EUR/USD Weekly analysis 13-April-2025Last week, due to US news,
the Euro broke the ceiling of the 4H channel and the resistance of 1.1200
and also broke the strong resistance (formed by the intersection of the static resistance of 1.1278 and two dynamic resistances,
which also included the monthly resistance)
and touched the resistance level of 1.1462
*Currently, the price is in the range zone
and I expect the price to play in this zone (as shown on the chart) for a while
And if the breakdown is not caused by the excitement of the market and fake news;
the price of 1.1278 will play the role of support and the price will rise
Otherwise, the price will decrease after playing in the zone for a while
We will be patient and go with the trend
(On the monthly and daily time frames, we see divergence and on the weekly time frame, we see saturation in buying)
* Be profitable
Thank you for expressing your opinion by liking and commenting
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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Eurusd ultimate buy ideaPrice is in a consolidation due to buyers impulse not giving up but eventually the sellers will push the price lower and the buyers will have no choice but to give it and wait for a came back at the fib level 61.8 with the H4 tf
All these after a sell as seen in the chart illustration.
EURUSD Day Trade Idea Hi today I am looking at the EURUSD, and can see some potential day trade sell possibly happening soon or now. I have drawn the sell liquidity zone using the red box to show the sell pressure candles back from the current candle. Thank you please support me by following me.
#eurusd #eur #usd #sell #daytrade #day #trade #forex
@ilyaskhan.1994
EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern
Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse.
Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction.
Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential.
✏️ Key Levels:
Current Price: ~1.1394
Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support)
Next Resistance Levels:
Minor: 1.1450
Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical)
📈 Trendlines:
Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs.
A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds.
⚠️ Risk Watch:
After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range.
Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis
📰 Key Drivers Today:
🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment:
Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD.
🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors:
ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover.
Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens.
💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY):
Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind.
DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally.
📊 Sentiment Overview:
Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought.
Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation.
Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone.
🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts:
Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea
⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further
⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds
🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
EUR/USD – 1H TimeframeChart Review (EUR/USD – 1H Timeframe):
This chart appears to follow a clear Elliott Wave structure. The count shows that wave (2) has completed, and we are now progressing through a strong impulsive wave (3). Within wave (3), sub-waves 1 and 2 are labeled, with wave 3 in progress. The internal structure of wave 3 is unfolding nicely, with smaller-degree waves (i), (ii), and (iii) already formed, and a corrective (iv) in red currently completing.
The recent correction seems to follow an A-B-C structure, where wave a and b are complete and wave c may be nearing its end, signaling the end of wave (iv). If this count holds, a continuation to the upside in wave (v) of (iii) is expected next, potentially pushing EUR/USD higher toward the 1.1500–1.1700 area as projected on the chart.
The bullish momentum remains intact as long as the price stays above the low of wave (iv). A break below that level would call for a reevaluation of the current count.
EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation.
On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025.
Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board.
1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress
EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years.
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support.
🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside.
🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains.
1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming
Zooming into the daily chart, we see:
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation).
✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets.
📌 What’s Bullish:
Clean breakout ✔️
Retest with strength ✔️
Momentum crossover ✔️
EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks.
Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
USDollar/EuroJust wanted to point out that the dollar has already lost support in terms of the Euro, and regardless of indicators, I doubt it recovers until the next president.
I see this hitting all time lows within 2 years, that's how bearish I am on the US dollar.
Probably should have posted this Thursday when I posted teh gold plots.
EURUSD(20250414) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1339
Support and resistance levels:
1.1624
1.1517
1.1448
1.1229
1.1160
1.1054
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1339, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1448
If the price breaks through 1.1229, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1160
EURO/USD BREAKOUT AFTER CONSOLIDATION PRICE MAKE UPWORD MOVEA resistance zone is marked near the top (around the 1.13 - 1.14 range), which was previously a strong price ceiling.
A support zone is marked near the bottom, showing a level where price previously bounced back up.
2. Break of Structure (BOS):
A BOS label indicates a key price structure has been broken, suggesting a potential shift in market direction — in this case, likely a bullish breakout.
3. Rocket Icon and Target Area:
The rocket icon and green target box symbolize a bullish price projection, suggesting that price may continue upward.
The target zone is projected near 1.165547, hinting at a long/buy position expectation.
4. Fibonacci Level:
There's a Fibonacci extension or retracement level (0.786923566402819) drawn, likely helping define entries or confirmations.
5. Price Action:
The chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a recent breakout from consolidation.
A small consolidation or retest pattern is drawn within the green zone (above 1.13546), suggesting a bullish continuation after a potential retest.
6. Trade Setup:
The chart likely represents a buy setup, entering around 1.13546 after a pullback, with stop loss below the red zone and take profit near the green target zone.
EURUSD
Analyzing the EUR/USD pair, I identified a significant triangle pattern on the monthly timeframe, suggesting a potential price target of 1,19. However, the crucial 1.13 level wasn't breached on the weekly and daily timeframes, indicating a retest before any upward movement. The formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests an ongoing uptrend. Stay tuned for potential bullish continuation.
EURUSD Breaks Out – But Will the Channel Hold the Follow-ThroughEURUSD has broken above the weekly expanding wedge, but the real test lies ahead. Price is still respecting an upward channel on the daily, and this week's open could act as a key launchpad—or rejection point. A clean bounce here confirms strength; failure signals a potential fakeout. Watch closely.
“EUR/USD Nears Wave (C) Climax – Will Smart Money Step In?”EUR/USD is approaching the final leg of its corrective A-B-C structure. With wave (C) targeting the 1.15–1.18 supply zone, a major reversal setup is brewing.
Wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction structure in play
Current bullish momentum likely completing wave (C)
Watch for potential 50% and 78% Fibonacci retracement zones for next sell setups
Embedded Wyckoff distribution schematic suggests institutional unloading soon
If you're tracking smart money, the final wave up could be the perfect setup to sell the rally once signs of distribution confirm.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.15–1.18 (Wave C Top)
First Demand: 50% zone
Deeper Demand: 78% retracement = high confluence
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #WyckoffMethod #SmartMoney #ForexForecast #WaveC
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"EUR/USD Squeeze Breakout"1. Chart Pattern:
You can see a descending triangle forming (red lines).
Price is squeezing between the red resistance line (sloping down) and the red support line (almost flat).
This shows the market is in a consolidation phase.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Support zone: Around 1.13000 (the blue box at the bottom).
Resistance zone: Around 1.15500–1.16000 (the blue box at the top).
3. Breakout Expectation:
There is a black arrow indicating an expected bullish breakout (upward movement).
Target after breakout is shown around 1.14414.
4. Trading Idea:
If price breaks above the red resistance line (triangle top), it is expected to move towards the 1.14414 area.
Buyers might enter after confirmation of breakout.
5. Risk Area:
If price fails and breaks down below the red support, it could fall toward the 1.13000 zone.
Is EURUSD Bearish this week?hello traders Ive been on a break from trading for a few months but now I'm back.
Will EURUSD be going up or down this week??
well it seems so Lets dive deep into to the charts.
As you can see this is a clear uptrend but It is now showing a lot of weakness.
As you can see there is a clear divergence and the visible strong pullback, that is what is against bullish setups.
But why do I want to sell??
rejection for shorts but look the pullbacks they are getting weaker every time.
Another thing you have to take a look at is this daily high and low indicator as you can see we have been ranging for 3days and I am now expecting a breakout.