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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVESAXO:EURUSD As of February 14, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0500 level, having recently tested the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Technical Overview: Current Price: Approximately 1.0500 Resistance Levels: 1.0500, 1.0600 Support Levels: 1.0400, 1.0300 Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential for a downward correction. Moving Averages: The pair is testing the 50-day EMA, which has acted as a significant resistance level. Trade Recommendation: Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a sell position could be considered if the price fails to break above the 1.0500 resistance level. Entry Point: Sell at 1.0480 Take Profit (TP): 1.0400 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0520 Risk Management: This trade setup offers a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is currently testing a significant resistance level at the 50-day EMA. If the price fails to break above this level, a selling opportunity may arise. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Short
by RBSBALA
EURUSD → Pending a breakout of resistanceFX:EURUSD is trying to take a chance amid the dollar correction. The price is forming a retest of consolidation resistance for a breakout and further growth After an attempt to break the downtrend resistance, the price moves into consolidation and forms a range of 1.053 - 1.021. Inside this set-up a local channel (consolidation) is formed and the price tests the resistance at 1.038. The market is still trying to confirm the change of trend and get stronger on the background of the dollar correction. The fundamental background is complicated due to the tariff war and economic crisis.... Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.021 A breakthrough of the resistance at 1.038 and price consolidation above this area may trigger further growth within the distribution of the accumulated potential Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVESAXO:EURUSD As of February 12, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0277 level, reflecting ongoing market reactions to recent geopolitical developments and economic data. Technical Overview: Current Price: Approximately 1.0277 Resistance Levels: 1.0330, 1.0410 Support Levels: 1.0245, 1.0200 Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is below 50, favoring sellers. Moving Averages: The pair is trading below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating a bearish trend. Trade Recommendation: Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a buy position could be considered if the price shows signs of stabilizing above the 1.0245 support level. Entry Point: Buy at 1.0290 Take Profit (TP): 1.0330 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0240 Risk Management: This trade setup offers a 0.8:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is currently under bearish pressure, but a stabilization above the 1.0245 support level could present a buying opportunity. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Long
by RBSBALA
Bearish Flag & Quasimodo Patterns—Is EURUSD Set to Drop?First, let's have a Fundamental Analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ). The EURUSD rate is influenced by several key fundamental factors : 1. Divergent Economic Indicators : United States : Recent data indicates a robust labor market, with job growth maintaining momentum. This strength supports the U.S. dollar, as investors anticipate potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve to manage inflationary pressures. Eurozone : Conversely, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including unexpected inflation acceleration and declining industrial production, particularly in Germany. These factors may constrain the European Central Bank's (ECB) ability to adjust interest rates, potentially weakening the euro. 2. Central Bank Policies : Federal Reserve (Fed) : The Fed's recent communications suggest a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, balancing economic growth with inflation control. The prospect of maintaining or increasing rates could further bolster the U.S. dollar. European Central Bank (ECB) : The ECB is grappling with rising inflation amidst a struggling economy. This scenario complicates policy decisions, as increasing rates to combat inflation might hinder economic recovery, thereby exerting downward pressure on the euro. 3. Geopolitical Developments : The U.S. administration's recent tariff threats have introduced uncertainties in global trade. Such actions typically lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, benefiting the U.S. dollar due to its perceived stability. In summary, the EURUSD is currently experiencing downward pressure , driven by stronger U.S. economic performance, proactive Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Conversely, the Eurozone's economic difficulties and the ECB's constrained policy options contribute to a weaker euro. These dynamics suggest a potential continuation of the EURUSD's bearish trend in the near term . -------------------------------------- Now, let's analyze the EURUSD chart in terms of Technical Analysis . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , 100_SMA(4-hour) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines . Each of these items is considered a good resistance for EURUSD . In terms of Price Action , if we look at the EURUSD chart in the 1-hour time frame , we can see the Bearish Quasimodo Pattern , which is one of the reasons for EURUSD's fall . Educational Note : The Bearish Quasimodo Pattern is a price action reversal pattern that signals a potential downtrend. It forms when the price creates a higher high (HH) followed by a lower low (LL) and a lower high (LH), breaking the market structure. From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that EURUSD has managed to form a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern . It is a good sign for the continuation of the downward trend of EURUSD . Educational Note : The Bearish Flag Pattern is a continuation pattern that signals the continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp downward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase in a small upward-sloping channel (flag). A breakdown from the flag confirms the pattern, indicating further price decline. According to the theory of Elliott waves , according to the volume of the previous movement, it seems that EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and it is possible that we are still in the main wave 3 even with a further fall. I expect EURUS D to fall to at least the Support zone($1.0285-$1.0255) after entering the PRZ or after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel of the bearish flag pattern, and if this zone is broken , we should expect to fall to the next Support zone($1.0222-$1.0175) and Monthly Support(1) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.03700, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
Institutional Market Structure: How to Mark It!2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 2 Video Description: 📈 Unlock the Secrets of Institutional Market Structure! Hey traders! Welcome to today’s video, where we lay the foundation for mastering how the market truly moves. Understanding market structure is the key to improving your trading precision and analysis. In this session, we’ll break down the difference between minor swing points and strong swing points—a crucial distinction for objective and accurate structure analysis. You’ll learn how to mark market structure properly, keeping emotions in check and aligning with solid trading psychology. 🎯 What You’ll Gain: ✅ Identify market structure like a pro ✅ Enhance your objectivity and reduce impulsive decisions ✅ Master institutional techniques for improved accuracy If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level and build a strong foundation, hit play and let’s dive in! 💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more game-changing insights. Share your thoughts below—I’d love to hear how this helps your trading journey! Enjoy the video and happy trading! The Architect 🏛️📊
Education
by The_Archi-tect
6
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBE MOVESAXO:EURUSD As of February 11, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0295 level, reflecting ongoing market reactions to recent geopolitical developments and economic data. Technical Overview: Current Price: Approximately 1.0295 Resistance Levels: 1.0350, 1.0400 Support Levels: 1.0250, 1.0200 Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Approaching oversold territory, suggesting potential for a corrective rebound. Moving Averages: The pair is trading below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. Trade Recommendation: Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a buy position could be considered if the price shows signs of stabilizing above the 1.0250 support level. Entry Point: Buy at 1.0310 Take Profit (TP): 1.0400 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0250 Risk Management: This trade setup offers a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is currently under bearish pressure, but technical indicators suggest a potential for a corrective rebound. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Long
by RBSBALA
How I am approching scaling my account to the next level💰 Introduction I have been actively investing for over seven years. When I started in 2017, I had no idea what I was doing. My first trade was a short/mid-term win on an altcoin skyrocketing in a straight line—it felt unbelievable. But the truth was, I was completely clueless. Still, I was hooked. I started reading everything I could and expanded my focus to stocks and Forex. Six months later, I had developed some ideas about Forex, though I was still lost when it came to stocks. I funded a Forex account with €8,000 to test my skills, using a simple 1:1 risk-to-reward 0.5% per trade system. A few months later, I was up about 15% - a solid start. From there, my goal was clear: design a great strategy first, then scale it. But things didn’t go as planned. I suffered a serious injury, which got progressively worse, making it impossible to hold a regular job. I spent everything I had on rent and medical bills. To make matters worse, I stubbornly clung to a terrible strategy for years - even after developing better ones. I ignored huge unrealized gains, constantly chasing the “holy grail” of investing. Ironically, today, I trade every single strategy (or a modified version to add to winners) I’ve ever designed since 2019 - except the one I stubbornly stuck with for years. Through all this, I learned a crucial lesson: 💡 A strategy should work from day one. You backtest it to verify, then refine it, but you don’t trade it live until it’s ready. Now, after years of experience, mistakes, and lessons learned, I have several proven strategies and a fresh perspective. The next step? Scaling up aggressively. Of course, I can’t cover everything in one article, a full book wouldn’t even be enough. Some aspects of growing an account, like tax implications, aren’t discussed here. But my goal is simple: to inspire investors to think creatively about scalability and strategy development. The process of building an investment strategy - including a scaling plan - is all about creativity. 💰 The Challenge of Scaling: Why Gains Lag Behind Losses Your gains will always lag behind your losses - this is a fundamental reality in investing. If you scale too fast, your winners from months ago may not be enough to cover your new losses, even if you're performing well overall. I am not talking about drawdowns, those makes things even worse. I am talking about how looking for asymmetric returns means the time it takes will be asymmetrical too. For mid-term strategies, traders typically risk 1 unit to gain 5, 10, or even 15. However, the time required for returns grows exponentially as reward targets increase. If you're aiming for 10x or more, your losing trades might last only 2–3 days, but your winners could take six months or longer to materialize. I experienced this firsthand in 2024. I started the year strong, accelerating my risk after solid returns from trading the Yen. Then I hit the gas again, but things turned bad - primarily because I was experimenting with a new strategy alongside my proven ones. In November, I realized a 15x profit on gold, which could have significantly changed my situation. However, I had entered the position back in February, before I began scaling, so the gains didn’t have the impact I needed at the time. 