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4TSLA trade ideas

Let's Explore Swing Trading !Hello, Trading Community! I'm excited to share my 100th publication with you all! Grateful for the support and learning from this journey. To mark this milestone, I’m sharing an educational post on Swing Trading—hope it adds value to your trading. Thank you for being a part of this! Let’s keep growing together. Happy trading! Introduction-: Swing trading is a powerful trading strategy that allows traders to capture market fluctuations over a period of several days to weeks. Unlike day trading, which requires constant monitoring of charts, swing trading enables traders to take advantage of medium-term price movements without being glued to the screen all day. This guide explores the fundamentals of swing trading, key indicators, strategies, risk management, and common mistakes traders should avoid. By the end of this article, you’ll have a solid foundation to approach swing trading effectively and improve your trading success. Have you ever wondered how professional traders capitalize on market swings without constantly watching the charts? Let's break it down. 🔹What is Swing Trading-: Swing trading is a trading style that focuses on capturing short- to medium-term price movements in financial markets. Traders hold positions for several days or weeks, aiming to profit from price swings within a trend. Unlike day traders, who enter and exit positions within the same day, or long-term investors who hold assets for months or years, swing traders take advantage of short-term fluctuations while aligning with the broader trend. A key principle in swing trading is identifying trends and trading in their direction. For instance, in an uptrend, a trader looks for pullbacks to enter at a favorable price, while in a downtrend, they may look for rallies to enter short positions. A well-structured chart example showing an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows can help illustrate this concept effectively. 🔹Key Indicators and Tools for Swing Trading-: Swing traders rely on technical analysis to find high-probability trade setups. Some of the most commonly used indicators and tools include: 1. Moving Averages (50 & 200 EMA) – Helps identify the overall trend. A price above the 50-day EMA indicates an uptrend, while a price below suggests a downtrend. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) & MACD – Used for entry confirmation. RSI helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, while MACD provides trend direction and momentum shifts. 3. Fibonacci Retracement – Useful for identifying pullback levels within a trend. Traders use Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to anticipate where price might find support or resistance. 4. Support and Resistance Levels – Key price areas where reversals or consolidations often occur. Identifying these levels helps traders find entry and exit points. A well-annotated chart with these indicators applied can illustrate their importance in real trading scenarios. 🔹Swing Trading Strategies with Examples-: Trend-Following Swing Trading This strategy involves entering trades in the direction of the prevailing trend. Traders wait for pullbacks to enter a position rather than buying at the peak. Moving averages and RSI are commonly used to confirm the trend and entry points. Example: A stock in an uptrend retracing to the 50-day moving average with RSI bouncing from the 40 level can be an ideal entry point. 🔹Breakout Swing Trading-: This strategy focuses on trading breakouts from consolidation patterns such as triangles, flags, and channels. Traders use volume and MACD to confirm the breakout’s strength before entering. Example: A stock breaking out from a flag pattern with increased volume signals a strong continuation. A stop-loss is placed below the breakout level to manage risk. 🔹Mean Reversion Swing Trading-: This approach involves buying oversold conditions and selling overbought conditions. Bollinger Bands and RSI divergence help identify potential reversals. Example: If the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is below 30, traders anticipate a reversal and enter a long position. Charts illustrating each strategy with proper entry, stop-loss, and target levels can significantly enhance the reader’s understanding. 🔹Risk Management in Swing Trading-: Successful swing trading isn’t just about finding the right setups—it’s also about managing risk effectively. 1. Risk-Reward Ratio (Minimum 1:2) – Ensuring that potential profits outweigh potential losses. If a trade has a stop-loss of 10 points, the target should be at least 20 points. 2. Stop-Loss Placement – Placing stop-loss orders below swing lows for long trades and above swing highs for short trades to limit downside risk. 3. Position Sizing – Avoiding excessive exposure by ensuring no more than 2% of total capital is risked on a single trade. 4. Using ATR (Average True Range) – A dynamic way to set stop-loss levels based on market volatility. An example chart demonstrating a well-placed stop-loss and take-profit target can reinforce these concepts. Common Mistakes to Avoid in Swing Trading-: 1. Overtrading – Entering too many trades based on impulse rather than solid setups. 2. Ignoring Market Context – Trading against the trend or ignoring macroeconomic factors. 3. Not Using Stop-Loss Orders – Holding onto losing trades in the hope that the market will reverse. 4. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Trades – Entering trades too late, after the move has already happened. Understanding these common pitfalls can help traders refine their strategy and improve long-term success. 🔹Conclusion: Becoming a Profitable Swing Trader-: Swing trading offers an excellent balance between short-term trading and long-term investing. By using technical indicators, proper risk management, and well-defined strategies, traders can capitalize on price movements while minimizing risk. Before implementing these strategies in a live market traders should backtest them using TradingView to see how they perform over historical data. Best Regards-: Amit
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by AMIT-RAJAN
1
TSLA - Bearish trend towards Apr earningsEveryone has read enough about TSLA's overvaluation. This chart simply shows relevant levels - given the broader downtrend, I'm looking at a break of $232 in the near term (possibly today), followed by a retest of the $215. Any upside will be capped at the $250 resistance. I'm expecting bounces between $215-$235 up till the end of March, and a break of $215 in April towards $180 in anticipation for abysmal earnings. I'm short TSLA from $245 with a first TP of $200, and holding past earnings for sub-$180.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ianwongkj2
3
Tesla at major support. I'm long.Tesla is at major yearly support. Confluence between levels and fib. This is where we need to hold to maintain the trend on the monthly chart. I don't know if it will hang out at this level or possibly go below the level before we regain and higher. But this is a valid long trade at these levels. If we don't hold here it is much lower. Long term target is $670. Remember the fud around Tesla is meaningless. It's all the charts. If the markets were "rational" we wouldn't even be at these levels in the first place.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JR_Stocks
Tesla's 12% Rally Faces Major Test 🧭 After a brutal 55% sell-off, Tesla bounces sharply—but reputational damage, six-quarter earnings misses, and resistance at $284 may limit the upside. 📌 Tesla Bounces After 55% Decline, But Can It Last? Tesla shares have staged an impressive 17% rebound over the past two sessions, closing near $282 after briefly dipping below long-term support at $221—a level identified in previous technical analysis. The rally follows a brutal 55% drawdown over two months, driven by fundamental concerns and investor disillusionment with Tesla's leadership and financial trajectory. While the bounce has sparked hopes of a full recovery, many investors are asking: Is this rally sustainable, or simply a technical reaction to an oversold market? 🔍 What's Behind the Decline? Sales, Sentiment, and Musk Tesla Inc. was once the undisputed leader of the electric vehicle movement—praised for innovation, margins, and cult-like investor loyalty. However, that sentiment has deteriorated rapidly, driven by a combination of brand erosion, global consumer backlash, and CEO Elon Musk's growing political entanglements. Recent data shows Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union dropped for the second consecutive month in February, despite increased overall EV adoption among rival automakers. This suggests that brand damage is not just a PR issue—it's hitting demand directly. The drop coincides with widespread boycotts and protests against Tesla vehicles across regions like Germany, France, and the Netherlands, where public trust in Musk's leadership has sharply declined. Elon Musk's involvement in U.S. government affairs—ranging from infrastructure to national security—has further blurred the line between corporate leadership and personal politics. While his goals align with long-term technological influence, his increasingly controversial social presence and political commentary have invited scrutiny from both investors and customers alike. 📉 Fundamentals Still Struggling: Six Quarters of Mixed Results Adding to investor anxiety is Tesla's shaky earnings record. Over the past six quarters, the company has missed revenue expectations in five, with growing signs of delivery pressure and margin compression. QuarterReported RevenueEstimateSurprise (%) Sep 2023 $23.35B $24.19B –3.46% Dec 2023 $25.17B $25.60B –1.67% Mar 2024 $21.30B $22.22B –4.14% Jun 2024 $25.50B $24.52B +3.99% Sep 2024 $25.18B $25.47B –1.12% Dec 2024 $25.71B $27.26B –5.69% The most recent miss—a $1.55B revenue gap in Q4 2024—was the largest in over a year, reinforcing fears that Tesla's dominance in the EV market is eroding faster than expected. 📊 Technical Outlook: Bounce or Bull Trap? Tesla's rally is now facing a critical test. After bouncing from $221, the stock surged through a long-term resistance zone between $244–$263, flipping that region into support. The breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in trading volume, a bullish sign for short-term momentum. However, several key resistance levels lie directly ahead: $275.70 – Initial resistance zone; currently being tested $284.00 – Next level tied to a major supply area $306.00 and $325.00 – Historical congestion zones $356.00 and $387.00 – Longer-term recovery targets if momentum continues If Tesla fails to break and hold above $284, it could fall back into the previous range. The $263–$244 support zone will be critical in cushioning any pullback. A loss of this support could open the door to a retest of $221 or lower. ↺ Scenarios to Watch: Rebound or Reversal? 📉 Bearish Scenario: Price fails to hold above $275.70 Pullback toward $263, then $244 Breakdown below $244 could retest $221 and resume a broader downtrend 📈 Bullish Scenario: A clean break above $284 with volume Continuation toward $306 → $325 Sustained momentum opens the path to $356 and $387 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Brand Damage vs. Technical Rebound Tesla's rebound is undeniably impressive—but investors should remain cautious. While technicals suggest a short-term recovery is underway, the underlying fundamentals and sentiment remain damaged. Unless Tesla can stabilize earnings, rebuild global brand trust, and separate leadership from political theatrics, this bounce may prove to be temporary relief rather than a long-term trend reversal. The $284 resistance zone is now the key battleground. A failure to break above may confirm that Tesla's best days are still behind it—for now.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Rotuma
TESLA Stock and the Elliott Wave Theory We are in the Wave B of Flat that started in late April 2024, and from the rules of Elliott Wave, B must have 3 waves(two impulses and one corrective). The first impulse is marked in Green as Wave A. Wave B(Green) is the correction that comes inbetween the two impulses and is a Zigzag. Our last impulse unravels in a 5-Wave move and is marked in Blue.Wave 2 of this 5-wave move was a Zigzag and we should expect a Flat for the 4th Wave. This Wave 4 begins with a deep 3 Wave move that retests around the 161.8 mar. Therefore Wave A(Red) is complete and we should expect a strong 3 Wave move to complete B of the Flat.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by machariavictor017
