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EURUSD InsightWelcome, everyone! Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Highlights - Christopher Waller, a Federal Reserve Governor, stated in a CNBC interview that a rate cut in July should be considered. - The United States has attacked three Iranian nuclear facilities located in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. In response, Iran has hinted at potentially blocking the Strait of Hormuz and has warned of retaliatory action. The U.S. Department of Defense responded by warning that any retaliation would result in a much stronger counterattack. - According to The Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration has notified that it plans to restrict the supply of U.S.-made semiconductor equipment to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix’s factories in China. This Week’s Key Economic Events + June 24: Fed Chair Jerome Powell testimony + June 25: Fed Chair Jerome Powell testimony + June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP release + June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index release EURUSD Chart Analysis The EURUSD pair has shown a downward move after facing resistance at a recent trend high. Although it is currently experiencing a slight rebound around the 1.14500 level, the overall trend remains bearish. The next likely support level is around 1.13000, and a recovery may follow once this area is tested. If, contrary to expectations, the price breaks above the current trend high, a new strategy will be established accordingly.
Short
by shawntime_academy
EUR/USD Slips Toward Trend SupportEuro plunged nearly 1.6% from the highs with price rebounding this week at former resistance at the 1.618% extension of the May advance. While the risk remains for a deeper correction towards the April uptrend, we’re looking for signs of support / that a low is in. EUR/USD is trading within the confines of a proposed descending channel with price rebounding off confluent support at the lower parallel yesterday. The immediate focus is on this recovery with initial resistance eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline / the high-day close (HDC) at 1.1560/85. Ultimately, a breach / close above the 2016 high would be needed to mark uptrend resumption towards the upper parallel (currently near 1.1680s) and the August 2015 high / 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1714/47- both regions of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Initial support rests at 1.1455 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the May advance at 1.1415. Note that the April trendline converges on this threshold mid-week and a break / close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high weas registered las week / a larger trend correction is underway. Subsequent support rests with the objective monthly open at 1.1347 and the 2023 high / 61.8% retracement at 1.1276/82- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Bottom line: The Euro rally remains vulnerable to a test of uptrend support while below 1.1585. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the April trendline IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.1616 needed to mark uptrend resumption. -MB
by FOREXcom
Can the EUR/USD break out of its range-bound trading?The EUR/USD has advanced for the third consecutive trading day, rebounding above the key 1.1500 level and trading around 1.1530 during the European session. US President Trump's statement that it would take two weeks to decide whether to intervene in the Middle East conflict effectively alleviated market concerns over conflict escalation, providing support for the euro. Analysts believe that the exchange rate is likely to remain range-bound between 1.1400 and 1.1600 over the next 1-2 weeks. Any new developments in geopolitical tensions could significantly impact the exchange rate. If positive progress is made in the Iran nuclear talks, the exchange rate is expected to challenge the upper boundary of the range; conversely, if the Middle East situation deteriorates further, the exchange rate may retest the 1.14 support level. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@1.4500-1.4700 TP:1.5300-1.5500
Long
by MyronWilson
#AN009: US attacks IRAN, what will happen? On June 22, 2025, the United States launched air strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), using bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles, some dropped by B-2 stealth bombers President Trump declared that the facilities were “completely and totally obliterated” 📈 Tensions and geopolitical context Tehran responded with missiles aimed at Israel and promised “tough responses” The UN and key figures such as Guterres and Medvedev have defined the action as a dangerous escalation with the risk of a new conflict on a regional scale. Israel supported the attacks, while Iran convened the UN Security Council to condemn the aggression. 💥 Market Impact ⚡ Energy Sector Oil prices jump towards $90–100 per barrel on fears of flows from Iran and potential closures of the Strait of Hormuz. Investors reacted with a move towards safe haven assets such as the Dollar, Gold and Treasuries. 📊 Equities and sensitive sectors Starts on an uncertain tone: S&P500 and Nasdaq futures “volatile open”, with penalties on travel and tech, and increases on energy and defense. Gulf markets open slightly higher (Saudi, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait), thanks to the attenuation of initial sell-offs. 🌍 Global economic impact Weakening predictions from the World Bank, IMF and OECD predict an economic slowdown due to energy shocks and increased global tensions. 📌 Currency and Forex Scenario USD has gained ground as a safe haven asset, benefiting from Safety flows. Commodity-linked pairs, such as AUD/USD, NZD/USD and CAD/USD, will be pressured by rallying oil. Potential increase in volatility on EUR/USD and GBP/USD: they rotate towards safe haven and US/China political risk. 📣 What to watch out for Daily and H4 candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD to understand if support holds under geopolitical stress. Volatility indicators (VIX | MOVE) are rising, it is useful to calibrate the size and prefer structured trades. In the coming days it will be essential to monitor: Reuters/Bloomberg for updates on possible sanctions or public retaliation. ASEAN and Asia for regional reactions on energy supplies. Central banks on inflation expectations due to high oil. 💡 Conclusions – Market and Forex Impact This military action represents a classic geopolitical shock: rising dollar and defensive assets, pressure on oil and high volatility on stock markets and exchange rates. Unlike Israeli attacks, the direct entry of the US increases the degree of macro uncertainty. For Forex traders: USD Index: potential rebound within the bullish trend channel Pairs with commodities: activate strategies on breakout key levels (e.g. AUD/USD, CAD/USD) Anti-USD FX (EUR, GBP, JPY): under pressure and to be used in range rebound. For the equity sector: Rotation towards defensive sectors, defense, energy. Possible entry into government bonds as a high inflation/political hedge. Overall, the impact is clear: increased geopolitical risk → high volatility → shift towards USD/safe haven asset → penalization of sensitive assets.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURUSD - 2nd potential entryEvening all Here is a still screenshot of what I am looking for the market open on EURUSD come Sunday night after the spreads have died down on the pair. My pending order will go directly on the FVG with my stops below the manipulation of the range. If I get tagged in great. If I don't also great if we continue to move high I mill just manage the one position. If I am tagged in I will give you and update with a new idea and then depending on how that idea plays out win or lose I will come back and re-visit it and break it down some more. However I have high hopes for this trade to make it up to 1.16300 Have a great weekend and I will speak to you all soon
by BenFxLDN
3
EUR/USD - Eyes on the major resistance at 1.1540!Introduction The EUR/USD currency pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating that bearish momentum is firmly in control. In this analysis, I will outline what to expect from the pair moving forward, and highlight the high-confluence zone that could offer a potential short setup. This area combines technical factors that suggest it may act as strong resistance if price retraces upward before continuing the downtrend. Market Structure On the 1-hour chart, the EUR/USD continues to form a series of lower highs and lower lows, which clearly confirms a bearish market structure. This consistent pattern reinforces that sellers have the upper hand, and that any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective in nature, not trend-changing. As long as this structure remains intact, the broader expectation remains bearish, with sellers likely to defend key resistance levels. Fair Value Gaps on the 15-Minute and 1-Hour Timeframes During the latest downward movement, the pair left behind two notable Fair Value Gaps, one on the 1-hour chart and another on the 15-minute chart. These imbalances are closely aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where price may face resistance if it moves back upward. The zone between 1.15400 and 1.15600 represents this overlapping FVG area. Because these gaps were formed by aggressive selling pressure, revisiting this level could trigger a bearish reaction, as traders look to re-enter short positions from a premium price. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement Adding to this confluence, the Golden Pocket, the area between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci retracement levels, lies between 1.15407 and 1.15441. This zone is widely respected among traders due to its tendency to act as a reversal point in trending markets. The fact that it aligns so closely with both the 15-minute and 1-hour FVGs increases the likelihood of price reacting here. If the market retraces into this pocket, we could see renewed selling pressure, making it a valuable level to watch for short entries. Point of Interest and Liquidity Zone Within the latest leg down, there was a brief two-hour consolidation before the pair continued lower, leaving behind a distinct wick to the upside. This area is significant because it likely represents a point of interest where buy-side liquidity was grabbed. Many traders who entered shorts early may have placed their stop-losses above this consolidation high, creating a liquidity pool. This level, sitting inside the broader resistance zone formed by the FVGs and the Golden Pocket, adds another layer of technical significance. Price may move into this liquidity before reversing lower, offering a potential trap for buyers and an opportunity for sellers. Downside Targets If the price reacts to the resistance zone and resumes its downward movement, there are two logical targets to the downside. The first is 1.1485, which corresponds to the most recent swing low. The second target is 1.1475, which represents a deeper low and a stronger potential support level. These levels align with previous structure and could serve as key take-profit zones for traders holding short positions. Conclusion The EUR/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend, and several technical elements now converge between 1.15400 and 1.15600 to form a strong resistance zone. This area includes the 15-minute Fair Value Gap, the 1-hour Fair Value Gap, the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement, and a significant point of interest tied to liquidity. While the pair may not need to reach this zone before continuing lower, if it does, it is likely to act as a barrier to further upside. For traders looking to follow the dominant trend, this high-confluence area offers a potential entry point to the downside, with clear structure-based targets below. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
21
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports. Technical Analysis: Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made: Trend and Moving Averages: For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout. Overall Bias: The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower. Sentiment Analysis Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
Short
by KingTraderFX
1
EURUSD Bullish flag breakout at 1.1525Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish flag breakout, a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside potential. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.1525 – critical former consolidation zone and breakout base Below that: 1.1440 and 1.1360 as deeper retracement targets Resistance: Initial target: 1.1700 Further resistance at: 1.1740 and 1.1780 Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: A retest and hold of the 1.1525 support would confirm strength post-breakout Could trigger renewed buying toward 1.1700, then 1.1740 and 1.1780 Bearish Reversal: A daily close below 1.1525 would invalidate the bullish flag Opens the path for a deeper correction toward 1.1440 and 1.1360 Conclusion: EUR/USD remains technically bullish following the flag breakout, with upside momentum favoured above 1.1525. Traders should watch for price action near this key level — holding it supports a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger a short-term bearish correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has encountered a significant decline, dipping below the Mean Support level of 1.149; however, it exhibited a modest recovery on Friday. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to decrease further to the Mean Support level of 1.148, with the potential for extending its bearish trend to reach 1.140. Nevertheless, there remains a possibility that the current recovery will persist, which could result in price movements targeting the Key Resistance level at 1.158 and potentially leading to a retest of the Outer Currency Rally's 1.163 mark.
by TradeSelecter
3
EURUSD – Rejected at 1.16100, bearish pressure re-emergingEURUSD has just completed a technical rebound toward the 1.16100 resistance zone, which has previously rejected price multiple times. The current structure suggests a mild reversal, with a potential pullback toward 1.15378. A break below this support could extend the decline toward 1.14600. Recent upside momentum came mainly from temporary USD weakness, but the greenback remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates elevated, while Eurozone PMI data continues to disappoint. In summary, 1.16100 remains a key resistance level. If price shows clear rejection here, EURUSD may be poised for a deeper correction in the short term.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Support and Resistance Zones Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000. Support zone is marked around 1.14500. Price Action: Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance. There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum. Projected Price Path: A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone. Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level. Interpretation: This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis: The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
by King_Maker_FX
1