EURUSD price analysis week 20🌐Fundamental Analysis
USD gains ground: Thanks to the hawkish tone of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the announcement of the UK-US trade deal, the USD strengthened against other currencies, dragging the EUR/USD pair lower in the US session on Thursday.
US Monetary Policy Outlook: The FedWatch tool shows only a 17% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in June, leaving the USD with room to rise if the Fed maintains a cautious stance.
Euro Outlook Weakens: ECB officials signaled a clear interest rate cut in June, as slowing growth and easing inflationary pressures limit the Euro's upside potential.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD has established a downtrend after breaking through a key technical support zone around 1.12900.
Key support to watch is around 1.1100 and the next zone is the weekly support zone of 1.1000.
During the week, if there is any sign of price increase above 1.129 creating a False break pattern, we will pay attention to the peak area of 1.036 for the SELL strategy.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.03600-1.03800 SL 1.04100
BUY EURUSD 1.11100-1.10900 SL 1.10600
BUY EURUSD 1.10000-1.09800 SL 1.09500
EURUSD trade ideas
DeGRAM | EURUSD is holding the accumulation zone📊 Technical Analysis
● CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is pressing the purple resistance line (~1.1335); a close above it should carry the pair to the mid‑channel support level at 1.1450, then to the upper resistance level near 1.1560.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US initial claims rose to 241 k and continuing claims to 1.916 m, pushing yields lower and softening the USD.
● ECB officials signal caution on additional rate cuts after June, helping anchor euro yields and sentiment.
✨ Summary
Accumulation‑zone strength, weakening USD data, and a cautious ECB support a short‑term long view: objectives 1.1450 → 1.1560; the daily candlestick closes under the channel.
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Skeptic |EUR/USD : Bearish Breakout Unlocks Deep Corrections!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s start this Friday morning with a fresh EUR/USD analysis—some juicy setups are waiting! 😊 Our previous long position after the 1.13485 resistance break turned out to be a fake breakout, hitting our stop loss. But the short trigger I mentioned below 1.12676 activated, hitting a 2:1 R/R with a safe stop loss. Now, we’ve seen a pullback to that broken level, and if the trend continues, we can find more solid triggers. Stick with me to break it all down! Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The upward channel on the daily chart has finally broken , and when we talk about a channel break, we don’t mean a weak one—this was confirmed by two strong bearish candles. We might see a pullback to the channel, but if not, a break below the 1.12006 support could send us into a deeper correction toward 1.08454 . To confirm a full trend reversal, we’d need to see lower highs and lower lows on the daily.
So, with this in mind, it’s smarter to take positions in lower timeframes (like 4H or below) in the direction of the current bearish momentum to boost your win rate and R/R. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for the actionable setups.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After a prolonged box range and a fake breakout above the box’s ceiling, the price has now broken lower and is pulling back. For our short setup, we already have a position open from above at 1.12676 . But after a break of 1.12012 (which aligns with daily support), we can add to our position—with proper capital and risk management, of course.
Another confirmation for the short? The RSI entering oversold territory can be a solid signal. Why oversold? We need tools to gauge momentum, like SMA, RSI, or volume (though volume only works well in crypto since forex volume isn’t transparent due to bank transactions, etc. In crypto, every transaction is recorded, so volume is reliable). RSI is one of my go-to tools for spotting momentum shifts, and it’s been a profit machine for me. But remember: oscillators and indicators aren’t entry signals —they’re confirmations for the setups we’re trading. Want to learn more? I could drop a few YouTube videos on RSI alone—it’s worth the deep dive! 📚
For a long setup , we’d need a return to the box range and a break above resistance at 1.13740 to open a long. I’m not giving any long triggers before that because, as we said, the daily momentum has shifted to a downtrend, and we don’t want to trade against the higher timeframe flow.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with DXY🎯 ALGORITHMIC - Mentorship: Friday 09.05.25 during New York session, we traded Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with EU-DXY and we started with CVD Divergency - Apsortion allowing us a trading idea which translated into 1 trade executions on same logic.
Then we got an understanding that price was at the 3rd standard deviation using the VWAP and that the VAH correlated perfectly with an FVG created at M15.
During the trade we spoted a triple support in which we concluded that was an iceberg order by using EUR-USD futures 6EM(jun 25 contract) to get aquainted with order flow and confirm the iceberg which was later breached creating a new resistence.
The LTF, MTF Market structure showed a nice MMSM Market Makers Seller Model forming so we jumped in. Our target.... POC - Point of Control.....
Elevate your trading game with this deep-dive into algorithmic setups! In this session (Friday, May 9, 2025, New York hours) we combine classic Price Action with advanced flow tools—CVD, VWAP (including FRVP bands), and FX correlations—to hunt high-probability entries. Here’s what you’ll learn:
🔍 Session Breakdown
Trading View Analysis Chart:
- M3 -
- M15 -
- CVD Divergence & Absorption – Spot the imbalance that kick-started our first edge and trade execution.
