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4TSLA trade ideas

Musk-Trump Feud Sends Tesla (TSLA) Shares DownRenewed Feud Between Musk and Trump Drags Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Lower The US Senate yesterday narrowly approved Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful budget bill.” Elon Musk, who had previously criticised the bill for potentially adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, warned that Republican lawmakers who supported it would face political consequences. In a post on X, Musk wrote: “Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.” He also reiterated his intention to establish a third political force under the name “America Party.” In response, President Trump issued sharp threats: → to apply federal pressure on Musk’s companies by revisiting existing subsidies and government contracts (estimated by The Washington Post at $38 billion); → to deport Musk back to South Africa. The market responded immediately to this renewed escalation in the Trump–Musk conflict. Tesla (TSLA) shares fell by over 5% yesterday, forming a significant bearish gap. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart Eight days ago, we analysed the TSLA price chart, continuing to observe price action within the context of an ascending channel (indicated in blue). At that point: → In mid-June, when the initial Musk–Trump tensions surfaced, TSLA managed to hold within the channel. However, as of yesterday, the price broke below the lower boundary, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend that had been in place since March–April; → The price breached the lower channel limit near the $315 level — a zone that previously acted as support. This suggests that $315 may now serve as a resistance level. As a result, optimism related to the late-June launch of Tesla’s robotaxi initiative has been eclipsed by concerns that the Musk–Trump confrontation may have broader implications. If the former allies refrain from further escalation, TSLA may consolidate into a broadening contracting triangle (its upper boundary marked in red) in the near term, ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings release scheduled for 29 July. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
Short setup TiqGPT MARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the Tesla Inc. charts across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent downtrend from the daily (1D) to the 1-minute (1m) timeframe. The price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a bearish market structure. The 1D chart reveals a significant bearish momentum with recent candles closing near their lows, suggesting strong selling pressure. This trend is echoed in the 4-hour (4h) and 1-hour (1h) charts, where price has failed to reclaim higher levels, instead forming bearish continuation patterns. The 15-minute (15m), 5-minute (5m), and 1-minute (1m) charts provide a more granular view of the selling pressure, with price consistently making new lows. The absence of significant bullish retracements across these lower timeframes indicates that liquidity is being taken rather than created, as sellers push the price downward without substantial opposition. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a distribution phase, offloading shares which is evident from the sustained downward movement and lack of significant pullbacks. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend with potential further downside. LEARNING POINT: The consistent lower highs and lower lows across all timeframes highlight a strong bearish momentum engineered by institutional selling pressure. SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: TSLA ENTRY PRICE: $317.60 STOP LOSS: $322.00 TARGET PRICE: $310.00 CONDITION: Sell on a slight pullback to $317.60, which aligns with recent minor resistance levels on lower timeframes. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. Momentum & Exhaustion: No signs of exhaustion in selling, with candles closing near lows. Liquidity Behavior: Continued push lower without significant retracements suggests ongoing institutional distribution. Pressure Analysis: Strong selling pressure evident from the lack of bullish counter-moves. Context Awareness: Price is trending down with no significant areas of demand observed that could halt the bearish momentum. STRATEGIES USED: Multi-Timeframe Bearish Continuation Distribution Phase Trading URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum) Risk = $322.00 - $317.60 = $4.40 Reward = $317.60 - $310.00 = $7.60 Ratio = $7.60 / $4.40 = 1.72 RECOMMENDATION: The calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.72 does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. Therefore, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better risk/reward setup or further confirmation of institutional activity that could provide a more favorable entry point.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mistermoriarty
TSLA : Technical Analysis Report - 30 June 2025Trend: The primary trend (big picture) is upward. Bullish momentum is weak. Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Regardless of the larger trend, momentum within a sideways range is typically neutral or flat, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Patte rn A symmetrical triangle is like a market catching its breath. It's a temporary pause in a trend. Once the price breaks out of the triangle, it usually continues in the same direction it was going before. Until that breakout, it's a neutral pattern. Key levels : R2 - 366 R1 - 356 S1 - 315 -The price is facing the support 215. S2 - 275 Tips for Trading Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals ----------------------- Note : If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Abirstock
