EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD – Watch for Short-Term Reversal at Key ResistanceHello everyone! What’s your take on EURUSD?
EURUSD is clearly in a strong uptrend, but we should also keep an eye on potential short-term selling opportunities.
I’ve placed an entry near the psychological resistance at 1.175, waiting for signs of a reversal. If strong selling pressure emerges at this zone, EURUSD could pull back with two clear targets: TP1 around 1.1650 and TP2 near the 1.1590 support, an area of previous high-volume accumulation.
Confirmation would come from a bearish reversal candlestick at resistance, ideally with increasing volume. This could be a great opportunity for those waiting for a healthy correction before the uptrend resumes.
What’s your outlook on this pair?
EURUSD BEARISH REVERSAL At the top 1.1745, we see strong rejection wicks and bearish engulfing candles, hinting at exhaustion of buyers, Market entered sideways consolidation between 1.1680 and 1.1740, Price failed to break out of this range multiple times — forming a range-bound or distribution phase.
The current bullish candle indicates a temporary relief rally after recent bearish pressure, Rejection from 1.1720–1.1740 may send price back to test 1.1690 or lower.
POTENTIAL EURUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY...POSITION TRADEHello hello TradingView family! Hope you guys are doing amazingly well! Just wanted to come on here and make another post for a potential longer term opportunity I am seeing on the major currency pair EURUSD. So put your seat belts on and let's dive in!!
OK so I'm going to keep this very very simple. Not because I don't want to go in depth but because my trading is very simple and I'm just going to give it to you straight. So here are the points
1. Price is @ monthly supply
2. Price has made new highs & sitting at a monthly fib extension
3. Monthly RSI overbought conditions
4. Weekly has bearish divergence forming
5. Weekly/Daily buyer is slowing down
Make sense? If not..then I know you will figure it out. Watch for price to potentially poke a little higher but nice confluences for a fall in price. Appreciate you all!
EURUSD Sell, June 27HTF shows reaction from W/D Orderblocks with multiple Daily imbalances below as downside targets. While GBPUSD is also at a valid D OB, EU gives clearer confirmation on LTF.
On LTF, price opened London above Asia highs (ideal for short setups) and showed 15m BOS into a 15m POI.
We've tapped into a 5m Orderblock inside the 15m zone, followed by a clean 1m BOS.
📍Entry: 5m OB with SL above highs (tight 10 pip risk)
🎯 TP1: 1:3 (75% off)
🎯 Final TP: Below Asia low & Daily imbalance
📉 Risk: 0.25% (reduced it for more consistency)
Confident setup — but if price rallies to the upper 5m OB and leaves without us, that’s part of the plan. No chasing.
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD 4H CHART PATTERNThe EUR/USD 4-hour chart signals a bearish reversal after forming a double top near a strong resistance zone. Price was rejected twice from the same level, indicating exhaustion in bullish momentum. The chart also shows a potential breakdown from the rising channel, suggesting a trend shift. The Ichimoku cloud is starting to flatten, hinting at weakening upward pressure. A key support zone below is now in focus, and a break below that level could trigger further selling pressure. Overall, the structure favours a bearish outlook with clean downside targets if the current support fails to hold.
Entry Point: 1.16100
First Target Point: 1.14500
Second Target Point: 1.13880
Euro may start to decline to support line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was trading inside a downward wedge, gradually making lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the bottom of the wedge near the buyer zone (1.1210 - 1.1180), we saw a strong bullish impulse that broke through both the resistance line of the wedge and the support area near 1.1450 - 1.1485. This breakout signaled the beginning of a new phase - a transition into an Upward Channel. Since then, the price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this new structure. Along the way, it has rebounded from the support line multiple times and recently made a strong move up toward the resistance line of the channel. Currently, the price is approaching that resistance line, which may act as a potential reversal area. Given the previous price behavior and the clearly defined channel, I expect the price to reach the top boundary and then start to decline toward the lower support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP 1 at 1.1555 points, which aligns perfectly with the support line of the upward channel. Based on the recent breakout, the structure of the trend, and the reaction from key zones, I remain short-biased for the upcoming sessions. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD – Breakout Confirmed, Now Watching for Retest or 4hr ClosEURUSD has officially broken above the key 1.16020 resistance level on the 4hr chart, but price action has since gone stagnant. No strong bullish momentum has followed the break so far — a sign we may be due for a deeper pullback.
I remain bullish overall, but I'm watching for two potential scenarios:
✅ Safe Buy: Clean 4hr bullish close above 1.16020
🎯 HRHR Buy: Pullback to the former level of interest at 1.14149 if structure holds
Until one of those triggers, I’ll be patient. Let the setup come to you. Overall target remains the 1.18791 zone before reassessing.
Lingrid | EURUSD Short-Term Correction. Counter Trend SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD completed a full impulse move from the bottom, touching the upper resistance line while showing clear bearish divergence at recent highs. Price is now hovering near 1.16450, with early signs of weakness below the ascending blue trendline. A breakdown from this zone could confirm a reversal toward the 1.15585 support and potentially deeper if momentum builds.
📉 Key Levels
Sell zone: 1.1630 – 1.1650
Sell trigger: break below 1.1600
Target: 1.15525
Buy trigger: breakout and hold above 1.1650
⚠️ Risks
Divergence may take time to fully play out
Reclaiming 1.1650 would negate bearish setup
Consolidation near highs may trap early sellers
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USDOn the weekly chart, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the price channel, around the 1.1822 mark, from which a reversal of the entire trend may occur.