- VWAP 3σ Reversion – Identify when price strays to the third standard deviation and pairs up with a Volume Area High that lines up with an M15 Fair Value Gap.
- Iceberg Order Detection – Use EUR/USD futures (6EM, Jun ’25 contract) to confirm hidden liquidity pools at triple-level support, then capitalize when they fliped to resistance creating a new pull back so we re-entered new position enforcing our logic.
- Market Structure & MMSM – Read the multi-timeframe swing highs and lows to pinpoint the Market Makers’ Seller Model—and know exactly when to strike.
🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome
- Entry triggered by a confluence of CVD setup + VWAP deviation + FVG validation
- Confirmation via order-flow iceberg break
- Target: Point of Control (POC)
📈 Key Takeaways
- How to fuse Price Action with CVD and VWAP for algorithmic precision
- Techniques to spot and trade iceberg orders in real time
- MTF structural analysis for aligning with institutional flows
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Forecast: Preparing for Wave 5 RallyIn the daily timeframe of EUR/USD, the third wave of the larger Elliott Wave structure appears to have been completed. Within this third wave, we can also observe that the subwave 3 of wave 3 has concluded, and currently, Wave 4 is unfolding.
Wave 4 is presently developing and is likely to retrace toward the 1.10683 level or potentially form a supportive close above it. This zone corresponds to both the subwave 4 of Wave 3 and the main Wave 4 correction, which indicates a critical area of confluence and potential completion of the corrective structure.
Once Wave 4 is confirmed to be complete near this region, the chart suggests that we may enter the beginning of Wave 5, providing a favorable long trade opportunity.
Entry Trigger: Sustained price above 1.10719
First Target: 1.12900
Second Target: 1.13837
Stop-Loss: 1.09518 (below the corrective Wave 4 low to protect the setup)
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!`
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1357 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1324
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Wave C Completion Confirmation Through Fibonacci and Level BFX:EURUSD We are now in wave C of the fourth wave, waiting for its completion. Fibonacci levels can be counted to determine potential correction targets, but to confirm further, breaking the key level at B should be monitored, as its breakout could provide a strong signal for the next direction.
EUR/USD Trade Idea – Bearish Setup Based on Dow TheoryBased on Dow Theory, EUR/USD is consistently forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic indication of a bearish trend.
We are placing a Sell Stop order just below the recent low. If the trend continues and a new LL is formed, it confirms further downside, and we will execute two separate trades — each with a distinct risk-reward strategy.
🔹 Trade Setup Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Trend: Bearish
Entry (Sell Stop): 1.11910
Stop Loss (SL): 1.12975
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.10845 (Trade 1: 1:1 RR)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09978 (Trade 2: 1:2 RR)
Lot Size: 0.09 ( For both Trades)
Risk Per Trade: $100 ( Total $200 for both Trades)
Reward Potential: Up to $300 ( Trade 1: $100 and Trade 2: $200)
📌 Trade Strategy:
We are executing two separate trades:
Trade 1: Targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio – a more conservative position.
Trade 2: Targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio – aiming for greater profit if the trend extends.
This dual-trade strategy allows us to lock in partial profits early while still having exposure to larger potential gains.
✅ Bearish Structure Confirmed
✅ Two Trade Plans
✅ Defined Risk and Reward
✅ Dow Theory-Aligned Setup
🔔 Follow for more trade setups, and feel free to share your thoughts or chart ideas in the comments!
#Hashtags:
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #DowTheory #BearishTrend #TradingView #PriceAction #FXMarket #ForexSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #SellSetup #RiskReward #ForexStrategy #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #ForexCommunity #TradeSmart
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 8 May 2025
- EURUSD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1130
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the support area between the support level 1.1300 (which has been reversing the pair from the start of April), support trendline of the daily up channel from March and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction ii from the start of April.
EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1130 (former strong resistance from the start of April).
EUR/USD | Bearish Retest Before Continuation Drop? (1H & 4H ConfPrice is currently retesting a previous supply zone after breaking structure to the downside.
We have a rising wedge formation on the 1H chart, paired with clear bearish market structure on the 4H.
If this zone (1.12800–1.13188) holds, we may see continuation downwards
This setup aligns with smart money concepts — letting price pull back into premium zones before the next impulsive leg.
EURUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1278
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1344
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1236
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Hit Target, what´s next? The EUR/USD just hit my take profit target at 1.12, exactly as planned. I'm now patiently waiting for the next bullish rejection to re-enter a short position. The setup remains aligned with my overall bias, and I’ll be watching closely for confirmation before pulling the trigger again. @moneyflowing