6/25/25 - $tsla - Buying all dips going fwd6/25/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA Buying all dips going fwd - "successful robotaxi or not successful robotaxi" - elon's clearly won the vision game - scaling hardware (cars, infra, optimus, solar) is m-o-a-t - so is a humanoid and robotaxi robotics company that doesn't burn cash worth a trilly in today's world if the upside is perhaps 5-10 tn in the coming decade (worst case) and your downside here is what? 30... 40... 50%? Is it more? unlikely. - so "yes" we remain entering consumer recessy. yes "tsla" shares r not cheap. and that's for a reason. - buy scarce paper. - buying all dips here. - i like the dec '27 deep ITM leaps. allows me to wrangle size with a bit more flexibility in the coming months. - but this rocketship has yet to make any meaningful moves. - $1,000/shr is the 2Y tgt. V
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VROCKSTAR
3
TSLA Bearish Breakdown in Progress – $322 or Bust? TSLA Bearish Breakdown in Progress – $322 or Bust? Monday Puts On Watch 🔻 🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment: Tesla is currently trading right at a critical GEX flip zone. The $330 level used to be gamma support but has now broken, leaving TSLA vulnerable to a drop toward the high-risk gamma pocket between $320–$310. The Highest positive GEX zone was stacked near $330–$340, but that structure has failed. The gamma walls above—like $347.5 and $350—now serve as resistance, especially with no strong call flow to support a squeeze. The downside gamma structure is open. $310 is a soft magnet, but $300 is where the largest negative GEX sits, along with the 2nd and 3rd Put Walls. If TSLA continues slipping, a drop into the $300 zone could be swift. Implied Volatility Rank is at 25.2, with IVX above 68 — meaning options are expensive, so spreads are safer than naked calls or puts. Flow is still 8% call-heavy, but that can flip hard if Monday starts red. 🔧 Options Trade Setup (for Monday–Wednesday): Bearish Scenario (favored setup):
If TSLA opens weak or rejects $325–$327.50 area again, consider buying a PUT debit spread, such as 322p/310p or 320p/300p (July 3 expiry).
Target zone: $312, then $300 gamma flush.
Stop: reclaim of $331 with bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario (lower probability):
If TSLA reclaims $330 and breaks trendline toward $335, consider a CALL debit spread like 335c/345c (Jul 3).
Target zone: $345–$350.
Cut if it falls back under $327.50. 📉 Intraday Technical Breakdown (1H Chart): The price has confirmed a CHoCH + BOS combo, rejecting from supply and pushing below the rising trendline. Friday’s recovery attempt stalled right under that broken structure, and sellers took over late day. The 1H chart is forming a bearish descending channel, with price currently trying to bounce off short-term demand, but failing to reclaim the key mid-zone. This current setup favors continuation lower unless bulls can pull off a breakout early Monday. Otherwise, the path of least resistance is down. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: $330.00 – Former GEX support, now resistance
$331.10 – Trendline and bearish trigger flip
$322.00 – Key support line (last defended Friday)
$320.00 – Gamma pivot zone
$310.00 – GEX magnet and low-volume shelf
$300.00 – Highest negative GEX and major PUT support zone
$345.25 – Upper trendline + prior supply rejection ✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan: TSLA is sitting on the edge of a breakdown. The gamma structure supports further downside as long as price stays below $330. Watch for early rejection at $325–$327.50 to initiate puts. If bulls manage to gap and reclaim above $331, reassess for a reversal setup — but for now, structure, volume, and GEX are all pointing down. This is a reactive trade — wait for early confirmation on Monday and ride the wave, especially if SPY opens weak. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management and do your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla Flashes Bullish Reversal: Engulfing Candle and Volume PoinLet’s reassess TSLA now that we have this new candle (a big move +4.73%) in context. This changes things substantially, so I’ll reapply candlestick techniques, assess trend health, box positioning, and momentum. Candlestick Analysis The new candle: Large white body (+4.7%) closing at $309.87. Engulfing prior 2 candles’ real bodies → this is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern. Occurs near the 50% retracement ($290) zone (previous support). Volume expanded vs prior days → adds validity. Bullish engulfing after a down leg is an early reversal signal. Context: This happens after weeks of indecision candles (spinning tops / dojis) → classic “coiling” behavior before expansion. Trend Health & Momentum MACD: Still below zero but histogram bars turning less negative → momentum starting to shift. RSI: Up to ~47.6, breaking out of its down channel. A move >50 would confirm momentum pivot. Box Dynamics TSLA just punched through the upper edge of Box 2 ($300) with conviction. Now entering “no man’s land” between Box 2 ($300–$360) and Box 1 ($360–$465). For a sustained breakout it must close above $306–310 range for 2-3 days. Ideally see follow-through with a test of $328 (78.6% Fib). Tactical Breakdown ✅ Breakout case (higher probability now): Bullish Engulfing + volume expansion at support zone. Closing above $306-310 increases odds of a run toward $328 (78.6%) and possibly $360. ❌ Reversal back down (lower probability): Only if TSLA immediately rejects $310 and falls back below $300 in the next 1–2 sessions. This price action looks like accumulation showing its hand. Large white candle suggests buyers absorbing supply at prior resistance. Breakout above $306 confirmed if follow-through continues. Odds for a reversal lower just dropped sharply after today’s engulfing.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by BenRoses
