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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD May 13 Trade ExecutedEURUSD May 13 Trade Executed Premarket Analysis & Narrative logic *Friday Price Asia swings low to sell side. London retraces Thursdays delivery. NY session retraces to sells off. *I suspected for Sundays delivery to take the equal lows and a deeper sell off *Sunday delivery to Asia price retraces the previous range to 50% and consolidates Expected a expansion cycle to occur-time to look for the sell off set up *Admittedly these consolidation ranges burn me, I go in too early or too late, too eager. *Cross reference GBP it did not take its key lows tipping its hand thats where GBP would go *DXY consolidated in the top side of FVG tipping its hand to seek higher prices Asia Prices retraces in the .618 range appears to be breaking down coming into London. 2 macro price swings up-judus swing 2:30 creates a swing low and takes the minor buy side equal highs 2:31 energetic displacement candle-good sign 2:35 creates a FVG and breaks the swing low 2:37 is model 2022 entry but Im not in a Macro so I waited for more info 2:51 enter into a first presented FVG candle 1:56 Price knocked me out at my TP-equal lows First target equal lows also 1 standard deviation I saw the candles at 3:15 and felt it would run to the 2 standard deviation but my balls are not big enough yet when it drops like that. It basically scared me! WOW! great delivery. Great analysis and cross reference of DXY and GBP to support me. What I learned Trust your morning analysis and stay out of the noise-minute charts. The minute candles really mess with me as my emotions get jared and put doubt in my head. Im pressing DEMO buttons! I was cautious and almost did not take this trade, due to selling in a discount logic. Very happy with this trade. Holding for second deviation when I saw the candle formation was a retracement is a take away.
by LeanLena
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you. Looking at the chart, if EUR-USD breaks above 1.12930 on the 1-hour time frame, I expect the price to move up to 1.15244. During this upward movement, I anticipate a pullback at 1.13805, with the price possibly retracing down to 1.12000. After this, I expect the price to continue its move upwards towards 1.15244. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Price to move up to 1.15244 after breaking above 1.12930. Pullback Expected: A possible pullback to 1.12000 after reaching 1.13805 before the price continues upwards to 1.15244. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.15244 Support: 1.12000 💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
Long
by PouyanTradeFX
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is testing the confluence of the blue corrective channel floor, the long‑term rising‑channel base and the 1.11 support, replicating April’s launch point. ● A close above the blue channel roof (~1.127) would confirm a break and target the mid‑channel 1.134 resistance, then the supply zone / upper rail near 1.140; bias is invalidated on a sustained close below 1.11. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US initial claims jumped to 252 k (5‑week high) while two FOMC voters signalled readiness to cut if labour softens, pressuring yields and the USD. ● ECB’s Lane said inflation is “on track” but emphasised data‑dependence beyond June, tempering easing expectations and underpinning euro rates. ✨ Summary Channel‑base retest + weaker US data versus cautious ECB keep the short‑term long in play: objectives 1.134 → 1.140, cut if < 1.11. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025. The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term. However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990. In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD : This also applies to BTCUSDThe 'trendline' had spoken, but what about the harmonic pattern? I do NOT believe in trendlines, so the reason for me is that price reacts to 1.1292 because of something else. However, reacting to this is a very strong indication of price weakness. Now price is at B: a) If price bounces from B, it would likely move to 1.0835 b) If price bounces from C, it would likely retest D Do also take note of bond yield which is a bit crazy nowadays. This is likely a test for the $. The US30Y is near 5% - if it goes above 5.25%, then we can expect something to break. $ would be at risk. Good luck.
Short
by i_am_siew
1
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This chart from TradingView shows the EUR/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Key Observations: 1. Current Price: The price is around 1.10784, with a significant drop indicated (-1.49%). 2. Support Zone: There is a horizontal support line near the current price, suggesting a potential bottom or area of buying interest. 3. Resistance Zones: An intermediate resistance around 1.11826. A higher resistance near the 1.12000 level, marked as a potential target. 4. Bullish Reversal Pattern: The chart shows a potential W-shaped pattern forming, indicating a possible reversal from the current downtrend. 5. Projection: The arrow and target indicate that if the price breaks the intermediate resistance, it may aim for the 1.12000 area. Trading Insight: This setup suggests a bullish reversal after the recent sell-off. A break and close above the intermediate resistance around 1.11826 could confirm a move toward the next target. However, if the price fails to break the resistance, a continuation of the downtrend may occur. Would you like an analysis of potential trading strategies based on this chart?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Pivot: 1.1145 1st Support: 1.0938 1st Resistance: 1.1523 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
short at mid-point confluence of the NWOG and 4H/1H FVG1. Smart-Money Structure & Displacement Prior Leg: Clean 300-pip drop from 1.1262 → 1.1083 established a clear bearish displacement and lower-high/ lower-low structure on 1H & 4H. CHoCH Confirmation: The bounce off 1.1083 and return up into 1.1200+ shows a Change-of-Character: the initial bearish leg is now being mitigated. A valid “return” leg is in play. 2. Confluence at 1.12250 Confluence Type Level(s) Comment NWOG Mid-Zone ~1.1203 New-Week Open Gap (week of May 11) midpoint is ~1.1203 4H Fair Value Gap 1.1210–1.1230 Unfilled imbalance from the swift drop on May 9 1H Order-Block 1.1220–1.1240 Remnant liquidity block from the retracement high Everything clusters tightly around 1.1220–1.1230, making 1.12250 an excellent tactical entry. Tactical Plan 1. Set Sell Limit at 1.12250. 2. Stop at 1.12450. 3. Partial Target at 1.10830 (prior low) → +1.2 R. 4. Full Target at 1.09596 → +13 R. 5. Monitor for a clean bearish 1H wick off 1.1225 during NY open—enter only on clear rejection. 6. Hold through Powell; let price guide you—moves in your favor are likely sharp and directional.
Short
by S-Atrial
EURUSDTrading EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) is important for several reasons: 1. Liquidity: It’s the most traded currency pair in the world, meaning it’s easy to enter and exit trades quickly with minimal price slippage. 2. Volatility: It offers enough movement for traders to find good opportunities without extreme unpredictability, making it suitable for many strategies. 3. Economic Significance: It reflects the economic relationship between two of the largest economies—the Eurozone and the U.S.—making it a key indicator of global economic health. 4. News Impact: It reacts clearly to economic news and central bank decisions, giving traders chances to profit from well-understood events. 5. Tight Spreads: Due to high trading volume, brokers offer very low transaction costs, which is ideal for both beginners and professionals. 6. Technical Clarity: It follows technical patterns well, allowing traders to use charts and indicators effectively. In short, EUR/USD is reliable, active, and accessible—ideal for anyone looking to trade major currency pairs.
Short
by HavalMamar
A small opportunity for a small sell on lower timeframeHello, The EURUSD pair has experienced a notable uptrend recently, catching the attention of the European Central Bank (ECB). On Friday, ECB President Christine Lagarde commented, "Despite global market volatility, euro zone financial markets are performing robustly. The ECB stands ready to utilize its tools to ensure financial stability if needed." This suggests that a stronger euro may pose challenges for the ECB at this time. Technically, the EURUSD is forming an expanding triangle pattern and is currently trading near its upper trendline. While we anticipate continued pressure on the euro—partly due to the U.S. favoring a weaker dollar—there is potential for a minor correction on shorter timeframes. Below, we outline a potential trading opportunity based on this analysis. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by thesharkke
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
EURUSD DAILY ANALYSIS $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB EXPECTION : Here I have 3 scenarios in mind: 1: The price may break in this area with confirmation 2: The price goes up and attracts liquidity then breaks with confirmation 3: The price goes up and breaks the ceiling and the 15-minute trend becomes bullish and we wait for the price to retest the area for a low-risk buy trade I will post my LTF trading idea in the private section. Be sure to follow and like the post.
Short
by aryaaparsii
Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading? In swing trading, moving averages are widely used to analyse market trends and identify potential turning points. In this article, we’ll dive into the most commonly used MAs, their unique characteristics, and how they can be applied in swing trading strategies. What Are Moving Averages? You definitely know what moving averages are. However, we need to start our article with a brief introduction to this market analysis tool. A moving average (MA) is a fundamental tool in technical analysis that helps traders understand the direction of a market trend by smoothing out price fluctuations, often touted among the best indicators for swing trading. Instead of focusing on the volatile ups and downs, MAs calculate an average of prices over a specific period, such as 20, 50, or 200 periods. This gives traders a clearer picture of the overall trend by filtering out short-term volatility. There are different types of moving averages, but they all work on the same principle: tracking the average price over time to highlight the market's trajectory. For example, a 20-period MA shows the average (usually closing price but a trader can choose highs, lows, and opens) over the past 20 periods, updating as new prices come in. This rolling calculation creates a line on the chart, making it easy to identify whether the market is trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways. Types of Moving Averages Moving averages come in various forms, each with unique characteristics that cater to different trading styles and strategies. Simple Moving Average (SMA) The simple moving average (SMA) is the most straightforward type, calculated by averaging the closing prices (but a trader can choose any price type) over a set number of periods. For example, a 20-period SMA adds up the last 20 closing prices and divides by 20. It’s popular among traders who want a broader view of price trends without overreacting to short-term fluctuations, making it a contender for one of the best moving averages for swing trading. However, SMAs can lag behind price action, as they give equal weight to all prices in the calculation. Hull Moving Average (HMA) The hull moving average (HMA) is designed to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth line. By combining weighted averages with additional smoothing techniques, the HMA offers a balance of speed and clarity, making it an underrated moving average for swing trading. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) The exponential moving average (EMA) prioritises recent prices, giving them more weight in the calculation. This makes it more responsive to price changes compared to the SMA. Swing traders often use EMAs in faster-moving markets, where quick adjustments to trend shifts are crucial, with 8- and 21-period EMAs considered by some traders as two of the best EMAs for swing trading. For instance, a 20-period EMA reacts faster to sudden price movements than a 20-period SMA, helping traders spot potential reversals sooner. Weighted Moving Average (WMA) Similar to the EMA, the weighted moving average (WMA) also gives more importance to recent prices but does so with a linear weighting system. This means the most recent price has the greatest impact, gradually decreasing with older data. WMAs are less common but useful when traders want a more precise reflection of recent price action. How to Use Moving Averages in Swing Analysis and Trading Moving averages are versatile tools that can provide valuable insights for swing traders. Beyond highlighting trends, they can help identify potential turning points and dynamic support or resistance levels. Here’s how they’re commonly used in swing trading: 1. Identifying Trends MAs are widely used to assess the direction of a trend. For instance, if the price consistently stays above a rising moving average, it suggests an upward trend. Conversely, when prices remain below a declining moving average, the market could be trending downward. Swing traders often rely on shorter moving averages, like the 20-period, for identifying trends that align with their trading horizon. 2. Spotting Reversals with Crossovers Crossovers happen when two MAs intersect. A common example is a shorter MA crossing above a longer one, which may indicate a shift towards bullish momentum and vice versa. 3. Dynamic Support and Resistance MAs act as floating support and resistance levels. MAs serve as a support level in an uptrend, with the price bouncing off it repeatedly. In a downtrend, the same moving average might act as resistance, limiting upward moves. 4. Filtering Market Noise In choppy markets, MAs can smooth out minor fluctuations, making it easier to focus on the bigger picture. Swing traders often use longer MAs, such as the 50-day or 200-day, to filter out irrelevant short-term movements. 5. Timing Entry and Exit Zones Many traders use crossovers to time their entries and exits, though it’s worth noting their lagging nature means they can result in untimely trades. They can also provide context. For example, if the price approaches a key moving average after a strong move, it might indicate a consolidation phase or a potential reversal, allowing traders to adapt their analysis. Common Moving Averages for Swing Trading: The 20, 50, and 200 MAs Swing traders often turn to the 20-, 50-, and 200-period moving averages as their go-to tools for analysing market trends. Each serves a specific purpose, helping traders gauge short-, medium-, and long-term price movements. These moving averages are often used together. 20-Period Moving Average The 20-period MA is a favourite for short-term trend analysis. It reacts quickly to price changes; therefore, traders use it to identify recent momentum or potential trend shifts. Traders frequently watch for price “bounces” off the 20-period MA as potential indications of continuation in the current trend. 50-Period Moving Average The 50-period MA provides a medium-term perspective, offering a smoother look at price trends. It’s slower to react than the 20-period MA but avoids being overly lagging. This balance makes it useful for identifying sustained trends while filtering out minor price noise. When prices interact with the 50-period MA, it often acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. 200-Period Moving Average The 200-period MA is the benchmark for long-term trend analysis. It’s often used to determine the overall market direction. This MA is also a widely followed indicator for institutional traders, adding weight to its significance. Interactions with the 200-period MA often mark key turning points or areas of consolidation. Traders also monitor crossovers between the 50- and 200-period MAs, recognised by some as the best moving average crossover for swing trading. For instance: - Golden Cross: When the 50-period MA crosses above the 200-period MA, it suggests potential bullish momentum. - Death Cross: When the 50-period MA drops below the 200-period MA, it signals a possible bearish shift. Using Them Together Using the 20-, 50-, and 200-period MAs together offers a comprehensive approach to identifying the best moving average crossover setups, allowing traders to see the bigger picture while still tracking short-term shifts. For instance, when the price breaks above the 200-period MA while the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA, it may signal the beginning of a broader bullish trend. Meanwhile, a price drop below all three MAs could suggest broader bearish momentum. Other Moving Average Combinations for Swing Trading While the 20, 50, and 200-period MAs are staples in swing trading, exploring other combinations can offer nuanced insights tailored to specific trading strategies. Some alternative moving average setups that traders often employ include: 8-Period and 21-Period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) This pairing is favoured by traders seeking to capture short-term price movements with greater sensitivity. They call this the best EMA crossover strategy. The 8-period EMA responds swiftly to recent price changes, while the 21-period EMA provides a slightly broader perspective. 10-Period and 50-Period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) Combining the 10- and 50-period SMAs offers a balance between short-term agility and medium-term trend identification. This combination helps traders filter out minor price fluctuations and focus on more sustained movements. 28-Period and 50-Period HMAs For traders focused on short-to-medium-term trends, the 28- and 50-period HMAs offer a balanced approach. The 28-period HMA reacts quickly to price changes, while the 50-period HMA provides a steadier view of the broader trend. Crossovers between the two can signal potential bullish or bearish momentum shifts, benefiting from the HMA’s reduced lag. 13-Period and 34-Period WMAs Rooted in Fibonacci sequences, the 13- and 34-period WMAs are employed by traders who believe in the natural rhythm of the markets. A 55-period WMA can also be included for a longer-term perspective. Crossovers between these WMAs can highlight potential trend reversals or continuations, with the WMA adapting more quickly than other MAs due to its weighted calculation. Implementing These Combinations When applying these moving average combinations, it's crucial to consider the following: - Market Conditions: These combinations often perform better in trending markets versus ranging markets. Moreover, shorter MAs might be more effective in capturing quick price movements during high volatility. - Timeframes: Traders align MAs with their trading horizon. Shorter periods like the 5-period or 8-period MAs are usually used by traders focusing on brief swings, while longer periods like the 50-period MA cater to those looking at extended trends. - Confirmation with Other Indicators: Relying solely on moving averages can lead to false signals. Traders corroborate these signals with other technical indicators, such as Bollinger Bands or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). What Moving Averages Should You Use for Swing Trading? There is no best moving average for swing trading. The choice of MAs ultimately depends on a trader's strategy and preferences. The combinations discussed provide a framework, but experimenting with different setups can help identify what aligns with individual trading styles and objectives. The Bottom Line Moving averages are powerful tools for swing trading, offering insights into trends and potential market turning points. Whatever your unique preference for different types and lengths, understanding their application can refine your strategy. FAQ Which Moving Average Is Good for Swing Trading? The 20-period, 50-period, and 200-period moving averages are widely used in swing trading. However, different combinations, like the 8- and 21-period or 13- and 34-period MAs can offer equally valuable insights; it ultimately comes down to the trader’s preference. What Is the Most Popular Moving Average to Use? The most popular moving average depends on a trader’s trading style and goals. Shorter MAs, like the 20-day MA, are popular for quick trend identification, while longer ones, such as the 200-day MA, provide a bigger picture. Many traders combine MAs to cover different timeframes. Is 200 EMA Good for Swing Trading? The 200-period EMA is useful for swing traders seeking to understand long-term trends. It reacts faster than the 200-period SMA, making it suitable for traders looking to incorporate a responsive indicator in their analysis. Which Indicator Is Most Popular for Swing Trading? There isn’t a single best indicator for swing trading. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume indicators are commonly used. Combining these can provide a more comprehensive analysis. Which Volume Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading? The On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are popular volume indicators for swing traders, helping assess market momentum. Which RSI Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading? The standard 14-period RSI is widely used. Swing traders often adjust it to shorter periods (e.g., 7) for faster signals or longer periods (e.g., 21) for smoother trends. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Bullish Setup | Demand Rejection & Liquidity Sweep ReverBias: Short-Term Bullish Timeframe: M15 Date: May 13, 2025 📌 Trade Idea Summary: Price has swept the liquidity below the recent lows and showed clean demand rejection around the 1.10900–1.11050 zone. Market structure is shifting bullish on M15 with steady accumulation. A move toward inefficiency and prior supply zone is anticipated. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: 1.11120 Stop Loss: 1.10900 Take Profit: 1.11850 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.65 ✅ Technical Confluences: M15 liquidity sweep + demand reaction Breakout from accumulation channel Inefficiency above toward 1.118x NY session support with bullish continuation potential 📈 Entry Type: Market or slight retracement entry 🔁 Partial TP idea: 1.11360 zone (first rejection expected) 🛑 Invalidation: Clean bearish close below 1.10900
Long
by tradingwith_ryann
EUR/USD should rebound to 1.1344-hour chart, The EUR/USD CMCMARKETS:EURUSD is trading in a falling expanding (broadening) wedge pattern. The price rebounded from the support level S, and is expected to test the upper resistance line R - at around 1.134 After crossing the line R, and stabilizing for 12 hours above this level, the target will be 1.157 to 1.159 - passing through the shown resistance levels 1.137 and 1.142 Consider a stop loss below the support line (currently 1.119) RSI is in the buy zone. MACD needs to cross up its signal line to confirm.
Long
by snour
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1085 1st Support: 1.0946 1st Resistance: 1.1267 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets