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VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGSVV

VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS

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4SPCE trade ideas

SPCE Ready to Go? Virgin Galactic Holdings Short Term - We look to Buy at 10.11 (stop at 9.18) Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Trading volume is increasing. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 10.00. Our profit targets will be 14.31 and 16.41 Resistance: 14.00 / 17.00 / 20.00 Support: 10.00 / 7.00 / 5.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NLong
by Saxo
I made some pretty wild assumptions on SPCEI've been looking at this company and I've been trying to justify a positive valuation in the future. The only way that you can make sense of investing in this company is if you stretch your assumptions not for 5 but for 10 years from now. The biggest factor that will contribute to making that company profitable and scalable is the DELTA class that is suppose to be completed in 2025/ 2026. In the earnings call they said that they are projecting to be profitable in 2026 and they are working to create a system where they can build up to 6 delta ships per year efficiently. So in my Discount model calculations I've used the current ship classes up to year 4 and basically they are losing money for the next 4 years as they are trying to reduce the cash burn. From the 5th year to the 10th year I'm assuming that they will add 3 Delta ships per year to their fleet. After all the calculations that i conjured my intrinsic value comes to 46 dollars per share if they don't do a stock dilution, "they probably will to float the company till profitability". I'm assuming that I'm going to be half wrong with my assumptions and the intrinsic value for the next 10 years comes up to 23 bucks. The current price is 9 dollars per share. That is still 61% undervalued from my 23 dollar projections. So I think its a good buy from here. At least for the next couple of years. If they run out of money that is a different story.
NLong
by BGMind_Control
18
SPCE some simple calculations to monitor the financial safety I made a simple spread sheet to calculate what is the current financial health of this company. Keep in mind that this is my personal thought process and it might not be very accurate, but i would rather be a little off then not knowing exactly what is going on. Since this is a pre revenue company that loses money every year the thing that we need to analyze is how much cash they have on hand at all times on their balance sheet and what is their burn rate. Cash and short term investments 629 450 000 at the moment, their net loss last year was 230 000 000 which means that if not one cent gets injected in to the company for the next 2,73 years they will run out of money. I also calculated their Shares/ Cash which comes that 2,44$ of their current share price is covered by their cash and short term investments. So if you calculate the share price without the 2,44$, currently you are getting the company for 4,84$, which in my opinion in the current market environment is pretty cheap. I currently have a good chunk of shares in my portfolio on an average price of 11 bucks, but im planning to average down every 2 dollars that the share price falls, if it falls more. So my thinking is that considering that this is a futuristic aerospace company these price levels provide a relatively safe bet for 200- 400% gain in the next couple of years. Also they can always do a dilution for money money or get in more debt until they become profitable.
N
by BGMind_Control
Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) long term investment ideaMy view on Virgin Galactic Holdings. The reason for the stocks to drop from $62 was mainly because of virgin group selling shares to keep the business alive. Since there it was in a downtrend. -After the Italian air force flight virgin galactic disclosed that they want to sent the mothership (the plane which carries the spaceship) to maintenance and upgrade for a 8 month period. In this period you cannot fly the spaceship because you need the mothership. The benefits of this longer maintanace period: They will be able to fly the mothership 100 times without maintenance, instead of only 10 times with short maintenance. This will be great when they will open commercial flights which is expected to be in Q4 2022. - Things were delayed abit because of the FAA situation. "Virgin Galactic may not return the SpaceShipTwo vehicle to flight until the FAA approves the final mishap investigation report or determines the issues related to the mishap do not affect public safety," the agency said. This problem with the FAA is solved but this delayed the flight. I waited out for the stock price to bleed out during the maintenance period to buy more shares. I try to compound at prices where it is depressed and where nobody wants to buy them or hear about the stock anymore, thats usually a good spot to buy. My lowest compound price: $7.18 and highest compound price : $24.10. Virgin group has sold shares in virgin galactic and also Richard Brandson just to help their airline business . When the business do better they wont need to cash out out of virgin galactic to try to make the other businesses survive.
NLong
by Xippio
$SPCE Next Target PT 2.70 and higherVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an integrated aerospace company, develops human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers in the United States. It also manufactures air and space vehicles. The company's spaceship operations include commercial human spaceflight, flying commercial research, and development payloads into space. In addition, it engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
NLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
2