Tsla below 288 ?I see an H&S pattern forming if we break below 288 we could see it drop to 280 ish imo. Can play out this week. Lets see
4TSLA trade ideas
Tesla: Ticking Higher on Consolidation Breakout Potential
Current Price: $315.35
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $322
- T2 = $330
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $310
- S2 = $305
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s stock has been consolidating within a narrow range of $305–$320, reflecting investors' cautious optimism ahead of potential catalysts. Technical resistance at $322 is acting as a key breakout point that could open the path to higher price levels. The bullish sentiment is fueled by improving production efficiencies, ongoing expansion in international markets, and Elon Musk’s ambition to transform Tesla into a broader technology conglomerate. However, concerns surrounding increasing competition in the EV market and potential headwinds from regulatory changes remain significant risks.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s recent price action has showcased volatility while maintaining key support levels around $301.11. The stock has demonstrated resilience, holding firm during tech sector corrections. Over the past month, Tesla has seen short-term rallies driven by positive speculation about its EV lineup, alongside broader optimistic movement in the S&P 500. Investors have stayed engaged, with trading volumes suggesting sustained interest despite external pressures.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts underscore $322 as a critical resistance level that serves as the decision point for renewed momentum. The stock's recent consolidation pattern signals a possible breakout, assuming macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Analysts have also cautioned about rising competition from other EV manufacturers like BYD, which intensifies pressure on Tesla's pricing strategy and market share. Nevertheless, Tesla’s ambitious pipeline, including autonomous driving technologies, remains a significant source of long-term investor confidence.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s near-term outlook is influenced by competing factors. On one hand, reports of a lower-cost EV could dramatically increase its addressable market, while ongoing advances in AI and battery technologies enhance the company’s competitive edge. On the other hand, upcoming expiration of federal EV tax credits and increasing geopolitical scrutiny over Musk’s public statements may weigh on investor sentiment. Despite this, news of expanded production capabilities in Gigafactory Nevada has bolstered optimism regarding Tesla’s capacity to scale effectively.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Taking a long position in Tesla appears favorable as price action signals bullish momentum within its established range. The short-term trade targets $322 followed by $330, with stop-loss levels placed at $310 and $305 to manage downside risk. Traders are advised to monitor any developments in macroeconomic conditions and competitive activity, which remain key influences on price trajectory.
How We’ll Trade Earnings This Season Earnings season is almost here — and if you're with QS, you’re already holding the most powerful edge in the market.
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Direct Access Trading SystemsDirect Access Trading Systems
Direct access trading systems (DATS) offer traders a direct line to financial markets. By bypassing traditional brokerage routes, DATS enable swift, precise trading, essential for strategies reliant on speed and accuracy. This FXOpen article delves into the workings, benefits, and considerations of DATS, providing valuable insights for both seasoned and aspiring traders navigating the fast-paced world of modern trading.
Understanding Direct Access Trading Systems
Direct access trading systems (DATS) revolutionise how traders interact with financial markets, typically in the realm of stock trading. Unlike traditional brokerage platforms, these systems offer direct market access trading, a method allowing traders to place orders directly into the market's electronic order book. Such immediate access is crucial for those who require precision and speed in their trading decisions.
Traditionally, orders placed through brokers are processed internally before reaching the market, potentially causing delays. However, brokers with direct market access provide a conduit for traders to bypass these intermediate steps. These systems typically appeal to day traders and other short-term investors who value the ability to respond swiftly to market movements.
Usually, direct access brokers list Level 2 quotes, where bid and ask prices alongside order sizes are given for the asset, providing an additional layer of valuable information. By offering a more direct link to financial markets, these systems may provide an enhanced trading experience that aligns with the needs of active traders.
Selecting the best direct access broker for day trading involves considering several key factors. Traders look for platforms that offer high reliability and uptime, as any downtime can significantly impact outcomes. Speed of order execution is crucial in capturing market opportunities. Additionally, traders assess the fee and commission structure to ensure it aligns with their trading volume and strategy.
How Direct Access Trading Systems Work
DATS offer a sophisticated network that connects traders directly to financial markets. These systems use specialised software platforms, helping traders make efficient and swift operations:
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Through this streamlined process, DATS offer a high-efficiency trading environment. Such a setup is particularly advantageous for strategies that require quick decision-making and execution, such as day trading or scalping.
Advantages of Direct Access Trading Systems
DATS offer several compelling advantages over traditional brokerage platforms, particularly for those who engage in frequent trading. These benefits cater to the needs of active traders seeking efficiency and control in their strategies.
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- Stricter Trading Rules: Direct market access often comes with more stringent rules. This could include tighter regulations around repeat dealing, deal rejections if trading outside normal market sizes, and potential penalty fees for inactive accounts.
The Bottom Line
In summary, direct access trading systems may enhance efficiency, offering speed, control, and direct market insights. However, they require a careful approach due to their complexity and cost.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA : Technical Analysis Report - 30 June 2025Trend:
The primary trend (big picture) is upward. Bullish momentum is weak.
Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Regardless of the larger trend, momentum within a sideways range is typically neutral or flat, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Patte rn
A symmetrical triangle is like a market catching its breath. It's a temporary pause in a trend. Once the price breaks out of the triangle, it usually continues in the same direction it was going before. Until that breakout, it's a neutral pattern.
Key levels :
R2 - 366
R1 - 356
S1 - 315 -The price is facing the support 215.
S2 - 275
Tips for Trading
Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals
-----------------------
Note :
If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your investment decisions.
TSLA: Agentic and real world AIThe "this is a just a car company" crowd, as usual, continues to point at the valuation as a reason to short. Not realizing that the valuation has always been high. It's been apart of Tesla's DNA for many years. Like a trend line, you must consider it in your thesis along with everything else.
We will remain on trend. Money printer is running again. Don't get left behind. Don't be a hater because the stock will move the way it wants regardless of how you feel about it.
I'm not a trader.
Diamond Reversal Forming On Tesla ($TSLA)This pattern on TSLA fits the outline for a diamond reversal that is referenced on Investopedia.
It has all the "classical" facets of a diamond reversal which is a high (A), a low (C) a higher-high.
Furthermore, this is happening alongside a very similar pattern on NFLX and some bearish patterns on many other stocks.
Similar forms also occurred on SPX in 2021-2222 and Bitcoin in 2021.
The move up from the 2023 lows has the form of an ABC up... which suggests another 5 wave downmove on-par with or even exceeding the previous downmove is on the way.
The move off the highs was a whole 75% so even presuming a moderate 1:1 ratio, the next wave down could be very aggressive which means that an excellent short could be lining up.
Trade safe and be careful out there.
TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
🔋 1. EV Demand Growth
Strength: 9/10 → 9/10
Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍
🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model
Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10
Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment.
⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement
Strength: 8/10 → 8/10
Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist.
🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout
Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10
Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind.
🚩 5. Competition
Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10
Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation.
📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs
Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10
Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before.
💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies
Strength: 6/10 → 6/10
U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor.
🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs
Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10
Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate.
📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates
Strength: 5/10 → 5/10
A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies.
🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance
Strength: 4/10 → 5/10
Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched.
________________________________________
🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings
Rank Driver Score
1 EV demand growth 9
2 Affordable model 8.5
3 Battery costs/margins 8
4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5
5 Competition 6.5
6 Trade & tariffs 6.5
7 Regulatory incentives 6
8 Commodities 5.5
9 Fed Rates 5
10 Musk reputation/governance 5
________________________________________
📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets
• Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside
• Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder”
• Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning
• Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout
• UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations
Consensus snapshot (FactSet):
• Mean price target ≈ $311–$312
• Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5)
________________________________________
🗞️ Recent Headlines
• “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule”
• “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum
• “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5%
• “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens”
________________________________________
🔍 Summary Outlook
Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks:
• Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative.
• Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis.
• Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener.
Upcoming triggers to watch:
1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July).
2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance.
3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve.
4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets.
________________________________________
✅ What This Means for You
• Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range.
• Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350).
• Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
The price will drop to at least $230The price will drop to at least $230. after that can goes to $200. but i have to re-check at $230
If you are thinking of investing, this is not a good place to buy at all.
I recommend entering in the $200 range after getting the necessary confirmations.
If you would like to follow me to see the rest of my analysis.
Adam & Eve on the Chart:Will They Bless Us with a $1,500 MiracleI don’t have much to say — it’s pretty straightforward.
We’ve got two potential structures on the chart:
✅ First, the symmetrical triangle that already broke out, aiming for a target around $958 to $1,000.
✅ Then we’ve got the “Adam & Eve” structure (gotta flex sometimes 😎), see it as a cup & handle pattern, aiming for a crazy $1,500 target. This one hasn’t broken out yet — but if the first triangle breakout plays out fully, it basically sets the stage for this one to break out too.
Some quick facts:
The bounce zone around ~$245 is a huge multi-timeframe confluence level.
Volume profile support is literally chilling right at $245.
Multiple moving averages are backing this move, even on lower timeframes than the "1M"
Triangle retest? Check.
0.786 fib support? Check.
(And to name a few)
Overall, the chart looks Fine to me.
Negative news might affect the short term, but the trend should stay intact.
Unless the macro changes.
That's it, that's the idea" - Good night !
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry.
At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout.
I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward.
Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
Pull-back Post Austin LaunchNot quite a dark cover cloud candlestick today but given how strong the Nasdaq was today and NASDAQ:TSLA slumped is a fairly pathetic price action on day 2 post Austin launch.
IMO a lot of shorts were on the sidelines until robotaxi commenced. They waited for the pop and now feel more confident in entering short since they were able to assess launch. Buy the rumor sell the news if you will...
Correcting below the pre-launch price back to the lower wedge trend line around low 300s is my target.
$TSLA Time to Fade or..?NASDAQ:TSLA (like NASDAQ:GOOG ) is standing out to me as bullish, yet, corrective Elliot Waves a higher degree series of ABCs appear to be underway.
A final wave C appears to be underway which would take price too all time highs in an expanded flat correction pattern. My count could be wrong and the interference could be from the increase it sentiment volatility connected to the US headlines lately and Trump posting on socials. Things may get back to normal after the summer and a clearer pattern may emerge.
Price is struggling to get past the weekly pivot point bullishly or the weekly 200EMS bearishly and is trapped within that range.
For now long term target is the R2 daily pivot at $693 as the higher probability is continued upside
Safe trading
Could TSLA rebound after a weaker decrease than expected deliverTesla Q2 2025 Delivery fell, but could it rebound in 2H?
Key Figures
Q2 2025 Deliveries: 384,122 vehicles
Year-over-Year Change: Down approximately 13–14% from Q2 2024
Wall Street Expectations: Around 385,000–387,000 vehicles
Production vs. Deliveries: 410,244 vehicles produced, indicating a build-up in inventory
Fundamental analyst
Sales Decline: This marks the second consecutive quarter of declining deliveries for Tesla, reflecting intensifying competition, especially from Chinese EV makers like BYD and legacy automakers such as General Motors, who have gained significant market share.
Aging Product Line: Tesla’s current lineup is considered to be aging, with no major new models launched recently, while competitors continue to introduce fresh, competitively priced vehicles.
Brand and Leadership Impact: Tesla’s brand image and CEO Elon Musk’s public controversies and political activity have contributed to softer demand in some markets.
Inventory Build-Up: Production exceeded deliveries by about 26,000 vehicles, suggesting demand-side challenges rather than supply constraints.
Stock Market Reaction: Despite the delivery decline, Tesla’s stock price rose by about 4–5% after the report, as actual results were better than the most pessimistic forecasts (340,000–360,000 deliveries). The markets are expecting the decreasing trend to be slower.
Techincal Analyst
TSLA has rebounded strongly from its 2023 lows, forming a clear upward channel since late 2024. The stock is currently trading near the lower end of this ascending channel, indicating a key support area.
If TSLA sustains above the $300–$310 zone, the uptrend could resume, targeting $350 and potentially $400.
A breakdown below $300 could trigger further declines toward $275 or lower, especially if accompanied by high volume.
TSLA is at a technically important level. Holding above $300–$310 keeps the bullish channel alive, while a break below could signal a deeper correction. For the next directional move, watch for volume spikes and price action near these key levels.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Analyst from Exness
Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs.
Levels to watch: $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) .
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
TSLA at the Edge of Breakdown? Here’s the Options PlayGEX-Based Option Strategy Insight:
TSLA’s GEX landscape reveals heavy negative Gamma Exposure lurking below $305. That’s a red flag — dealers are likely to short more as price falls, amplifying downside. The highest negative NET GEX zone sits around $310–315, right near the current price, indicating a major PUT support zone — if broken, could trigger a volatility spike.
* PUT Walls: Stack up at $310, $300, $295, with max pain potential down to $285–290.
* Call Walls: Far above at $325/337.5/340 — little gamma resistance above, but TSLA would need a strong reversal to challenge those.
📌 Options Sentiment:
* IVR is 29.7 (lowish), IVx avg is 72.3 → options pricing isn’t cheap anymore.
* Calls 44.3% vs Puts 55.7% → leaning bearish.
* GEX suggests downside acceleration under $300.
➡️ Trade Idea (GEX View):
If $300 fails, consider buying 295 or 290 PUTs (weekly or next week expiry).
Target $285–290 zone for exit.
Above $310 = exit.
1-Hour Chart Technical Setup (2nd image):
TSLA has been in a clear downtrend, marked by:
* Break of Structure (BOS) followed by lower lows.
* Price is hovering inside a potential accumulation zone, but has shown no bullish confirmation yet.
* Volume is weak, and we are still sitting under a steep downtrend resistance line.
📉 Bearish Play:
* Break below $300 = confirmation of continuation.
* Entry: $299.50–300.00
* Target: $293.21 > $290 > $285
* Stop: Close above $305 (tight).
📈 Bullish Risk:
* Only valid if price breaks $310 and flips the BOS area at $317.
* This could trigger a squeeze toward $320/325, but that’s lower probability for now.
Final Thoughts:
Until we reclaim $310+, TSLA leans heavy. GEX confirms dealer pressure below $300. Use tight stops and don’t chase — volatility will increase fast on a breakdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always confirm your thesis.
TESLA falling down to 250 USD?Tesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Possible TP: 250 USD
Musk-Trump Feud Sends Tesla (TSLA) Shares DownRenewed Feud Between Musk and Trump Drags Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Lower
The US Senate yesterday narrowly approved Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful budget bill.”
Elon Musk, who had previously criticised the bill for potentially adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, warned that Republican lawmakers who supported it would face political consequences. In a post on X, Musk wrote:
“Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.”
He also reiterated his intention to establish a third political force under the name “America Party.”
In response, President Trump issued sharp threats:
→ to apply federal pressure on Musk’s companies by revisiting existing subsidies and government contracts (estimated by The Washington Post at $38 billion);
→ to deport Musk back to South Africa.
The market responded immediately to this renewed escalation in the Trump–Musk conflict. Tesla (TSLA) shares fell by over 5% yesterday, forming a significant bearish gap.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
Eight days ago, we analysed the TSLA price chart, continuing to observe price action within the context of an ascending channel (indicated in blue). At that point:
→ In mid-June, when the initial Musk–Trump tensions surfaced, TSLA managed to hold within the channel. However, as of yesterday, the price broke below the lower boundary, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend that had been in place since March–April;
→ The price breached the lower channel limit near the $315 level — a zone that previously acted as support. This suggests that $315 may now serve as a resistance level.
As a result, optimism related to the late-June launch of Tesla’s robotaxi initiative has been eclipsed by concerns that the Musk–Trump confrontation may have broader implications.
If the former allies refrain from further escalation, TSLA may consolidate into a broadening contracting triangle (its upper boundary marked in red) in the near term, ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings release scheduled for 29 July.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