A divergence with the Marlin oscillator is ready for immediate formation. If the price breaks above the channel line, it will most likely be a false false breakout, invalidating the channel. Only a weekly candle close above the specified level, accompanied by the oscillator rising above the previous peak, would significantly complicate the technical picture for a trend reversal.
On the daily chart, a possible target in the event of a breakout above 1.1822 is the 1.1905 level - the resistance from 1.1822 is the 1.1905 level - the resistance from July - August 2021. On the four - hour chart, the Marlin oscillator does not support the price's bullish momentum.
For now, the trend remains upward, but we are preparing for a possible shift. The Nonfarm Payrolls, Independence Day, and "Liberation Day" (new tariffs) are just around the corner. Donald Trump may have a surprise in store.
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
EUR/USD Weekly – Two Long Setups Hello guys!
It is my perspective on eurusd!
Before we even reach the major resistance zone around 1.2050–1.2100, I’ve highlighted two long-term opportunities that may unfold as the price continues to climb.
✔ First Long Position:
It looks like a more conservative entry. The price is already above it. You can set a pending position!
It was likely aiming to catch the momentum as the price broke above the previous structure.
TP is near the descending trendline, around 1.2050–1.2100. a smart place to exit before major resistance hits.
✔ Second Long Position:
Positioned slightly lower. probably in case of a pullback or retest into the broken zone.
This one offers better risk-reward, but requires patience and a cleaner retracement.
Both longs are short-to mid-term swing ideas, aiming to ride the bullish leg into the bigger trendline rejection zone, where I’d personally be more cautious or even look for reversal setups.
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis 🚀💶
📊 Chart Summary:
The EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a strong bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action shows a breakout above the 1.16386 resistance level, now acting as support 🛡️. The market is currently retracing and might retest this new support zone before continuing its upward move toward the target.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔸 Bullish Structure:
Multiple bullish impulses have formed a clean staircase pattern (🔼⬆️), indicating sustained buying momentum.
🔸 Support Zone 🟦 (1.13200 - 1.14000):
This zone has been tested multiple times, confirming its strength and the base of this bullish rally.
🔸 Breakout & Retest 🟠:
Price broke above the 1.16386 resistance level, pulled back slightly (highlighted by the orange circle), and now looks ready for a potential continuation to the upside.
🔸 Target 🎯: 1.18010
A clear target has been set based on measured move or resistance projection. If the price respects the current structure, we may see a continuation toward this level.
✅ Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish 📈
Entry Zone: Around 1.16386 (upon bullish confirmation)
Target 🎯: 1.18010
Invalidation ❌: Break below 1.1600 with bearish momentum
🧠 Technical Tip:
Always wait for confirmation on the retest before entering. Wick rejections or bullish engulfing candles at the support zone can provide additional entry confidence. 🔍✅
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1698
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1814
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Mechanical rangesMany traders will talk about things like "Smart Money Concepts" (SMC) and think they have found something new.
The truth is, everything in trading stems back to Liquidity.
There is no "Algo" nobody is out to get you specifically. The market is always right, where you position yourself is your own choice.
I have written several posts on mechanical trading, recorded a number of streams. The more mechanical you can make the process, the less the emotions have a chance to kick your ass.
Let me give you a very simple method of being able to identify the ranges. Ignore the timeframes as this will work on any of them, on most instruments. (I say most, as some behave differently due to how it attracts liquidity). Lets assume high end crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC) and of course Forex in the general sense, stocks, commodities etc.
This is simple - only 2 rules.
You start by zooming out and giving yourself a general feel for the trend.
Let's say this looks to be an uptrend - we now need to understand the rules.
An opposing candle can simply be defined by a different colour. If the trend is up (Green) and we see a red candle - then it's an opposing candle.
The inverse is true, if we are down and the trend is Red. Then a Green candle would be opposing.
This is only half of the story. The second rule is a pullback candle or even a sequence of candles. This simply means either the very same opposing candle that doesn't make a new high or low (depending on the trend up not making fresh highs or down not taking new lows).
In this image, you can see we have in one candle both an opposing and pullback in one candle. This means we can now mark the high of the range. Working backwards to identify the swing range low.
This easy method means I can draw a range exactly the same and mechanically every single time.
Giving me a mechanical range.
We could then get a lot more technical by looking for liquidity, 50% of the range or places such as supply or demand areas.
But these are all for other posts.
For now, getting a range on the higher timeframes means you can work down and down into a timeframe you are likely to want to trade on.
These ranges will give clues to draws and runs of liquidity.
This will also help identify changes in the character and fresh breaks of structure.
Here's another post I posted on the mechanical structures and techniques.
More in the next post.
Have a great week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
SHORT ON EURUSD 📋 **TRADE PLAN FOR MT4/MT5**
**Trade Type:** Sell
**Entry Zone:** `1.1730 – 1.1740` (wait for rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation)
**Stop Loss:** `1.1755` (above recent highs and resistance box)
**Take Profit Levels:**
* **TP1:** `1.1537` (previous support)
* **TP2:** `1.1450` (strong demand zone)
**Position Size:** Adjust based on risk management (e.g., 1–2% of account)
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
* To TP1: \~1:3
* To TP2: \~1:5
✅ **TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES**
* ✅ Enter only after bearish candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) confirmation
* 🔄 If SL hits, reassess higher timeframe structure
* 🔒 Lock profits at TP1 (e.g., trail SL or partial close)
* 🗓 Watch for high-impact news (e.g., NFP, CPI) that may affect USD volatility