EURUSD INTRADAY bulish breakout supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025.
The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term.
However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990.
In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setup (Wave (5) in ProgrTimeframe: 15m
Date: May 18, 2025
Tools Used: Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, SNR Zones, Awesome Oscillator (AO)
Bias: Bearish
Confluence Zone for Entry: 1.618 – 2.618 Fib Extension
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🌀 Elliott Wave Count:
We are currently tracking a 5-wave impulsive bearish structure on EUR/USD.
Wave (1), (2), and (3) have been completed.
Price is now forming a corrective Wave (4) which appears to be completing near a key SNR zone and Fibonacci confluence area.
Based on the wave structure and market behavior, Wave (5) is expected to follow after this correction completes, targeting a new lower low.
📏 Fibonacci Confluence:
Wave (4) retracement aligns with several Fibonacci extension levels:
1.618 (1.11663) – This is the first key resistance zone, coinciding with prior support turned resistance (SNR) and the AO convergence point.
2.618 (1.11892) – Acts as the extended potential reversal point if price overshoots the 1.618 zone.
These fib zones create a tight area of interest for potential entries with stop-loss placement above 2.618, targeting Wave (5) completion near 1.1120 or below.
🧱 SNR (Support & Resistance) Zone:
The area between 1.11600 – 1.11900 has historically acted as a supply zone. Price reacted sharply from here during prior bearish moves.
Break of microstructure around 1.11464 – 1.11428 would further confirm bearish intent and potential early Wave (5) entry.
📉 AO (Awesome Oscillator) – Bearish Convergence (H1 + M15):
There is a clear bearish convergence on both H1 and M15:
Price formed lower lows, while AO histogram also made higher lows, indicating momentum is still bearish despite the corrective bounce.
This convergence supports the idea that Wave (4) is just a temporary correction, not a trend reversal.
🎯 Trade Plan (Hypothetical Example):
Sell Zone (Entry): Between 1.11663 – 1.11892 (Fib 1.618 to 2.618 + SNR zone)
Confirmation: Bearish structure break (1.11464 – 1.11428)
Stop Loss: Above 1.11920 (just above 2.618 level)
Target: 1.11200 area (Wave (5) projection)
📌 Summary:
This setup offers a clean multi-confluence short opportunity, aligning with:
Elliott Wave structure (Wave (5) pending)
Fibonacci extensions (1.618 – 2.618)
SNR resistance zone
AO bearish convergence on both H1 and M15
⚠️ Wait for structural confirmation and always manage risk carefully.
Traders should wait for confirmation from price action (e.g. a break below 1.11428) before entering. Risk management is essential as fib extensions can occasionally overshoot before price turns.
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #Wave5Setup #AOConvergence #AwesomeOscillator
#FibConfluence #SNRZone #PriceAction #BearishSetup #WaveTheory #TechnicalAnalysis
#SmartMoney #StructureBreak #ForexSetup #MomentumTrading #MultiTimeframeAnalysis
#FXTrading #MarketStructure #ShortOpportunity
EURUSD Bearish Setup: Gartley on Weekly, Breakdown on 4HEURUSD has formed a Gartley pattern on the weekly timeframe, suggesting a potential drop toward 1.01 or even lower.
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, it has broken out of an ascending channel and, after a pullback to the broken level, is currently declining. This bearish move appears likely to continue.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable signs of weakness, ultimately reaching a critical Outer Currency Dip at 1.111, facilitated by Mean Support at 1.119. Following this decline, the market experienced a pronounced rebound. Recent analysis indicates that the Euro will likely close with a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.111, while it may progress towards the next Outer Currency Dip at 1.095. It is essential to highlight that upward "dead-cat" rebounds may arise within the current price range, particularly around the Mean Resistance level of 1.125, and could potentially approach an Inner Currency Rally at 1.129.
EUR/USD Playbook: Precision Day Trading from Range to BreakoutEUR/USD is in a bullish correction on the daily chart, holding above the 21-EMA with compressed moving averages signaling consolidation. The pair trades in a 1.1170–1.1230 range on the 1-hour chart, presenting ideal day-trading opportunities. Volume spikes at support (1.1170) and weakness near resistance (1.1230) reinforce this range.
Use this structure to your advantage:
Long near 1.1170–1.1185, backed by EMA ribbon support and RSI recovery from oversold levels.
Short near 1.1225–1.1235, where RSI typically overextends and price stalls on weak volume.
Use tight stops (5–10 pips) and take profits near range edges.
If price breaks and holds above 1.1235, target 1.1265–1.1300 on a bullish continuation. Below 1.1170, expect deeper downside toward 1.1120.
Stick with the range until a breakout is confirmed by volume and candle closes.
EURUSD bearish idea📊 Chart Analysis: EUR/USD – Bearish Bias
🔍 Structure Overview:
:Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
: Current Price Area: Around 1.1112
: Market Structure: Bearish overall, with a potential pullback in progress before continuation to the downside.
🟪 Key Zones:
🔺 Resistance Zone (Purple Area around 1.1370–1.1415):
: Price previously rejected this zone strongly.
: Significant supply area; a strong reversal occurred here.
🔰 Sell Entry Zone: 1.1199 (Marked)
: A lower high is expected to form here.
Label: “Sell can be expected from this area.”
: This is a potential pullback entry point aligning with bearish continuation.
🟩 Support Zone: 1.1086–1.1064
:Watch for breakout of this zone. A break below it confirms bearish continuation.
: Label: "Wait for the breakout of this support.
📉 Sell Trade Plan:
Trigger: If price reaches ~1.1199 and forms a rejection or bearish pattern → enter short.
: Confirmation: Break of support at 1.1064–1.1086.
🎯 Targets:
1: TP1: 1.0950 – Logical support zone
2: Final TP: 1.0810 – Strong historical support
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Trade Type: Pullback sell followed by trend continuation
Conditions:
> Wait for pullback near 1.1199 (sell zone)
> Confirm break below 1.1086 support
> Target 1.0950 (TP1), 1.0810 (final target)
Eurusd signal
EUR/USD continues to pull back from its intraday highs near 1.1270, edging closer to key support around 1.1200 as the US Dollar keeps trimming earlier losses. Despite the retreat, the pair is still holding onto modest daily gains ahead of Thursday’s remarks from Fed Chair Powell and a batch of high-impact US data.
EURUSD time for correctionMonthly
On the monthly timeframe, we came to the Premium zone and captured Monthly Fractal High, where previously there was predominance from the sell side.
Weekly
Price has formed a Weekly FVG, indicating strong dominance from the buy side. However, it is important to understand WHERE this has led us ? The current quotes are interesting for sellers. Hence, we should assume that the price may receive a counter offer from the sell side. It is logical to assume potential points A and B in this context.
Daily
Price has formed primary signs of change in the price delivery state:
- Bullish PD Array disrespecting
- BISI forming
- CISD forming
All this indicates a shift of initiative to the selling side, so it is logical to expect a continuation of the downward movement after interaction with the marked PD Array.
Also, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the price is within the Inside Bar for the 3rd day already. This means that recently the price has been held within the same values, which indicates a balance of power between buyers and sellers at the current quotes. In such a situation, all we have to do is to find the optimal area to continue the downward price formation.
EURUSD is moving within the 1.10850 - 1.13000 range👀 Possible scenario:
The euro rose 0.69% against the U.S. dollar on May 19, as the greenback weakened after Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating—echoing earlier moves by Fitch and S\&P. The downgrade revived concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and sparked renewed selling pressure. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s warning about potential tariff hikes if trade talks stall added to investor caution, raising geopolitical risk and weighing on the dollar.
On May 20, markets will watch the U.S. Consumer Confidence report (2:00 p.m. UTC), global trade developments and peace talks in Eastern Europe.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.10850.
Resistance level is located at 1.13000.
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.12590 👀Possible scenario:
The euro fell 1.31% against the US dollar on May 16, despite expectations that the ECB would maintain a hawkish policy stance due to persistent core inflation. ECB President Lagarde called the recent strengthening of the euro “counterintuitive but justified,” citing waning confidence in U.S. policy.
It's quiet on the macroeconomic front on May 19, but the Eurozone Consumer Price Index at 12:00 GMT could cause some movement. Traders should also keep an eye on news on US trade policy and peace talks in Eastern Europe.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.10850.
Resistance level is located at 1.13000.
EURUSD - Potential Buy (Day Trading)Hi Traders,
How about we BUY CMCMARKETS:EURUSD !
Price Action Analysis:
4hr Chart: Price has been in a corrective phase since April 2025, which may have provided enough of a discount to attract buyers.
1hr Chart: I’m monitoring how price reacts following the buying pressure that emerged on May 13th, 2025.
Lower timeframe: Watching for the right timing to enter the trade.
Good Luck!
STUDY, STUDY, STUDY . Lorenzo Tarati :)
EURUSD getting ready for long?EURUSD: is it getting ready for further buys or perhaps sells?
In my point of view, after taking intermediate high price will now enter a higher timeframe consolidation before further push ups, there is plenty liquidity resting below price and I believe before we have another strong push up price will first mitigate demand.
USOIL UPDATEThe EUR/USD exchange rate continued its upward momentum, approaching the 1.1230 area during the North American session, extending Tuesday's gains. The major currency pair attracted significant buying interest due to the weakening U.S. dollar, with the U.S. Dollar Index retreating from around the monthly high of 102.00 to near 100.50.
This week, the key catalyst for EUR/USD will be Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington on Thursday. In terms of economic data, traders will focus on the release of U.S. April retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures on Thursday.
From a candlestick pattern perspective, the recent price action has formed a rising wedge, a technical formation often indicating a potential trend reversal. The exchange rate is currently testing the support level at 1.1220. A break below this level could trigger a further retracement to the 1.1180 zone.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.