Discipline in Trading: The Indicator That Works 100% of the TimeEvery trader has that one folder — “Winning Indicators,” “Secret Scripts,” or the iconic “Final Strategy v12_REAL_THIS_ONE_WORKS.” It's where we hoard indicators like Pokémon, convinced the next RSI+MACD+SMA combo tweak will finally reveal the holy grail of trading.
Spoiler: it won’t. Because the real indicator that works — actually works — isn’t on your chart. It’s not in a TradingView script. It’s not even on your screen.
But it’s there — etched into your trade history, tattooed into your losses, and reflected in your ability (or inability) to stop yourself from clicking “buy” because Elon Musk tweeted a goat emoji.
It’s called discipline . And it’s the only thing in trading that has a 100% hit rate… if you let it.
Let’s talk about why discipline isn’t just a virtue — it’s the foundation of every successful trader you admire. And why, ironically, it’s forged in the moments you want to throw your monitor out the window.
👋 Everyone’s a Genius — Until the Market Slaps You
When things are going well, discipline feels unnecessary. You enter a trade on a hunch, it flies. You skip the stop loss, and price reverses right where you “felt” it would. You’re up three trades in a row, so clearly you’ve transcended markets and deserve your own hedge fund. Right?
Until you don’t. And the one time you triple down on a loser “because it always bounces”… it doesn’t. And suddenly you're not a genius — you’re Googling how to recover a blown account and wondering if that crypto bro who offered signals still has his DMs open.
The reality is that everyone trades well in good times — bulls make money in rising markets and bears make money in falling markets. But real traders are made in the bad times. That’s where discipline is forged.
🧐 No Pain, No Gain
Here’s the deal: discipline is not something you're born with. It’s built, brick by painful brick, on the smoldering ruins of your worst trades.
The overleveraged EUR/USD short you held through an ECB rate hike? Discipline.
The meme stock you bought at the top because your barista mentioned it? Discipline.
The four back-to-back trades you entered on revenge mode after getting stopped out? Discipline — with a side of therapy.
These moments suck. But they’re also where the learning happens. You don’t develop discipline from your wins. You develop it from losses that leave a mark. The kind of mark you think about while brushing your teeth. The kind that whispers: “maybe follow the plan next time.”
🤝 Success Leaves Clues
You’ve probably heard the phrase “plan your trade and trade your plan” so many times it’s lost all meaning. But it’s the foundation of discipline. Not because rules are fun, but because rules are the only thing that can protect you from… well, yourself.
Let’s be honest — if left to your own devices, you run the risk of:
Entering too early because “it looks like it’s going to move.”
Exiting too late because “it might come back.”
Increasing the leverage because “I’m due for a win.”
Successful traders are those who follow a disciplined, rule-based approach to trading. Discipline says no. It says “this is the plan” and makes you stick to it — even when your ego is telling you to wing it. Discipline doesn’t care about your feelings. It cares about consistency. And that’s what makes it powerful.
🎯 Hedge Fund Bros Who Didn’t Win by Binge-Clicking
Let’s talk about those who actually did launch a fund — and didn’t blow it up in three months. Stanley Druckenmiller, former lead portfolio manager for George Soros’s Quantum Fund who later went on to launch his own Duquesne family office, famously said:
“The key to making money in markets is to have an opinion and to bet it big. But only when the odds are heavily in your favor.”
Notice what he didn’t say: “Click as many buttons as possible and hope it works out.”
Druckenmiller didn’t trade because he was bored. He waited. He watched. And when his setup came, he struck with discipline. Not with fear. Not with greed. With process.
If one of the greatest macro traders of all time had the patience to wait for his edge, maybe you don’t need to scalp every green candle on the 1-minute chart.
Ray Dalio — the one who built Bridgewater into a hedge fund juggernaut — doesn’t sugarcoat it: trading is hard. And mistakes are inevitable. Discipline, Dalio says, is what turns mistakes into evolution. His famous mantra?
“Pain + Reflection = Progress.”
He built a company culture (and a personal philosophy) around radical transparency — writing down every mistake, analyzing every trade, and building systems that override ego.
Most traders experience pain. Very few pause to reflect. Fewer still build processes to avoid making the same mistake twice. So next time you get stopped out for the third time in a row, don’t curse the chart. Open your journal. Write it down. Check what you missed. That’s what turns amateurs into professionals.
👀 Discipline in Trading: How It Actually Looks
Discipline isn’t glamorous. You won’t post it on Instagram (maybe it's good for LinkedIn, though). But here’s what it looks like in the wild:
Passing on a trade that doesn’t check all the boxes — even though you’re “pretty sure it’ll work.”
Taking a small win and moving on, even when your gut says to hold and “let it ride.”
Staying flat on FOMC day because you know news candles have a personal vendetta against your stop-losses.
Journaling a bad trade and owning the mistake. No excuses. Just honesty.
💪 How to Build Discipline
Building discipline isn’t about becoming a robot. It’s about creating a process that works even when your emotions don’t.
Here’s how to start:
Journal everything : Not just your trades, but your thoughts before and after. Discipline grows in awareness.
Have a checklist: Make it stupidly simple. If a trade doesn’t check every box, don’t take it.
Pre-set your risk: Before the trade. Not after. You’re not negotiating with yourself mid-trade.
Set trade limits: Three trades per day. One setup per session. Whatever keeps you from spiraling.
Take breaks: If you’re chasing losses, walk away. The markets will be there tomorrow. Will you?
📌 Final Thought: Why Discipline Works
You can have the best tools, the slickest chart setup, and the strongest trade ideas. But if you can’t follow your own rules, you won’t go far.
Discipline isn’t flashy. It doesn’t promise 1,000% returns or viral content. It just works. Quietly. Relentlessly. Predictably.
And when the market turns — because it always does — discipline is what will keep you standing.
Because it’s not the indicator that matters. It’s the trader using it.
So, be honest—where has discipline made (or broken) your trading? And what’s your best tip for sticking to the plan when your brain wants to do anything but?
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After a strong bullish rally that led to a breakout above the 1.12 resistance zone, EURUSD is now undergoing a correction.
We expect the price to pull back toward the identified support zone, where it may find demand and begin a new bullish wave.
As long as the price holds above the specified support zone and the ascending trendline, our outlook remains bullish. A successful retest of support could pave the way for the next leg higher.
Will the pullback offer a buying opportunity, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD - Bullish Shift after IFVG? This chart outlines a clean sequence of bullish intent where institutional accumulation is visible through structure, inefficiency, and reactive zones.
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1. Support Zone Holds — Demand Confirmed
The previous resistance area has now clearly flipped into support , marked by multiple wicks rejecting lower prices.
- This region is a high-probability demand zone engineered through earlier consolidation.
- Price returned to this level, swept minor liquidity, and immediately bounced—confirmation that demand is active.
---
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) — The Imbalance Magnet
A clean FVG sits above price, created during the prior bearish leg. Now acting as a rebalancing zone.
- Price is pushing into this inefficiency after finding support.
- The gap inversion (price reclaiming and holding above the FVG) would validate bullish continuation.
- Think of this as the mid-point between structure and expansion.
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3. BSL Above — The Next Liquidity Target
A key Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) level is marked higher, acting as the next logical draw for price.
- Smart money seeks liquidity above recent swing highs.
- If price holds above the FVG, this BSL becomes the magnet for bullish expansion .
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4. Projected Price Action Flow
The roadmap is clear and logical:
- Step 1: Bounce from support (done)
- Step 2: Push through and hold the FVG
- Step 3: Expand higher toward BSL
Each leg has purpose, and the structure confirms smart money is in accumulation mode.
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5. Summary:
- Support + FVG + BSL = Structured Bullish Thesis
- As long as price stays above the FVG post-inversion, buyers have control.
- This is a textbook case of price engineering via inefficiency and reactive structure.
eurusd h1 best level to buy/hold +140 pips🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1280
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1420
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸pullback in progress right now
🔸expecting bounce at key s/r
🔸Price Target Bears: 1280
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1420
🔸strategy: BUY LOW exit 1420
🔸+140 pips on BUY side
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us.
I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Forex Grid Trading Overview: Practical Guide for 2025Forex Grid Trading Strategy: Detailed Overview & Low-Risk EUR/USD Application
1️⃣ What Is Grid Trading?
A grid trading strategy places a series of **buy** and **sell** orders at fixed intervals (“grid levels”) above and below a base price, without forecasting market direction. As price oscillates, it triggers orders across the grid, locking in small profits on each swing.
