EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EWTSU EURUSD H4 minute wave ((4)) update
Elliott Wave Trade SetUp EURUSD H4
minute wave ((4)) Looks complete -
motive wave should follow in 5 waves steady above 1.1160 area - impulsive or leading triangle
To confirm the end of wave 4 the price must break the 1.13801 level upwards.
invalidation : price cant hold 1.1160 area and break below 1.1125
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
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🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
EURUSD – Sell Into Resistance ZoneExpires: 15/05/2025 06:00
Trade Idea
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 1.1250
Stop Loss: 1.1310
Target: 1.1035
Duration: Intraday
Technical Overview
EURUSD is showing signs of indecision after posting mild net gains in an Inside Day pattern.
The current price action sits between bespoke resistance at 1.1250 and support at 1.1035, suggesting a defined range environment.
Price action in Asia showed some strength, but the broader setup favors selling into rallies toward resistance.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment skewed bearish (68% confidence) despite recent gains.
Expected mixed and volatile price action with no clear breakout above resistance zones, indicating exhaustion near recent highs.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD strength still underrated? Credit Agricole thinks soEUR/USD is struggling to hold above 1.1250 after a modest bounce from recent lows near 1.1220. On the 4-hour chart, price remains capped below the 9-period SMA, with RSI hovering near neutral at 40 and volume showing persistent selling pressure. The technical setup points to a fragile recovery that has yet to gain conviction.
This comes as Credit Agricole maintains an above-consensus bullish view on the US dollar, projecting a recovery through H2 2025 and into 2026. While structural risks—such as ongoing US-China trade tensions—continue to draw market attention, the bank sees these concerns as overstated.
President Trump’s latest comments could reinforce that view, suggesting an 80% tariff on Chinese goods could be a viable alternative to the 145% already in place. The upcoming trade talks in Switzerland will be key to near-term direction, but for now, the bias for USD strength appears intact—keeping downside pressure on EUR/USD.
EUR/USD bearish outlookEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Bearish Scenario in Play
This week’s outlook for EUR/USD is leaning towards a bearish continuation.
Price recently respected the 3H demand zone and gave a clean bullish reaction following the expected Asia low sweep. I didn’t manage to catch an entry as it happened quite late in the day. However, that same demand zone now looks to be weakening, potentially leading to another break of structure to the downside.
Alternatively, we could see price push higher from this demand zone and mitigate the 8H supply zone I’ve marked out — which is the origin of the last break of structure. It’s also a strong POI given its location away from liquidity and at an extreme structural point.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
- Multiple breaks of structure to the downside (pro-trend setup)
- Failing 3H demand zone already mitigated
- Liquidity resting below current price
- Strong 8H supply zone sitting above the Asia highs
- DXY is showing short-term bullish momentum, aligning with EUR/USD bearish movement
P.S. If price doesn’t push higher into the 8H supply zone, I’ll be watching for a new supply zone to form mid-week for a more immediate short opportunity.
Will keep this updated — have a great trading week everyone!
should be going up after correction ends.cant be certain when it comes down to correction waves, it might be here 1.1211 it might go little bit more down around 1.1152 or 1.10 but when it ends it will go for higher than 1.17 also correction wave lenght will give us a better idea where the tp should be so i will keep my first buy position and will add when i am certain when next impulse wave started.
EURUSD: Important Bearish Reversal Confirmed?!The EURUSD chart shows a large head and shoulders pattern on a daily basis, indicating a strong bearish reversal signal with the breakout of the neckline.
The broken neckline now acts as a key resistance level, suggesting a potential further decline towards the 1.1150 level.
Bearish AB=CD - Sell at Current Price!FX:EURUSD has broken its bullish support and formed a bearish AB=CD pattern. AB=CD is a bearish continuation pattern which aligns with the overall price action.
I am shorting EURUSD at current market price and expecting retracement until Point D to complete the pattern!
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
EUR/USD: Weekly PAT + VPA 5/11/2025Trading Analysis EUR/USD - Price Action and Volume Price Analysis
Weekly Structure Analysis: At present, we find ourselves within a bullish weekly range. The lower boundary of this range is 1.07330, established during the week of March 24, 2025, while the upper boundary is at 1.15734, reached the week of April 21, 2025. The price movement from 1.073 to 1.157 has surpassed a swing high, which we will identify as our initial resistance point as we aim to return to 1.15734.
Weekly Price Action Analysis: Analyzing structure and price action reveals similarities. Our confidence in a bullish trend is the anchored weekly bar. The weekly candle from the week of April 7, 2025 serves as this anchor. Following the inside bar, we observed a bearish pin bar, which acts as a Bullish Reacher since its wick exceeded the high of the anchor bar's wick (Wick on Wick). The market shows signs of wanting to rise, but it must first hit a demand zone that weekly traders are keen to engage with.
Volume Price Analysis: The last four weekly candles have demonstrated limited strength in driving the market lower, with support holding at 1.11927 (1.12). As the price declines, trading volume is decreasing, following a sharp upward movement, likely due to profit-taking or repositioning. Volume analysis indicated we should retest 1.15734.
Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY
EURUSD – This Week’s SetupAs shown in the previous analysis, the key levels have been broken 🔓.
We’re now waiting for a pullback to short from the marked level 🔽.
But if price goes straight to the lower level without a pullback, we’ll look for a buy opportunity there 🔼🎯.
Exact price levels shown on the chart!
Live markets need live plans! ⚔️📈
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
EURUSD: Potential Head and Shoulders PatternEURUSD: Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern
EURUSD is about to complete a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Ahead of the FOMC, the market is still directionless and in a long pause. As we can see from the chart, we have a possible Head and Shoulders pattern that points to further declines.
The first target is near 1.1280.
A move below the neckline of the pattern should confirm a larger bearish wave for today. However, everything will be tied to the FOMC comments, so it should be a busy day and also with high risk during Powell's speech.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1208
1st Support: 1.1117
1st Resistance: 1.1244
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Euro may correct to support area and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how price has been confidently trending within an upward channel, supported by strong impulses and consistent demand from the lower boundary. The price initially rebounded from the buyer zone, which later became the launchpad for a major upward move. After breaking the resistance line of the channel, the Euro made a clean breakout and confirmed its strength with a retest from above, a clear sign of bullish continuation. This upward momentum carried price directly into the support area, which has since served as a key zone for consolidations. The market then shifted into a horizontal range, trading within well-defined boundaries, with repeated rejections near the top and steady rebounds from the bottom support. What’s crucial now is that the Euro is again testing the lower border of this range while holding above the current support level at 1.1270. Given this structure, a strong preceding trend, clean reaction at the bottom of the range, and ongoing consolidation without deeper breakdowns, I expect the price to rebound from this zone and continue higher. My TP1 is set at 1.1575, the upper boundary of the current range, which remains a logical magnet for price in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Up again for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
The bigger correction could now be finished (or one more small leg down into the Daily FVG).
If this is true then next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD is in a Downside Direction After a Triangle Pattern BreakHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts