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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15208 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15133..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
Markets on EdgeGlobal markets tread cautiously today amid rising Middle East tensions and investor jitters ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. Israel’s continued airstrikes on Iran, now in their 6th day, are weighing heavily on sentiment, with European stocks and oil prices lacking direction. 📊 US Dollar Watch: Traders are closely eyeing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weekly chart: • 🔻 Price hit a new low, but RSI divergence signals waning downside momentum. • ⚠️ Approaching long-term uptrend support from 2011 near 96.30 — could trigger profit-taking. 🪙 EUR/USD Weekly: • ⚠️ Momentum fading as it nears the 78.6% retracement at 1.1696. • RSI shows bearish divergence despite recent price highs. 📌 Key Takeaway: Charts suggest potential for a pause or reversal in recent USD weakness. This is not investment advice. #Forex #USD #EURUSD #DXY #FederalReserve #Markets #TechnicalAnalysis #Geopolitics #Trading
by The_STA
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe 📊 EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe 🕐 Date: 17 June 2025 📌 Chart by: GreenfireForex 🔷 Pattern: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE) 🔍 Context: Forming inside Wave (4) – possible breakout before Wave (5) 📈 Upside Potential: Break above triangle → target near 1.16500+ 📉 Downside Risk: If fails to break up → revisit demand zone around 1.15000 --- 🔮 Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout: Breaks above wave (e) Clean rally toward target zone Ideal for a long setup with tight SL ❌ Bearish Fakeout: Rejection from triangle resistance Falls back into demand zone Look for reversal or retest opportunities --- 🎯 Strategy Tips: Wait for a breakout candle Use SL outside triangle zone Entry based on confirmation – avoid early trades 💬 Let’s discuss live market reaction as price nears triangle edge. Stay ready .
Long
by Greenfireforex
Chartanalyse: Der Chart zeigt eine Seitwärtskonsolidierung mitTechnical Overview: The EUR/USD chart exhibits signs of a bearish reversal pattern forming near a key resistance zone (1.15800 - 1.16000), highlighted with repeated rejection wicks (🔴 red arrows). Price is currently trading at 1.15222, after failing to hold above the neckline of the rounded bottom pattern. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance has been confirmed multiple times (red arrows), indicating sellers are active at the top. 🟠 Double Top / Head & Shoulders Behavior: Price action shows topping formations (highlighted with orange circles), suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Breakdown Possibility: Price rejected near neckline and is showing bearish candle formations. Breakdown from the current consolidation zone could push price toward the target zone at 1.14491, marked in purple. This aligns with previous support structure, reinforcing a technical downside projection. 🔻 Support Zone: Around 1.13800 - 1.14000 is a strong area of demand and may act as the next bounce point if the bearish move continues. 📐 Chart Pattern Structure: Rounded bottom formed earlier, but the failure to continue higher and breakout suggests a false breakout trap for buyers. Downward sloping trendline broke, but now price is struggling to sustain above previous highs. 📌 Conclusion: ⚠️ Caution for bulls as price shows signs of weakness at resistance. A move below 1.15000 may initiate further downside toward 1.14491 and possibly lower. Short-term traders can watch for confirmation candles near this zone for entries. 📅 Short-Term Bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: 1.14491 ⛔️ Invalidation: Strong breakout above 1.16000
Short
by MrStellanSight
#AN008: Israel, Iran and the price of fear GEOPOLITICS – Israel, Iran and the price of fear While the stock markets are trying to hold up, the geopolitical reality is very different. In the last 72 hours, Israel has hit a facility considered strategic in southern Iran. Tehran responded with ballistic warheads targeted at NATO positions, and threatened a military closure of the Strait of Hormuz. In a few hours, Brent has shot above $100, while WTI has touched $94.20, bringing back to life a spectre that seemed archived: energy purchases. DOLLAR AND FED – Sickles under pressure The Federal Reserve has kept rates unchanged, but Powell has sent a clear signal: "there will be no cut if the geopolitical context continues to generate upward pressure on prices". In other words: the FED remains hawkish, the dollar continues to dominate, and global sentiment shifts to risk. CROSS WATCH – SwipeUP FX Opportunity EUR/USD Weak EU macro + sustained US sell-off + war → Realistic target 1.0630 – if it breaks 1.0675 H8. USD/JPY Institutionals undecided: if the yen does not strengthen and the BOJ remains neutral, we can return above 158. Target: 158.60-159.2 in case of new USD leg. CAD/JPY and oil-linked Canada benefits from the oil increase, but be careful: risk-off can penalize. Assess only with cyclical confirmation and real volumes. 📌 WHAT TO WATCH NOW – SwipeUP Checklist 📆 Friday, June 21: US PMI data + Powell speech ⚠️ VIX above 20: signals real tension 📉 JPY and CHF in divergence? → watch out for manipulative breakouts 🗓️ Earnings Season: can divert flows in the short term, but remains in the background
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURUSD: Awaiting Confirmation to Continue the UptrendThe EUR/USD pair closed yesterday at 1.1550, moving within the 1.1526–1.1558 range. The euro continues its bullish trend, driven by U.S. inflation data coming in lower than expected, which increases expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Fed. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly between Israel and Iran—have slightly weakened the U.S. dollar, providing additional support to the euro. From a technical perspective, the price is currently correcting toward the 1.1480 area, where the ascending trendline converges with the exponential moving average. This is a key support zone. If it holds and a clear bullish signal emerges, EURUSD could rebound and move toward the 1.1610 resistance level. Main scenario: look for buying opportunities around 1.1480 if a bullish confirmation appears, targeting 1.1610. Alternative scenario: if the 1.1480 level is broken, the short-term uptrend could be at risk.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
EURUSD – Technical Analysis and Long Position OpportunityIn this pair, there is a possibility to open a long position. When analyzing the pair on higher timeframes, using a 45-period exponential moving average and two simple moving averages of 70 and 95 periods, supported by a Parabolic SAR, an opportunity for a buy position can be identified. Although the pair is currently consolidating on lower timeframes, it is showing a strong upward movement on the higher timeframes. This outlook is based on the fact that, in June, a significant bullish candle was formed, followed this month by a doji candle pattern, which could indicate a continuation of the upward trend. On the higher timeframes, the technical indicators are also aligning in the correct order and direction, suggesting that this may be the right moment to enter a long position. However, it is important to emphasize that, despite the technical analysis presented, attention should be given to news, economic data, and other factors that could impact this pair, as this analysis relies solely on technical criteria. The long position tool shown on the chart serves only as additional support for entering the trade.
Long
by faluacuz_fx
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15691.Colleagues, I believe that wave “5” of higher order has actively started an upward movement. At the moment I see movement in wave “1” of medium order and it means that a correction in wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level (1.12434) is expected. But I would still advise to consider only upward movement and use pending limit orders. I see the maximum of wave “3” - resistance area 1.15691 as the target. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
26
Mitigation Block in Forex Trading: What It Is and How to Use It?What a Mitigation Block Is, and How You Can Use It When Trading Forex? Understanding specific market mechanisms like mitigation blocks may enhance strategic decision-making. This article delves into the concept of mitigation blocks, detailing their definition, function, and practical application within forex. Definition and Function of a Mitigation Block A mitigation block in forex trading refers to a specific order block on a chart that indicates where previous movements have stalled and reversed, marking it as a potential area for future market turns. This concept within the Smart Money framework is crucial for traders looking to manage their positions by taking advantage of strategic entry and exit points. The idea behind these areas is rooted in the dynamics of supply and demand within forex. When a currency pair reaches a level where buyers or sellers have previously entered the market in force, causing a reversal, it suggests a potential repeat of such actions when the price returns to the area. Characteristics and How to Identify a Mitigation Block Mitigation blocks can be bullish or bearish, each with distinct characteristics: - Bearish Mitigation Block: This type forms during an uptrend and is identified by a significant peak followed by a decline and a failed attempt to reach or surpass the previous high, creating a lower high. When prices drop below the previous low, the order block above the low becomes mitigation. It may be characterised by an increase in selling volume as the price approaches the level, signalling resistance and a potential downward reversal. - Bullish Mitigation Block: Conversely, a bullish type is established during a downtrend. It is characterised by a significant trough, followed by a rise