EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid.
Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ).
I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall.
If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4.
We'll see how this all develops.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD may rally after breaking through resistanceThe correction against the global bullish trend is reaching the trading range boundary, but the bulls are not giving up. A struggle is forming, as can be seen from the price trading in the 1.155 - 1.165 zone. A rebound from 1.163 and a breakout of resistance could strengthen demand and lead to growth.
Bears are trying to keep the price below the downward resistance, but attempts to break through the line (retests) are continuing, which only increases the chances for a further rally.
The following fundamental nuances are equally important: prices are rising amid preparations by the EU for possible retaliatory measures in response to Trump's threat to impose 30% tariffs. Tomorrow, Fed Chairman Powell will speak (hints on interest rates), and on Thursday, the ECB will announce its decision (interest rates are likely to remain unchanged).
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1627
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1710
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1577
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my fresh support & resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Vertical Support 2: Falling trend line
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 1.1577 - 1.1600 area
Support 2: 1.1445 - 1.1458 area
Support 3: 1.1356 - 1.1373 area
Support 4: 1.1190 - 1.1280 area
Resistance 1: 1.1682 - 1.1766 area
Resistance 2: 1.1807 - 1.1830 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0956
2nd Support – 1.0625
💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context
Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction .
The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties.
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EURUSD is Nearing the Daily Uptrend! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15800 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
One last rally in EUR/USDIn the right bottom you can see the Daily chart for EUR/USD:
The chart shows the EUR/USD on a daily timeframe.
There was an initial strong rise of 1,700 pips, marked as a 100% move.
After this, the price corrected downward by 1,084 pips, which is 61.8% of the previous rise.
The 61.8% retracement is a common Fibonacci level, often signaling a reversal or pause.
Now, the price is moving up again, following a similar path as the first rise.
The chart suggests a possible new upward move of another 1,700 pips (100%).
A "take profits zone" is marked at the top, indicating a target area for traders.
This pattern reflects how markets often move in waves: trend, correction, and trend continuation.
Fibonacci levels help traders identify potential reversal points.
The chart is used to project future moves based on past price behavior.
The MAIN CHART shows a clear uptrend for EURUSD and the current correction with a flag.
The combination of both patterns give us a clear BUY zone in the channel and using the trend as support or once the channel break upwards.
This is a very good risk reward ratio trade situation where all traders should be!
EURUSD Is Weaker vs USD. Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
EURUSD
Expecting the USD to continue to push higher, which would further drag the EURO down. Look to take advantage of this dynamic and wait for sell setups!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD – Watch for Bullish Reaction Near 1.15744Description:
EURUSD is approaching a major support zone at 1.15744, as shown on the 4H chart. This level lines up with prior structure and could act as a springboard for a bullish move if buyers step in.
Trade Plan:
Do NOT enter immediately at 1.15744.
Wait for clear bullish confirmation at or just above 1.15744 (examples: bullish engulfing, strong pin bar, multiple rejections, or your trusted indicator).
If confirmation is seen, consider a long trade targeting the next resistance levels at 1.16292, 1.16753, and 1.17229.
Place your stop-loss slightly below the swing low (around 1.15441 or according to your risk).
Why Wait for Confirmation?
1.15744 is an area to monitor, not a trigger!
Price may slice through the level or fake out before reversing—waiting for confirmation increases your edge and reduces risk.
Levels to Watch:
Support (monitor for entry): 1.15744
Stop Loss: Below 1.15441
Targets: 1.16292, 1.16753, 1.17229
Extra Tips:
Ignore the entry level if price shows no bullish reaction or momentum.
Watch for news/events that could create volatility and invalidate this setup.
Summary:
Wait for the market to show its hand at 1.15744. Only enter on solid bullish evidence!
EURO - Price may drop to $1.1350 support level Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Euro began its journey by breaking into a rising channel off the swing low near $1.1080, establishing a clear uptrend.
Within this channel, price carved out steady support along the lower trendline, touching $1.1350 before buyers stepped.
Mid-channel, two breakout attempts at $1.1550 and $1.1725 highlighted bullish conviction, yet both retreated back below resistance.
Simultaneously, two exit signals appeared near the upper trendline around $1.1765, showing that upward momentum was losing steam at key inflection points.
Currently, EUR is holding just below the channel base after a minor bounce, consolidating as traders weigh the next move.
I foresee a brief climb toward near $1.1670 before a renewed bearish thrust drives price back down to test $1.1350 level.
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EURUSD – Bearish Rhythm ContinuesEURUSD is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the 4H timeframe, maintaining a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that bearish order flow remains intact, especially after the recent rejection from the upper boundary of the channel. The previous move up was largely a liquidity grab, taking out short-term highs before swiftly reversing, which adds confluence to a continuation lower.
