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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD — Daily & 4H TimeframesThe correction continues on EURUSD. Both the daily and 4H timeframes show sideways ranges, with seller initiative in control. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. However, sellers appear weak — the price has been stuck for several hours inside a buyer attack bar near the upper boundary of the range. Now, sellers are attempting to absorb this buyer bar. If considering long setups, it's safer to look for patterns near the daily level of 1.13126, or from the lower boundary of the 4H range. Another option is to wait for a confirmed breakout above the range. Searching for buys in the upper part of the current range is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
2
EURUSD - TECH. 2Hello Traders! It's Nika. In this technical work, as we see here, there is a few things happening at the same moment. First thing to focus on is that we have formatting double double-head acceding triangle. We need wait or also go short for that with small time period. After that my prediction is the price will enter that channel in price range 1.13917 - 1.13247. So, after that we can wait for the market price confirmation and only after going Buy or Sell. After all, what we got here is two good options. 1. Open short when market will open until the price will hit "Double-head acceding triangle" bottom. 2. Go into the position after a few days, when the price will enter & left channel range 1.13917 - 1.13247. In long time period sell and buy probability, there is price marks on chart! So, you can use it as your TP. Thank you! Have a profitable day. :)
by Nika-Lekishvili
2
EUR/USD is about to clarify its trend direction 💡Message Strategy The recent trend of the euro is affected by the resonance of multiple macroeconomic factors. First, the eurozone CPI data for May showed that the overall annual rate dropped sharply from 2.2% to 1.9%, and the core CPI annual rate also fell to 2.3%, hitting a one-year low, which suppressed the market demand for the euro. This cooling trend of inflation has significantly strengthened the market's expectations that the European Central Bank will further cut interest rates. The current market has fully taken into account the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday, and even expectations of further rate cuts in July have fermented. At the same time, US economic data is still weak. The ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5, which has been in the contraction range for several consecutive months. In addition, the JOLTS job vacancies may hit a new low, which makes the dollar bulls lack support. In general, the euro is facing a tug-of-war between the eurozone's easing expectations and the weakness of the US dollar, and the market is generally optimistic about the trend. 📊Technical aspects From the K-line pattern, the long and short sides are stuck near 1.1400, and a unilateral trend has not yet formed. It is worth noting that the high point of 1.1572 in mid-April has formed an obvious resistance band so far, and the upper 1.1500 is a psychological integer mark, and it is also the previous high, forming the first key resistance line. If it breaks through this level, it may usher in further upward space. In terms of MACD indicators, the bar chart is currently oscillating near the zero axis, and the fast and slow lines are above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is dominant. RSI remains at 57.94, which is in the neutral to strong range, but has not entered the overbought area, and there is still potential for short-term growth. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:1.13750-1.13850
Long
by TheodoreSilas
1
EUR/USD) Bearish breakout analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, likely projecting a short-term downward move. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis and the trade idea: --- Key Elements in the Chart: 1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance: Price was rejected twice near the 1.14400 resistance zone (highlighted in yellow). The red arrows mark double rejection at this level, suggesting strong selling pressure. 2. Break of Rising Channel: Price was previously moving inside a rising channel. Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below the lower trendline, indicating trend reversal. 3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): EMA is around 1.13188 and price is below it, reinforcing bearish momentum. EMA also acted as dynamic resistance after the channel breakdown. 4. Target Zone – Support Area: The yellow support zone around 1.10911 is the target point. This was a previous area of price consolidation and demand. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is near 51, hovering around the neutral zone. Not strongly bearish yet, but room remains to drop toward oversold if the downtrend continues. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Scenario: Price has broken a key structure and is retesting the breakdown. Expect continuation toward the 1.10900 support zone. Entry Zone: Near current price (~1.13400–1.13500), ideally on a retest of the EMA or broken trendline. Target: 1.10911 (highlighted support level). Stop-Loss (Invalidation): A break and close back above the resistance zone (~1.14000–1.14200). Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: This is a high-probability bearish setup following a structure break, retest, and double top rejection. It targets a move back down toward a previously strong support level, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13812 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.14059.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
Bearish Momentum Builds on Hourly EUR/USD ChartThe EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a short-term trend reversal, with technical indicators turning decisively bearish on the H1 timeframe. After a sustained uptrend, the pair has broken below a key ascending trendline around the 1.04060 area. As of 11:00 AM 6/3/2025, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1391, down from recent highs near 1.1450. The breakdown comes amid weakening momentum, as confirmed by multiple technical tools. Indicators Confirm Bearish Shift The MACD (12,26,9) and MACD (19,39,9) indicators have both printed bearish crossovers, with expanding negative histograms, suggesting downward momentum is strengthening. Meanwhile, the Momentum (50) indicator hovers just above the neutral 100 level, offering a potential clue of ongoing weakness unless a sharp rebound occurs. Bearish Trading Setup My EUR/USD position is currently short with initial downside soft targets at 1.1350, followed by 1.1280 if bearish pressure accelerates. A break above 1.1445 would invalidate bearish setups and shift focus back to the upside. Technical Summary: Bias: Bearish (Short-Term) Opened 6/3/2025 5:03 am USA Eastern at 1.14060 (MT4) Trade Invalidation: 1.1445 Soft Targets: 1.1350, then 1.1280 Hard Target: None. Holding until MACD (19,39,9) reversal. The technical landscape suggests traders should remain cautious on long positions unless the pair reclaims the 1.1445 resistance zone. Until then, the bears appear to be in control. -------------------- The above is an analysis of what I see using my own technical setup and is not investment advice.
Short
by jk13204
EUR/USD Short Setup – Correction Within Broader UptrendInstrument: EUR/USD Timeframe: 15-Minute Trade Type: Countertrend Short Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.45 Duration: 2-4 days 📉 Trade Parameters Entry: 1.13891 Target: 1.13049 Stop Loss: 1.14550 Risk: ~0.54% Reward: ~0.78% 📌 Technical Rationale Despite EUR/USD maintaining an overall bullish structure on higher timeframes, recent developments on the 15-minute chart indicate a potential short-term correction. 🧱 Trendline Break Price action has decisively broken below a rising intraday trendline, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and opening the door for a corrective move. 📉 MACD Momentum Shift The MACD histogram is contracting, and the signal line has crossed downward — often a leading indication of momentum reversal. This shift supports the short thesis as momentum fades near local highs. 📊 Stochastic RSI Confirmation The Stochastic RSI has rolled over from overbought levels, aligning with the MACD's bearish signal and adding confluence to the setup. 🔼 Lower High Formation Price failed to break and sustain above the previous swing high near 1.145x. The formation of a lower high within the minor uptrend adds to the probability of a short-term pullback. 🧭 Target Zone Justification The 1.13049 level represents the next key support, coinciding with the prior consolidation zone and a low-volume pocket — providing a clean downside path for price to retrace. 🧠 Strategy Note This is a countertrend setup, capitalizing on a temporary retracement within a larger bullish market. The defined structure and risk/reward profile make this a tactical opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. As always, monitor key news events and U.S. data that may impact USD volatility during the trade's lifespan.
Short
by GODOCM
DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price broke the H4 descending channel roof and reclaimed 1.130 support; the breakout is holding above the long-term blue trend-line, creating a fresh higher-low cluster. ● Momentum is compressing in a bull flag between 1.1420 resistance and 1.1330 support; flag depth projects to 1.1565-1.1600 near the violet channel cap. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Flash EZ CPI jumped to 2.6 % y/y vs 2.5 % est. while US ISM mfg. slid to 48.1, trimming Treasury yields and widening EUR-USD rate appeal. ✨ Summary Long 1.133-1.136; flag break >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Trend risk flips on a close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD – Retracement Expected Before Further UpsideEURUSD – Retracement Expected Before Further Upside The EURUSD pair has seen strong bullish momentum over the past two days, mainly driven by the weakening U.S. dollar. Last week’s softer-than-expected U.S. Core PCE and PMI data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady for longer, weighing on USD sentiment. However, with upcoming speeches from FOMC members and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data due later this week, traders may look to take profit or step aside, leading to a short-term retracement before any continuation of the bullish trend. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: USD remains under pressure amid declining inflation signals and weakening economic data. ECB is expected to cut rates, but at a slower pace than the Fed, creating a divergence that supports the Euro in the near term. Political uncertainties in the EU, including upcoming elections, are worth monitoring. 📉 Technical Analysis: The medium-term trend remains bullish with EMA 13–34–89–200 aligned to the upside. Price is currently reacting at the 0.0 FIBO level (1.1420), suggesting a potential pullback. Key support lies between 1.1345 – 1.1317. If this zone holds, it could serve as a solid base for a bullish continuation. 🧭 Suggested Trade Scenarios: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1317 – 1.1345 SL: 1.1285 TP: 1.1370 → 1.1400 → 1.1420 → 1.1450+ 🔻 SELL ZONE (Short-term counter-trade): 1.1418 – 1.1425 SL: 1.1450 TP: 1.1385 → 1.1350 → 1.1320
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass1️⃣ How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass Challenges 📈 Introduction ✨ Securing prop firm funding opens the door to trading substantial capital and achieving financial freedom. However, passing these evaluations requires meticulous strategy, disciplined execution, and smart risk management. This article provides actionable strategies, optimized trading setups, and insights on leveraging AI to ensure you successfully navigate and pass your prop firm challenges. Understanding Prop Firm Evaluations 📊🔍 Prop firm challenges typically include specific trading objectives: 💰 Profit targets (8–10% within 30 days) ⛔ Daily loss limits (usually 5%) 📉 Maximum drawdown limits (typically 10%) 💡 Tip: Print the rules and display them at your workspace to avoid rule breaches. Focus on One High-Probability Strategy 📌🎯 Consistently profitable traders use one rigorously tested strategy. For example, a popular setup: 🔄 Liquidity Sweep: Wait for price to clear stops above recent highs or lows. ⚡ Market Structure Break (BOS): Enter after price breaks and confirms a new trend. 📥 Entry: Order block (OB) or Fair Value Gap (FVG). Example Trade: 🔗 Pair: EUR/USD 🔽 Entry: OB after sweep at 1.0800 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0820 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0740 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 3:1 Start Small, Think Big 🧠🌱 Initially, risk only 0.5% per trade to maintain psychological comfort and buffer against drawdowns. Increase risk gradually once you have a profit cushion. Leverage AI Insights 🤖📊 Modern traders enhance decision-making using AI-driven tools: 🟢 AI indicators for real-time liquidity detection 🔵 Predictive analytics for entry confirmations Efficient Risk Management 🛡️⚖️ Set daily and weekly risk limits. For instance: ⏳ Maximum daily risk: 1% 📅 Weekly drawdown cap: 3% Practical Example: 💵 If trading a $100,000 account, never risk more than $1,000 in a single day. Journaling for Improvement 📒📝 Record every trade’s rationale, execution details, and outcome. This fosters accountability and improvement. Conclusion ✅ Securing prop funding isn't about luck but disciplined, strategic execution. Optimize your trading, leverage technology, and strictly manage risk to ensure long-term success. 🏆