to form a higher low, and a failure to drop below the previous low. As the pair moves up, the order block below the high marks mitigation one. This area often shows an increase in buying volume as the price approaches, indicating support and a potential upward reversal. Mitigation Block vs Breaker Block Mitigation and breaker blocks are both significant in identifying potential trend reversals in forex trading, but they have distinct characteristics that set them apart. A mitigation block forms after a failure swing, which occurs when the market attempts but fails to surpass a previous peak in an uptrend or a previous trough in a downtrend. The pattern indicates a loss of momentum and a potential reversal as the price fails to sustain its previous direction. On the other hand, a breaker block is characterised by the formation of a new high or low before the market structure is broken, indicating that liquidity has been taken. This means that although the trend initially looked set to continue, it quickly reverses and breaks structure. In effect, a breaker appears when the market takes liquidity beyond a swing point before reversing the trend. A mitigation appears when the price doesn’t move beyond the trend’s most recent high or low, instead plotting a lower high or higher low before reversing the trend. How to Use Mitigation Blocks in Trading Areas of mitigation in trading can be essential tools for identifying potential trend reversals and entry points. When they align with a trader's analysis that anticipates a reversal at a certain level, it can serve as a robust confirmation for entry. Traders can effectively utilise these zones by simply placing a limit order within the area once it is considered valid. Validation occurs after a new peak or trough is established following the initial failure swing that forms the mitigation area. If a liquidity void or fair-value gap is present, the trader may look for such a gap to be filled before their limit order is triggered, potentially offering a tighter entry. Stop losses might be placed beyond the failure swing or the most extreme point. Furthermore, if a mitigation block is identified on a higher timeframe, traders can refine their entry by switching to a lower timeframe. This approach allows for a tighter entry point and potentially better risk management, as it offers more granular insight into the momentum around the area. Common Mistakes and Limitations While these blocks are valuable for forex trading, they come with potential pitfalls and limitations that traders should know. - Overreliance: Relying solely on mitigation blocks without corroborating with other trading indicators can lead to misjudged entries and exits. - Ignoring Context: Using these zones without considering the broader market conditions may result in trading against a prevailing strong trend. - Misinterpretation: Incorrect identification can lead to erroneous trading decisions, especially for less experienced traders. - False Signals: Mitigation blocks can sometimes appear to signal a reversal but instead lead to a continuation of the trend, trapping traders in unfavourable positions. The Bottom Line Understanding mitigation blocks offers traders a strategic edge in navigating the forex market. They can be vital for recognising potential price reversals and improving trading outcomes. FAQs What Is a Mitigation Block? A mitigation block in forex trading is an order block that identifies potential reversal points. It signals where a currency pair has previously stalled, indicating strong buying or selling pressure, suggesting a potential for similar reactions in future encounters with these levels. How Do You Identify a Mitigation Block? Mitigation blocks are identified by analysing charts for areas where previous highs or lows were not surpassed, leading to a reversal. Traders look for a sequence of movements, including a swing high or low followed by a retracement that fails to exceed the previous swing. What Is the Difference Between a Breaker Block and a Mitigation Block? While both indicate potential reversals, a breaker block forms when the price makes a new high or low before reversing, suggesting a temporary continuation of the trend. In contrast, a mitigation block forms without creating a new extreme, indicating a direct loss of momentum and an immediate potential for reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD follow the ascending channel selling now from bearish obEURUSD – Bearish Setup in Play! 🚨 4H Timeframe Analysis EURUSD has been respecting the ascending channel, but price just tapped a key supply zone at 1.15700 and showed strong rejection. This signals a potential sell-off from current levels. 📉 🔻 Technical Targets: 📍 1st TP: 1.14200 📍 2nd TP: 1.12700 📍 3rd TP: 1.10800 A clean break below 1.15000 could accelerate the move. Watch closely for momentum confirmations! ⚠️ 🧠 Smart traders plan, not chase. 💬 Drop your thoughts below ❤️ Like if you caught the move 🔔 Follow & Join us for real-time updates and setups! — Livia 😜✨
Short
by LIVIATRACK
10