EUR / USD - Bearish Reversal- Rising Wedge- Week 5EUR / USD - Bearish Reversal- Rising Wedge
🟢 Pair: EUR / USD
🟢 Technical Pattern: Rising Wedge
🟢 Market Bias: Trend Reversal – Bullish ➡ Bearish
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Remains BearishEUR/USD shows signs of weakness beneath the surface.
Price Structure
EUR/USD is currently forming lower highs and lower lows — indicating a mild bearish trend. The recent bounce failed to produce a breakout above key resistance and appears to be fading near 1.1370. This may hint at a distribution phase rather than accumulation.
Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line
The A/D line has been flattening and turning down since late April.
This suggests that despite minor price rallies, no significant buying pressure is occurring — rather, it may indicate smart money distribution.
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV surged in early April but has since formed a clear downtrend.
As price attempted to climb higher in May, OBV failed to confirm — showing a classic bearish divergence.
Lack of volume confirmation implies fading buying interest.
This leads us to conclude that the EURUSD will initially remain bearish. An ideal target for a short position is the open Sunday gap, which we have chosen here as a TP.
EUAM EXPECT EU TO seek more higher price before going shot. though from dail tf price react to a level as buy confirmation. the sell will be only execute if it meet up with all my criterial to go shot. no confirmation no trading
GBPUSD Short-Term Top Forming Target 1.3360GBPUSD has bounced slightly, but the structure remains heavy and indecisive. However, EURUSD and Gold 4H charts are starting to break down clearly.
EURUSD is dragging lower step by step.
Gold broke a key support zone.
Both are signaling that USD strength is returning — and GBPUSD is likely to follow.
🔍 Technical View
Price rejected from the 1.3465–1.3470 zone (FOMC CPI high)
Lower highs building on the 1H and 4H timeframes
Trading below the 50% retracement of the recent CPI rally
🧠 Key Observation
“A sharp drop on EURUSD from current price will confirm a top is in place on GBPUSD.”
If EURUSD breaks 1.1270 decisively, expect GBPUSD to follow with increased momentum.
🔽 Trade Bias
Bearish below 1.3435
Targets:
1.3360 (first fib cluster + liquidity pocket)
1.3330 (full wave completion)
Invalidation: Clear close above 1.3470
⚠️ Watch for:
U.S. PMI revisions or FOMC speakers to fuel USD move
GBP Retail Sales data tomorrow — potential catalyst
EURUSD READY TO FALL.Despite all the headlines suggesting the dollar is losing confidence and value against the euro, this trade absolutely needs to be executed today or tomorrow to fill the gap left by price action. We’re seeing the formation of a beautiful harmonic pattern, along with numerous other technical signals too many to list here, all of which point to now as the perfect moment. Good luck and blessings.
EURUSD: Bulls Will Push
The price of EURUSD will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURO - Price may make a movement up and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded between $1.0870 level inside a flat, where it after fell to bottom part and made an upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, breaking $1.0870 level too, and then made a correction, after which continued to grow.
Later, Euro reached $1.1425 level, breaking recently $1.1155 level recently, and soon price broke $1.1425 level too.
Next, price started to traded inside pennant, where it dropped from resistance line to support line, breaking $1.1425 level again.
Euro fell to support line, after which started to grow and in a short time, rose to resistance line.
Now, I think that Euro may make a movement up and then start to decline to $1.1235 support line of pennant.
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EURUSD short term bearishMy vision where going price tommorow.
If we break trend line we fall to area 1.126-1.128
For my opinion now we on short term bearish.
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.105 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout.
● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108.
-------------------
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EUR-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is confirmed
So now the price is consolidating
Above the new support
And after a potential retest
Of the support level we are
Likely to see a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
We can see longs coming to the markets. But don't fall for the trap yet. They accumulate for
weeks. We will see, most likely at least one more down week, where they will be closing shorts and adding more long positions.
Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage.
📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Have a great trading week, see in the next report.
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2265, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1426, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1193, a pullback resistance.
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EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹 Current Price: 1.12570
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 1.11200–1.11650 – Major bullish rejection zone; structure formed after strong accumulation and upside expansion.
📈 Bullish Outlook – Eyes on 1.14259:
🔸 If price cleanly breaks and retests 1.12926, we could see a sharp continuation toward 1.14259
🔸 Market showing higher highs and strong impulse legs from demand
📉 Invalidation Risk:
🔸 A break back below 1.12200 may invalidate bullish bias and revisit deeper demand
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ 1H bullish structure remains intact
✅ Watch for 15M BOS above 1.12900 for low-risk entry
✅ Ideal for swing or intraday buys with proper RR
#EURUSD #ForexUpdate #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #DemandZone #BreakoutSetup #PriceActionForex #EuroDollar
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 23, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has demonstrated significant strength during this week's trading session, attaining a notable Inner Currency Rally at 1.129 and encountering Mean Resistance at 1.137. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro will likely progress towards the forthcoming target levels, specifically the Mean Resistance at 1.142 and the Key Resistance at 1.151. A retest of the completed Outer Currency Rally at 1.157 may facilitate this advancement. However, a potential downward pullback could emerge from the current price range, particularly in proximity to the Mean Resistance level of 1.137, with a possibility of declining to the Mean Support at 1.127.
EURUSD has broken the channal and now trading in narrow zoneEURUSD has broken the channal and now trading in narrow zone
EURUSD 5-Wave Rally Confirms Bullish TrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates that the correction from the April 21, 2025, high has concluded with wave (4) at 1.1059. From the wave (3) peak, the decline unfolded as follows: wave W ended at 1.1265, wave X at 1.1381, and wave Y, structured as a zigzag, completed at 1.1059. Within wave Y, wave ((a)) reached 1.1196 and wave ((b)) hit 1.1292. Wave ((c)) lower concluded at 1.106, finalizing wave Y of (4). The pair has since turned upward in wave (5).
From the wave (4) low, the rally in wave ((i)) is developing as a five-wave diagonal pattern. Wave (i) peaked at 1.1265, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to 1.1128. Then wave (iii) advanced to 1.1288, and wave (iv) retraced to 1.1215. Wave (v) is expected to conclude soon, completing wave ((i)) in a higher degree. Subsequently, a pullback in wave ((ii)) should correct the cycle from the May 13, 2025, low before the pair resumes its upward trend. As long as the 1.106 pivot low holds, any near-term pullback is likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside.
EURUSD, Short, 2H✅ EURUSD has rejected a key resistance level at 1.13566, showing signs of bearish pressure.
The price is expected to move lower in the short term following this rejection.
SHORT 📉
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EURUSD - Buy Trade - 21/05/2025Fundamentals: The euro has strengthened against the U.S. dollar, reaching the 1.1360 price zone during European trading hours amid U.S. fiscal concerns.
Technical: The pair remains in a bullish trend across all timeframes, with key resistance at 1.1360 and support at 1.1300.
EURUSD EURUSD – New Short Trade Opportunity
There’s currently a selling opportunity on EURUSD. I’ve already activated the trade, and anyone interested can consider entering now as well. If the price starts ranging too much, I’ll manually close the trade. Please note: this trade will not remain active until tomorrow.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 1.13438
✔️ Take Profit: 1.13128
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13592
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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Short EurusdThankyou
There’s currently a selling opportunity on EURUSD. I’ve already activated the trade, and anyone interested can consider entering now as well. If the price starts ranging too much, I’ll manually close the trade. Please note: this trade will not remain active until tomorrow.