- **No Directional Bias** – Profits on both up- and down-moves
- **Automated Entry/Exit** – Ideal for Expert Advisors (EAs) on MT4/MT5
- **Scalable** – Grid size and lot sizing can be tailored to account size and volatility
2️⃣ How It Works – Core Components
1. **Grid Levels**
- Define a **base price** (e.g. current EUR/USD mid)
- Set **intervals** (e.g. every 20 pips) above/below the base
2. **Orders**
- **Buy Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips below base
- **Sell Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips above base
3. **Take Profit (TP) for Each Order**
- TP typically equals the grid interval (e.g. 20 pips) so each triggered order nets a small profit
- No hard Stop Loss per order—risk is managed via overall exposure
4. **Cumulative P&L**
- Winning trades roll profits into the floating drawdown of unfilled orders
- As price oscillates, the grid “locks in” incremental gains
3️⃣ Pros & Cons
| Pros | Cons |
|---------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|
| ✅ Profits in ranging markets | ❌ Can incur large drawdowns in strong trends |
| ✅ Automated, systematic execution | ❌ Requires significant margin for multiple open trades |
| ✅ Scalable to any time-frame | ❌ Floating negative exposure if grid one-sided |
---
✅Low-Risk Best Practices
1. **Grid Spacing & Width**
- Wider grid intervals (e.g. 30–50 pips) reduce order density and margin use
- Use **ATR** (Average True Range) to adapt spacing to EUR/USD volatility
2. **Lot Sizing & Equity Risk**
- Risk ≤ 1–2% equity per full grid cycle
- Use **fixed fractional** sizing: each order size = (Equity × 1%) / (max number of open grid orders)
3. **Drawdown Control**
- **Maximum Open Orders** cap (e.g. 5 orders per side)
- **Equity Stop-Out**: if floating drawdown exceeds e.g. 10% of equity, close all orders
4. **Trend Filters**
- Use a **200-period SMA** or **ADX** filter: only enable sell grid if price < SMA (downtrend) or ADX < 25 (low momentum)
- Disables grid in strong one-way trends
5. **Grid Shifting / Re-Base**
- After a net grid profit, **shift** the base price to current mid to reset exposure
- Prevents runaway open trades far from current price
5️⃣ Step-by-Step: Applying to EUR/USD
1. **Choose Time-Frame**
- **H4 or H1** recommended: balances signal frequency and margin needs
2. **Define Grid Parameters**
- **Base Price:** current EUR/USD mid (e.g. 1.0980)
- **Interval:** 30 pips (≈ recent ATR on H4)
- **Levels:** 3 buys at 1.0950 / 1.0920 / 1.0890; 3 sells at 1.1010 / 1.1040 / 1.1070
3. **Set Order Size**
- Account equity $10 000, risk 1% = $100 per full grid
- Max open orders 6 → each order $100/6 ≈ $16.7 → ≈ 0.02 lots
4. **Configure TP & No SL**
- Each order TP = 30 pips (equals interval)
- No per-order SL; overall drawdown managed by equity stop
5. **Implement Filters**
- Only open **sell** grid if H4 close < 200-SMA; only open **buy** grid if H4 close > 200-SMA
- Pause grid if ADX > 30 (strong trend) or market events (e.g. NFP, ECB rate decision)
6. **Deploy & Monitor**
- Run on MT4 with an EA or semi-automated Expert Advisor
- Monitor margin usage; adjust grid or disable before major news
6️⃣ Example P&L Mechanics
| Trigger Price | Order Type | Entry | TP Target | Profit (pips) |
|---------------|------------|---------|-----------|---------------|
| 1.0950 | Buy Limit | 1.0950 | 1.0980 | 30 |
| 1.0980 | Sell Limit | 1.0980 | 1.1010 | 30 |
- If price moves down to 1.0950: buy executes, TP at 1.0980 nets +30 pips
- If price then climbs above base, sells trigger at 1.1010 nets +30 pips
2️⃣ Introducing Progressive & Regressive Scaling
🔼 2.1 Progressive Scaling
“Let winners run”—increase exposure after success
Concept: After each profitable grid cycle, step up your lot size by a fixed increment.
Why: Capitalizes on momentum and winning streaks.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order (1% equity risk).
After grid closes net-positive, next cycle = 0.03 lots.
Continue stepping up (0.04, 0.05 …) until a drawdown or equity-stop is hit.
Reset back to base lot after a losing cycle or whenever floating drawdown > 5%.
Caps & Safeguards:
Max Lot Cap: Never exceed 0.10 lots (or 2% equity risk).
Equity Stop: If floating drawdown > 10%, close cycle & reset.
🔽 2.2 Regressive Scaling
“Protect the downside”—reduce exposure after losses
Concept: After a losing grid cycle, step down your lot size to conserve capital.
Why: Limits damage during rough periods and preserves margin.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order.
If grid hits equity-stop or nets negative, next cycle = 0.015 lots.
Continue stepping down (0.01, 0.005) until you record a net-positive cycle.
Reset to base lot after recovery (e.g. two consecutive winning cycles).
Thresholds:
Don’t drop below 0.005 lots (to avoid over-shrinking).
After two winning cycles at reduced lot, return to base.
✅ Bottom Line
Forex grid trading on EUR/USD can generate steady gains in choppy markets—but demands **strict risk controls** (grid spacing, lot sizing, drawdown limits) and **trend filters** to avoid large losses in trending conditions. When properly applied, a low-risk grid on EUR/USD offers a robust, mostly hands-off strategy for capturing repetitive market swings.
4️⃣ Key Takeaways
Progressive Scaling lifts lot sizes on winning streaks, amplifying gains—but must be capped and reset on losses.
Regressive Scaling shrinks exposure after drawdowns, preserving capital until the strategy recovers.
Combine both with your grid’s risk parameters, trend filter, and a solid equity-stop to maintain a balanced, low-risk EUR/USD grid.
By layering scaling rules atop your grid, you adapt dynamically to market performance—maximizing winners and protecting against prolonged losing runs. Good luck! 🚀
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has pulled back after reaching the top of the ascending channel and encountering a resistance zone.
We expect the correction to continue at least toward the identified support level.
After completing the correction, a new bullish wave is expected to begin, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels.
Will EURUSD resume its uptrend after the pullback? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Lingrid | EURUSD short-term BEARISH move after RESISTANCE bounceFX:EURUSD hit the resistance at 1.15000 with significant force before bouncing off it. On the 1H timeframe, the market is forming an ABC pullback pattern, suggesting price may decline further toward the 1.12000 support level. Taking a broader view, we can observe the potential a head and shoulders pattern, which remains valid as long as price stays below the upward trendline. I think the market will retest the area below the previous week's low if price breaks through the upward channel. Given that the price entered a consolidation zone, I expect possible continued downward movement in the near term. My goal is support zone around 1.12500
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Euro may rebound from support line of wegde and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. For a while, price was consolidating in a flat range, bouncing between support near 1.0735 and resistance close to 1.0950 points. The price showed multiple rejections from the buyer zone, indicating strong interest from bulls around that area. Eventually, this led to a breakout to the upside, accompanied by a sharp impulse movement. After the breakout, the pair formed a steady upward wedge pattern, where both support and resistance lines were respected. This pattern helped channel the bullish pressure, allowing the price to gradually push higher while also offering clear correction zones. One of those zones, the support area, is particularly important. Price bounced off this area again recently, signaling that buyers are still in control. The market is currently recovering from a local correction and showing early signs of continued growth, as visible from the bounce off the wedge's support line and the area around the current support level. Given this structure, the breakout from range, the formation of the wedge, and the consistent support reaction, I expect the Euro may to continue its movement upward. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1550 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro may drop to 1.1200 points, exiting from pennant patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was growing steadily inside an upward pennant, following a strong breakout from the buyer zone. This impulse pushed the market higher toward the current support level at 1.1300, where the price found a temporary stabilization. Afterward, EUR moved into a range phase, trading sideways between local highs and lows. Despite several attempts to break higher, the market repeatedly showed weakness near the upper boundary, resulting in multiple turnarounds. Each bounce up was followed by lower highs, forming the descending resistance line of the pennant, while buyers defended the support area. Currently, the market is squeezed between the resistance and support lines, forming a classic compression pattern. Price action reveals increasing pressure on the support, and recent rebounds are becoming weaker, a clear sign of buyers losing momentum. In my view, the overall market situation has shifted from a strong bullish impulse toward a potential downside correction. So, given the breakdown structure forming and the price testing the lower side of the pennant multiple times, I expect a bearish breakout soon. My current TP1 is the 1.1200 points level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
#EURUSD: Our Last Trade Mitigated Early, Now Swing Trade Active?EURUSD, in our previous recommendation, advised everyone to sell swing trades. However, the price was mitigated by a narrow margin. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry.
Good luck and trade safely.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
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Russia-Ukraine Peace Agreement what could it mean to forex!A peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine could send ripples through the Forex and Commodities markets. Here's how major assets might react:
📊 Key Market Shifts to Watch:
✅ Risk-On Sentiment Returns
Traders may rotate out of safe havens like USD, JPY, CHF, and Gold.
Risk currencies like AUD, NZD, and emerging market currencies could strengthen.