Liquidity and Imbalance Zones
After sweeping some upside liquidity near 1.1670, price left behind a clean set of equal lows and an unmitigated fair value gap (FVG) sitting below, acting as a magnet. The purple zone marks this FVG, which is likely to be the next area of interest for price as it aligns with the midpoint of the channel and previous demand. Below that, there’s also a clear support region with resting liquidity, giving price a solid reason to reach deeper before reversing.
Projected Path and Channel Dynamics
As long as we remain inside the current bearish channel, we should expect price to respect the internal structure and continue pushing lower. The expectation is for price to trickle down through lower highs and lower lows, tapping into the FVG and potentially sweeping the lows beneath it. The projected internal path mimics this staircase-style movement down before any potential reversal can happen.
Reversal Zone and Bullish Scenario
If price does sweep the lows around 1.1450 and fills the imbalance cleanly, this would create ideal conditions for a bullish reversal. A reaction from this zone could lead to a break of the channel structure, initiating a shift in market sentiment. The upside target, in that case, would be the clean area around 1.1700 where previous liquidity was removed but not yet retested.
Short-Term Expectation
In the short term, the path of least resistance remains bearish. The most probable scenario is a continuation down into the FVG and potential liquidity sweep before we see any meaningful upside. Any premature breakout from the channel without first collecting this liquidity would be viewed as a weak move lacking proper fuel.
Conclusion
EURUSD remains technically bearish while inside the descending channel. Liquidity has been taken on the upside, and the path is now open to target unmitigated imbalances and resting lows. A full sweep into the FVG area could provide the setup for a clean reversal, but until then, trend continuation is favored.
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Engulfing SellThe asset shows signs of continuation in a downtrend. After a significant retracement at a favorable Fibonacci level, a bearish engulfing pattern appeared. This engulfing pattern resulted in a behavioral shift, causing the temporary pullback to resume its decline. I believe this will be the case, provided that the subsequent candlesticks confirm the entry signal.
ATM_GS : We are nearing...
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed?
Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way:
Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak
France:
Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast)
Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction)
Germany:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected)
Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary)
Eurozone Overall:
Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50)
Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast)
ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected.
U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising
Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K)
Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise)
Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD)
Interpretation :
The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany.
Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience.
This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive.
Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )
Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position .
EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) .
Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) .
If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our tale profit.
Entry: 1.1667
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1736
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1535
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD: Can't break the whale line!📉 EUR/USD Whale Wall – 1.1675 Rejection Zone
🐋 Smart Money is guarding 1.1675 like it’s sacred.
Every test into this level has been slapped down—likely a whale-level supply zone where institutional sell orders are stacked. VolanX projection curve suggests a macro fade into late July, aligning with DXY strength and bond volatility signals.
Outlook:
As long as 1.1675 holds, momentum favors downside toward 1.1450–1.1400. Rate divergence + weak Eurozone prints fuel the short bias. Break above 1.1675 invalidates.
📊 VolanX Protocol – Predict. React. Dominate.
#WaverVanir #VolanX #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #FXStrategy #MacroTrading
EUR/USD 4H Bullish Reversal Setup Analysis:The chart shows a falling wedge pattern, a typical bullish reversal signal.
Price has broken out of the wedge, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside.
Two strong demand zones (highlighted with blue arrows and yellow box) show strong buying pressure around 1.15500–1.15700.
The Ichimoku Cloud above indicates resistance, but a breakout above it would confirm continued bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Current Price: 1.16171
Immediate Resistance: 1.16979
Next Targets (TP):
TP1: 1.17057
TP2: 1.17578
TP3: 1.17623
Support Zone: 1.15500 – 1.15700
Conclusion: If the price holds above the 1.15700 support zone and sustains momentum above the wedge breakout, expect bullish continuation toward 1.17500+. Ideal long setup on retracement with tight SL below 1.15500.
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1727
Stop Loss - 1.1759
Take Profit - 1.1661
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD buyThe eurusd looks set for upward move , its in a huge uptrend on the daily chart so this pullback down looks perfect for a return to the highs, now back to the 2 hr chart and we can see we have clearly bounced off a dynamic support zone not once but twice and formed a double bottom then for the first time since July 4th we have broken up throughout the 50 day moving average breaking the structure and returning back , I can now see a move upwards from here.
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains.
🔸 Technical Structure (4H)
Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone.
Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower.
Downside targets:
🔹 First: 1.1637
🔹 Second: 1.1527
🔹 Final: 1.1445
Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly).
🧭 Key Fundamentals
🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand.
🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth.
Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside.
Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR.
⚠️ Risks to Watch
A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed.
Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales.
Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness.
New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises.
📆 Key Events Ahead
🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength.
🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts.
🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR.
🔄 Leader or Lagger?
EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves.
Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses.
Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it.
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.