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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD 12/1/24Starting the week with our clear bias and understanding of what we aim to trade on EUR/USD. This bias and understanding are, as always, brought to us by Orion, providing precise bias, points of interest, and entry areas. This week, we observe institutions once again driving the market downward, and we plan to follow this flow. Based on the current market conditions, we are presented with a target low and a major collection of highs, creating a strong area to watch for bearish momentum to return. The game plan is simple: look for a new low to form, giving us targets to aim for. If this happens, watch for the highs to be taken out, which will align us with our short bias. Alternatively, if our current target is reached first, we’ll shift our focus to the highs, providing opportunities to target new lows as the market retraces back to these areas, keeping us in line with the short bias. Follow what price action shows you and, as always, trust Orion. Stick to your plan, follow your rules.
by PipSurfingSociety
EUR/USD IN SELL TREND Hello Traders! EUR/USD is showing strong bearish momentum, and I’d like to share my detailed analysis on this pair. Analysis Overview: Price Action: EUR/USD has been consistently moving in a downward direction. The pair has broken through its key support levels multiple times, confirming the strength of the bearish trend. Support Zone: The primary support zone to watch is 1.01789. A break below this level could lead to further downside movement. Resistance Zones: First Resistance: 1.03174 – Any upward retracement could face resistance here. Second Resistance: 1.04154 – This is the next key resistance level if price action continues to rise temporarily. Technical Target: Based on the overall bearish trend, the technical target for EUR/USD is 0.99532. This is where we could see potential support or a reversal, but until then, the trend remains to the downside.
Short
by ALBERTGOLDHUNTER
What Is a Pin Bar Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Pin Bar Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading? Understanding candlestick patterns is key for traders aiming to analyse market movements. One particularly insightful pattern is the pin bar candle, which can reveal crucial information about market sentiment and potential price reversals. In this article, we'll explore what this candle is and how traders might use a pin bar trading strategy. What Is a Pin Bar Candle? A pin bar candle is a distinctive candlestick pattern that traders use to analyse potential market reversals. It stands out on a chart due to its unique shape: a small real body with a long wick. When a pin bar appears on a chart, it reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers that resulted in a significant price rejection. This rejection is captured by a key element, the long wick, indicating that the market tested a price level but couldn't sustain it, which marked a possible turning point. There are two main types of pin bar candlestick: bullish and bearish. A bullish pin bar features a long lower wick and may indicate that buyers are entering the market after a period of selling pressure. This pattern signals a potential upward movement in price. Conversely, a bearish pin bar has a long upper wick, suggesting that sellers are gaining strength after sustained buying pressure, which can precede a downward price movement. While the pattern is believed to be reliable at support or resistance levels, it is considered especially important when it forms after a push beyond a key swing high or low. The appearance of a pin bar in these scenarios might indicate a failed breakout, where the market rejected a close above a significant high or low, and may lead to a strong reversal. How to Identify a Pin Bar on a Chart Identifying a pin bar involves looking for a candle with a long wick and a small real body. Here's how to spot one: - Long Wick: The wick should make up at least two-thirds of the candle's total length, ideally more. This long wick represents a sharp rejection of a price level during the trading period. - Small Real Body: The real body should be relatively small compared to the wick. This indicates that the price closed near where it opened, despite significant movement during the session. While it’s preferable for the candle to close green in a bullish pin bar and red in a bearish pin bar, it’s not essential. - Wick Position: For a bullish pin bar, the long wick extends below the body, suggesting that sellers pushed the price down before buyers drove it back up. In a bearish pin bar candlestick pattern, the long wick is above the body, indicating that buyers pushed the price up before sellers brought it back down. - Contextual Placement: Pin bars are believed to be most significant when they appear at key support or resistance levels or within established trends. Their location can enhance their potential relevance in market analysis. Using Pin Bar Patterns Pin bars can be a valuable component of a trader's analytical toolkit when used thoughtfully. Here are the specific steps traders might follow to use a pin bar strategy: Identifying Potential Pin Bars The first step is to scan the charts for candles that exhibit the classic shape—a small real body with a long wick that makes up at least two-thirds of the candle's total length. Examining the Context Once a potential pattern is identified, traders assess its placement on the chart. Pin bars are considered more significant when they occur at key support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels, and whether they breach and close back inside of these points. They’re only considered reliable when they occur in the opposite direction of a specific trend, such as a bearish pin bar candle during an established uptrend. Looking for Confirmation Traders often seek additional signals to validate the implications of a pin bar candle pattern. For instance, if the Relative Strength Index or Stochastic Oscillator indicates a market is overbought or shows a divergence, a bearish pin bar may be considered a stronger signal. Confirmation may boost confidence in the signals provided by the pattern. Planning Entry and Exit Strategies Based on the analysis, traders formulate a plan that includes potential entry points, stop-loss levels, and target prices. While some may enter as soon as the candle closes, it's common to consider entering a trade if the price moves beyond the bar in the anticipated direction, potentially with another big bar candle like an engulfing candle or marubozu. Profit targets might be set at an opposing support or resistance level or a given risk-reward ratio, while stop-loss orders are often placed beyond the candle’s high or low to potentially manage risk if the market moves unfavourably. Practices for Trading Pin Bars Trading pin bars goes beyond simply recognising the pattern; it involves understanding how they fit into the broader market context. Here are some practical steps to help you apply a pin bar candlestick pattern strategy in your trading: Selecting High-Quality Pin Bars Not all patterns carry the same weight. According to the theory, traders should focus on those with a long wick that constitutes at least two-thirds of the candle's total length and a small real body. The longer the wick relative to recent candles, the more significant the price rejection might be. Also, the overall size of the candle may boost its reliability. A pin bar that stands out compared to surrounding candles may indicate a significant shift in market sentiment. If it's too small relative to recent candles, it might be less reliable. Considering the Timeframe The timeframe you choose can impact the reliability of the formation. Higher timeframes like daily or weekly charts tend to produce more dependable signals because they encapsulate more data and reflect broader market sentiment. While lower timeframes like 15-minute or hourly charts may offer more trading opportunities, they may also present more false signals. However, a pin bar on a higher timeframe can offer valuable insights into what may drive lower timeframe price movements. Being Mindful of Market Conditions Pin bars can be less reliable in choppy or sideways markets where price action lacks clear direction. In such environments, they may form frequently but without leading to significant price movements. According to the theory, traders should apply pin bar strategies in markets that exhibit clear trends or strong momentum, where price rejections are more meaningful. Likewise, high volatility can lead to erratic market movements, increasing the likelihood of false signals. Paying attention to economic calendars and avoiding trading during major news releases may help in filtering out unreliable setups. Focusing on Key Psychological Levels Beyond support and resistance, pin bars may be significant when they form at key psychological price levels, such as round numbers or significant historical price points. These levels often act as barriers where market participants have strong reactions. A pin bar at a psychological level can indicate a substantial price rejection, providing a potentially valuable signal for a trade setup. Risks and Limitations of Pin Bars While pin bars can offer valuable insights, they also come with certain risks and limitations that traders should be aware of: - False Signals: Pin bars can sometimes indicate a potential reversal that doesn't materialise. Relying solely on them without considering the broader market context might lead to misinterpretation and ineffective trading decisions. - Market Noise: In highly volatile or sideways markets, pin bars may appear frequently but lack significance. These "noisy" signals can make it challenging to distinguish meaningful patterns from random price movements. - Timeframe Variability: The reliability of the pattern can vary across different timeframes. A pin bar on a 5-minute chart might not hold the same weight as one on a daily chart. Traders should consider the timeframe that aligns with their trading strategy and be cautious when interpreting signals from shorter periods. - Subjectivity in Identification: Determining what qualifies as a valid formation can be subjective. Differences in candles across various charting platforms or discrepancies in data can lead to inconsistent analysis. Pin Bars and Other Patterns Understanding how pin bars differ from other candlestick patterns can enhance your technical analysis. Let's explore how they compare to hammers, shooting stars, and doji candles. Pin Bar and Hammer/Inverted Hammer Hammers are essentially the same as bullish pin bars; they just have a different name. Both patterns feature a small real body with a long lower wick and little to no upper wick, appearing after a downtrend and signalling an upward reversal. The inverted hammer differs from a pin bar in its context and implications. An inverted hammer has a tiny real body, a long upper wick, and little to no lower wick. It typically appears after a downtrend. While it resembles a bearish or red pin bar candle in shape, its position at the bottom of a downtrend signals that buyers attempted to push the price higher but couldn’t. Still, this pattern indicates a possible upward reversal due to emerging buying interest. Pin Bar and Shooting Star A shooting star is essentially a bearish pin bar. It appears after an uptrend and retains the same features: a small real body, a long upper wick, and a minimal lower wick. The long upper wick reflects the rejection of higher prices, potentially signalling a downward reversal. Pin Bar and Gravestone and Dragonfly Dojis The pin bar, gravestone doji, and dragonfly doji are all candlestick patterns used to indicate potential reversals, but they differ in structure and context. The gravestone doji has a long upper wick and no lower shadow, with the open, high, and close at nearly the same level. This formation suggests that buyers pushed prices higher, but sellers ultimately took control, often indicating a bearish reversal at the top of an uptrend. The dragonfly doji, on the other hand, has a long lower wick and no upper shadow, with the open, low, and close prices near each other. This pattern suggests that sellers initially drove prices down, but buyers regained control, often signalling a bullish reversal when found at the bottom of a downtrend. The Bottom Line Pin bar candles offer traders valuable insights into market sentiment. While incorporating pin bars into your strategy requires practice and a keen eye for market context, they can be a great way to trade market reversals. If you're ready to apply these insights in live markets, consider opening an FXOpen account to access more than 700 markets alongside low-cost, high-speed trading conditions. FAQ What Is the Pin Bar Candlestick Pattern? A pin bar candlestick pattern signals a potential price reversal and features a small body with a long wick which is at least twice longer than the body. The long wick represents price rejection at a specific level, indicating a shift in market sentiment during that trading period. The pattern has two types: bearish and bullish. What Is the Difference Between a Bullish and Bearish Pin Bar? A bullish pin bar pattern has a long lower wick, suggesting buyers regained control and a possible upward reversal. A bearish variation features a long upper wick, indicating sellers dominate and a potential downward movement. How Can You Trade Pin Bars? To trade pin bars, traders identify them at key support or resistance levels, where they signal a potential reversal. For a bullish pin bar at support, they consider entering a long position above the high of the bar, with a stop-loss below the low to potentially manage risk. For a bearish pin bar at resistance, they enter a short position below the low, placing a stop-loss above the high. Confirmation from other technical indicators or trends may improve the reliability of the setup. What Is the Difference Between a Hammer and a Pin Bar Candle? A hammer is a bullish pin bar candle with a long lower wick, appearing after a downtrend to signal a potential upward reversal. While a pin bar can be bullish or bearish, a hammer specifically refers to the bullish variant. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
HelenP. I Euro can rebound from trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the char we can see how the price reached the trend line and then at once dropped to resistance 2, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later price broke resistance 2 and the nsome time traded below this level, after which declined to resistance 1. But then the Euro made impulse up to resistance 2, making a gap, after which continued to trades near resistance 2. When the price reached the trend line, it started to decline near this line and later declined to resistance 1, after which turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, after which dropped below resistance 1, breaking it too. But soon, the Euro turned around and tried to back up, and failed, after which continued to fall near the trend line. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will rise to the trend line and then continue to decline next. That's why I set my goal at 1.01 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
14
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.0260 1st Support: 1.0194 1st Resistance: 1.0341 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Strong bearish dynamic resistanceMy analysis shows that EURUSD might fall after reaching the Dynamic resistance, here are the reasons why 1.The overall trend is a downtrend with Bears in control, as we can see from the chart 2.The market is in a Bearish channel meaning bears are in control of the overall trend 3.The Dynamic resistance was tested and respected 2 times meaning there's a high chance it might be respected again, which will cause the market to drop down As we can see, the Resistance is strong as it was able to push the price all the way down
Short
by StarleXtheTrader
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1D - With this pair I am wanting to see some strength in the EUR as I am wanting to see price actually go on to trade us higher, this would fall in line with our USD/CHF trade. We have seen that price has traded into a valid area of Demand which is holding as price has failed to break below this. I want to see price now reject from this area giving us means to enter. I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearish structure that traded price lower down and into the Demand Zone originally, once we see a break in that we can begin to look to buy in. A break in the last protected high tells us that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness breaking highs and protecting lows.
Long
by Lukegforex
EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.019. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.028 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2