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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals📌 Daily Market Summary: EUR/USD Slides to 1.1350 Amid USD Strength & ECB Dovish Signals EUR/USD declined toward 1.1350 on Friday as the US Dollar gained strength, driven by easing tensions in the US–China trade standoff. Reports suggest Beijing may suspend additional tariffs on some US goods. Despite the dip, the euro remains firm against most major currencies except North American ones. ECB members Holzmann and Rehn highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the Eurozone and increased risks of inflation undershooting the 2% target. Olli Rehn suggested that the current conditions justify a rate cut as early as June. 📊 Technical Outlook EUR/USD dropped to 1.1350, but the broader trend remains bullish, with the 20-week EMA still pointing higher around 1.0885. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 1.12725 Stop Loss: 1.12000 Take Profit: 1.13165 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 1.14775 Stop Loss: 1.15300 Take Profit: 1.14350 📉 Caution: With political news and central bank guidance shaping sentiment, traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels and stick to their risk management rules.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025 - EURUSD reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1510 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 1.1300 (which also reversed the price at the start of April) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction iv from the middle of April. Given the clear multi-month uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1.1510, which stopped the earlier impulse wave iii.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EURUSD(20250424) Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1354 Support and resistance levels: 1.1485 1.1436 1.1404 1.1303 1.1272 1.1223 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1354, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1404 If the price breaks through 1.1303, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1272
Long
by Toml1314
EURUSD Top - Down AnalysisHello Students and Traders, Just thought to give y'all a quick top-down analysis on the EURUSD pair today. While we see some Bearishness on the Monthly chart, the lower time frames of the Weekly, Daily and 4 Hour are all looking Bullish. With these 3 timeframes having a confluence of liquidity target, which is only a few pips shy of the Monthly Zone, it appears the market is looking to drive prices bullish, right into the Monthly Zone, from where we will expect and hope to see the resumed bearishness of the Monthly, together with a consequential reversal of trend on the 3 timeframes of the Weekly, Daily and 4 Hour Timeframes. For now, we wait and watch how prices play out on the 1 hour, to give us the confirmation to move Bullish, or expect a short term bearish reversal. Enjoy the analysis guys...
Long
by PanzyPips
How to use Correlation for your tradingHello, Understanding correlation is key to elevating your trading success for two main reasons: Avoid Trading Against Yourself: When you buy one asset and sell another that is positively correlated, you risk offsetting your gains with losses. This often results in a zero-sum outcome, as one trade may profit while the other incurs a loss. Recognizing correlated pairs helps you avoid this pitfall and trade more strategically. Using the chart below its clear that it will be unwise to sell GBPUSD while buying EURUSD since both pairs move in the same direction. Capitalize on Lagging Pairs: Identifying correlated pairs and their movement patterns enables smarter trading decisions. By spotting which pair tends to lead and which lags, you can focus on trading the lagging pair to increase your probability of success. While risks remain, this approach allows for more calculated and potentially profitable trades. The charts provided illustrate the positive correlation between GBPUSD and EURUSD, showing how they move in tandem. This insight allows you to confidently buy or sell one pair based on the movement of the other, optimizing your trading strategy. Goodluck in your trading. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by thesharkke
EUR/USD Holds Firm as U.S. Policy Uncertainty GrowsEUR/USD traded around 1.1530 on Tuesday, while the dollar index remained around 98.4, weighed down by concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence and escalating trade tensions. President Trump called for swift rate cuts and suggested removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, fueling worries over political influence on monetary policy. The sentiment was further impacted by stalled US-China negotiations and China’s warnings to countries aligning with Washington. Key resistance is at 1.1550, followed by 1.1600 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1400, then 1.1260 and 1.1180.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 21, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD broke out of a multi-day trading range and hit a new high since February 2022 around 1.1485 during the Asian session on Monday. Despite “aggressive” comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy continues to undermine the dollar. Last Wednesday, Powell said the Fed would likely keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged and wait for more clarity before considering any policy adjustments. Meanwhile, Trump's retaliatory tariff announcements undermined investor confidence in U.S. economic growth and drove the dollar to a two-year low early in the new week. The aforementioned factors largely offset the European Central Bank's (ECB) soft decision last week and served as a tailwind for EUR/USD. On Thursday, the ECB cut interest rates for the seventh time in a year and warned that economic growth would be hit hard by US tariffs, bolstering the case for further policy easing in the coming months. Moving forward, traders this week will be focused on scheduled speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday and a number of influential FOMC members this week. In addition, the market's focus will be on the release of flash PMI indices, which could provide new insights into the state of the global economy. This, in turn, may give some impetus to the US dollar and EUR/USD. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1520, SL 1.1465 , TP 1.1565.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Explicación entrada contratendencia, No es la ideal.Explanation of a Counter-Trend Entry Today, we took a counter-trend entry, which is not ideal in terms of probabilities, as it's generally better to trade in the direction of the main trend. However, this trade was done with an educational purpose, so you can learn to spot key structures and reaction zones, even during pullbacks or corrections. 👉 The most important thing when trading against the trend is to have clear risk management, a defined setup, and to know when to exit if price doesn’t react as expected. 📚 This is part of the learning process. We don’t trade just to trade, but to understand the market and sharpen your decision-making.
