EUR/USD LOSS❌ EUR/USD Loss – Part of the Process
We were in this trade for 4 days before price made a sharp move against us, taking out our stop.
No strategy wins every time—and this is one of those times.
But losses like this are easier to handle when you have a rules-based system like the VMS strategy behind you. It’s built to:
Filter only high-probability setups
Keep emotions out of decision-making
Win more than it loses over time
📌 This wasn’t a bad trade—it was a trade that didn’t work this time. Big difference.
We stay focused. We stay patient. And we keep showing up.
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Trendline
🔍 Fibonacci Confluence:
Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement.
Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested.
💡 RSI:
While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls.
🧠 Educational Insight:
This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments.
Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly.
📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice):
Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626
Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339
Target Zones:
🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone)
🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib)
🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance)
📌 Summary:
EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
EUR/USD Eyes $1.179 If Resistance BreaksFenzoFx—EUR/USD is testing the 100-day moving average as resistance, a supply zone backed by VWAP at $1.171. The Stochastic Oscillator depicts 81.0 in the description, meaning the Euro is overpriced in the short term.
Therefore, we expect the pair to test the $1.160 demand zone before the uptrend resumes. Furthermore, the bullish outlook remains valid above $1.155, and a break above resistance at $1.171 can trigger the uptrend, targeting $1.179.
EURUSD Approaches Key Technical Breakout Point📈 EURUSD at a Critical Decision Point Between Two Trends
EURUSD is coiling between descending resistance and ascending support. A breakout from either direction will likely define the next leg of the move. This post breaks down the converging structure, high-probability levels, and what traders should watch to stay on the right side of the market.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Price action is trapped between a downward sloping trendline (resistance) and a rising trendline (support), forming a symmetrical triangle. This compression indicates growing tension — and whichever trendline breaks first could dictate market direction in the coming weeks.
Currently, EURUSD is hovering near 1.1670, testing short-term structure while holding above prior swing supports.
🛡️ Support Zones (if downside breakout occurs):
🟢 1.1670 – 1H Support (High Risk)
First response zone on minor pullbacks.
Stop-loss: Below 1.1620
🟡 1.1470 – 1.1427 – Medium-Term Support (Medium Risk)
Confluence of diagonal and horizontal structure. Swing entry potential.
Stop-loss: Below 1.1380
🟠 1.0799 – Last 1H Support (Low Risk)
If the ascending trendline fails, this is the final zone to preserve a bullish structure.
Stop-loss: Below 1.0740
🔻 1.0242 – 1.0195 – Last Daily Support (Extreme Risk)
Loss of this zone marks a macro bearish shift.
🔼 Resistance Zones (if upside breakout occurs):
🔴 1.2094 – 1.2148: Daily Strong Resistance
Key breakout level. Strong historical supply. Clean close above here signals trend continuation.
Conclusion
EURUSD is at a technical fork — squeezed between opposing trendlines. The first decisive break will likely set the tone for Q3. Watch 1.2148 on the upside and 1.1427 on the downside for direction confirmation.
Not financial advice. Like & follow for more structured FX insights.
EUR USD longcan be a short term possibility and maybe not let see , today market is so unstructured from yesterday news lets experience ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
EURUSD on the riseAfter Wednesday’s volatile spike, the market calmed down yesterday, with EURUSD holding above the support zone.
We’re seeing signs of a potential bottom forming — confirmation of this could open the door for a fresh move higher.
The goal remains to follow the bullish trend, but keep an eye out for signs of exhaustion and a possible pullback.
Stay flexible and ready to adapt!
EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025
Technical + Elliott Wave + Macro View
EUR/USD has likely completed a major top at 1.18300, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This level acted as a liquidity sweep before reversing sharply, marking the top of Wave (1) in the current Elliott sequence. We're now entering Wave (3) to the downside—a high-momentum leg often driven by macro confirmation.
Price has broken the ascending channel and rejected the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement zones. With lower highs forming, the structure is weakening. The next likely target sits around 1.10223, a key Fibonacci and order block confluence. If momentum accelerates, EUR/USD could continue toward 1.08289, completing the full Wave (2).
From a macro lens, the divergence between the Fed and ECB continues to widen. The U.S. economy remains resilient with sticky inflation and strong yields supporting the dollar. In contrast, Europe is showing signs of stagnation, with Germany and France struggling to post meaningful growth. This favors continued downside on the pair.
Expect potential relief rallies into 1.1400–1.1550, but these are likely to be sold unless a fundamental catalyst shifts sentiment.
Bias: Bearish
Targets: 1.1022 > 1.0828
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.1700
—
🔔 Watch for volume spikes and failed reclaims of structure as confirmation. DSS signals aligned.