8
TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016: Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension. As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
1
It will be a bumpy ride downhillTesla's fanboys would not like it. The company is facing turbulent times ahead and is still failing to provide what was promised years ago. 1. The legislators won't approve SDC also known as autonomous cars in the near future, because a human supervision is required. So the robotaxi is just a fiction. 2. Robots development is way behind the competitors. We all see the Boston Dynamics' Atlas, Mercedes-Benz project and some other projects. Comparing the Optimus project with the best out there is non-sense, because it fails on all fronts. Considering NVidia now open-sourced their project and collaboration with Google and Disney, IMO Tesla is out of the robo market now. 3. We see clear signs of a distribution phase at the top, fuelled by a lot of insider sells. *Support levels are shown on the chart as green boxes. . It is NOT a TRADING ADVISE . There is a HIGH RISK of losing money when trading. TSLA stock might be considered UNSAFE right NOW.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Decentralized-Trade
TSLA Tesla correcting towards 90Tesla appears to be correcting the 2022 top in an expanding flat to reach the missing volume at about 80-90. There is a match with the expanding wedge. Soon the wave 1 will end and the retracement in wave 2 is expected to be 50% and reach 350, at which it is time to exit or maybe even short. The PE is over 100 so a correction seems reasonable. Maybe as the correction ends next year, the selfdriving cars and optimus has a breakthrough. Tough competition from BYD
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by jespergarm
7
TESLA Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on TESLA and concluded the following: The market is trading on 249.11 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 240.93 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AnabelSignals
6
Tesla entering key $275 area.Tesla's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, entering the significant resistance zone around $270. The chart highlights this level as a pivotal threshold separating bearish and bullish market sentiments. Tesla's behavior around this region will likely determine its next major trend. ### Analysis of the Scenarios: 1. **Below $270: Bearish Outlook** If Tesla's stock fails to effectively break above the $270 resistance zone and instead gets rejected, the bears will remain in control. Previous price actions indicate this level as a significant area of selling pressure, with multiple failed breakout attempts in the past. A rejection here could set the stage for a continuation of the downtrend, with potential declines back to lower support levels. 2. **Above $270: Bullish Resurgence** A clear breakout above $270, confirmed by successive daily or weekly closes, would signal a bullish shift in Tesla's technical structure. This would suggest that buying momentum has overcome prior resistance, paving the way for further upward price movements. Breaking through this level could reignite investor enthusiasm and potentially initiate a new rally. ### Key Observations from the Chart: - The $270 level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, underscoring its importance as a psychological and technical barrier. - Tesla has recently bounced back after a sharp decline, suggesting a potential recovery attempt. However, the current price action faces a stiff challenge at this resistance level. - A failure or success at $270 could trigger broader directional movement, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors. ### Conclusion: Tesla's stock is at a decisive crossroads as it entered the $270 resistance zone. A rejection would signify continued bearish dominance, while a sustained breakout would indicate a bullish reversal. Investors will be closely watching the price action around this critical level to gauge the next directional move. As the market exhibits uncertainty, patience and prudent risk management will be key for traders looking to navigate Tesla's current trajectory.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Vinbald
TSLA short term rally and long term consolidationAs of March 23, 2025, TSLA stock reflects global economic shifts, geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade), and EV/energy sector dynamics. Short-term, a rally is likely, driven by FSD progress, Cybercab hype, and strong delivery numbers (e.g., China outperformance), bolstered by energy storage growth. Technicals suggest momentum with RSI nearing overbought levels and MACD signaling bullish crossover. Long-term, consolidation looms as high P/E ratios (100x+) face scrutiny amid regulatory risks, EV market saturation, and rising rates. Competitive pressures and execution challenges could cap gains, with support likely at $300-$320 and resistance near $400. Short-term upside, long-term range-bound.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by scurtrader
Tesla Potential Long LurkingTesla has a very good chance of having a move up from here. What indicates this? 1) RSI is low at the moment and creating bullish divergence on the 12h and Daily timeframes. 2) The weekly timeframe shows price is where it should be. 3) The 2 week timeframe indicates price should be slightly higher. 4) Because the weekly is telling is price is correct and the two week is saying price should be around 300 - 380. I would aim that in the next week of trading that price should go up. I will update as soon as a long position is indicated. But for the time being indicators are pointing that a long is lurking. So keep an eye out on Tesla. Stay Adaptable.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Thundercat131
2