Short
by edisonjavierrey
1
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors: ECB Policy Impact Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target. Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts. Fed Policy Stance Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts. Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing. Market Projections Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone . Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy. Key Drivers to Watch Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation. Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics. Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions. Short-Term Outlook Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains. Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143. In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows. Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
"EUR/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Sniper Entry🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area): 📍 Between 1.13755 – 1.14258 🚫 Expecting sellers to dominate here 🧱 Acts like a ceiling that price struggles to break 🔽 Sell Setup: 🎯 Entry Point: 1.13755 🔥 Stop Loss: 1.14258 (above zone — protection!) 💰 Target Point: 1.11611 📉 Expecting price to drop after entering this zone 📏 Risk vs Reward: ⚠️ Risk: ~50 pips 🏆 Reward: ~210 pips ✅ RR Ratio: ~1:4.2 (very favorable) 📊 EMA (7, close): 🟠 Current price is hovering around EMA ⏳ Suggests consolidation or a potential reversal soon 🔁 Scenario Plan: 1. 📈 Price moves into supply zone 2. 🚨 Triggers entry (Sell) at 1.13755 3. 🚀 If wrong, hits Stop Loss at 1.14258 4. ✅ If correct, drops to Take Profit at 1.11611 Summary: ✍️ Bearish outlook 🛑 Strong supply/resistance expected 📉 Good setup for a short position with low risk and high reward
Short
by Jameshead007
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.11980 and 1.10840 . There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Strong S/R zone from the past + Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
Eur/Usd 16-Apr 2025EUR/USD remains supported, largely due to continued USD softness, with the Dollar Index (DXY) currently holding below the 100 mark. Potential scenarios to monitor include: • A move towards the 1.148 area, where a pause or pullback could lead to a return toward the 1.12 region. • A confirmed break and retest of the 1.15 level may suggest increased momentum toward the 1.165 area. • A sustained move below 1.12 could open the way toward 1.114, where renewed interest may begin to emerge. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar) 📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high. 🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement. 💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher. ⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome: If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower 🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD Analysis – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadFollowing a strong bullish move, EURUSD is now entering a premium zone where I expect sell-side pressure to start building up. Similar to my GBPUSD analysis, this setup is based on liquidity collection and a potential change of character (CHOCH) before bearish continuation. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Price is currently reacting within a FVG zone, suggesting a temporary bullish push might grab liquidity before reversal. I'm closely watching for CHOCH confirmation, followed by impulsive bearish momentum toward demand zones. Targets are aligned with structure levels and imbalance zones between 1.1080 and 1.0780. 🛡️ Strategy Note: Patience is key here. I'll wait for signs of exhaustion or manipulation above the highs before engaging in any short bias. This idea continues to follow my model of trend exhaustion, liquidity sweeps, FVG reaction, and CHOCH validation. — Emerson Massawe
Short
by Lordemerson
1