Tesla's Self-Inflicted Crisis of ConfidenceInvestors wanted Elon Musk to double down on EVs. Instead, they got a new political party and another reason to sell the stock. Musk vs Trump: A Fight Investors Didn’t Ask For Tesla’s latest sell-off has little to do with earnings or electric vehicles. Shares dropped 6.8% on Monday after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new US political party, escalating his feud with Donald Trump and reigniting investor concerns about distraction at the top. The fallout from Musk’s political re-entry has been swift. Tesla’s valuation has lost over $200 billion since late May, when Musk’s role in Trump’s short-lived government efficiency task force came to an end. His renewed focus on political activism contradicts April’s pledge to spend “far more” time on Tesla, and comes at a moment when the business is already under pressure from slowing EV sales and collapsing regulatory tailwinds. Politics, Profits and a Shrinking Mandate Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful bill” is slashing support for electric vehicles across the board. Gone is the $7,500 federal tax credit, set to expire in September. Gone too are the emissions penalties that allowed Tesla to bank billions in regulatory credits from legacy automakers. William Blair analysts estimate that over $2 billion in high-margin profit is now at risk. The political clash is getting personal. Trump has mocked Musk’s behaviour as a “train wreck”, suggested deportation, and floated nationalising SpaceX. Investors, meanwhile, are left questioning whether Musk’s growing list of battles is starting to erode Tesla’s long-term advantage. The distraction risk is real, and the market is responding. Technical Breakdown: Key Levels in Play Tesla’s share price has woefully underperformed this year. The stock is down 22% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 is up 6%. Recent price action highlights just how vulnerable Tesla has become to the political whims of its CEO. The public fallout with Trump helped define a new swing high in May, which now acts as clear resistance. A new swing low was formed in early June, and that is now the short-term level bulls need to defend. Adding Keltner Channels to the chart puts the recent volatility into perspective. The sideways bands and price bouncing between them show a market stuck in broad equilibrium. There’s little directional conviction, but that may be changing. Monday’s sell-off pushed Tesla below the volume-weighted average price anchored to the April lows. If the shares remain below this VWAP and break under the June swing lows, it would confirm the attempted recovery has failed and signal that the bears are back in control. For now, Tesla isn’t trading like a high-growth innovator. It’s trading like a politically charged meme stock with no clear trend and no adult supervision. Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Capitalcom
Better MACDWhat is the MACD? The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum and trend-following indicator. It’s based on the difference between two EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and helps spot: Trend direction Momentum shifts Reversals Entry/exit points ✅ Basic MACD Techniques 1. Signal Line Crossovers Bullish Crossover: MACD line crosses above Signal → buy signal Bearish Crossover: MACD line crosses below Signal → sell signal 🔸 Works best in trending environments, 200 SMA as a filter. 🔸 Combine with volume or trend filters for best results 2. Zero Line Crossovers When MACD crosses above 0, the shorter EMA is above the longer EMA → bullish. This is typically the sign of a larger trend than crossovers. When MACD crosses below 0, shorter EMA is below → bearish 🔸 Zero line = baseline momentum direction 🔸 Cross above = bullish trend confirmation 🔸 Cross below = bearish confirmation 3. Histogram Momentum The histogram is often the first sign of a shift before a crossover happens. Read it like this: Histogram growing: Increasing momentum in that direction Histogram shrinking: Momentum is fading Histogram changing color (in many indicators): Potential reversal 🔸 Use histograms to get early signals, even before crossovers. Confirmed with volume surge and Price Action. 🔍 Advanced MACD Tricks 📉 4. Divergence Detection Divergence occurs when price and MACD move in opposite directions. 🔸 Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows MACD makes higher lows → Hidden buying pressure, trend reversal likely 🔸 Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs MACD makes lower highs → Trend weakening, reversal likely 🔹 Confirm with: RSI, when the lower timeframe RSI is oversold and the higher timeframe MACD is rising, then it's a good sign, and the opposite is true for bears. Support/resistance zone: draw trendlines either on the volume or price and watch out for retests on the breakout. Candlestick reversal patterns: some bearish patterns are bullish on indexes because of dollar cost averaging.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by GabrielAmadeusLau
