EURUSD trade ideas
EU could go up some moreHi traders,
I think the bigger correction (red wave 4) for EU finished last week as a Triangle. After that we saw an impulse wave up (orange wave 1) and a correction so we knew price was ready to go up again for wave 3.
After the correction (orange) wave 4 next week, we could see the impulse wave 5 (orange).
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish after the finish of wave 4 and a small correction down to trade longs.
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This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Looking at the chart of EURUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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#EURUSD: Our Last Trade Mitigated Early, Now Swing Trade Active?EURUSD, in our previous recommendation, advised everyone to sell swing trades. However, the price was mitigated by a narrow margin. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry.
Good luck and trade safely.
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EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD is currently in a critical retesting phase after a strong bullish breakout. Price action is finding solid support around the 1.1200–1.1300 zone, an area that has previously acted as major resistance. As long as this zone holds, I expect a healthy bullish bounce that could fuel a continuation toward the 1.1800 level. Market structure remains bullish, and this pullback seems more like a technical correction before the next rally.
Fundamentally, the euro is being supported by a weaker US dollar sentiment due to growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. At the same time, improving Eurozone data and stabilizing inflation pressures are adding positive momentum to the EURUSD pair. If the US GDP numbers and inflation figures continue to disappoint, we could see further downside pressure on the dollar, pushing EURUSD higher.
Technically, the weekly chart shows a clean breakout from a long-term consolidation, and now the price is retesting the broken resistance as new support. The structure aligns perfectly with a bullish continuation setup. A strong bullish candle from this zone would be a major confirmation for buyers to target 1.1800 in the coming weeks.
In my view, EURUSD remains one of the strongest setups on the forex board, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key economic releases like US PCE data and Eurozone CPI, as they will drive volatility and direction. I stay bullish above the 1.1200 level and see excellent risk-reward potential in this trade idea.
STRONG USD AT ALLGiven the EURUSD trendline breakdown on the monthly timeframe and the completion of the pullback to the trendline, a sharp decline in this pair is not far off.
Everything points to a decline in the EUR and a strengthening of the USD. Buy cautiously or not at all and consider any rally as a selling opportunity!
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Euro successfully retested the completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.142 and completed the subsequent target identified within the Outer Currency Rally at 1.157. Consequently, the Euro experienced a firm decline to the Mean Support level of 1.131. However, it is essential to recognize that upward momentum may re-emerge, facilitating a retest of the Key Resistance level at 1.151 or potentially leading to a further decline toward the next support level designated as Mean Support at 1.119.
CHECK EUR/USD SIGNAL ANALYSIS | GO AND READ THE CAPTIONTrading Signal for EUR/USD (H1 Timeframe)
Entry Zone: Current market price around 1.13647.
Signal Type: Buy (Long Position).
Stop Loss (SL): Below the marked support zone, near 1.13500.
Take Profit Targets:
• Target 1: ~1.13721
• Target 2: ~1.13850
• Target 3: ~1.13922
Analysis: Price is expected to bounce from the support zone (yellow box) and move upward through the targets. A breakout structure is anticipated with higher highs and higher lows.
Risk Management: Ensure SL is properly set; move SL to breakeven after reaching Target 1 if preferred.
Note: Do trade at your own risk.
EURUSD UPDATESFX:EURUSD since this new idea are not your typical trades.
I expect the 2021 highs liquidity would be the target on this Run.
Build up method is like a re-accumulation phase then expansion, or it might go lower a bit.
This idea are on higher time frame, base on the 2021 highs liquidity pool.
THis is not a financial advice.
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slowly but surely trades, trade only small lots if you're a swing trader.
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EUR/USD 1.1500 IndecisionEUR/USD is working on its first red weekly candle after four consecutive weekly gains, and that had extended a strong showing in early-March as bulls started to take over. Interestingly this happens with the backdrop of a dovish ECB and this leads to CPI data for next week.
There's increasingly attractiveness behind swings, as taken from that indecision on the weekly following the failed test at 1.1500, and supported by an overbought RSI reading on the weekly chart. Supports at 1.1275 and 1.1200 could keep the door open for bulls to take another shot at the big figure of 1.1500, but if prices can slip down towards 1.1100 or perhaps even 1.1000, there could be a widening window for reversal potential.