#EURUSD #Forex #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #DollarStrength #FXForecast #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/USD Bullish Setup in Progress as Wave C Targets 1.1622
🟢 LONG BIAS
📅 Updated: July 16
EUR/USD has completed a clean 5-wave impulse structure to the downside, followed by an unfolding ABC corrective pattern on the 5-minute chart. With Wave A and the ongoing B leg nearing completion, bulls may look to capitalize on a Wave C rally toward the 1.1622 resistance zone.
The structure suggests a temporary bullish move within a broader correction. Entry near the 1.1586 level offers a solid R:R setup, with invalidation below 1.1561. This setup is ideal for short-term intraday traders using Elliott Wave theory and expecting a 3-wave corrective rally.
---
📊 Technical Structure (5M)
✅ 5-wave bearish impulse labeled (1)-(5) complete
✅ ABC correction developing (currently in Wave B)
✅ Potential for bullish continuation via Wave C
📌 Upside Target
✅ Final: 1.16224
🔻 Risk Zone
❌ Invalidation: Below 1.15618
---
📈 Market Context
USD Consolidation: Dollar index pauses after strong rally, offering intraday relief to majors.
Euro Support: Mild bid across EUR crosses, offering stability in low-timeframe setups.
No High-Impact News: Ideal technical environment for short-term wave trading.
---
⚠️ Risks to Watch
Breakdown below 1.1561 would invalidate the structure.
Sudden volatility from unscheduled news.
Failure of Wave C to reach projected resistance.
---
🧭 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EUR/USD is setting up for a potential Wave C move toward 1.1622 as the ABC corrective structure plays out. Bullish bias holds above 1.1561 with a high-probability setup unfolding for short-term wave traders. Watch for price reaction near 1.1586 and use tight risk control.
Bearish breakout off major support?EUR/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1587
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1666
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Take profit: 1.1451
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
---
🔍 Description
EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic ABC corrective structure, with Wave B now likely completed below the key 1.1624–1.1659 resistance zone. The price action has shown clear rejection in this supply area, opening room for Wave C to extend lower toward the 1.1523 target.
This setup aligns with a broader correction within a downtrend, with technicals and short-term flows pointing toward further downside pressure. The 2H timeframe offers swing traders a favorable risk-reward scenario, with invalidation clearly above 1.1659.
---
📊 Technical Structure (2H)
✅ Wave A completed
✅ Wave B rejected at resistance
✅ Wave C expected to unfold
📌 Downside Target
First & Final: 1.15233
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 1.16590 (Break invalidates short bias)
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉
On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000.
I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
EURUSD is close to the end of its correctionEURUSD is consolidating in a wedge. The trend is bullish, with the correction reaching the 0.7 Fibonacci zone and making a false breakout, which generally changes the market imbalance.
All attention is on the wedge resistance (red line) and the 1.17000 level. A breakout of the resistance and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the end of the correction and send the price higher.
EURUSD analysis – 1H OB Setup
✅ Green zones = 1H Buy Order Blocks
Clean plan:
Wait for price to reach the green circle zone (1.1600 – 1.1650 OB).
Once there:
✅ Drop to LTF (5M / 3M) and wait for:
Price reaction to the OB zone
BOS / CHoCH structure confirmation
Strong bullish candle for clean entry
Then, enter with stop below the OB zone.
🎯 Targets:
First TP: 1.1690 – 1.1700
Second TP: higher previous highs if momentum continues
⚠️ Let price enter your zone, get your LTF confirmations, and then take your entry with discipline.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
EURUSD FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 15 MINUTES TIME FRAMEEURUSD is forming lower lows and lower highs.
Sellers are maintaining selling pressure from late few sessions.
Market is expected to remain bearish in upcoming trading sessions.
On lower side market may hit the target level of 1.17100
On higher side 1.18100 can act as an important resistance zone.
EUR/USD PULLS BACK TO BUY ZONE MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Hey Traders so looking at Euro still looks bullish but again markets can change on a dime so always be cautious because we need to be good at defense just as much as offense in this game of trading.
Some say US Dollar may bottomed some say it's still going to weaken regardless of what do news says what can the charts show us?
I see a support level of 1.1573 holding for now I see new highs made at 1.1833.
Also I see higher lows and higher highs this all signals an uptrend but again trend changes happen.
However I still see enough to stay bullish for now so if your bullish consider buying here with a stop below support 1.1424
But if bearish I would wait for break below support at 1.1424 before selling into a rally. That way market confirms it wants to change trend.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price printed a hammer and bullish RSI divergence on the lower rail of the 3-week descending channel (green arrow 1.1598), breaking the inner wedge that guided last leg down.
● First resistance is the channel mid-line / prior pivot 1.1632; a move through it exposes the upper band near 1.1692, where July supply and the larger bearish trend-line converge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales control-group and Daly’s “more evidence needed” remarks cooled 2-yr yields, trimming dollar support, while ECB’s Knot said additional cuts “are not imminent,” limiting euro downside.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1600-1.1620; hold above 1.1632 targets 1.1690. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.1580.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.161.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.159 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!