✅ Euro Strength Likely (EUR ↑)
Europe gains the most relief → energy prices fall, inflation cools, confidence grows.
✅ Oil & Energy Prices May Drop
Peace reduces supply fears → crude oil and gas prices could fall → impacting CAD, NOK, RUB.
🔀 Likely Forex Movements:
🔼 Pairs Likely to Rise 💡 Reason
EUR/USD Euro up on peace; USD weakens as fear fades.
AUD/JPY Aussie rises on risk appetite; Yen weakens.
EUR/JPY Similar to AUD/JPY—EUR gains, JPY loses.
NZD/JPY Risk-on favors NZD; JPY drops.
EUR/CHF Swiss Franc weakens; Euro benefits.
USD/ZAR (falls) Rand strengthens on global optimism.
🔽 Pairs Likely to Fall 💡 Reason
USD/JPY USD and JPY both weaken, but USD may drop more.
USD/CHF Same story—less demand for safe havens.
USD/RUB Ruble recovery if sanctions ease.
CAD/JPY Oil-sensitive CAD may dip slightly
🟡 What About Commodities Like Gold? (XAU/USD)
⬇️ Gold Likely to Fall
As a traditional safe-haven, Gold (XAU/USD) tends to rise during geopolitical turmoil.
Peace = lower fear = investors rotate out of Gold into riskier, yield-bearing assets.
Lower inflation expectations could also reduce demand for Gold as an inflation hedge.
🧠 Key Level Watch:
If peace is confirmed, XAU/USD could drop below key support zones, especially if USD strengthens slightly on rate differentials.
🔍 Final Thoughts:
The magnitude of these moves depends on the terms and credibility of the peace deal.
If it includes sanctions relief and long-term commitments, expect larger market reactions.
Stay alert for central bank policy shifts, especially if inflation drops.
💬 What pairs or commodities are you watching if peace becomes a reality? Drop your insights below!
📌 Follow me for more macro-FX breakdowns, commodities analysis, and trading insights.
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown SetupHello guys!
Let's dive into the chart of eurusd!
If the bottom line of the triangle is broken with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the breakdown. After the breakdown, the best approach is to wait for a pullback toward the broken support (now acting as resistance) and enter a short position on bearish rejection signals.
The target zone for the drop lies around 1.1200–1.1230, as highlighted in the blue support area on the chart.
____________________
Plan:
Breakdown Confirmation: Wait for a clear break below the bottom line.
Entry: Short on pullbacks toward the triangle's bottom after the breakdown.
Target: 1.1200–1.1230 support zone.
Invalidation: Breaking back above the top line of the triangle would invalidate the setup.
EURO - Price can bounce up of support level to top part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price traded inside a triangle, where it broke $1.0920 level and then made a correction to this level.
Then price exited from triangle pattern, retesting and then made upward impulse to $1.1310 level, which coincided with support area.
Next, Euro started to traded inside flat, wher it soon broke $1.1310 level, but then it made correction.
After this movement, price in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it turned around and bounced down to $1.1310 level.
Price tired to grow, but failed and continued to trading near this level, and even recently it bounced.
So, in this moment, I expect that Euro can bounce up from support level to $1.1575 top part of the flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After consolidating in a broad range for several weeks, Euro made a strong breakout and entered an ascending channel.
The price respected this pattern twice, forming clear support and resistance touches, and confirming trend direction.
Most recently, the Euro surged and reached the upper boundary of the new rising channel, but quickly pulled back.
Currently, it’s testing the $1.1380 support area, which also aligns with the channel base, creating a confluence zone.
Given this context, I anticipate a bounce from this support and continuation of bullish structure toward $1.1670
This level represents the channel top and may act as the next key resistance zone.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD - Next leg up incoming?Since February, the EUR/USD currency pair has been in a strong and sustained uptrend, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. What began as a recovery from the 1.02 level has quickly turned into a strong bullish movement, with the pair already reaching as high as 1.15 in just a matter of two months. This impressive rally marks a clear change in momentum, with price action showing classic bullish characteristics.
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What will we discuss
- Overall trend structure
- 4H Fair Value Gap
- Golden pocket fibonacci
- What to expect next?
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Overall trend structure
Over the past two months, the price action has maintained a clean and well-defined bullish structure. The consistent formation of higher highs and higher lows is a textbook sign of a strong uptrend. Each retracement has been shallow, with buyers stepping in above previous lows, and each rally has broken through key resistance zones, further confirming the prevailing bullish bias.
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4H Fair Value Gap (FVG)
During the latest move up to 1.15, EUR/USD formed a 4H FVG, just before a short-term rejection at the top. This unfilled imbalance now coincides with a key support area. Given this confluence, it’s highly likely that price could revisit this zone to partially or fully fill the gap. This would allow the market to rebalance, and potentially offer a strong foundation for another bullish leg.
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Golden pocket Fibonacci
Adding to the significance of this zone is the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement (0.618–0.65) from the latest upward swing, which lies between 1.14198–1.14274. This area happens to align perfectly with the midpoint of the 4H FVG, providing additional confluence and making it a major technical level to watch.
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What to expect next?
With both the 4H FVG and the golden pocket overlapping, the zone around 1.14198–1.14274 becomes a high-probability support area. Historically, the golden pocket is known to attract strong buying interest, and when coupled with the FVG, it strengthens the case for a bullish reaction. If price dips into this zone and finds support, it could mark the beginning of the next impulsive move higher, in line with the broader uptrend.
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HelenP. I Euro may decline to support zone and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After a prolonged sideways movement and an extended period of uncertainty, price has finally shifted gears. The pair, which had been trading inside a broad consolidation range, has recently demonstrated a clear bullish structure with strong upward momentum. The initial push started from the 1.0350 - 1.0400 support zone, where the price reacted several times, forming a solid base. From that point, bulls gradually gained control, leading to a breakout above both the upper consolidation boundary and the trend line. Following the breakout, the price surged through the next major support area around 1.0850 points, confirming the continuation of the bullish cycle. After this impulse, the Euro paused briefly around 1.1250 - 1.1300, establishing a new support zone before making another push higher. This new structure has now become a key area of interest, as price is currently testing it again from above. Now EUR is trading near 1.1330 points, within a tight consolidation that formed after touching the 1.1500 resistance. I expect that URUSD will undergo a temporary correction toward the support zone, followed by a continuation of the upward movement. My target remains at 1.1500, where the price may meet resistance once again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD) one side of breakout and move Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, showing two ptential scenarios based on price behavior around a key supply zone.
1. Key Levels:
Resistance/Target Point (Upper): ~1.15729
Supply Zone (Current Price Area): ~1.14100–1.14500
Support Level/Target Point (Lower): ~1.12658
200 EMA: ~1.13581 acting as dynamic support
2. Current Price:
EURUSD is trading at 1.14167, just above the 200 EMA and at the bottom edge of the supply zone.
3. Scenarios Outlined:
Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, it may continue toward the upper resistance level at 1.15729.
This move would be supported by bullish momentum and potentially a breakout strategy.
Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the supply zone and fails to break above convincingly, a reversal is expected.
The target for this bearish move is the support zone near 1.12658.
4. Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 49, neutral zone but potentially recovering from oversold.
Suggests indecision, with momentum that could swing either way depending on price action at the supply zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Ideas:
Long Trade Setup (Breakout):
Entry: Break and retest above ~1.14500.
Target: ~1.15729.
Stop Loss: Below ~1.14100.
Short Trade Setup (Rejection):
Entry: Rejection candle formation around 1.14300–1.14500.
Target: ~1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above ~1.14700.
Overall Idea:
This is a dual-scenario setup, where the market structure at the current supply zone will determine direction. The chart encourages traders to wait for confirmation before committing to either a breakout or a reversal strategy.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added decent longs in last 2 weeks and little bit shorts also, this week Tuesdays reports comes out with -4.2K net. Which means momentum is slowing down a bit and we will might see a correction.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Is EURUSD getting ready for another 600 pips bull run?🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: mixed/range
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 2000
🔸Status: accumulation in range
🔸previously x2 waves +600 pips
🔸clearly strong uptrend in progress
🔸Price Target Bears: range
🔸Price Target BULLS: 2000
🔸strategy: accumulate in range
🔸TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips
🔸SL 60 pips / below accum range
📈 EUR/USD Bullish Drivers
🏦 ECB staying cautious on rate cuts while Fed signals easing
📉 Weak U.S. job and manufacturing data pressuring the dollar
🌍 U.S. trade policy uncertainty pushing investors toward euro
📊 Technicals show strong support, RSI confirms bullish momentum
🔮 Outlook
⏳ Short-term: Targeting 1.1500 if U.S. data stays soft
📆 Medium-term: 1.20 possible on policy divergence and EU fiscal boost
EURUSD I Monday CLS I KL - Inverted OB I Continuation SetupHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️