting as strong support). EMA 200: $34.74 (long-term bullish signal as price remains above). Supertrend: $41.64 (trend remains bullish). MACD: Bullish, confirming continued momentum. RSI: 77.57 (overbought, but strong momentum remains). 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Momentum Scalping: Buy near: $45–$46 on small pullbacks. Target: $50–$52. Stop-loss below: $43. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping: Long if price breaks above: $50, targeting $55. Short if price rejects $50, targeting $45. 🩸 3. Range Scalping: Sell near: $50–$52 resistance. Target: $45–$43. Stop-loss: $53 if breakout occurs. 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): If SMCI breaks $50, expect a rally toward $55–$60. A rejection at $50 could lead to a short-term pullback toward $45–$43 before resuming the uptrend. RSI is overbought, so some profit-taking is likely before the next move. 🔥 News & Market Context: AI & Data Center Demand: SMCI benefits from strong AI-driven server demand. Tech Sector Rally: Stock is riding the momentum of high-growth tech plays. Macroeconomic Factors: Potential rate hikes may slow down speculative growth, but fundamentals remain strong. 🔥 Decision: 🩸 Short-term: Look for a breakout above $50 or a pullback for re-entry near $45. 🩸 Mid-term: Bullish, but extended. Look for consolidation before continuation. 🩸 Ideal Play: Buy on dips or scalp breakouts above $50. 👑 Final Verdict: Super Micro is in a powerful breakout phase, but profit-taking near resistance is possible. Bulls must clear $50 for continuation. 🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "Momentum is a weapon—use it wisely, or it turns against you."
NASDAQ:SMCI
by LucanInvestor
3
$SMCI strong technical position with a bullish trendAs of February 6, 2025, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is trading at $581.47, experiencing a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous close. Technical Analysis: Over the past year, MSCI's stock has demonstrated a bullish trend, with a 52-week range between $439.95 and $642.45. The stock is currently trading approximately 9.5% below its 52-week high, indicating potential room for upward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, maintaining a neutral stance. Moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day, show a positive alignment, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Fundamental Analysis: MSCI has reported consistent revenue growth, with a 7.7% increase in operating revenue to $743.5 million in the recent quarter. However, operating expenses also rose by 5.9% to $338.3 million, primarily due to higher compensation and a 5.8% increase in employee headcount. This led to a 24.3% decline in fourth-quarter profit, totaling $305.5 million, or $3.90 per share, down from $403.4 million, or $5.07 per share, the previous year. Despite the recent decline in profit, MSCI's expansion into ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) and climate-related products has been a significant growth driver. The ESG and Climate segment accounted for 11.2% of total revenue in the second quarter of 2024, up from 7.9% three years prior. This growth is attributed to increased demand from investors seeking to assess physical risks associated with climate change. Potential Partnership with NVIDIA: While there is no official announcement of a partnership between MSCI and NVIDIA, MSCI has expanded its collaboration with Google Cloud to accelerate the development of generative AI solutions for the investment industry. This partnership aims to leverage AI to help investors identify and manage risks and opportunities more effectively. Given NVIDIA's leadership in AI technology, a potential future partnership between MSCI and NVIDIA could further enhance MSCI's AI capabilities, leading to increased efficiency and potentially significant revenue growth. Conclusion: MSCI Inc. exhibits a strong technical position with a bullish trend supported by favorable moving averages. Fundamentally, the company is expanding its offerings in high-demand areas such as ESG and AI-driven investment tools. The potential for a partnership with a leading AI company like NVIDIA could further bolster MSCI's growth prospects, making it an attractive consideration for investors.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by swingstocktraders
7
Long Trade Setup Breakdown for (SMCI) 30Mins 🔹 Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Ascending Wedge Breakout 🚀 Trade Plan (Long Position): ✅ Entry Zone: $47.96 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $45.35 (Below Support) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Long Trade): 📌 TP1: $51.05 (First Resistance) 📌 TP2: $54.64 (Extended Bullish Target) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation: 📈 Risk (Stop-Loss Distance): $47.96 - $45.35 = $2.61 📈 Reward to TP1: $51.05 - $47.96 = $3.09 💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.18 📈 Reward to TP2: $54.64 - $47.96 = $6.68 💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.56 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy: 📌 Breakout Confirmation: Strong buying momentum above $47.96 signals continuation. 📌 Pattern Formation: Ascending wedge breakout, indicating bullish movement. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels: 🟢 $45.35 (Strong Support / SL Level) 🟡 $47.96 (Breakout Zone / Entry) 🔴 $51.05 (First Profit Target / Resistance) 🟢 $54.64 (Final Target for Momentum Extension) 🚀 Momentum Shift Expected: If price sustains above $47.96, it could push towards $51.05 and $54.64. A high-volume breakout would confirm the strength in trend continuation. 🔥 Trade Execution & Risk Management: 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure buying volume remains strong after breakout. 📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($51.05), move SL to entry ($47.96) to lock in profits. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $51.05, let the rest run to $54.64. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($47.96) after TP1 is hit. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk: If price drops below $47.96, be cautious and watch for a retest before re-entering. 🚀 Final Thoughts: ✔ Bullish Setup – If price holds above $47.96, higher targets are expected. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.18 to TP1, 1:2.56 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆 🔗 #StockTrading #SMCI #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPat
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ProfittoPath
SMCI WILL FORM WELL ABOVE $500 The concept of "Sovereign AI" and SMCI building supercomputers in every country worldwide is an ambitious and speculative idea. Infrastructure Investment Building supercomputers in every country would require a massive global investment. Supercomputers are extremely expensive to design, build, and install, with costs ranging from $100 million to $300 million per system1. This doesn't include ongoing operational expenses. Energy Requirements Supercomputers consume enormous amounts of energy. On average, these systems use 6-7 megawatts of power, with peak consumption reaching 9.5 megawatts1. The annual energy cost for a single supercomputer can be approximately $6-$7 million1. Implementing such systems globally would require significant upgrades to power grids and energy infrastructure. Total Cost of Ownership The total cost of ownership for supercomputers goes beyond the initial investment. When factoring in electricity, labor, and facilities, the cost per core-hour can reach $0.12 to $0.15, assuming 100% utilization. For a global initiative, these costs would be multiplied across numerous countries. Economic Impact The global supercomputer market is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it will reach $27.17 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 11.2%. A worldwide "Sovereign AI" initiative could potentially accelerate this growth. Challenges Implementing supercomputers globally faces several challenges: High operating costs: The substantial energy consumption and maintenance requirements pose significant ongoing expenses. Technical expertise: Managing and optimizing supercomputers requires specialized skills, which may be scarce in some countries. Environmental concerns: The massive energy requirements raise environmental issues that would need to be addressed. Potential Benefits Despite the challenges, a global supercomputer network could offer benefits such as: Advanced research capabilities: Countries could enhance their scientific research in fields like climate science, genetics, and materials science. Economic development: Access to supercomputing power could drive innovation and economic growth across various sectors. Data sovereignty: Countries could maintain control over their data and AI development, aligning with the concept of "Sovereign AI". While the idea of SMCI building supercomputers in every country is speculative, sure, but as Elon said, AI will be just like a utility comany and will required AI centers globally. The global investment in AI infrastructure is indeed substantial. Goldman Sachs estimates that around $1 trillion will be spent over the next few years on data centers, semiconductors, and grid upgrades related to AI development. This gives an indication of the scale of investment required for a global supercomputing initiative. SMCI is at the forefront of the AI implementation. Learn about the new partnerships being formed with NVDA. Meanwhile you should be counting the sales SMCI has been making. Tripple capacity and demand for the next decaded.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
3
Put your seatbelts on for $SMCI to $55-65 range- NASDAQ:SMCI traders be ready to pounce and ride the momentum for this name. - Buyers are getting aggressive and price can easily be pushed to 55 ( 200 sma ) to 65 range. - $55 seems to be a resistance, if price moves above that then we could be seeing some parabolic moves in this name. - Please Notes that, NASDAQ:SMCI has to submit SEC filing before Feb 25, 2025 and CEO re-assured that they would be filing the documents to SEC in time. - So, next 2 weeks, buckle up your seatbelts for volatility!
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by bigbull037
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1