EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Bullish continuation supported 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.1640
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.1830 – Near-term resistance
1.1900 – Minor swing high
1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.1590 – Initial support
1.1530 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
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Important News for EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued moving sideways as the market waits for upcoming news.
Today at 1:30 PM London time, U.S. inflation data will be released.
This report has a strong impact and is likely to set the next direction for the pair.
It’s advisable to reduce your risk and avoid opening new positions before the news comes out.
The goal is to follow the trend once it resumes!
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure Mounts Ahead of Triangle Breakout EURUSD is trading within a contracting triangle and currently leans toward a bearish bias. After several failed attempts to break the upper boundary, momentum is weakening, and the pair is showing signs of a potential breakdown toward lower support levels.
With several key events ahead, the euro may face additional pressure if upcoming Eurozone inflation data disappoints or if the Fed maintains a hawkish tone through upcoming speeches by U.S. officials. Unless there is a strong bullish catalyst, EURUSD is likely to correct further to the downside.
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1681, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at .1642, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1714, a swing-high resistance level.
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Internal Summary EURUSD Pair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 1H
Trigger: Support test within triangle pattern
Targets:
TP1: 1.17217
TP2: 1.17851
Invalidation: Below 1.15942
Comment: Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, holding above a key ascending trendline. A breakout to the upside looks probable as long as price holds current support.
EURUSD(20250714) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1689
Support and resistance levels:
1.1738
1.1719
1.1707
1.1670
1.1658
1.1640
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1689, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1707
If the price breaks through 1.1670, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1658
The euro's bearish structure remains unchanged.EUR/USD rebounded from around the three-week low of 1.1655 during the European session. However, the overall trend of the exchange rate remains within the descending channel that has been in place since early July. Market concerns over the U.S. government's new 30% tariff measures have dampened risk appetite, limiting the room for the exchange rate to rebound.
In the short term, the exchange rate is expected to contend within the 1.1650-1.1700 range. Analysts believe that if the euro fails to break through and stabilize above the 1.1700 threshold, the bearish structure will remain intact, and the exchange rate will continue to test lower support levels such as 1.1630 and 1.1600. A breakdown below these levels could open up further downside space, with the target pointing to around the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1387.
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EURUSD Short re entry, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
3 hours ago
Trade active
We got an 1mBOS from the 15m POI
Got 2 entry points now : The one from the 5m OB marked out on the photo and one at the lower 5m that created the break. Will see what happens
EUR/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
PIVOT AREA @ 1.16630 - 1.17160
1) Rangebound at this time between support and resistance.
2) We need a strong breach above or below PIVOT area.
Keynote:
1.16420 - 1.16300 = 50% retracement area from
23rd of June on 1D Time Frame Correction path.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
EURUSD Short, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.16802 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.16684.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD POTENTIAL BUY SETUP 4HLooking at EURUSD, Price is moving in a descending channel. EU on the high timeframe is bullish as Dollar is weak. I am expecting EU to fall into the marked FVG to clear the lows and take internal liquidity from the marked FVG before moving higher and take the Buyside Liquidity as marked.
Potential Entry= 1.6350
Stop loss= 1.15650
Take Profit = 1.18250
Please wait for price to come into the marked potential area to take this trade and manage your risk accordingly. Follow me for more updates and trades.
My Take on the EURUSD H1 Setup (July 14, 2025)
This is a classic textbook-quality TCB setup forming right at a critical confluence zone. Here's a full breakdown from a trader's lens:
🔵 1. Trend
Bias: Bullish
The macro structure from June shows a strong uptrend, and the most recent impulse was explosive — indicating active buyers.
H4 and D1 show no trend break yet.
🔵 2. Countertrend
The descending channel is neat and controlled — no erratic spikes or liquidity wicks that signal confusion.
Compression into the demand zone (gray box) around 1.1652–1.1710 shows sellers are weakening.
This is typical of pre-breakout structure when buyers are loading up under the radar.
🔵 3. Breakout
Price just broke cleanly above the channel and is sitting slightly above the horizontal resistance (1.1710).
A retest and bullish candle confirmation would be ideal — don't rush in yet, let the market prove its intent.
🧠 Strategic Entry Zone (My Plan)
EP: 1.1710–1.1720 (after bullish retest candle)
SL: 1.1650 (just below demand and structure low)
TP: 1.1840 zone (clean R:R ≈ 1:2)
⚠️ Risk Watch
DXY inverse correlation should support this (if DXY is breaking lower, that adds confidence).
Make sure there's no high-impact news within next 4–6 hours (like US CPI, FOMC).
Session timing is favorable — NY open approaching, which brings momentum.
✅ Verdict
High-probability long setup (TCB Score: 8/10).
Wait for a bullish retest candle on the 1H or even 15M before entry. If that happens, the probability of hitting 1.1840 is strong — particularly if volume confirms.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.177.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.172 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated.
The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside.
We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside.
For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again.
Any questions feel free to give me a message
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 14, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure: on Monday the pair slipped to 1.16750 after the European Commission extended its pause on retaliatory tariffs against the United States until 1 August. With no resolution in sight, the trade dispute keeps European exporters on edge and turns the dollar into a safe-haven choice for investors looking to limit risk.
Additional support for the greenback comes from rising real yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate is holding above 4.40 %, locking in a wide spread over German Bunds. That has led futures traders to price in just one 25 bp Federal Reserve rate cut for the rest of the year, reducing the euro’s relative appeal.
Macro data from the euro area offer little relief. German industrial production rose only 0.2 % m/m in May, while the July ZEW expectations index slid back into negative territory. With the ECB having already delivered a June cut and projecting lower inflation ahead, inward capital flows to the eurozone remain subdued.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16750, SL 1.17050, TP 1.16200