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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview: The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections. 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs. Pattern Breakdown Analysis: The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum. Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle). The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline. A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward. This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup. 2. Key Levels and Trade Setup: 🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone) The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control. Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it. A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend. 🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone) The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed. This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts. If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid. 🔹 Price Target Projection The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move. This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target. 3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup? 📌 Entry Strategy: Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest. A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection. 📌 Stop Loss Strategy: A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk. This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation. 📌 Take Profit Strategy: The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498. The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection. 4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum. 🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance. 🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline. Final Thought: This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bears come to Euro?!Hey dear traders!👋 We have received weak data's from Eurozone, raising concerns about the currency.🔻 . . On the other hand, Trump remains firm on tarrifs, further worsening the situation. . In this trade war, where no one will emerge as a winner, Europe will bear a heavy cost, leading to rising prices. . . 🔸Another possibility is that traders will increase their bets on a rate cut in April, Currently, the money market has priced in an 80% probability of a 0.25% rate cut by the ECB in April. 🔹The important area's marked on chart with Red lines and we can use them for our entry and exit points. ✨GOOD LUCK YOU ALL🍀
Short
by TheApolloo
EURUSD March 28 journal entry and summary of deliveryEURUSD March 28 journal entry "After 6 days of sell off Price has a buy day. I suspect for Price to come to the 50 in Asia seeking sell side to reverse and take by stops. Be patient and wait for Price to show you its hand. " March 30 review of delivery WOW. Reviewing this note gives me so much confidence and now its time to trust your analysis. This is exactly what price delivered. March 28 Delivery Asia delivers a consolidation in a premium. Then lowers creating equal lows consolidating coming into London. 3 macro Price fake expands higher to take minor buy side before breaking for equal lows to a bullish order block? Consolidates coming into NY AM session. Price news driver manipulates prices energetic rally to take recent buy side and rebalance a FVG, however Price does not make a new high. Price does its choppy see saw to lower, retrace, small consolidation then 4pm rally to take minor session buy side and close on a previous NWOG. Discount to premium. Closed in a Premium. *Note low was made on Wednesday and pivot point of the week was after that. *Studying the cycle price is delivering to is key to where the next likely draw on liquidity will be. *I suspected the event horizon would be a magnet and sure seems like it.
by LeanLena
The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key EventsKey Market Events – Friday, March 28 U.S. Data: February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations. Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights. March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment. Europe: UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check. Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators. France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals. Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook. Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge. Canada: January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions. Central Banks: Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment. Trading Focus: PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications. Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD). Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields. Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Daily Market Brief: EUR/USD Analysis Through Correlation Pattern1. Current Market Situation EUR/USD remains under pressure following DAX's -1.17% decline. Key observations: Resistance zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Support level: 1.07810 Subdued trading volumes suggest impending volatility 2. Methodology Our analysis employs: Proprietary Correlation Indicator tracking: • DAX/S&P 500 divergence • EUR/USD's historical response to index movements • Liquidity cluster levels Price action analysis (not theoretical models) 3. Correlation Dynamics Notable patterns: Classic DAX-EUR negative correlation remains intact S&P 500 resilience creates interesting divergence Our indicator detects: 76% chance of false breakout before main move 4. Actionable Trade Plan Primary Scenario (70% probability): Sell zone: 1.0781-1.0791 Invalidation Conditions: DAX rebounds above yesterday's close EUR/USD sustains above 1.0791 5. Execution Guide Monitor DAX futures in real-time Watch for volume spikes at key levels 👉 search Evgenii’s Substack Evgenii’s Substack
Short
by zibr-a
FX Market Preview: NFP week - EUR/USD in focusIn this FX market preview I go into recapping the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY price action last week and what I'm looking at for this week. I also take a look at ETF's QQQE and Nvidia opportunities. I continue to hold my EUR/USD short positions while keeping a strong eye on 1.0860 and then 1.0900. I feel these areas are important for the bears to hold the line if we're going to continue the slide down. NFP in focus this week as well as Trump Tariffs. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
EURUSD Trade Execution EURUSD Trade Execution March 26 Asia 20:00 Macro I suspected that Price would gravitate to the 50 level through to the noted FVG. Logic was Price has been taking sell stops for the past 6 days inching lower. Price was in a deep discount and would want to retrace. Last session taking major sell stops and when the 2022 candle formation occurred I entered. I set alarm for the 50 level and saw that DXY had surpassed its 50 level so I let it ride to my next target. I saw that it could just be consolidating and want to close in the FVG it was rebalancing, however I closed the trade on my target and extremely happy with my analysis, my execution , my exit! Great delivery and trust.
Long
by LeanLena
EURUSD CONCEPTGood morning, depending where in the world you are @. I've been following Fiber for quite sometime now and its price action is quite interesting. So, we are currently in the London session and I still have no bias of the session. Let me tell you why, the dollar index is not clear/ strongly biased but HTF analysis shows me that we might push the dollar higher. That equates to me being confident that I wanna see E-U melt down sometime later in the day or week. The tricky part about E-U according to my today's analysis is that it has 2 juicy levels which are so opposite from each other. One level is @ the Asian lows; Sell-side liquidity. The other is @ the 1 hr premium array levels (POI) point of interest for sells. Honestly, I don't know which level the market will follow for now. If you have any comments, you can freely share. Hit the follow & boost button for more insights and see me execute. Hey, I'll update you guys once I see something happening. Stay safe
by gachihi
1
What Is a Liquidity Sweep and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Liquidity Sweep and How Can You Use It in Trading? Mastering key concepts such as liquidity is crucial for optimising trading strategies. This article explores the concept of a liquidity sweep, a pivotal phenomenon within trading that involves large-scale players impacting price movements by triggering clustered pending orders, and how traders can leverage them for deeper trading insights. Understanding Liquidity in Trading In trading, liquidity refers to the ability to buy or sell assets quickly without causing significant price changes. This concept is essential as it determines the ease with which transactions can be completed. High liquidity means that there are sufficient buyers and sellers at any given time, which results in tighter spreads between the bid and ask prices and more efficient trading. Liquidity is often visualised as the market's bloodstream, vital for its smooth and efficient operation. Financial assets rely on this seamless flow to ensure that trades can be executed rapidly and at particular prices. Various participants, including retail investors, institutions, and market makers, contribute to this ecosystem by providing the necessary volume of trades. Liquidity is also dynamic and influenced by factors such as notable news and economic events, which can all affect how quickly assets can be bought or sold. For traders, understanding liquidity is crucial because it affects trading strategies, particularly in terms of entry and exit points in the markets. What Is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep in trading is a phenomenon within the Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework that occurs when significant market players execute large-volume trades to trigger the activation of a cluster of pending buy or sell orders at certain price levels, enabling them to enter a large position with minimal slippage. This action typically results in rapid price movements and targets what are known as liquidity zones. Understanding Liquidity Zones Liquidity zones are specific areas on a trading chart where there is a high concentration of orders, including stop losses and pending orders. These zones are pivotal because they represent the levels at which substantial buying or selling interest is anticipated once activated. When the price reaches these zones, the accumulated orders are executed, which can cause sudden and sharp price movements. How Liquidity Sweeps Function The process begins when market participants, especially institutional traders or large-scale speculators, identify these zones. By pushing the market to these levels, they trigger other orders clustered in the zone. The activation of these orders adds to the initial momentum, often causing the price to move even more sharply in the intended direction. This strategy can be utilised to enter a position favourably or to exit one by pushing the price to a level where a reversal is likely. Liquidity Sweep vs Liquidity Grab Within the liquidity sweep process, it's crucial to distinguish between a sweep and a grab: - Liquidity Sweep: This is typically a broader movement where the price action moves through a liquidity zone, activating a large volume of orders and thereby affecting a significant range of prices. - Liquidity Grab: Often a more targeted and shorter-duration manoeuvre, this involves the price quickly hitting a specific level to trigger orders before reversing direction. This is typically used to 'grab' liquidity by activating stops or pending positions before the price continues to move in the same direction. In short, a grab may just move slightly beyond a peak or low before reversing, while a sweep can see a sustained movement beyond these points prior to a reversal. There is a subtle difference, but the outcome—a reversal—is usually the same. Spotting a Liquidity Sweep in the Market Identifying a sweep involves recognising where liquidity builds up and monitoring how the price interacts with these zones. It typically accumulates at key levels where traders have placed significant numbers of stop-loss orders or pending buy and sell positions. These areas include: - Swing Highs and Swing Lows: These are peaks and troughs in the market where traders expect resistance or support, leading to the accumulation of orders. - Support and Resistance Levels: Historical areas that have repeatedly influenced price movements are watched closely for potential liquidity buildup. - Fibonacci Levels: Common tools in technical analysis; these levels often see a concentration of orders due to their popularity among traders. The strategy for spotting a sweep involves observing when the price approaches and breaks through these levels. Traders look for a decisive move that extends beyond the identified zones and watch how the asset behaves as it enters adjacent points of interest, such as order blocks. The key is to monitor for a subsequent reversal or deceleration in price movement, which can signal that the sweep has occurred and the market is absorbing the liquidity. This approach helps traders discern whether a significant movement is likely a result of a sweep, allowing them to make more informed decisions about entering or exiting positions based on the anticipated reversal or continuation of the price movement. How to Use Liquidity Sweeps in Trading Traders often leverage liquidity sweeps in forex as strategic indicators within a broader Smart Money Concept framework, particularly in conjunction with order blocks and fair value gaps. Understanding how these elements interact provides traders with a robust method for anticipating and reacting to potential price movements. Understanding Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps Order blocks are essentially levels or areas where historical buying or selling was significant enough to impact an asset’s direction. These blocks can act as future points of interest where the price might react due to leftover or renewed interest from market participants. Fair value gaps are areas on a chart that were quickly overlooked in previous movements. These gaps often attract price back to them, as the market seeks to 'fill' these areas by finding the fair value that was previously skipped. Practical Application in Trading Strategies Learn how liquidity sweeps can be applied to trading strategies. Identifying the Trend Direction The application of liquidity sweeps starts with understanding the current trend, which can be discerned through the market structure—the series of highs and lows that dictate the direction of the market movement. Locating Liquidity Zones Within the identified trend, traders pinpoint liquidity zones, which could be significant recent swing highs or lows or areas marked by repeated equal highs/lows or strong support/resistance levels. Observing Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps After identifying a liquidity zone, traders then look for an order block beyond this zone. The presence of a fair value gap near the block enhances the likelihood of the block being reached, as these gaps are frequently filled. Trade Execution When the price moves into the order block, effectively sweeping liquidity, traders may place limit orders at the block with a stop loss just beyond it. This action is often based on the expectation that the order block will trigger a reversal. Utilising Liquidity Sweeps for Entry Confidence The occurrence of a sweep into an order block not only triggers the potential reversal but also provides traders with greater confidence in their position. This confidence stems from the understanding that the market's momentum needed to reach and react at the block has been supported by the liquidity sweep. By combining these elements—trend analysis, liquidity zone identification, and strategic use of order blocks and fair-value gaps—traders can create a cohesive strategy that utilises sweeps to enhance decision-making and potentially improve trading results. The Bottom Line Understanding liquidity sweeps offers traders a critical lens through which to view market dynamics, revealing deeper insights into potential price movements. For those looking to apply these insights practically, opening an FXOpen account could be a valuable step towards engaging with the markets more effectively and leveraging professional-grade tools to navigate liquidity phenomena. FAQs What Is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when large market participants activate significant orders within liquidity zones, causing rapid price movements. It's a strategic manoeuvre to capitalise on accumulated buy or sell orders at specific price levels. What Is a Sweep Trade? A sweep trade is a large order executed through multiple different areas on a chart and venues to optimise execution. This is common in both equities and derivatives trading to minimise market impact. How to Spot a Liquidity Sweep? Liquidity sweeps can be identified by sudden, sharp movements towards areas dense with orders, such as previous swing highs or lows or known support and resistance levels, followed often by a rapid reversal. What Is the Difference Between a Liquidity Sweep and a Liquidity Grab? A liquidity sweep is a broader market move activating a large volume of orders across a range of prices. In contrast, a grab is a quick, targeted action to hit specific order levels before the price reverses direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD RetreatsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Retreats EUR/USD declined from the 1.0950 resistance and traded below 1.0850. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0950 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0775 zone. A low was formed near 1.0776 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. The pair is now trading below 1.0820 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0820 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820. The next key resistance is at 1.0850. The main resistance is near the 1.0865 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. A clear move above the 1.0865 level could send the pair toward the 1.0910 resistance. An upside break above 1.0910 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0950. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0775. The next key support is at 1.0750. If there is a downside break below 1.0725, the pair could drop toward 1.0700. The next support is near 1.0650, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Approaching Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a key demand zone marked by previous price reactions. This area has historically acted as strong support, leading to bullish moves in the past. The current structure suggests that buyers may step in if the price confirms a rejection from this zone. If we see bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a bullish engulfing candle, the market could push higher toward the 1.04020 level. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. This setup reflects the potential for a rebound after an impulsive move, supported by past price behavior and market structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
12
The Day Ahead Tuesday March 25 Data: US March Conference Board consumer confidence index, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, business conditions, Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, January FHFA house price index, February new home sales, China 1-yr MLF rate, Japan February PPI services, Germany March Ifo survey, EU27 February new car registrations Central banks: Fed’s Williams and Kugler speak, ECB's Kazimir, Nagel, Holzmann and Vujcic speak Auctions: US 2-yr Notes This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Fibonacci Resistance Continues to Hold HighsThe 1.0943 level held the highs again last week into the FOMC rate decision, and with a pullback developing over the past four trading days, the stalling from buyers has become quite evident. The big test, however, is whether bears can push through a couple of key supports that are just below price: The 1.0750 psychological level continues to loom large, and that's very nearby the 200-day moving average that plots around 1.0730. If sellers can stretch down there, but buyers hold and bring a bounce, the question then is whether lower-high resistance can come into play and for that, both 1.0865 and 1.0800 are of interest. - js
by FOREXcom