EURO - Price will continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to rising channel, where it soon reached the support level, which coincided with the support area.
After this movement, the price broke this level, but soon turned around and corrected the support line of the channel.
Next, EUR went back to $1.1365 level and broke it again, after which it made a retest and continued to move up.
In a short time, EUR rose to the resistance line of the channel, made a correction, and then grew to $1.1700 support level.
Price broke this level too and reached the resistance line of the channel, but not long ago corrected.
At the moment, I expect that the Euro can correct to the support line of the channel and then rise to $1.1900
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EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term.
On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed.
Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
EURUSD NEW HIGHS?The 1h timeframe reminds me of this book, LIQUIDITY AND MANIPULATION.
"The markets need to generate liquidity in order to move, so if liquidity isn´t
already there, it will be created. So when new traders come in to forex and
learn about it for the first time, what they usually do is gonna be retail based
trading.
So support and resistance, chart patterns which are extremely popular in the
industry, and things of that nature.
So what some brokers do is they offer free education for their clients once we
start trading. Now this education will usually be retail methods support and
resistance. "
Thanks for this idea.
here is the chart relative to this, see the price above it will clear?
I have more on this kind of idea.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more .
trade it or see it.
Goodluck
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May.
The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick.
Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels.
A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone.
A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken.
📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index)
Euro FX
Net long: +15,334
Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence.
Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish.
USD Index
Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net.
Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts.
→ USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal.
However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term.
📅 Seasonality
July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages.
However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025).
Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term.
🧩 Conclusion
Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal.
Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels.
USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
HelenP. I Euro will drop more, breaking the support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing the current structure of the EURUSD chart, I noticed a strong break of the ascending trend line, which had been respected for a long period. The price has now returned to test the broken trend line from below, aligning with the resistance zone between 1.1665 and 1.1700 points. This area used to serve as solid support, but after the breakout, it turned into resistance. The retest from below could become the final confirmation before the pair continues its downward movement. Right now, EUR is trading just inside this resistance zone. There is a small chance the price might move slightly higher to touch the upper boundary of the zone, but overall, the pressure looks bearish. I expect that after a minor bounce, EUR will decline again, breaking below the local support at 1.1665. Once that happens, a larger impulse down could be triggered, targeting even 1.1525 points, which is my main goal for this setup. This bearish scenario is supported by the failed attempts to recover above the trend line and the fact that previous support has already flipped to resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
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EUR_USD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL FVG I Target 50%Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
EURUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1685
Stop Loss - 1.1664
Take Profit - 1.1728
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD - Bears Are on the MoveHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Confirmation?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
There is a high chance that EURUSD will move up from the
underlined intraday support.
An ascending triangle formation and a violation of its neckline
indicate a strength of the buyers.
Goal - 1.1705
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EURUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.169.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.177 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/USD Price Action – Liquidity Grab & Demand Zones This 1-hour EUR/USD chart highlights key intraday price levels and potential trading zones. The chart identifies the Previous Day High (PDH), New York Session High (NY HIGH), and Previous Day Low (PDL). A notable Trap/Demand Zone just below the Asia High suggests a potential liquidity grab before a reversal or continuation move. Price is currently reacting within this zone, and traders may watch for confirmations of either a bullish continuation toward the PDH or a bearish rejection back to the PDL. The marked zones serve as potential trade entry/exit reference points for intraday strategies.
EURUSD Bearish IdeaAs you can see, EURUSD is in a small retracement of its uptrend, and in this retracement, it is constantly mitigating the supply zones. Therefore, in this current idea, we will wait for the price to reach the supply zone, if it gives confirmation, execute the sell order, and our target is the HTF demand zone.
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD
The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦.
📉 Market Structure:
🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1.
🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590.
🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday.
💡 How to Trade This:
✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level.
❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones.
📰 What’s Driving the Move?
🏦 Monetary Policy:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals.
💼 Economic Data:
The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report.
💵 Dollar Strength:
The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈.
🚨 Watch for:
🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries.
🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength.
🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
subminuette W4 seems finished
monitor the breakout of the descending channel that appears to contain wave IV
The bullish movement that started on July 17th must assume a 5-wave pattern
key levels (area)
1.1705
1.1684 POC
1.1654
note :
the breakout upwards of the leading span B (red line) by the lagging span (green line) will confirm the start of a bullish movement in the subminuette wave v.
Failure to break above price levels 1.1684 and 1.1705 will result in a recalculation of the waves count
EUR USD longas trend suggest and as today is Friday everything should settle this trade can be viable but the question that the target will hit would not be answered today
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !