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4TSLA trade ideas

Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries Expected to Hit Record, but.Tesla's fourth-quarter 2024 delivery figures are anticipated to reach a record high, according to a note from Barclays. Analysts estimate Q4 deliveries at approximately 515,000 units, slightly above the consensus estimate of around 511,000 units, marking a 6% year-over-year increase. Despite these impressive numbers, Barclays believes they will have limited impact on Tesla's stock. Key Takeaways: Delivery Estimates: Barclays projects Q4 deliveries to be around 515,000 units, slightly exceeding expectations. Stock Impact: The delivery numbers are expected to have minimal influence on Tesla's stock, as investors are more focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). Long-Term Growth: Tesla's recent momentum is driven by its potential in the AV/AI sectors rather than short-term delivery metrics. Future Outlook: 2024 Sales: Barclays forecasts Tesla's full-year 2024 sales at approximately 1.81 million units, aligning with 2023 figures but falling short of the company's guidance for year-over-year growth. Autonomous Driving and AI: The introduction of "Unsupervised Full Self-Driving" (FSD) in 2025 is expected to bolster Tesla's AV/AI initiatives, mitigating any near-term volume misses. New Models: The upcoming low-cost model, "Model 2.5," anticipated in the first half of 2025, is seen as a crucial growth driver. Delivery Growth: CEO Elon Musk suggests 20-30% year-over-year delivery growth in 2025, which Barclays believes will address any concerns from the Q4 figures. Barclays emphasizes that while the Q4 results are crucial, the stock's recent rally—up 68% post-election versus the S&P 500's 2.6%—reflects positive sentiment on Tesla's long-term potential and technical factors. As the market shifts focus towards future developments, the emphasis remains on Tesla's ability to innovate and lead in the autonomous driving and AI sectors.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OakleyJM
Invest in Tesla for a Potential Bounce Back Next Week Tesla has recently faced significant volatility, retreating sharply from previous highs around $488 to a current level of $421.06. This price movement reflects persistent selling pressure and profit-taking among investors, with the stock closing near critical support levels. The broader tech sector's mixed performance further complicates investor sentiment, as stocks like Apple and Amazon also experience fluctuations. Amid this backdrop, many analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's potential, particularly due to advancements in low-cost electric vehicles and its autonomous driving technology. Investors should note certain actionable insights: the current support sits at $419 and $415, and a breach of these levels could signal further declines towards $400. Conversely, watch resistance levels at $438 and $449.50, as a breakout above these could indicate a potential bullish reversal. As sentiments fluctuate, Tesla's recent recall concerning nearly 700,000 vehicles due to a tire pressure monitoring issue has introduced additional volatility, impacting short-term trading behavior and investor confidence. Expert opinions appear divided on Tesla's valuation with some, like Ron Baron, foreseeing a potential market cap of $5 trillion over the next decade based on long-term advancements in EV technology. On the other hand, caution arises from concerns over the stock’s current overvaluation in a bearish market environment. Traders must keep a keen eye on Tesla's price movements and broader market conditions as both contribute to the overall sentiment and trading strategies. For next week, price targets based on professional traders' insights are set as follows: Next week targets are T1 at $430 and T2 at $440, suggesting a potential recover if bullish momentum develops. For managing downside risk, stop levels are set at S1 at $415 and S2 at $410, ensuring that the strategy is aligned with market fluctuations. The recall announcement has generated mixed reactions; while providing needed updates, it raises investor concerns regarding operational integrity and potential long-term impacts on market confidence. Additionally, Tesla’s ongoing efforts to develop a new autonomous driving platform and production of low-cost electric vehicles position it as a key player in the evolving EV market landscape. Investors will need to monitor these developments closely to assess their effects on stock performance and market sentiment.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Underperforms the Broader MarketTesla (TSLA) Stock Underperforms the Broader Market Analysing Tesla (TSLA) stock chart on 12th December, we: → Identified an ascending channel, with the November price consolidation around $350 (marked by a thick blue line) potentially indicating the median line of the long-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). → Mentioned that TSLA stock price could move toward the upper boundary of the channel, located near the psychological level of $500. However, the stock remained vulnerable to a pullback with a potential test of the $400 level. What happened after our analysis? According to Tesla (TSLA) stock chart: → The price bounced off the upper boundary of the channel, falling short of the psychological $500 level by approximately 2.5%. → On Friday, TSLA stock dropped by more than 3%, making it the worst-performing stock within the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). This indicates that buyer momentum may have waned, leading to a correction from overbought levels (as indicated by the RSI) toward fair value, which could align with the channel’s median line. A test of the $400 level could be relevant. Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts are pessimistic. According to TipRanks: → Only 13 out of 34 surveyed analysts recommend buying TSLA stock. → The average price target for TSLA is $293.76 by the end of 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
3
Tesla Analysis: Key Levels - Dec 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we will analyze Tesla's chart. 📈 Weekly Chart Looking at Tesla's weekly chart, we can see that the resistance trendline from the November 2021 high has been broken in the red box area. This breakout occurred in October 2024, and since then, Tesla's stock price has surged by approximately 90% in just two months. 📉 Daily Chart On the daily chart, Tesla's strong upward trend is evident, as the 20-day moving average has a steep upward slope, indicating a powerful bullish momentum. Additionally, the 60-day moving average is rising alongside the 20-day moving average, suggesting that the upward trend is unlikely to break easily. 🔍 Zoomed-In Daily Chart Tesla's current support level is critical for maintaining the upward trend. The 415 level, which previously acted as resistance (shown in the green box), is now being tested as support. After breaking the previous high, Tesla has risen by 18.5%, and the key question is whether it will establish a new upward framework or fall back into the green box's range. If Tesla fails to hold the 415 level, there's a high likelihood of a correction down to the 300 level. Reasons: Historical data shows that 300 was the peak resistance level during rebounds like dead cat bounces in the past (red box area). The only significant resistance during the current rally was near 360, which lies between 415 and 300. The rally was so sharp that there are no "support levels" in between, meaning a sharp decline to 300 is possible if selling pressure intensifies. 📊 Tesla Buying Strategy Key Recommendations: Red Box Entry (Breakout Trades): While breakout trades at all-time highs are a typical strategy, this approach carries significant risk. Given the 18% remaining upside, entering at this level is not recommended. 1st Entry (Green Box): This area is a good entry point because the previous resistance at 415 has now turned into potential support. However, since this level doesn't have much historical data, it’s advised to use only a small portion of your funds for this entry. 2nd Entry (Blue Box): This is a high-probability rebound zone. This area was a key resistance level in July 2023, and after being broken, it has served as strong support. 3rd Entry (Purple Box): This entry is based on Tesla's long-term upward trendline starting in June 2019. If Tesla drops to this area, it could provide a strong rebound opportunity. However, if the trendline breaks, it may signal a trend reversal, so caution is advised. Be prepared to exit quickly if needed. 💡 Final Thoughts: As shown in the charts, opportunities always come in the market. Patience is key to earning profits. Instead of chasing every rally, wait for solid setups. If you found this analysis helpful, like and follow me for more updates. Have a specific stock you'd like analyzed? Drop a comment below! This translation maintains the professional tone and trading insights from the original post while adapting it for an English-speaking audience. Let me know if you'd like any adjustments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Greedy_allday
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis. A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at. Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing. Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other. After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different. Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information. As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement? The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it... Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
15
Tesla - Breakout level re-test complete. Could launch from hereHello Traders. Looking at Tesla you can see many things that show Tesla is positioned to launch from here. 1.Previous times on the 2Hr since November when the 20/50 EMA crossed(DeathCross) Tesla went up shortly thereafter. It just crossed again. 2. Tesla recently broke out from ATH... but in the last few days came back down in a much needed cooling off and retested the breakout price and has bounced. This is MEGA bullish in my book. 3. You can clearly see an inverse Head & shoulder as well... 4. Bounced off the 2h 100EMA and Monthly VWAP. So without even showing other indicators ,which agree as well, You can clearly see Tesla is positioned for another mega bullish run. We could see 500+ by end of Christmas week.. and it heading even higher into the new year.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheUniverse618
TESLA: The move is only beginning! 40%+ UpsideCharturday #5: NASDAQ:TSLA 🚗🔋🤖 A top 3 trade/ investment for me right now! Weekly Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -1/3 multi year Inverse H&S breakouts. One profit target remains, all others were hit! -ATH Anchored volume profile FREE SPACE -Williams CB is thriving -Wr% is up trending -In order to turn RESISTANCE (previous ATH) into SUPPORT we must retest to FLIP IT! This is what we are doing right now with this pullback. DIP BUY BOX: $385-$415 🎯$581⏲️Before OCT2027 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
1
TSLA NEOWAVE ANALYSIS (DAILY)I thought of sharing this chart because the quality and pattern are working out to be excellent for the daily , and I'm curious to see where price will end up. The pattern is an expanding triangle. Normally, wave E will almost break above the A-C trendline. Wave E is the largest, typically 138% to 161.8% of wave A or wave C, but it must be slightly longer than wave C. Wave E appears to be most likely an impulsive 5 wave move with wave 5 just beginning.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by thekidtrader11
Tesla (TSLA) Breakdown Alert: Bearish Momentum Building Monday!Here’s a suggested plan for Monday based on the bearish setup: - **Entry:** Below $423 (confirmation of breakdown and bearish continuation) - **Stop Loss (SL):** Above $450 (to account for false breakouts) - **Target 1 (T1):** $388.96 (first major support level) - **Target 2 (T2):** $358.46 (secondary support level for extended bearish move) Why Chart Matters:** Charts visually represent price action and market sentiment, helping traders identify key trends, support, and resistance levels for informed decisions. Conclusion:** With Tesla breaking critical support, bearish momentum could dominate Monday's session, making risk management and strategic entries crucial.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ProfittoPath
7
Tesla - We Will See The Four Digits!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally creating an all time high: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After waiting for over four years, Tesla finally created a new all time high and with that, Tesla is also starting the next major parabolic rally. The triangle breakout which happened a couple of months ago was just the required technical catalyst, and now all things are simply very bullish. Levels to watch: $500, $1.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
32
Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup Incoming Tesla (TSLA) - Short Setup Looking at Tesla on the 1-hour chart, we are observing a potential bearish scenario. The price has retraced into the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci zone, forming a reversal structure in line with Elliott Wave principles. This zone coincides with the prior breakdown level, making it a critical area of interest. Trade Details: - Entry: $462.27 - Stop-loss: $476.65 Targets: - Target 1: $403.07 - Target 2: $360.66 Analysis: The current bearish impulse indicates a possible continuation to the downside. With the first target near $403.07 (0.236 extension), this area will be watched closely. If momentum persists, we could see a push toward $360.66, aligning with the -0.382 extension.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrStockWhale
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment. 1. Key Levels * Support: * $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce. * $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness. * Resistance: * $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today. * $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break. * $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes. 2. Price Action Insights * Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart. * The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly. * Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment. 4. GEX Analysis * Gamma Levels: * $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading. * $445.00: Major call wall resistance. * $425.00: Key put wall support. * $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445. * Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $425. * Short: Above $430. * Scalping Opportunity: * Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion