EURUSD BEARISH SETUP
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects a significant technical setup, showing price action within a bullish ascending channel that has recently broken to the downside, forming a falling wedge pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
Key Observations:
Bullish Channel Broken: The price broke below the ascending channel earlier this month, signaling initial weakness.
Falling Wedge Formation: A bullish falling wedge has developed, and the pair is now testing its upper boundary near 1.1522, attempting a breakout.
Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a key resistance area between 1.1550 – 1.1600, which aligns with previous highs and the wedge's upper edge.
Scenario Projection:
A temporary bullish breakout toward the resistance zone is expected.
If the pair gets rejected from this resistance, a sharp decline toward the major support area near 1.1300 is likely.
Bearish Confirmation: A clear rejection at the resistance zone followed by a break below the recent minor support (red zone) would confirm the bearish move.
Conclusion:
While short-term bullish momentum may push EUR/USD slightly higher, the confluence of resistance levels suggests a high probability of rejection. Traders should watch for reversal signals in the 1.1550–1.1600 zone, as failure to break higher could lead to a bearish move toward 1.1300 in the coming days.
EURUSD trade ideas
Market next move Disruption to Bullish Scenario:
1. Resistance Zone Around 1.1540 – 1.1550
The price is approaching a psychological and potential resistance level around 1.1540–1.1550.
If the bulls fail to break this zone convincingly, a rejection could lead to a pullback or reversal.
2. Bearish Divergence in Volume
Despite upward movement in price, the volume doesn't show a strong bullish breakout. If momentum weakens while price rises, it might indicate a bearish divergence.
3. Rising Wedge Formation
The current price channel resembles a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish pattern.
A breakdown from this pattern (below the “support area” trendline) could trigger a sell-off toward 1.1500 or lower.
4. Economic Data or News Risk
Any sudden USD strength due to economic reports, Federal Reserve commentary, or geopolitical tension could flip the sentiment instantly.
Icons below the chart hint at upcoming news from the Eurozone or U.S., which could lead to volatility.
5. Overbought Condition
If technical indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown in this chart) are in overbought territory, a correction or profit-taking may happen soon.
EURUSD: Price Action + Elliott Wave + SMC Analysis
"Hello traders!
Today, we're diving deep into EURUSD with a comprehensive analysis combining Price Action, Elliott Wave principles, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
On the chart, we observe key price action elements including:
* A 'Psychological FVG' (Fair Value Gap) around the 1.15100 - 1.15261 area, which could act as a potential resistance or reversal poin
* A target or support level identified around 1.14494 and further down at 1.14502.
Looking ahead, the diagram on the right illustrates a potential Elliott Wave structure integrated with SMC concepts:
* We see proposed waves leading to a 'BOS' (Break of Structure) indicating a shift in market control.
* An 'Imbalance' zone is highlighted, suggesting an area where price might seek to rebalance before continuing its move.
* The overall structure points towards a continued bearish momentum after potential retracements.
Key Takeaways:
* Watch the identified FVG for potential reactions.
* Monitor for further BOS confirmations to validate the bearish outlook.
* The 'Imbalance' zone could offer shorting opportunities if price retests it.
This analysis provides a multi-faceted approach to understanding potential future price movements in EURUSD. Always remember to manage your risk effectively.
What are your thoughts on this analysis? Share your insights in the comments below!
#EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SMC #TradingAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #ForexTrading"
Refined EURUSD setup Saw a 2H choch last night and today we've kept moving lower creating a new internal range.
Going to be waiting for price to shift bullish internally before trying to get into any longs. If I do not see any bullish intention then I will short following the 2H internal structure moving my SL where appropriate
I am still bullish on EURUSD but just waiting on confirmation before taking any longs
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term.
However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction.
MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum.
1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks.
1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
EUR/USD – Technical Price Forecast🔍 EUR/USD – Technical Price Forecast
As of June 18, 2025
Current Price: 1.15040
Bias: Bearish (Short-term)
Timeframe Context: Likely 4H or Daily
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown
🔺 Trend Context
Primary Trend (recent weeks): Bullish impulse from early June
Current Phase: Retracement / potential reversal
⬇️ Recent Price Action
Lower highs forming (arrows mark swing failure at ~1.1650 and ~1.1600).
Price has broken market structure to the downside around 1.1550 with a strong bearish candle.
Current retracement is weak and corrective, lacking momentum.
📐 Key Technical Levels
Level Type Observation
1.1650 Resistance Swing high / aggressive rejection
1.1600 Resistance Lower high + supply zone
1.1550 Supply zone Breakdown area
1.1500 Current zone Minor consolidation
1.1450–1.1400 Demand zone Prior accumulation zone (support)
1.1350 Next support Clean inefficiency below
📉 Liquidity & Order Flow Insight
Sell-side liquidity likely rests below 1.1400.
The recent bullish pullback appears to be a liquidity grab, not a reversal.
Imbalance created by recent bearish move remains unfilled.
📊 Candlestick Behavior
Strong bearish engulfing candle on the move from 1.1550 to 1.1480 indicates supply absorption.
Current candles are corrective and small-bodied — suggesting weak buying and potential continuation down.
🔮 Price Prediction / Forecast
Time Horizon Forecast Summary
Short-term (1–3 days) Expect minor bullish retracement to 1.1530–1.1550, followed by rejection.
