Selling EURUSD looking for selling position in the
daily supply zone and H4 zone to permit the prize to create another lower
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD - Are We On The Verge Of A Sustained Bull-Run?From the opening on Monday to Fridays close, Euro has been on an absolute TEAR to the upside with little to no manipulated spikes to the downside confirming this weeks bullish bias with flying colours.
Originally, the first point of interest was the 1.04542 - 1.04444 daily inverted SIBI but as we saw aggression when trading through it, 1.05368 is the next bullish draw.
We have yet to reach buyside liquidity yet but we have attacked the consequent encroachment of the last up close candle wick @ 1.05127 in which we saw a rejection.
Bullish projection this week has been superb! Looking out for a continuation to the upside, closing 1.25127 and a rally up to 1.05368.
Longer term bullish draw up to 1.06826 - 1.06098 is still in play but I want to see how the delivery above 1.05368 plays a role in the possible continuation of bullish price action.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting of the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.0463
1st Support: 1.0377
1st Resistance: 1.0522
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eurusdmy idea for this pair is that shown on chart we have a powerful resistant that break down and retest it for second time.
EURUSD 17-21 Feb 2025 W8 - Weekly Analysis -EU ZEW - US FOMC/PMIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 17-21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the WeekRelated PostsLatest Weekly Analysis
Market Sentiment
Inflation Data Mix
U.S. CPI and PPI came in hotter than expected, signaling lingering inflation pressures.
However, softer underlying PPI components linked to the Fed’s preferred PCE metric raised hopes for a moderation in inflation next week.
Fed Policy Expectations
Investors are cautiously optimistic about potential Fed rate cuts later in 2025, despite the Fed’s current "wait-and-see" stance.
A softer PCE report next week could solidify bets on easing monetary policy, supporting risk assets like the Euro.
Trump’s Tariff Strategy
Markets dismissed Trump’s reciprocal tariff threats as negotiation tactics rather than a prelude to a trade war.
Investors expect delays in implementation, reducing immediate fears of economic disruption.
Geopolitical Optimism
Progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swap discussions) eased global risk aversion, weakening the USD’s safe-haven appeal.
Reduced geopolitical tensions benefit the Eurozone economy, indirectly lifting the Euro.
Central Bank Divergence
The ECB may cut rates further in 2025, but improving Eurozone data and reduced trade-war risks provide short-term EUR support.
The Fed’s cautious tone limits USD upside, creating a balanced tug-of-war.
Short-Term Bias
Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
This balance of factors suggests choppy but upward-leaning trading for EUR/USD.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase.
🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low.
🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure.
🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback.
🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price could pullback to the recent Daily Demand before continuing Bullish.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move.
Economic Events for the Week
EURUSD chart idea H4 POI has been reached.
Waiting for sell to the downside until the 79% is reached.
Will take buys from that area to take longs to the upside, from the green arrow zone.
EUR-USD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 1.0440 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD 17 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
No major economic news for today and market sentiment still continuing as per my Weekly Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing continuation after BOS, Waiting Swing pullback phase.
2️⃣
🔹Bullish Swing structure continuing bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase.
🔹After the recent Swing BOS, INT structures continuing bullish and I’m expecting the 15m BOS pullback to start soon with Bearish iBOS.
🔹Current INT structures could be treated as Swing structures, but I prefer to have the 15m Swing Bullish even when we have a deep pullback.
🔹INT Structure still can hold bullish to facilitate the 4H target the Weak Swing High (Bullish BOS on 4H before pullback).
3️⃣
🔹As it’s Monday and no much catalyst Today, I prefer longs from the INT structure demand following the bullish structures on 15m and 4H while knowing that pullback can start at any time soon where I can shift to Intraday Bearish after confirmation (Bearish iBOS).
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Short then Long!Hello all. As I told you on last analysis market made a new High Structure. if market start a correction, the response is clear (wink)
EURUSD major pump coming We are looking for major pump soon and as we can see major support zone is still holding the price and we are looking for targets like 1.0600 and more.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
EURO USD It seems the consolidation was completed and it was at a zone. in a day candle pattern if the candle breaks the black line it will work as a support line and we may expect W pattern to be followed after the breakage & the target was expected to be reached to the green line.
EURO - Price may leave pennant and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to decline inside a falling channel, where it at once broke $1.0430 level.
In channel, price declined to $1.0250 level and then tried to grow, but failed and dropped lower $1.0250 level to $1.0175 points.
After this, price started to grow in rising channel, where it rose to $1.040 points, breaking two levels.
Then Euro exited from a rising channel and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon made a strong gap.
Next, price rose to resistance line of pennant, after which corrected, making a second gap and rose back.
Possible now, Euro can exit from pennant, rise almost to resistance level, and then fall to $1.0275
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD: Top-Down AnalysisEUR/USD: Top-Down Analysis
In this video, I've prepared a comprehensive top-down analysis for EUR/USD, along with fundamental insights that may impact the USD in the near term.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, EUR/USD has completed a five-wave upward movement and is currently undergoing an ABC wave correction. I'm closely monitoring for a potential bullish wave around the current market price.
Let's see how the market unfolds in the coming week.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you:)
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
EURUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.046.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.054 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSDEUR/USD has faced strong rejection from the 1.04400 resistance level in the H1 timeframe, signaling a possible downside move. If bearish momentum continues, the price may decline towards the following key levels:
📉 Target 1: 1.03950
📉 Target 2: 1.03500
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.04700 (to limit potential losses in case of reversal)
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.04500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
- The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace.
- The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy.
🟤Macro Analysis
- The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target.
- The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish.
- Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%.
🟣COT Analysis
- The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%.
- Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%.
🟡Trader Sentiment
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish.
- Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%.
🔵Bullish and Bearish Data:
- Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12%
- Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4
🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURUSD showing signs of trend reversal with ' W 'EURUSD showing signs of trend reversal with ' W '
After break of downtrendline, EURUSD is consolidating
Personal opinion on EURUSD pair🔆 Key factors affecting EUR/USD include:
👉Yesterday's CPI (inflation) index, which will strongly affect the USD.
👉If inflation is higher than expected: The Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, causing the USD to strengthen and EUR/USD may fall.
👉On the contrary, if CPI is lower than expected: The Fed may ease policy, pushing the USD down and helping EUR/USD rise.
🔆Geopolitical situation:
👉Trade tensions and conflicts in Europe may affect the strength of the Euro.
👉If instability increases, money flows may shift to the USD, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
🔆In short:
👉EUR/USD is in the accumulation phase, signaling strong volatility ahead. Traders should be cautious and wait for a breakout signal to determine a clear trend. Follow PPI news from the US today to predict the next movement more accurately.
🔆 Plan:
Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0345 – 1.0360
❌SL: 1.0300 | ✅TP: 1.0400 – 1.0440
EURUSD Possible SellEURUSD is still in a strong downtrend and possible sell entry in place once the price pullback up.
Good LUck
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0422
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.0381
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0521
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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