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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR to push higher Let's start with the daily TF: We've been in a downward channel for a while now and price seem to try and break out of it to the upside now. Adding to that we also have some equal highs above that haven't been touched for a while now and you can expect that liquidity to be grabbed. Note how that level correspond exactly to the weekly R1 pivot point as well. You can expect some resistance once we reach that level. 4h: Here we can see the price delivery has been very efficient on the way up, leaving but one small imbalance We have a clear bullish hidden divergence on RSI as well and equal highs sitting just above the previous swing high. We're about to enter a previous support/resistance zone which coincide perfectly with the imbalance left yesterday during the push up which looks like the perfect long setup entry to play the continuation long. (which correspond to the 50% retracement from the previous swing low) 5min for entry: Following the HTF analysis and looking at the 5min for entry, we can see that yesterday's R1 pivot correspond to the 79% retracement from the last low before the big push up that didn't give any proper pullback since. It's also at the S/R seen on HTF Entry at that level would be ideal with a SL below S1 pivot and targeting at least the low hanging fruit at the equal highs for a first TP. As always make sure you only trade what you CAN lose and use proper stop loss to avoid any big losses. Nothing is never certain, it's just a game of stacking probability in your favor.
Long
by Nordic_Wings
EURUSD Is Going Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.047. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.040 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD’s zone of interest after German election Polls have now closed in Germany’s parliamentary elections. Exit polls indicate Friedrich Merz’s center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has secured a clear victory, positioning him as Germany’s next chancellor. The far-right AfD is projected to achieve its best result yet, currently in second place with 20.2%, nearly doubling its 2021 support. However, the Bundestag’s composition remains uncertain, and Merz has ruled out cooperation with the AfD. Prolonged coalition talks could lead to a government divided on economic recovery and international policy, which could be bearish for the euro. With this in mind, the 61.8% to 50.0% Fibonacci zone could be an area of interest (to begin with at least), which coincides with flattening longer moving averages.
by BlackBull_Markets
4-hr EUR/USD: Could THE EUR Rally Another 200 PipsOver the past few weeks, the EUR/USD currency pair has shifted its direction and gained around 300 pips in an upward movement. This rally led to the formation of a Double Top pattern slightly above the 1.05 level. As a result, the price is currently experiencing a pullback. We anticipate that this decline could extend further downward, with the potential to test the 1.04 region. This level coincides with the key 38% Fibonacci retracement, a historically strong support zone that has influenced price action in previous instances. Given the prevailing bullish momentum, we are inclined to enter a long trade once the price reaches this support area. Our bias is reinforced by the presence of a Golden Cross, a widely recognized technical indicator that signals a buying opportunity. However, to maximize our risk-to-reward ratio, we prefer to wait for the price to retrace toward the 38% Fibonacci level before executing a buy order. Once the trade is triggered, our target will be positioned above the 1.05 resistance zone, aiming to capture the next bullish wave. This approach ensures a strategic entry while leveraging strong technical signals to optimize trade performance.
Long
by Trendsharks
EUR/USD: Don't chase the car, Snoopy! This is a relief rally.Hello all. Apologies if my "dog chasing a car" expression does not resonate with everyone. However, I think we can all use a little levity once in a while. I entered into a long EUR/USD position last week although it was a gamble what with the German election this weekend. However, I have a very tight trailing stop on this trade. It definitely has the legs to reach 1.0530-40. Higher than that, we'll see. Allow me to explain my point of view. Investors, especially institutions, like certainty. The German election is over and with that some certainty that there is the will to form a coalition government ASAP. It is not my place to criticize the German people's choice but it seems that the immigration haters like the AdF party, DJT and Musk, who did not hesitate to support them, did not win the day. There is however a steep road ahead until a formal government is in place. Germany's economy has been in decline and the ECB rate decisions have reflected that. The Ukraine/Russia war seems to be the EUR/USD driver now that Trump and his mouthpiece, Hegseth, have essentially showed that they do not care about Europe's future, OR FOR THAT MATTER THE INTERNATIONAL ORDER AND THE USA'S ROLE IN IT AS A PEACEKEEPER. More alarming is the claim that Ukraine started the war. DJT is still cozying up to Putin and nobody except him knows why. This cavalier approach by the Trump administration has raised the specter of European powers having to produce their own weapons and also leaning on the UK to assist. This may boost economic output but I would not invest in that prospect for now. What the planet needs is an end to this war and the USA to show some real leadership. Now is also the time for the USA, Euro Zone and Japan to start urging China and India to assist in stopping this insanity started by Putin. The UN needs to step up to the plate too. If Trump really wants monetary compensation for aiding Ukraine, then let it be so. He can start by insisting on a slice of the reported USD280 billion in frozen Russian assets. And if it does come to Ukraine having to give some mineral rights to the USA in return for a peace keeping force and repayment for military aid, well, fine by me as a tax payer one way or another. There is however not a snow ball's chance in hell that the USA congress will approve what will be seen by Putin as an act of war against Russia. HERE IS A THOUGHT: what if DJT wakes up tomorrow morning and start using his bully pulpit to promote all nations to get along instead of barking about tariffs and other not so important issues like the weak stream of water from his shower. Just kidding, of course, but one may dream... I have just booked profit on my long position and will monitor it for another position, long or short. Chasing it in the hope of reaching 1.0600? Of course. That is what we do as traders. But keep the risk small. Best of luck all.
by jvrfxalerts
3
UPDATE ON EUR/USD TRADEEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price is playing out well. It came to trade into the OB we had marked out earlier post fundamental news, cleared the orders and is now trading us lower. You can see that price doing that has set a new Lower High within this new bearish structure, I would like to say that the high set there will now be protected and we should see a continuation in bearish structure moving forward. This trade is running + 34 pips. (+ 3.4%) 3.4RR A big well done to all of you who managed to jump in on this trade, please make sure that you take partials throughout your position and you apply safety measures. If you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
Short
by Lukegforex
EURUSD 21 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on FX:EURUSD EURUSD for 21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment It's PMI Day today: EU: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI US: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase 2️⃣ 🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures. 🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. 🔹With the Bullish iBOS yesterday, we confirmed that the Swing Pullback phase may have ended and we are in a new Bullish continuation phase. 3️⃣ 🔹With the recent iBOS, price is currently in Pullback Phase to HP POIs to then continue Bullish. 🔹As yesterday expectation of continuing Bullish, still on the expectations of price continuing Bullish targeting the 15m Weak Swing High / 4H Weak Swing High.
by Amr-Sadek
Trading EURUSD and AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 18/02/2025The previous trading week wrapped up on a profitable note, delivering solid gains. We had the opportunity to take four trades on GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD, while EURUSD was the only pair that didn’t present any setups. Out of these four trades, three were winners, and only one resulted in a loss, allowing us to close the week with a 5% return. With such strong results, we were eager to see what opportunities this trading week would bring. By Tuesday, we had already taken two trades, and in this post, we’ll walk you through how they played out At 08:55 EST, both EURUSD and AUDUSD experienced a liquidity sweep, clearing out liquidity resting at the lows of their respective zones. This sweep on the lows directed our focus toward potential buying opportunities for the session on both pairs After patiently waiting, all our trade entry requirements aligned for both currency pairs, giving us the green light to execute. If you're wondering what our entry criteria are, here’s our checklist: 1. Break of structure to the upside 2. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) must be formed 3. Price must retrace into the FVG We don’t take trades unless all three conditions are met—no exceptions. Even if two out of three align, we stay on the sidelines. This disciplined approach helps us focus only on high-probability setups, increasing our edge in the market After execution, EURUSD wasted no time, hitting our take profit in just 1 hour and 25 minutes. AUDUSD had barely reached 1R within the same timeframe, signaling that this trade would require more patience. We were completely fine with this because we always risk only what we can afford to lose, which helps us stay detached from the outcome—win or lose. Plus, with EURUSD already securing a 2% gain, even a 1% loss on AUDUSD wouldn’t significantly impact our overall performance. Now, it’s just a matter of staying patient and letting the trade play out. This trade truly tested our patience. After a period of consolidation, it finally moved in our favor, allowing us to lock in a 2% gain after 15 hours and 15 minutes. Our total gain for the day reached 4%, making the session a solid success
by CleoFinance