Long-Term Growth Potential in the Face of Short-Term ChallengesCurrent Price: $323.63 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $331.50 - T2 = $345.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $319.50 - S2 = $310.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to pinpoint high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated perspectives from experienced professionals build a more balanced outlook on Tesla, reducing emotional biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in the market. **Key Insights:** Tesla is currently navigating through a challenging phase characterized by competitive pressures in both China and Europe. Recent macroeconomic headwinds, including rising interest rates and shrinking global spending on electric vehicles, have fueled concerns about short-term sales performance. However, analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's innovation leadership, particularly in AI-driven robotics, battery technology, and autonomous mobility development. The recent technical charts reflect a narrowing wedge formation, and a breakout above $354.78 could confirm renewed bullish momentum, offering significant upside potential. **Recent Performance:** Over the past few weeks, Tesla has experienced tight price consolidation, underlying near-term indecision among market participants. While its stock price remains below short-term moving averages, signaling bearish pressure, longer-term sentiment is bolstered by overall optimism in the technology sector. Additionally, fluctuations in deliveries and revenue from various regions continue to impact day-to-day trading sentiment, with the stock showcasing higher volatility during earnings updates. **Expert Analysis:** Market analysts exhibit cautious optimism surrounding Tesla. Short-term concerns linger about declining sales growth in legacy markets such as Europe and the loss of its dominant position in China due to rising competition from local manufacturers like BYD. However, whether Tesla can monetize its cutting-edge developments in AI, robotics, and autonomous driving remains a focal point of its long-term strategy. Analysts agree that while these initiatives may redefine the EV market over the next 5-10 years, revenue realization is expected to be slow and could dampen speculative enthusiasm in the immediate term. **News Impact:** Tesla recently announced the launch of its robo-taxi initiative, beginning trials in Austin, Texas, a move that challenges traditional mobility norms. While this innovation enhances Tesla's narrative as a disruptor in the industry, regulatory obstacles and scalability issues pose immediate hurdles that could delay market adoption. On the downside, Tesla saw declining deliveries in Europe and China, casting shadows over its near-term growth prospects in these critical regions. Investors should keep a close eye on upcoming earnings reports for clearer guidance on production schedules and delivery forecasts. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on recent technical consolidation and consensus expert views, traders are recommended to take a long position on Tesla with price targets of $331.50 and $345.00. The stock exhibits signs of medium-term upside potential if momentum aligns with broader bullish trends in the S&P 500 and technology sectors. Implement disciplined risk management with stop levels set at $319.50 and $310.00 to protect against unfavorable moves. Investing in Tesla provides exposure to a high-risk innovation-driven narrative; traders should evaluate their appetite for risk carefully before entering this position.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
"Tesla: Accumulating Before Takeoff?"Tesla's acting weird, but to me, it looks like it's just loading up. Every time it hits that $320 zone, it bounces back hard. That’s not random — there’s volume, and it’s holding that level with respect. If it breaks above $330 with solid volume, this thing could easily hit $356 or more. And with earnings coming up and all that robotaxi noise Elon keeps teasing… wouldn’t be surprised if it pops hard. I’m not saying buy right now, but I’ve got my eyes on it. If I see confirmation, I’m jumping in with a long contract. Now, if it drops below $312 with conviction, I’m out — no hard feelings. This could get real interesting. Stay sharp.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by perezliz37
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone. Target is Take Profit line. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Faisalzor
Tesla (TSLA) -Bullish Reaccumulation Setup | Smart Money conceptTesla shows a clean CHoCH followed by BOS structure, indicating a potential bullish continuation. The market is forming equal lows into a demand zone (green box), suggesting a possible liquidity sweep before a move higher. Key Technical Points: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed on strong bullish impulse. BOS (Break of Structure) signals market intent to continue upward. Ascending triangle structure with multiple support tests (marked "S"). Anticipated sweep into demand zone: $308–$312 area. Potential upside target: $365–$375 supply zone. Bias: Bullish on confirmation of demand reaction. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before investing.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
7