SMCI: Buy ideaOn SMCI we would have a high probability of having an uptrend depending on the configuration of the chart. This trend will be confirmed in the event of a break of the resistance line and the vwap by buyers.
4SMCI trade ideas
SMCI reached $60 theoretical retreat to $48Dear Readers, this is for fun as you know.
Gentlemen and Ladies.
The above represents a theoretical advance retracement -
Prudent if you expect the 10k and 10k to be announced 2 - 27 - 2025
SMCI - Play of the year!Correction - I made the last video on this SMCI opportunity two months ago in mid-December stating "Golden opportunity right in front of us?". And I was just thinking - is this too obvious? Clearly it was and I'm glad I took advantage. This was the most educated gamble of all time! Was worth every penny that could have been lost.
From here, I expect similar movement after sufficient liquidity is built in a controlled manner. Not rushing into another position here until I see certain levels and algorithms in play - But the breakout of our HTF selling channel is a great start and now would love to see ourselves build controlled liquidity prior to another breakout!
Happy Trading :)
SMCI - Pumped on conference call and earningsStill holding post DeepSeek FUD.
See my earlier note
Tgt remains the trendline top for first selling pressure - an obvious one. If holders held enough the pullback towards 45 will be a rebuying opportunity for this year.
On the DailyWe have a long wick candle on the daily facing off on a key level, will SMCI be triumphant and have a clean break out with no fake out, or will we encounter resistance and have a pullback/correction. Be safe and be fluid.
SMCI Earnings in 5days5 Days until Next Earnings report. Will it pop on earnings or pull back with the rest of the market. Chart has plenty of potential targets to reach and it's at a good support level on a weekly chart. Average 30D Vol is 35.89M and current Vol is 66.26M. GL!
SMCI. Huge Levels approaching. SMCI is approaching some major levels. All my levels are fib pulls from the yearly and monthly swings. They have been wildly accurate. I have been long since $26 and have fully exited my long today.
We have major confluence from multiple fib pulls at the $76 level. This is a major profit target for longs. This is also a huge short opportunity. I expect SMCI to either dump of $76 or gain and possibly reach $88. I dont see new all time highs in the near future. I believe we will dump down past the $52 level that we have already held on the daily when we gapped up the other day. Let me know if you have questions.
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom
🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms.
🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary.
🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist.
🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided.
🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards.
🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature.
🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed.
🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home.
🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite.
🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
SMCI I want to see SMCI hold the bottom box and pump to the top box. A short trade in the box would be valid as well. If we gain and hold the top box, we could expect all time highs.
SMCI. Looking for longs.Looking for longs if we come down a little more. Profit at first and second resistance and hold a little for potential all time highs.
SMCI: Continuity of the uptrendOn SMCI we have a continuation of the upward trend after the break of the resistance line by buyers over a 15-minute time unit.
SMCI’s Game-Changing Move: Could This Be a 500% Opportunity? Bullish Analysis for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)
1. Valuation Metrics
P/S Ratio: Previously 7.46, now just 1.43, showcasing significant undervaluation compared to historical levels.
P/E Ratio: Previously 90, now 16.67, making the stock much more attractive to value-focused investors.
Fair Value Estimate: According to Simply Wall Street , the fair value per share is estimated at $439.38 , suggesting substantial upside from the current price levels.
2. Strong Financial Metrics
Current Market Cap: $18.87 billion.
Revenue: This year's revenue is $14.94 billion, and 2025 revenue is expected to exceed $23 billion, surpassing the current market cap—a promising signal of growth potential.
Financial Health: SMCI can cover all its debt twice over , with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 , which sits comfortably in the ideal range of 0.30–0.60.
3. Growth Drivers
New Manufacturing Facility: A facility in Malaysia is expected to become operational in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, enabling SMCI to scale up its AI server production.
Liquid Cooling Expertise: SMCI specializes in liquid cooling technology , critical for the new generation of powerful chips and data centers, including Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs , which are experiencing record demand as Nvidia ramps up production.
4. Technical and Price Action
Support Levels: SMCI has established strong support at $30.
Trend Reversal: The stock has broken the structure of its downtrend and is now showing clear signs of heading to the upside, further reinforcing bullish momentum.