It's important to remember that RSI is not a great timing indicator, and some of the more compelling setups from RSI happen from divergence, when a higher-high prints on price but a lower-high prints on the indicator - similar to what showed last year ahead of the Q4 reversal in the pair. - js
EURUSD(20250425) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1366
Support and resistance levels:
1.1448
1.1417
1.1397
1.1335
1.1315
1.1284
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1397, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1417
If the price breaks through 1.1366, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1335
EUR/USD LONG SIGNAL SETUP ANALYSIS | GO AND CHECK THE CAPTIONEUR/USD Long Signal Setup Alert 🚨
• Signal Setup
📍 Entry Zone: 1.1335 – 1.1350
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.1375
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.1400
🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 1.1467
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 1.1297
⸻
Technical Breakdown:
✅ Strong support holding at demand zone
✅ Potential double bottom/reversal structure
✅ Clean bullish projection with two profit targets
Stay patient. Let price come to the zone—execute only on confirmation!
NOTE: Trade at your own risk.
Russia-Ukraine Peace Agreement what could it mean to forex!A peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine could send ripples through the Forex and Commodities markets. Here's how major assets might react:
📊 Key Market Shifts to Watch:
✅ Risk-On Sentiment Returns
Traders may rotate out of safe havens like USD, JPY, CHF, and Gold.
Risk currencies like AUD, NZD, and emerging market currencies could strengthen.
✅ Euro Strength Likely (EUR ↑)
Europe gains the most relief → energy prices fall, inflation cools, confidence grows.
✅ Oil & Energy Prices May Drop
Peace reduces supply fears → crude oil and gas prices could fall → impacting CAD, NOK, RUB.
🔀 Likely Forex Movements:
🔼 Pairs Likely to Rise 💡 Reason
EUR/USD Euro up on peace; USD weakens as fear fades.
AUD/JPY Aussie rises on risk appetite; Yen weakens.
EUR/JPY Similar to AUD/JPY—EUR gains, JPY loses.
NZD/JPY Risk-on favors NZD; JPY drops.
EUR/CHF Swiss Franc weakens; Euro benefits.
USD/ZAR (falls) Rand strengthens on global optimism.
🔽 Pairs Likely to Fall 💡 Reason
USD/JPY USD and JPY both weaken, but USD may drop more.
USD/CHF Same story—less demand for safe havens.
USD/RUB Ruble recovery if sanctions ease.
CAD/JPY Oil-sensitive CAD may dip slightly
🟡 What About Commodities Like Gold? (XAU/USD)
⬇️ Gold Likely to Fall
As a traditional safe-haven, Gold (XAU/USD) tends to rise during geopolitical turmoil.
Peace = lower fear = investors rotate out of Gold into riskier, yield-bearing assets.
Lower inflation expectations could also reduce demand for Gold as an inflation hedge.
🧠 Key Level Watch:
If peace is confirmed, XAU/USD could drop below key support zones, especially if USD strengthens slightly on rate differentials.
🔍 Final Thoughts:
The magnitude of these moves depends on the terms and credibility of the peace deal.
If it includes sanctions relief and long-term commitments, expect larger market reactions.
Stay alert for central bank policy shifts, especially if inflation drops.
💬 What pairs or commodities are you watching if peace becomes a reality? Drop your insights below!
📌 Follow me for more macro-FX breakdowns, commodities analysis, and trading insights.
The Day AheadMacro Data to Watch:
US: April Kansas City Fed Services Index – May give insight into regional business sentiment.
UK: April GfK Consumer Confidence – Early read on sentiment post-budget.
March Retail Sales – Important for GBP and rate expectations.
Japan: April Tokyo CPI – Key inflation indicator ahead of BoJ policy.
France: April Business Confidence – Watch for any signs of slowing Eurozone momentum.
Canada: February Retail Sales – Impacts CAD, potential rate path hints.
Central Bank Watch:
BoE’s Greene speaks – May offer clues on UK rate path amid inflation stickiness.
Earnings to Watch (Market Movers):
US: AbbVie, Colgate-Palmolive, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Schlumberger, Centene, LyondellBasell
Focus on healthcare, consumer staples, and energy names for sector sentiment.
Asia: Ping An Insurance, Keyence, Advantest – Key bellwethers for China and Japan.
This lineup could drive volatility across FX (GBP, JPY, CAD), equity indices, and sector ETFs. Watch sentiment shifts based on inflation data and earnings surprises.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trump Reassures on Trade and FedThe EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Under the Upper Limit of the Range📊 Technical Analysis
EURUSD formed a bearish takeover and returned under the trend line.
Trading below $1.1405 leaves the potential to reach $1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Germany cut its 2025 growth outlook to near-zero as tariff uncertainty bites.
✨ Summary
Weak eurozone data and Trump's tariffs imposition provide a technical basis for a fall towards $1.12.
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