EURUSD(20250714) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1689
Support and resistance levels:
1.1738
1.1719
1.1707
1.1670
1.1658
1.1640
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1689, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1707
If the price breaks through 1.1670, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1658
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated.
The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside.
We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside.
For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again.
Any questions feel free to give me a message
The euro's bearish structure remains unchanged.EUR/USD rebounded from around the three-week low of 1.1655 during the European session. However, the overall trend of the exchange rate remains within the descending channel that has been in place since early July. Market concerns over the U.S. government's new 30% tariff measures have dampened risk appetite, limiting the room for the exchange rate to rebound.
In the short term, the exchange rate is expected to contend within the 1.1650-1.1700 range. Analysts believe that if the euro fails to break through and stabilize above the 1.1700 threshold, the bearish structure will remain intact, and the exchange rate will continue to test lower support levels such as 1.1630 and 1.1600. A breakdown below these levels could open up further downside space, with the target pointing to around the lower Bollinger Band at 1.1387.
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EURUSD Short re entry, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
3 hours ago
Trade active
We got an 1mBOS from the 15m POI
Got 2 entry points now : The one from the 5m OB marked out on the photo and one at the lower 5m that created the break. Will see what happens
EURUSD Short, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
My Take on the EURUSD H1 Setup (July 14, 2025)
This is a classic textbook-quality TCB setup forming right at a critical confluence zone. Here's a full breakdown from a trader's lens:
🔵 1. Trend
Bias: Bullish
The macro structure from June shows a strong uptrend, and the most recent impulse was explosive — indicating active buyers.
H4 and D1 show no trend break yet.
🔵 2. Countertrend
The descending channel is neat and controlled — no erratic spikes or liquidity wicks that signal confusion.
Compression into the demand zone (gray box) around 1.1652–1.1710 shows sellers are weakening.
This is typical of pre-breakout structure when buyers are loading up under the radar.
🔵 3. Breakout
Price just broke cleanly above the channel and is sitting slightly above the horizontal resistance (1.1710).
A retest and bullish candle confirmation would be ideal — don't rush in yet, let the market prove its intent.
🧠 Strategic Entry Zone (My Plan)
EP: 1.1710–1.1720 (after bullish retest candle)
SL: 1.1650 (just below demand and structure low)
TP: 1.1840 zone (clean R:R ≈ 1:2)
⚠️ Risk Watch
DXY inverse correlation should support this (if DXY is breaking lower, that adds confidence).
Make sure there's no high-impact news within next 4–6 hours (like US CPI, FOMC).
Session timing is favorable — NY open approaching, which brings momentum.
✅ Verdict
High-probability long setup (TCB Score: 8/10).
Wait for a bullish retest candle on the 1H or even 15M before entry. If that happens, the probability of hitting 1.1840 is strong — particularly if volume confirms.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.177.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.172 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 14, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure: on Monday the pair slipped to 1.16750 after the European Commission extended its pause on retaliatory tariffs against the United States until 1 August. With no resolution in sight, the trade dispute keeps European exporters on edge and turns the dollar into a safe-haven choice for investors looking to limit risk.
Additional support for the greenback comes from rising real yields. The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate is holding above 4.40 %, locking in a wide spread over German Bunds. That has led futures traders to price in just one 25 bp Federal Reserve rate cut for the rest of the year, reducing the euro’s relative appeal.
Macro data from the euro area offer little relief. German industrial production rose only 0.2 % m/m in May, while the July ZEW expectations index slid back into negative territory. With the ECB having already delivered a June cut and projecting lower inflation ahead, inward capital flows to the eurozone remain subdued.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16750, SL 1.17050, TP 1.16200
EURUSD buy zoneEURUSD is holding around levels just below 1,1700.
Tomorrow, U.S. inflation data is expected, which could trigger bigger moves.
The key zone to watch for a reaction is between 1,1591 and 1,1682.
Look for a bounce and potential buying opportunities in that area.
Next resistance levels to keep in mind are 1,1813 and 1,1916!
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EURUSD BUY So we have nice weekly fvg below along with a strong pivot point we could possibly see price reach this level before the push to the upside. I’m pretty confident we will have a strong push to the upside due to the macroeconomics and positioning of key players as they are still very bullish on the euro as we still creating higher highs consistently. A lot of people are in sells right now so we could see them taken out before the move to the downside they the EurUsd buy will be in play .
ETHEREUM - ETH Weekly Recap & Projection 13.07.2025Current Structure
Ethereum is showing a clear bullish bias.
Last week’s price action broke above a significant weekly swing level with solid candle closures — suggesting continuation.
Short-Term Scenarios
We could see two potential outcomes:
• A consolidation range forming at current levels
• A short-term retracement influenced by Bitcoin’s movement
Due to ETH’s high correlation with BTC, traders should review Bitcoin’s chart to understand ETH’s likely path.
Trading Plan
Wait for Bitcoin to complete a retracement
Monitor ETH for LTF (lower timeframe) confirmation and bounce
Seek long setups below the CME Gap (pink line)
Step 2 will serve as the trigger to initiate any positions on ETH.
Macro Risk-On Catalyst – Powell Resignation?
There are growing rumors regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell potentially resigning.
If confirmed, this could result in a strong rally across risk assets, including ETH — likely pushing prices higher without traditional pullbacks.
Summary
• ETH broke major weekly structure
• Watch BTC for clues — correlation remains high
• Plan favors long entries after BTC retrace + ETH LTF confirmation
• Powell resignation rumors could accelerate bullish trend
EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD keep trading in
An uptrend along the rising support
So as the pair is approaching
A the support we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a move up on Monday
Buy!
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EUR/USD Bullish Continuation SetupMarket Structure Overview:
The market remains in a clear higher timeframe bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price has entered a descending channel, resembling a bull flag formation — a classic continuation pattern that typically precedes a strong bullish breakout.
Key Observations:
✅ Descending Channel (Bull Flag): Price is respecting a downward-sloping channel while remaining above key demand zones.
💧 Liquidity Pools: Multiple liquidity highs have been left untouched above — suggesting fuel for a potential impulsive move upward.
🧹 Liquidity Sweep: On both H4 and H1, we see a clear sweep of previous equal lows, tapping into a significant demand zone.
📈 Reaction from Demand: Strong reaction from the demand zone suggests institutional buying interest.
🔵 Projection: A bullish breakout from the flag could target the liquidity above 1.1800, with immediate resistance near 1.1740–1.1760.
Bias:
🔼 Bullish — as long as price holds above the most recent demand zone (~1.1649), the bias remains bullish with expectations of a breakout and continuation toward previous highs.
Note: We must see how the market opens on Sunday night going into Monday. Based on the initial price action, we can determine the best trading opportunities and direction for the upcoming week.