Resistance Levels: Potential price targets based on resistance areas:
Target 1: $50 (52.4% increase).
Target 2: $70 (113.4% increase).
Target 3: $100 (204.8% increase).
Target 4: $120 (265.8% increase).
Long-term Target: $200+ (509.75% increase).
5. AI Market Leadership
SMCI’s continued focus on AI servers positions it as a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing AI-driven computing market.
Conclusion
With its attractive valuation, robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and leadership in liquid cooling and AI servers, SMCI is well-positioned for substantial growth. The recent trend reversal adds technical confirmation to the fundamental bullish case, making current price levels a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the AI and data center markets.
Which Pull back if any?Is SMCI going to consolidate now or tap into 64.33 key level and then go touch the FVG? Even though we had bullish momentum candle that broke the 50.51 resistance recently, and a bullish MACD(Chris Moody); the Stoch RSI and the RSI and CCI are overbought. Should we wait for a retest of the 50.51 resistance or a pull back to the FVG? What do you all think?
SMCI - Sh!tty I know but is it good Sh!t now?Technically looking solid.. but back of the mind has that fear, what if mgmnt messes up with the 10k filing etc.
Anyways.. I've a long position from post earnings.
Long anywhere here
Target 1 - 52
Target 2 - 68
Target 3 - 80
Buy SMCIBad news usually translates to great buying opportunities and that's what happened for SMCI. Simplified this impulse wave to an ABC to show longterm trend. Feeling like a safe long (buy and hold) for those trying to get in on a fairly priced stock in a great sector.
The Reactive on SMCI has completed The stock is ready for a massive thrust UP to $129 or more....
Why is this. Well SMCI filed the 8K Report on December 2nd.
There are rumores the 10k and 10q maybe ready.
Lastly, business for SMCI is super strong. With Europe starting to negotiate large investments in AI, Sovereign AI, this means AI by country. Elon Musk has been speaking about AI data Centers and he did explain that these centers would be ultimately built in every city and town of the world. (subject to population size). He esplained that this would be a service similar to a utility, swage, electricity and AI. We have a very long way to go..... with SMCI
SMCI WILL FORM WELL ABOVE $500 The concept of "Sovereign AI" and SMCI building supercomputers in every country worldwide is an ambitious and speculative idea.
Infrastructure Investment
Building supercomputers in every country would require a massive global investment. Supercomputers are extremely expensive to design, build, and install, with costs ranging from $100 million to $300 million per system1. This doesn't include ongoing operational expenses.
Energy Requirements
Supercomputers consume enormous amounts of energy. On average, these systems use 6-7 megawatts of power, with peak consumption reaching 9.5 megawatts1. The annual energy cost for a single supercomputer can be approximately $6-$7 million1. Implementing such systems globally would require significant upgrades to power grids and energy infrastructure.
Total Cost of Ownership
The total cost of ownership for supercomputers goes beyond the initial investment. When factoring in electricity, labor, and facilities, the cost per core-hour can reach $0.12 to $0.15, assuming 100% utilization.
For a global initiative, these costs would be multiplied across numerous countries.
Economic Impact
The global supercomputer market is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it will reach $27.17 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 11.2%. A worldwide "Sovereign AI" initiative could potentially accelerate this growth.
Challenges
Implementing supercomputers globally faces several challenges:
High operating costs: The substantial energy consumption and maintenance requirements pose significant ongoing expenses.
Technical expertise: Managing and optimizing supercomputers requires specialized skills, which may be scarce in some countries.
Environmental concerns: The massive energy requirements raise environmental issues that would need to be addressed.
Potential Benefits
Despite the challenges, a global supercomputer network could offer benefits such as:
Advanced research capabilities:
Countries could enhance their scientific research in fields like climate science, genetics, and materials science.
Economic development:
Access to supercomputing power could drive innovation and economic growth across various sectors.
Data sovereignty: Countries could maintain control over their data and AI development, aligning with the concept of "Sovereign AI".
While the idea of SMCI building supercomputers in every country is speculative, sure, but as Elon said, AI will be just like a utility comany and will required AI centers globally. The global investment in AI infrastructure is indeed substantial. Goldman Sachs estimates that around $1 trillion will be spent over the next few years on data centers, semiconductors, and grid upgrades related to AI development. This gives an indication of the scale of investment required for a global supercomputing initiative. SMCI is at the forefront of the AI implementation. Learn about the new partnerships being formed with NVDA. Meanwhile you should be counting the sales SMCI has been making. Tripple capacity and demand for the next decaded.
