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EURUSD trade ideas

Market next move Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis: 1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box): Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure. This may form a double-top or even a bull trap. 2. Volume Anomaly: The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail. 3. Overextended Rally: The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction. If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement. 4. Bearish Divergence Potential: If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk. 5. Fundamental Pressure: If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD 4H CHART PATTERNThe chart you've provided is a 4-hour EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) chart with a clear technical breakout setup: Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Channel Broken: The chart previously had a descending channel (marked by black trendlines). A breakout above this channel occurred recently, indicating a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 2. Ichimoku Cloud Breakout: Price has broken above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bullish trend reversal. The cloud now acts as support. 3. Arrow Indicators: Green arrows indicate bullish reversal points (support/resistance flip or buying signals). Red arrows mark previous rejection or resistance levels. 4. Projected Move (Red Path): There's a zigzag arrow pointing to the 1.15500 level, implying a potential bullish target. Intermediate resistance is noted around 1.14500. 5. Price Action: Current price is 1.13319. A break above 1.13500 could confirm continuation to the next resistance zone (around 1.14500), with final target near 1.15500. Technical Summary: This chart suggests a bullish breakout with potential upside targets around: 1.14500 (first target) 1.15500 (final target) Would you like help with trade planning (entry/SL/TP), or an analysis update based on live data?
by Rich_trader01
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Long
by Thief_Trader
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe) The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment. Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows. This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish. 📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted: Bullish Pennant Formation: Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant). Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant. Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups. This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout. Support & Resistance Zones: SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support). Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout. These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control. Projected Target: Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest. 🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy ⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk. Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support) Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region) Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes: A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone. The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers. Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence. 📚 Educational Takeaway: This setup serves as a great case study in: Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants) Breakout-retest behavior Measured move target projections Trend confirmation techniques Market psychology and structure If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD resistance calls for attentionFollowing the EUR/USD (euro versus the US dollar) trading within striking distance of a head and shoulders top pattern’s profit objective at US$1.1049, bulls went on the offensive. Consequently, price has pencilled in an AB=CD bearish formation at US$1.1332, according to the 100% projection ratio and a 1.618% Fibonacci extension ratio of US$1.1353 (B-C reciprocal). However, in terms of a resistance zone, I would be inclined to include the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio at US$1.1386, which shares chart space with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1382. Harmonic traders tend to target the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios derived from the A-D legs, which, assuming a temporary peak in price at current levels, reside at US$1.1242 and US$1.1175, respectively.
Short
by FPMarkets
Euro H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Euro (EUR/USD) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.1274 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.1195 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.1426 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EURUSD Trendline Breakout – Bullish Target Ahead EURUSD has successfully broken out of a strong descending trendline, which was acting as dynamic resistance for weeks. The breakout is backed by strong bullish candles and clear higher lows forming. After the breakout, the price also reclaimed a key horizontal support zone around 1.12573, turning it into a solid base for further upside. 🎯 Bullish Target (Expected): First major bullish target at 1.13864 based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last swing move. 📌 Support: 1.12573 📌 Breakout Confirmation: Valid as long as price holds above the trendline and support. 📈 Outlook: The momentum looks strong for further bullish continuation. If the price holds above the breakout zone, we expect a move toward 1.13864 in the coming sessions.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 20 May 2025- EURUSD broke daily down channel - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.1370 EURUSD currency pair continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave (3), which started earlier from the strong support level 1.1130 intersecting with the support trendline of the daily down channel from April. The support level 1.1130 was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse 5 from March. Given the clear daily uptrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1370 (which stopped the previous correction B).
Long
by FxProGlobal
Trade Setup Summary – USDEUR (U.S. Dollar / Euro)!📈 Chart: 30m timeframe 🔺 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bullish Setup Attempt) You’ve drawn a clean symmetrical triangle and price is currently testing the breakout zone. 📍 Entry Zone: Around 0.8876 Reason: Price is at the apex of triangle, possible breakout forming. 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Around 0.8855 Below lower triangle boundary and horizontal support 🎯 Target Levels (TP): TP1: 0.8926 (Red resistance line) TP2: 0.8956 (Yellow zone – minor supply) TP3 (Optional): 0.8984 (Major resistance zone) ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: Targeting ~1:2 if trade hits TP1. Even better if extended to TP2 or TP3. 🧠 Technical Highlights: Price compression inside triangle shows reduced volatility. A breakout above the triangle would indicate strength. Horizontal support (green line) holding for now. Volume not visible but could confirm breakout strength. ✅ Bias: Bullish above 0.8875 breakout and triangle confirmation Bearish below 0.8855 (failed breakout)
Long
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD May 20 Failed Trade cont analysis hour to minute EURUSD May 20 Failed Trade Hour to minute chart analysis Narrative Breakdown Asia to London hour TF analysis *Price expands to a discount taking minor buy side *dips below the 50 fib, and CE of the FVG it was attempting to rebalance *on the 15 TF the above move retraces to the .618 Monday’s previous range, classic pullback in a bull market, setting up for a long for London, my oversight *20:30 Price launches with a visible reaction, to reverse course *22:45 price retests the IFVG created at 20:30 bounces off *price consolidates back to a premium *this threw me off-I don't buy in a premium on the previous range *clues price is going higher was price making higher lows 1:50 I entered to sell, equal highs taken and EXPECTING a sell off framing my logic from the morning not reading the HTF logic *2:05 stopped out Admittedly I did switch and buy after seeing my oversight and analyzing GBP/DXY logic and got stopped out Day over. Price did swing to equal highs that I did frame when I bought. Nice delivery with out me! Take aways *Scaling through all time frames for reactions at specific levels, and noting them, along with what liquidity was taken *HTF bias is KING *I was flexible by buying after my sell idea folded, I was not confident and hence got stopped out with a sloppy entry *rule broken 1 trade a day-2 trades today that cost me *after a successful trading day yesterday today I could have went to the beach *rule broken buying in a premium!!!! Grateful to be practicing and loosing trades are winning for the wealth of information that is provided
by LeanLena
EURUSD May 20 Failed TradeEURUSD May 20 Failed Trade Daily Chart Analysis Parent range equilibrium Previous range Premium My idea of price selling off to inefficient delivered price action yesterday, was NOT the Marco London move. What I over looked today on HTF analysis I see in hindsight now or what I am studying as result of being wrong. *HFT May 12 Monday made a low to the 70 HTF fib *Price retraces and returned to open and close in the same tight range, consolidating-building in orders *yesterday I executed a buy day with this HTF logic of price seeking the 50 HTF fib level-last week price was in a discount and this week heading to a premium *Yesterday Price expands to the 50 fib HTF to it and through it-celebrate my idea and trade being correct *Price closes in a premium just above the 50 HTF fib *Logic said intraday retracement of inefficient price to have a sell off day in London Going to continue the breakdown of this trade on the hour to the minute.
by LeanLena
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets. The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations. The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness. EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
by ChartMage
The Day AheadTuesday May 20 Data: US May Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, China 1-yr and 5-yr loan prime rates, Germany April PPI, Italy March current account balance, ECB March current account, Eurozone March construction output, May consumer confidence, Canada April CPI, Denmark Q1 GDP Central banks: Fed's Bostic, Barkin, Collins and Musalem speak, ECB's Wunsch, Cipollone and Knot speak, BoE's Pill speaks, RBA decision Earnings: Home Depot, Palo Alto Networks, Vodafone Other: G7 finance ministers and central bankers meeting in Canada (through May 22), EU's foreign and defence ministers meeting in Brussels This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation