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Skeptic | EUR/USD Breakdown: Key Levels & Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe breakdown of EUR/USD. We’ll analyze EURX (Euro Index) and wrap it up with some high-probability trade setups. Let’s get started! 🚀 EURX Analysis Looking at the EURX chart, after a secondary uptrend, we’ve formed an upward channel. When price enters a channel after a sharp uptrend, it typically signals a loss of momentum, increasing the chances of a continuation of the major downtrend—which is exactly what’s happening now. Currently, price is testing a key support at 1037.8 . This is a critical level, and if broken, we can expect further downside for EUR pairs. EUR/USD Technical Breakdown In the 4-hour timeframe, after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase. However, bearish momentum is more visible: ✔ SMA 7 is sloping downward and positioned above candles, reinforcing selling pressure. ✔ Given the EUR/USD and EURX analysis, we can afford to be more aggressive with short positions while remaining cautious with longs. Trade Setups & Key Levels 📉 Short Setup: Trigger: Break below 1.07124 Confirmation: RSI breaking support at 34.40 & increasing bearish momentum Target: Next support at 1.07154 📈 Long Setup: Trigger: Break above 1.09453 Confirmation: Strong bullish momentum & breakout of consolidation range ⚠ Important: These levels mark the highs and lows of the 4H consolidation zone, meaning whichever way price breaks, it’s likely to continue in that direction. Thanks for sticking around until the end—drop your thoughts in the comments & let me know your setups! See you in the next analysis <3
by SkepticWise
3
EUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe AnalysisEUR/USD 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis EUR/USD has shown bullish momentum in the past few weeks, primarily driven by the ECB's recent rate cut of 25 basis points to 2.5% and its move toward normalizing monetary policy as inflation nears target levels. However, price action has shifted, displaying lower highs and lower lows, indicating increasing selling pressure. We have identified a minor key resistance level at 1.08300, where a breakout could reignite buying momentum. Meanwhile, a major key support at 1.07700 has been broken, signaling a Change of Character (CHOCH) and a potential bearish shift. Currently, price is accumulating, suggesting a possible liquidity hunt before the next major move. Outlook and Key Technical Levels 🔹 Minor Key Resistance: 1.08300 (breakout point for bulls) 🔹 Sell Limit Entry: 1.07650 (pending order) 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.08270 (above liquidity zone) 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.06280 (next minor support) Our strategy is to wait for a 4-hour candle close below 1.07700 before executing a sell limit order at 1.07650. This confirmation increases the probability of further downside movement. Fundamental Insight and Market Sentiment Recent developments suggest EUR weakness, aligning with our technical outlook: 📉 ECB Policy Shift: The rate cut, while initially bullish, may contribute to euro softness as markets adjust to a more accommodative stance. 📉 Trade War Tensions: The U.S. imposing tariffs on European imports has pressured the euro, pushing EUR/USD toward 1.0733 before a slight recovery. 📉 USD Strength: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has climbed to 103.88, as the Federal Reserve remains cautious about rate cuts, maintaining USD strength. The combination of technical breakdowns and fundamental euro weakness supports a bearish bias on EUR/USD. We remain patient, monitoring liquidity formation before executing our trade. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
SELL EURUSD *EUR/USD Sell Signal:* A potential selling opportunity has been identified in the EUR/USD pair, with a sell entry at 1.09154. This level has been identified as a strong resistance level, where sellers may enter the market and push prices lower. *Key Levels:* - *Sell Entry:* 1.09154 - *Target Levels:* 1.07502, 1.06209, 1.05309 - *Stop-Loss:* 1.11351 *Market Analysis:* The EUR/USD pair has been under pressure due to negative economic data from the Eurozone, including low inflation and weak growth. The pair's momentum indicators, including the RSI and MACD, are showing bearish signals, indicating a potential decline in prices. *News Points to Watch:* 1. *ECB Meeting:* The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to meet on Thursday, where it may discuss interest rates and monetary policy. A dovish tone from the ECB could further weaken the euro. 2. *US GDP Data:* The US GDP data is set to be released on Friday, which could impact the US dollar. A strong GDP reading could boost the dollar and put further pressure on the euro. 3. *Eurozone Inflation Data:* The Eurozone inflation data is set to be released on Friday, which could impact the euro. A low inflation reading could further weaken the euro. *Technical Analysis:* The EUR/USD pair has formed a bearish chart pattern, indicating a potential decline in prices. The pair's technical indicators, including the RSI and MACD, are showing bearish signals. *Trading Strategy:* Sellers may look to enter the market at the sell entry of 1.09154, with a stop-loss at 1.11351. The TP levels can be used to take profits, or to adjust the stop-loss to break-even. Keep remember the Travis with best wishes 👍
Short
by Expert_Travis
3
EUR/USD ... Buyers are losing strength?My EUR/USD trade idea is well-structured based on the recent breakout and descending channel formation. Here’s a refined breakdown of the setup: Trade Plan: Entry: Sell only after price consolidates below 1.0834 (to avoid false breakouts). Target (TP): 1.06143 (next major support level). Stop-Loss: Consider placing it around 1.0865 - 1.0880 (above recent highs or resistance). Confirmation Signals: Break & retest of 1.0834 as resistance. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., strong bearish engulfing, rejection wick). Volume increase on the breakdown. Would you like me to check current RSI, MACD, or other indicators for added confirmation?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Hanzo | EURUSD 15 min Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 EURUSD– The Way of the Silent Blade ⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate. We do not react—we execute. Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword. 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path – 1.07980 reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
EUR/USD: ECB and US GDP ExpectationsBy Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD is at a time of high expectation, with key European Central Bank (ECB) appearances and the release of quarterly U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) promising to generate significant moves in the financial markets. Today, all eyes are on Christine Lagarde and Luis de Guindos, president and vice-president of the ECB, who will provide details that could reveal the institution's interest rate strategy. Uncertainty over monetary policy in the Eurozone remains a key determinant of EUR/USD performance. The Role of the ECB and Market Expectations The appearance of Lagarde and De Guindos has become one of the most anticipated events of the day. Investors are analyzing every word, looking for clues about possible monetary policy adjustments. Uncertainty about future interest rate moves directly affects the euro, as a more hawkish stance could weaken the currency, while a cautious stance or signs of easing could generate upward momentum. This attention is because the FX market reacts almost immediately to expectations about monetary policy, making EUR/USD a direct reflection of the economic outlook in the region. The Impact of Quarterly GDP in the U.S. On the other hand, in the United States, the quarterly GDP is expected to be published, with a growth projection of 2.3%, in contrast to the 3.1% of the previous period. This data is crucial for the dollar, as a slowdown in economic activity could weaken the US currency. Investors are watching to see if the US economy shows signs of slowing or if growth trends continue, which would have a direct impact on the EUR/USD. A lower than expected figure could translate into a loss of dollar strength, thus boosting the euro in the international market. Technical Analysis The EURUSD has recovered in a bullish push up to $1.09296 per euro on the 18th of this month, the correction was not long in coming and the correction has continued to 1.07614 in today's trading. This has all the feel of support in a bullish momentum given that today's candle is all green, so it is very likely that this sentiment will push the euro back towards its upper end of the range and look to test the $1.09296 price. This theory is supported by the fact that the triple crossover of averages has pushed the 50-average above the 100-average since the impulse and yesterday there was a golden crossover where the value of the 200-average is starting to move into position below the 100-average, signaling to us a possible price expansion. This theory is supported by the fact that the RSI has made a micro support at the 50% average so this corrective sentiment seems to have stopped. If today's price breaks above the 50-average we could see an advance towards $1.10 per euro. If the US GDP data surprises and Europe does not have enough bullish sentiment we could see a return to the current checkpoint (POC) around 1.05327, but this is not expected to happen with a US market on a war footing with Trump's tariffs threatening the economic stability of its companies in exports. Other Financial Environment Variables In addition to the ECB statements and the GDP data, other elements are influencing the macroeconomic environment. Cryptocurrencies, for example, are trading with high volatility; while Bitcoin moves around $87,000 and Ethereum around $2,000, these assets reflect the general uncertainty in the market. Likewise, Brent, coffee and gold also move in a context of caution and uncertainty, factors that affect risk perception and, by extension, EUR/USD. In Asia, the indices show mixed movements. The Nikkei is down 0.9%, the Hang Seng is up 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite is little changed. These indicators reflect the diversity in the performance of international markets, although the main focus is on Wall Street's reaction. Yesterday, US indices ended in the red, with the S&P 500 down 1.1%, Nasdaq down 2% and Dow Jones down 0.3%. These dynamics are contributing to a cautious mood that is seeping into the FX market. EUR/USD Outlook In summary, the EUR/USD is at an inflection point where ECB statements and US macroeconomic data play a crucial role. Investors expect any hints on the future direction of monetary policy in the Eurozone or on the economic health of the US to trigger significant moves in the pair. Attention will be particularly focused on how ECB policymakers communicate, and the market's reaction to the GDP figure, which could reshape the direction of the dollar and, consequently, the euro. Technical analysis reveals that, after a recovery and a crossover of moving averages, the euro is holding up and could move towards $1.10 if it breaks above the 50-mark. However, global volatility and economic tensions warn investors to maintain a flexible and vigilant strategy. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area at 1.07279.Dear colleagues, price is still in an uptrend, but wave “5” is often unpredictable, so I do not recommend buying. I will look out for short positions. I believe that the price can renew the high and reach the area of 1.10000 or even a little higher, but I will place pending limit orders to sell. Or the price will immediately start a downward movement. The target is the support area at 1.07279. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
24