💰 Scaling Only Works for the Few Who Are Ready Most traders either stagnate or lose, and even the best often learn the hard way early on. You’ve probably heard the common statistic: only 10% of FX investors win, and only 10% of stock investors beat the market. But even within that elite group, only a third outperform significantly enough to consider trading as a full-time career rather than just a supplement for retirement. From the data I've seen, only about 3% of investors should even consider aggressive scaling. Attempting to scale without a proven track record is a recipe for disaster. Even the most famous market wizards often had to learn the hard way early on. A good analogy is chess - not everyone is a young prodigy, and even for those who are, it often takes 7–8 years to reach master level. The same applies to investing: skill and experience take time to develop, and rushing the process can lead to avoidable mistakes. 💰 No shortcut but there are ways to increase scalability A path one might follow is the investment fund. However these are very restrictive, George Soros once said to make money you had to take risk. No matter how good you are you are still subject to the same laws and I know no one that has 100% win rate. If your max drawdown is 5% how much can you realistically risk per operation? Perhaps 0.25% So your 10X winner will be 2.5%. We know the returns, drawdowns and Sharpe ratios of the biggest (and supposedly best) funds, I never heard of a fund with a tiny max drawdown and huge returns except Medallion fund you got me. The problem I personally have, or shall I say had, is that I can sometimes go 6-12 months without a winner, or with just 1-2. It is spread very non-homogeneously. In the last 3 months I have (finally!) designed a short term strategy that will smooth the curve, I risk 1 to make 5 and have opportunities in all market conditions. I was not even trying to, I just randomly felt creative and went "Eureka". I am currently running my proven strategies on my main accounts, and the new one on a smaller account - of course I keep winning on these small amounts. This short term strategy might not be my best one, although it might be the second best, however it was exactly what I needed to help smooth the drawdowns and more boring market conditions. 💰 Balancing Creativity and Risk in Scaling Strategies I believe designing a successful scaling strategy requires a combination of creativity and pessimism. From my experience, it's essential to explore different ways to scale while always keeping the worst-case scenario in mind. To illustrate this, let’s consider an example - not necessarily the exact approach I will take, but a concept that reflects my thinking. Suppose I allocate €25,000 to a brokerage account and divide it into 25 "tokens" of €1,000 each. Every time the account grows, I would redistribute the balance into 25 equal parts, each representing 4% of the total. This setup ensures that I always have capital available for new opportunities. Even if I lose 10 times in a row and have 5 tokens tied up in winning trades (or disappointing breakevens), I would still have 10 tokens left to reinvest. Based on my calculations, 25 is the minimum number required for this method to work efficiently. That said, 4% risk per trade is significantly higher than what I have ever risked, and I may adjust it downward. 💰 Risk Management and Personal Goals If someone were able to triple a €25,000 account each year, they could theoretically reach €2 million in just four years. However, such exponential growth is rare and unsustainable over the long term. Jesse Livermore achieved extraordinary gains - but ultimately lost everything and took his own life. This is a stark reminder that extreme financial risk can have devastating consequences. I would never attempt this kind of aggressive scaling with essential funds - certainly not with rent money, without a financial cushion, with large amounts, or without a clear Plan B. My personal objectives: If investing my own money: My goal is to build a €2M–€3M account while continuing my regular job - possibly reducing to part-time work. If managing investor funds: I would aim to start with €10M AUM, with at least €500K of my own capital in the fund. My ultimate target is to grow AUM to €100M. 💰 The Crypto Factor : A Different Beast The extreme volatility combined with long term aspect of crypto makes for a very different experience. In the past it has shown incredible returns, I know this first hand my brother started mining Ethereum I think in 2019 when the price was below $150 I guess and then he has been buying cryptos on the way up, in euros I might add, with the crypto/euro charts looking much better than the USD ones. But there is no reason why it cannot all go to zero, or crash 95% and remain here for years. And even if the whole crypto market does not crash, several of them die each year. I am not a perma bear I do not wish my younger brother to lose everything, this is all he has, he got no diploma not interesting career. For crypto to fit in a structured investment strategy I personally would only put small amounts. So it sort of follows the idea of a separate account with huge risk. An amount that one can afford to lose. 💰 Final words I believe I have the experience, the rigor and the strategies to increase my risk and invest more aggressively. In a near future - maybe starting 2026 - I want to really grow my account. My scaling will be gradual, I won't jump from an amount to 3 times that in 3 months, I will manage my risk strategically; And before even starting the battle I will have clearly defined objectives.
Education
by MrRenev
EURUSD - H4, H1 forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasIntraday forecast The downtrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave. Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Buy Zone 2- Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs SL: Below 1.0331 ________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
19
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here! Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further. Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment. Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.021 Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Long
by Bentradegold
Basic Outline idea for the next week.Note- This Prediction is purely depending on Fundamentals & technical only Hi Friends my suggestion is the market can be expected to move to 1.05353 Level and come down for Liquidity grab/fag/retracement .But remember the area between 1.04251-1.03850 acts as a caution zone why ?? Its because of the fib retracement 1) If we trace from 2022 low to 2023 high This zone is the 50% zone. 2) if we take the Jan low to Jan high this zone acts as 30% zone. 3) from last week low to high this zone acts as mid for 30% as well as 50% For additional Info when ever the market is inside this range we could see high support and resistance taken place. so i would suggest to be cautious or if there is any strong fundamental the market could first resist 1.05353 and break then retest and go more higher using fundamental red folder news I wish you for a success full trading week.
Long
by shreyasflaming
1
EUR/USD Poised for a Pivotal Resistance BreachEUR/USD: Eyeing a Breakout Amid Dollar Weakness The EUR/USD pair is navigating a critical juncture as it attempts to capitalize on the ongoing correction in the U.S. dollar. After a prolonged period of downward pressure, the price is now testing a crucial resistance level, hinting at the possibility of a breakout that could pave the way for renewed bullish momentum. Technical Overview Following an initial attempt to breach the overarching downtrend resistance, EUR/USD has transitioned into a consolidation phase, creating a defined trading range between 1.053 and 1.021. Within this broader structure, a more localized consolidation channel has emerged, with the price repeatedly challenging resistance at 1.038. This level is proving to be a pivotal inflection point, where market participants are carefully assessing the potential for a sustained bullish reversal. The ongoing price action suggests that the market is still in the process of determining whether the recent correction in the dollar is sufficient to establish a structural shift in trend. A successful breakout above 1.038, followed by a decisive price stabilization above this threshold, would significantly increase the probability of continued upward movement. Market Sentiment and Fundamental Factors Beyond technical considerations, the fundamental landscape remains highly complex. Global economic uncertainties, compounded by the lingering effects of trade disputes and inflationary pressures, continue to shape investor sentiment. The ongoing tariff war and economic slowdown in key regions add another layer of unpredictability, making market reactions more sensitive to macroeconomic developments. Despite these challenges, the weakening U.S. dollar provides a window of opportunity for the euro to gain traction. If the dollar correction deepens, it could further bolster the euro's position, enabling it to sustain higher levels and potentially embark on a more pronounced bullish trajectory. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support Levels: 1.033, 1.021 A confirmed breakout above 1.038, supported by strong buying momentum and sustained price action above this zone, could unlock additional upside potential, allowing EUR/USD to advance further within the broader framework of accumulated market energy. Conversely, a failure to hold above this level may result in renewed downward pressure, keeping the pair trapped within its consolidation range. As the market awaits further clarity, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping a close eye on both technical signals and fundamental catalysts that could influence the pair's next major move.
Long
by lonelyPlayer0