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Euro Dollar(EUR/USD), are institutional investors still bullish?The European Central Bank (ECB) unveils a new monetary policy decision this Thursday, June 5, and the consensus is for further cuts in all three ECB interest rates. The ECB's key rate (the main rate at which banks refinance with the ECB) currently stands at 2.40% and should be cut to 2.15% according to the analyst consensus, in other words, a return of the ECB's key rate to the neutral zone for the Eurozone economy (neither restrictive nor accommodative). However, institutional traders are still predominantly bullish on the euro-dollar rate, so let's take stock of the overall technical situation. 1) Institutional traders are still buying the euro-dollar rate (EUR/USD) Every Friday, the CFTC's Commitment Of Traders (COT) report provides access to the positioning of institutional traders (asset management traders and hedge fund traders) on EUR/USD futures contracts. Net positioning represents the difference between buy and sell positions. If the net position curve is above zero and following an upward trend, then institutional investors are buying. This is precisely the case for the EUR/USD institutional net position, with over 60% of institutional investors buying. As for the absolute net position, it is well above zero and has been trending upwards for the past three months. The chart below shows the weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, as well as the net position of institutional traders on the EUR/USD rate in the form of the percentage of buy positions. The second chart below is a histogram revealing the institutional net position in absolute terms (yellow line), which is following an upward trend and broke through descending resistance several weeks ago. 2) In terms of technical analysis, the EUR/USD rate is backed by support at $1.10/$1.12, but remains covered by major resistance at $1.15. The monthly chart gives an opinion on the medium/long-term trend. A study of the monthly chart of the euro-dollar exchange rate highlights a bullish signal that has been given over the last two months. This is the bullish technical breakout of a downtrend line that joins all the most prominent peaks since the 2008 financial crisis. If this graphic signal is not invalidated by a bearish reintegration, then the trend will remain bullish for the euro-dollar rate in the medium term, with corrections still possible in the short term. This market view would therefore be invalidated in the event of a break of support at $1.10/$1.12 on the basis of a minimum weekly close. Long-term chart showing monthly Japanese candlesticks for the euro-dollar rate, highlighting the bullish technical breakout of resistance in place since the 2008 financial crisis. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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by Swissquote
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸 "Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉 🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!) 📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST! 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route) Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!) 🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!) ⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab 👀 Only scalp LONG! Big wallets? Raid straight in. Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery. Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰 📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Want the full intel? Check our bio0 for linkks! 👉👉 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨 News releases = volatility spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Use Trailing SL to lock profits. 💖 Support the Heist Crew! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 More boosts = easier money steals! Strengthen our robbery squad! Every day is a heist—profit with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Going Long on EURUSDThis trade setup was stopped out I have noticed a trend among retail traders/investors. Once they place a trade and if they get stopped out, naturally they are unhappy with the outcome. Worse, they moved on to other pairs or other asset classes to trade. More often than not, upon closer examination, it could be a situation of placing too tight SL or having the courage to follow up again and LONG again. It works for me, I dunno about you. Stick to a few pairs or asset classes and after a while, if you add on your winning positions, you soon realised that you and the chart becomes connected (not in a spiritual way) but you straight away know where you are at certain point in the chart and know what decision to take. I have also revised my strategy a little. One, to have no profit target since if the market is moving in tandem with me then taking profits too early would means I have to get in at higher price each time and a strong retracement could wipe me out. Next, adding to winning positions has also proven profitable rather than going into a new trade setup which takes time to do research. By limiting my exposure to fewer asset class, I become more in tune with the market development and know how to react. Diversifying too widely makes my capital allocation spread too wide without the opportunity to go deep into my profits. Lastly, slowly I am also increasing my position sizing to take advantage of the trend. IF 1 contract yields 1 dollar then 5 contracts would gives me 5 dollars with the same move. This takes courage and conviction which over time, studying the losses and winners helps me to get there , slowly...........
Long
by dchua1969