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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD LOSS❌ EUR/USD Loss – Part of the Process We were in this trade for 4 days before price made a sharp move against us, taking out our stop. No strategy wins every time—and this is one of those times. But losses like this are easier to handle when you have a rules-based system like the VMS strategy behind you. It’s built to: Filter only high-probability setups Keep emotions out of decision-making Win more than it loses over time 📌 This wasn’t a bad trade—it was a trade that didn’t work this time. Big difference. We stay focused. We stay patient. And we keep showing up.
by darlwright
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts. Technical Breakdown: 📉 Descending Trendline 🔍 Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement. Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested. 💡 RSI: While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls. 🧠 Educational Insight: This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments. Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly. 📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice): Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626 Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339 Target Zones: 🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone) 🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib) 🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance) 📌 Summary: EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
EUR/USD Eyes $1.179 If Resistance BreaksFenzoFx—EUR/USD is testing the 100-day moving average as resistance, a supply zone backed by VWAP at $1.171. The Stochastic Oscillator depicts 81.0 in the description, meaning the Euro is overpriced in the short term. Therefore, we expect the pair to test the $1.160 demand zone before the uptrend resumes. Furthermore, the bullish outlook remains valid above $1.155, and a break above resistance at $1.171 can trigger the uptrend, targeting $1.179.
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
EURUSD Approaches Key Technical Breakout Point📈 EURUSD at a Critical Decision Point Between Two Trends EURUSD is coiling between descending resistance and ascending support. A breakout from either direction will likely define the next leg of the move. This post breaks down the converging structure, high-probability levels, and what traders should watch to stay on the right side of the market. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price action is trapped between a downward sloping trendline (resistance) and a rising trendline (support), forming a symmetrical triangle. This compression indicates growing tension — and whichever trendline breaks first could dictate market direction in the coming weeks. Currently, EURUSD is hovering near 1.1670, testing short-term structure while holding above prior swing supports. 🛡️ Support Zones (if downside breakout occurs): 🟢 1.1670 – 1H Support (High Risk) First response zone on minor pullbacks. Stop-loss: Below 1.1620 🟡 1.1470 – 1.1427 – Medium-Term Support (Medium Risk) Confluence of diagonal and horizontal structure. Swing entry potential. Stop-loss: Below 1.1380 🟠 1.0799 – Last 1H Support (Low Risk) If the ascending trendline fails, this is the final zone to preserve a bullish structure. Stop-loss: Below 1.0740 🔻 1.0242 – 1.0195 – Last Daily Support (Extreme Risk) Loss of this zone marks a macro bearish shift. 🔼 Resistance Zones (if upside breakout occurs): 🔴 1.2094 – 1.2148: Daily Strong Resistance Key breakout level. Strong historical supply. Clean close above here signals trend continuation. Conclusion EURUSD is at a technical fork — squeezed between opposing trendlines. The first decisive break will likely set the tone for Q3. Watch 1.2148 on the upside and 1.1427 on the downside for direction confirmation. Not financial advice. Like & follow for more structured FX insights.
by husseindergham
EUR/USD Stuck at Channel Midline — Bearish Bias Still in PlayUpdate on Previous Analysis Since there are no major economic events scheduled for today, we expect lower volatility and a relatively calmer market, unless any unexpected news hits the wires. Looking at the chart, price is still moving within a descending channel, and it's currently reacting around a key zone — an area of previous price congestion that also aligns with the midline of the channel. Our bias remains bearish on the euro, unless the market gives us clear bullish reversal signals. Until then, we continue to follow the trend.
Short
by PouyanFa
EUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless DataEUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless Data 🌐 Macro View: Dollar Regains Strength Amid Uncertainty EUR/USD remains under selling pressure as the greenback finds renewed strength following midweek weakness. The market is bracing for fresh U.S. jobless claims data, expected to show a slight rise to 235K. A print below 220K could reignite USD demand, while a surprise above 240K may offer a temporary lifeline for the euro. Amid geopolitical and economic turbulence, the euro continues to underperform as investors shift to the dollar for safety and yield advantage. 📉 Technical Outlook – MMF & Smart Money Perspective The recent breakdown below 1.1600 confirms the bearish momentum. Based on the MMF (Market Momentum Flow) methodology, price action is currently moving within a controlled distribution structure, suggesting further downside potential. Key zones identified from H1 structure: OBS + FVG High Zone (1.1662 – 1.1687): Strong supply zone + volume imbalance. 1.1637: Mid-key level and possible liquidity magnet. 1.1616 – 1.1573: Ideal area for sweeping sell-side liquidity before any sustainable bounce. If price reclaims 1.1662, intraday bullish correction may be in play. However, as long as 1.1687 holds, bears remain in control. 🧭 Trade Plan for Today 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.1662 – 1.1687 (FVG + OBS Volume Zone) SL: 1.1710 TP: 1.1637 → 1.1616 → 1.1590 → 1.1573 ✅ Preferred entry zone aligned with high-volume imbalance & MMF rejection pattern. 🟢 BUY ZONE (Scalp Only): 1.1575 – 1.1580 (Sell-side Liquidity Zone) SL: 1.1550 TP: 1.1612 → 1.1630 → 1.1645 ⚠️ Use with caution — only upon clear price reaction at lower liquidity sweep area. 🔍 Strategy Insight This is a classic scenario of a controlled pullback within a larger bearish structure. Patience is key — let price tap into imbalanced zones before executing. Given today's U.S. data, volatility may spike during the New York session, so risk management is crucial. 💬 What’s Your Take? Do you expect EUR/USD to retest the 1.1550s zone, or could a surprise from U.S. job data flip the narrative? 👇 Drop your analysis below & follow for more MMF-based setups.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.168. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.159 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025EUR/USD Bearish Wave Outlook Into September 2025 Technical + Elliott Wave + Macro View EUR/USD has likely completed a major top at 1.18300, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This level acted as a liquidity sweep before reversing sharply, marking the top of Wave (1) in the current Elliott sequence. We're now entering Wave (3) to the downside—a high-momentum leg often driven by macro confirmation. Price has broken the ascending channel and rejected the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement zones. With lower highs forming, the structure is weakening. The next likely target sits around 1.10223, a key Fibonacci and order block confluence. If momentum accelerates, EUR/USD could continue toward 1.08289, completing the full Wave (2). From a macro lens, the divergence between the Fed and ECB continues to widen. The U.S. economy remains resilient with sticky inflation and strong yields supporting the dollar. In contrast, Europe is showing signs of stagnation, with Germany and France struggling to post meaningful growth. This favors continued downside on the pair. Expect potential relief rallies into 1.1400–1.1550, but these are likely to be sold unless a fundamental catalyst shifts sentiment. Bias: Bearish Targets: 1.1022 > 1.0828 Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.1700 — 🔔 Watch for volume spikes and failed reclaims of structure as confirmation. DSS signals aligned. #EURUSD #Forex #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #DollarStrength #FXForecast #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Bearish breakout off major support?EUR/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1587 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1666 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance. Take profit: 1.1451 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD BUYThe EUR/USD pair edged lower in the past week, settling a handful of pips below the 1.1700 mark, further retreating from the multi-year peak posted early in July at 1.1830. Financial markets kept revolving around the United States (US) President Donald Trump's targets. With geopolitical woes cooling down, Trump’s focus returned to tariffs, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) wait-and-see stance on monetary policy. Trump fixated on tariffs and Powell Since the week started, speculative interest kept their eyes on the July 9 tariffs deadline. Trump announced massive retaliatory levies on over 180 trading partners in May, quickly establishing a 90-day grace period afterwards. His goal was to clinch better trade deals with all these nations. But as the date loomed, deals were scarce. The US made some trade arrangements with some minor economies, such as Vietnam, but there were none with major counterparts, nor, of course, with China TP 1 1.162 TP 2 1.165 TP 3 1.168 RESISTANCE 1.154
Short
by Mark804
2
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉 On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000. I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EURUSD analysis – 1H OB Setup ✅ Green zones = 1H Buy Order Blocks Clean plan: Wait for price to reach the green circle zone (1.1600 – 1.1650 OB). Once there: ✅ Drop to LTF (5M / 3M) and wait for: Price reaction to the OB zone BOS / CHoCH structure confirmation Strong bullish candle for clean entry Then, enter with stop below the OB zone. 🎯 Targets: First TP: 1.1690 – 1.1700 Second TP: higher previous highs if momentum continues ⚠️ Let price enter your zone, get your LTF confirmations, and then take your entry with discipline. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Long
by ProfitaminFX
EUR/USD PULLS BACK TO BUY ZONE MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Hey Traders so looking at Euro still looks bullish but again markets can change on a dime so always be cautious because we need to be good at defense just as much as offense in this game of trading. Some say US Dollar may bottomed some say it's still going to weaken regardless of what do news says what can the charts show us? I see a support level of 1.1573 holding for now I see new highs made at 1.1833. Also I see higher lows and higher highs this all signals an uptrend but again trend changes happen. However I still see enough to stay bullish for now so if your bullish consider buying here with a stop below support 1.1424 But if bearish I would wait for break below support at 1.1424 before selling into a rally. That way market confirms it wants to change trend. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
Long
by TradeTheIndex
EURUSD OUTLOOK 15 - 18 JULYCore CPI m/m came in light which gave a mixed signal at first but CPI y/y was higher than expected which eventually moved EU lower. The last two analysis that I posted were more longer term focused so this time I will be giving a more short term outlook. Currently the dollar is stronger based on the recent news that has been coming out and because of that I am still looking to short this pair keeping in mind that it is only the internal structure that is bearish and the swing structure is still bullish
Short
by Keyserfx