SMCI: Rejection on the 1W MA50 will be the last buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 76.279, MACD = 3.600, ADX = 40.488) as a result of the relentless rally of the past 2 weeks but on 1W (RSI = 57.515) it just turned bullish, which is indicative of the long way it has to cover until it makes new ATH again following last year's accounting discrepancies. The price is about to test the 1W MA50 as a Resistance, which under normal circumastances of Bull Cycle, it is a support. A potential rejection there, should provide the last buy opportunity that will test the 1D MA50 as a Support. We remain long on SMCI, next TP = 95.00.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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SMCI: Buy ideaBuy idea on SMCI as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the resistance line by a big green candle follow by a large green volume...
I don’t usually short stocks… But SMCI looks like a good bet to see much much lower pricing. I’m not going crazy but I’m planning on starting small short (1-2% of the account) and plan to up it to 3-4 if it looks favorable. I will have lots of time on this as it may take awhile to play out (3-6 months). The levels are clearly marked, red resistance / green support. I will short once momentum show signs of reversing. I will wait for a weekly red candle stick.
Micro Computer 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is in a strong uptrend, recovering from previous lows with high momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $50–$52 (potential breakout zone).
Support: $44–$45 (Supertrend support).
Indicators:
EMA 9: $44.72 (acting as strong support).
EMA 200: $34.74 (long-term bullish signal as price remains above).
Supertrend: $41.64 (trend remains bullish).
MACD: Bullish, confirming continued momentum.
RSI: 77.57 (overbought, but strong momentum remains).
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping:
Buy near: $45–$46 on small pullbacks.
Target: $50–$52.
Stop-loss below: $43.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping:
Long if price breaks above: $50, targeting $55.
Short if price rejects $50, targeting $45.
🩸 3. Range Scalping:
Sell near: $50–$52 resistance.
Target: $45–$43.
Stop-loss: $53 if breakout occurs.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If SMCI breaks $50, expect a rally toward $55–$60.
A rejection at $50 could lead to a short-term pullback toward $45–$43 before resuming the uptrend.
RSI is overbought, so some profit-taking is likely before the next move.
🔥 News & Market Context:
AI & Data Center Demand: SMCI benefits from strong AI-driven server demand.
Tech Sector Rally: Stock is riding the momentum of high-growth tech plays.
Macroeconomic Factors: Potential rate hikes may slow down speculative growth, but fundamentals remain strong.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Look for a breakout above $50 or a pullback for re-entry near $45.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish, but extended. Look for consolidation before continuation.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy on dips or scalp breakouts above $50.
👑 Final Verdict: Super Micro is in a powerful breakout phase, but profit-taking near resistance is possible. Bulls must clear $50 for continuation.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "Momentum is a weapon—use it wisely, or it turns against you."
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%
The Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock chart shows:
→ Friday’s closing price rose over 13% from Thursday’s close;
→ The stock has surged more than 80% from its February low;
→ Friday’s close marked the highest level since late October 2024.
SMCI’s rally comes despite an 11 February quarterly report that missed expectations:
→ EPS: $0.59 vs. expected $0.60;
→ Revenue: $5.65bn vs. expected $5.72bn.
Bullish sentiment is driven by (according to media reports):
→ A forecasted $40bn revenue for FY2026, 70% higher than projected FY2025 revenue;
→ Reports indicate that SMCI shares are unlikely to be delisted from NASDAQ due to financial reporting issues (which we previously discussed when analysing the SMCI stock chart on 3 December);
→ Investor enthusiasm for AI and rapid data centre construction to support it.
Technical Analysis of SMCI Stock
The price has reached the key psychological level of $50 per share:
→ Historical price action at this level has often triggered significant reversals;
→ A bullish cup-and-handle pattern is forming.
A higher second low suggests growing demand strength, potentially leading to a bullish breakout above $50.
SMCI Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautious. According to Yahoo Finance:
→ Only 2 of 6 analysts recommend buying SMCI shares;
→ The 12-month average price target is $47.91.
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