Medium-term (3–7 days) Breakdown toward 1.1450, targeting liquidity below support zone.
Extended scenario If 1.1400 breaks cleanly, expect a drop toward 1.1350 and possibly 1.1300 as next support.
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1600 would invalidate this bearish scenario and imply further upside potential.
🧠 Strategy Implications (Pro Traders)
Sell the rally into 1.1530–1.1550 supply with stops above 1.1600.
Take profit levels:
TP1: 1.1450
TP2: 1.1400
TP3 (extension): 1.1350
Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio ≥ 2:1. Confirm entry with bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H).
⚠️ Macro Consideration
Multiple economic events approaching (U.S. and EU flags shown) — expect volatility. Hold trades cautiously around high-impact news.
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈
Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness.
🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐.
🎯 Trade Plan Idea:
Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀
Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩
Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻
Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
DeGRAM | EURUSD double bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● The price is currently testing the upper resistance of a descending wedge pattern after forming a clear double bottom formation. This double bottom occurred precisely at a confluence of support, where the long-term ascending support line intersects with the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal from the 1.1450-1.1470 area.
● This recent bullish price action follows a prior "double top" pattern that initiated the corrective move downwards into the current wedge. A decisive breakout and hold above the wedge's resistance would invalidate the recent bearish pressure and confirm that buyers are taking control, with the first significant target being the horizontal resistance line near 1.1523.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Market attention is centered on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. While no rate change is expected, forward guidance is key. Current market sentiment, as noted by analysts at RoboForex and FreshForex, is pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut later this year, which could place downward pressure on the US Dollar.
● Conversely, the Euro is finding support from a comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB). Recent reports indicate that the probability of an ECB rate cut has diminished, suggesting a policy divergence that favors EUR strength against the USD, underpinning the technical case for a move higher.
✨ Summary
Long entry on a confirmed 30-minute candle close above the descending wedge resistance (~1.1485); initial target 1.1523 → 1.1560. The bullish outlook is invalidated on a close below the double bottom support at 1.1450.
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EUR/USD) back to bearish Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Trading Idea Summary: EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Rejection at Resistance Zone
Resistance Level (~1.1600): Price has tested this level twice (red arrows) and faced strong rejection, suggesting it’s a firm supply zone.
This double top near resistance signals potential downside pressure.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Price action shows a break in short-term bullish momentum.
Bearish trend arrows and structure indicate expected continuation to the downside.
3. EMA Resistance
The 200 EMA (blue line) at 1.14356 is above the key support zone, acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
4. Target Levels
First Target: 1.13694 (Key Support Level)
Previous structure zone with strong historical price reaction.
Final Target: 1.12025 (Major Support Zone)
Larger demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This analysis suggests a potential short setup with confirmations from:
Repeated resistance rejection
Bearish price structure and trend arrows
EMA as added confluence
Clear downside targets: 1.13694, then 1.12025
> Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims and closes above the resistance zone (~1.1600).
pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
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EURUSD on the riseYesterday, EURUSD failed to continue its pullback and has already recovered the drop caused by the news.
This suggests the correction might be over, and we could be seeing the start of a new bullish move.
The target is a breakout above the previous highs, aiming for 1,1706.
All positions we’re looking for are only in the direction of the main trend.
EUR/USD Long-Term Trade Idea (Bullish to Bearish Transition)The EUR/USD pair is expected to enter a bullish phase in the near term, potentially rising toward the key resistance zones between 1.18616 and 1.20143. These levels are likely to act as strong reversal points, where the pair could encounter significant selling pressure.
Once price reaches this zone, a bearish reversal is anticipated, aligning with broader technical signals and long-term resistance structures.
This setup presents an opportunity to ride the bullish momentum toward these levels, then potentially shift to a sell bias upon confirmation of rejection or reversal patterns within that zone.
“Buy the strength, sell the exhaustion — let the market come to you.”
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1548, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement and the 127.25 Fib extension, providing a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
Our take profit is set at 1.1487, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1602, a swing high resistance.
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EURUSD I Monday CLS I Model 1 I High risk I FOMC TomorowHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal AnalysisEUR/USD Bearish Reversal Analysis 📉🧭
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Trend Structure:
EUR/USD was trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance trendlines.
🔴 Double Rejection at Resistance:
Price action faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the channel and resistance zone (~1.16500), forming a lower high, suggesting bearish exhaustion.
🟠 Key Breakdown Zone:
A critical horizontal support around 1.13560 has been identified as a short-term target zone. This level previously acted as a demand zone and now may be retested.
🔽 Forecast Path:
A projected bearish wave is anticipated:
A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before resuming the downtrend.
Once 1.13560 is broken, price could drop further toward the major support zone around 1.12000, marked by the previous accumulation area.
🟦 Support Zone:
This final target aligns with a major structural support from late May, strengthening the bearish outlook if the breakdown continues.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal after failing to sustain above resistance. As long as it remains below the mid-channel region, further downside toward 1.12000 is likely, with 1.13560 as the key short-term level to watch.
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1588
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1555
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Market of Buyers
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
euro/usdtrade 5 as u can see from our last trade 5 its where we want it and the entry level is where my take profit is once it hits this mark asre be looking for a reaction agaist the red daily surport/resitance line and let it be used as a surport line to retrace and possibly make a new high but are aim would be just to test the highest high on the charts