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EURUSD trade ideas

The EUR & the USD. Events that can affect the move this weekThis week we are monitoring EUR and USD carefully, as we could see some interesting moves, due to some events on the economic calendar. Let's dig in. FX_IDC:EURUSD MARKETSCOM:EURUSD TVC:DXY MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
EURUSD Consolidating now, but soon may reveal a new trend!!!EURUSD is consolidating between the red box shown. Previously, it can be seen that, this whole area between 1.17050 and 1.16630 is very choppy, and not the best area to place any trades. Look at the market structure latest HH. If price pushes above 1.17050, we will continue in an uptrend, and then we will look for BUYS. Now, look at the red trendline drawn. It is interacting with the consolidation zone. We have a very small pullback at the red arrow drawn. It exactly sits at 1.16630. The point is, if price goes below that level, we will know that price is respecting the trendline and would most likely continue moving down. Therefore, we look for SELLS. Obviously, we dont want to get caught in any fakeouts. So we will further look at how the candles are being formed later and what story they tell. Now we wait and watch.
by Nikladon
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 22, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trading near 1.1700, having retreated from an intraday high of 1.1720 after the release of the final June U.S. CPI figures, which confirmed a slowdown in inflation to 2.7% y/y and 0.1% m/m while keeping the core reading steady at 3.1%. The brief rise in risk appetite quickly gave way to stronger demand for the dollar as the probability of the Fed’s first rate cut in September fell from 65% to 55%. Additional pressure on the euro comes from the yield differential: 10-year U.S. Treasuries hover around 4.45%, while German Bunds yield only 2.30%. The gap of more than 215 bp encourages capital to flow from the eurozone into dollar assets, supporting USD demand. Fundamentally, risks for the euro remain tilted to the downside: after June’s rate cut the ECB said further moves depend on price dynamics, and the eurozone composite PMI dropped to 50.1 – the brink of stagnation. Against the backdrop of weak continental activity and moderate yet persistent U.S. inflation, the pair may test support at 1.1615 in the coming sessions, especially if U.S. durable-goods orders exceed forecasts. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1700, SL 1.1720, TP 1.1615
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish Setup Loading: Watching Structure & Confirmation ZonesHello Traders, Price is currently in a counter-trend pullback phase, showing signs of temporary weakness within a larger bullish context. Patience is key as we wait for price to build structure and break the internal Lower High (LH), which would act as an early signal of bullish continuation. The 4-hour internal structure remains strongly bullish, following a clean mitigation of the daily bullish continuation demand zone. A long setup from a 4H Point of Interest (POI), backed by Lower Timeframe (LTF) confirmation, offers a high-probability trade aligned with the higher timeframe trend. Confirmation through structural shifts will reduce risk and increase confidence in directional bias.
Long
by fxtrends28
EUR/USD Holds Firm Near 1.1700 Amid Trade TensionsFundamental analysis The EUR/USD pair remains buoyant near 1.1700 in todays Asian session, extending monday’s gains as the US Dollar weakens sharply amid renewed US-EU trade tensions. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is treading water around 97.88, down from its recent one month high of 99.00, as risk sentiment deteriorates following reports that President Trump is pushing for tariffs of 15%-20%, above the previously discussed 10%. Additionally, his unwillingness to ease the 25% auto levy has triggered a more aggressive EU stance, with Germany joining France in calling for retaliatory measures. On the monetary policy front, markets are focused on the European Central Bank (ECB), which is widely expected to keep rates unchanged on Thursday. However, President Christine Lagarde’s guidance will be crucial for gauging the euro’s direction in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, traders in the US remain confident that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% in next week’s meeting, further limiting upside for the dollar. Technical analysis EUR/USD remains caught within a pivotal range, with directional conviction still lacking as momentum indicators remain subdued. Upside Potential The pair must vault above the 2025 high of 1.1830 (July 1) to open the path toward the June 2018 peak at 1.1852. A sustained break above this dual resistance zone would likely encourage a bullish continuation, targeting fresh multi-year highs. Downside Risk Conversely, a breach of July’s base at 1.1556 would weaken the current structure and potentially trigger a deeper pullback: Initial support emerges at the 55-day moving average near 1.1485. Below that, the May 29 weekly low at 1.1210 offers the next significant floor. A failure to hold these levels could expose the psychologically critical 1.1000 handle, a key long-term support. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
by Blueberry
EUR/USD AccumulationOn the 5-minute timeframe, buying activity initiates, signaling the potential end of the downtrend. The first indication of upward momentum appears following the formation of a range and a subsequent liquidity sweep. Price then retests the prior low with diminished volume but fails to break below it, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed by buyers. This behavior reflects accumulation by informed participants positioning for a move higher. As demand begins to outweigh supply, clear signs of strength emerge Entry: 1.15765 Take Profit: 1.16279 Stop Loss: 1.15621
Long
by richard925
EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.21.2025​EUR/USD Pulls Back Amid Trade Deal Uncertainty EUR/USD edged down to 1.1620 during Monday’s Asian session, after gains in the previous session, as the US Dollar stayed firm and traders remained cautious ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the Trump administration expects to finalize trade deals with major partners in the coming weeks, calling the next two weeks “historic.” He expressed optimism about reaching an agreement with the EU but confirmed that August 1 remains a firm deadline for new tariffs. Resistance levels for EUR/USD are set at 1.1670, followed by 1.1700, and extend up to 1.1750. On the downside, support is found at 1.1580, with additional levels at 1.1540 and 1.1500.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD 21.07.25EUR/USD: Uptrend Continues — Targeting 1.1859** Market Overview: EUR/USD has bounced off the 1.1570–1.1540 support zone, confirming the integrity of the uptrend. The pair remains inside a rising channel and is approaching key resistance on the D1 level. Technical Signals & Formations: — EMA(144) on 8H acts as dynamic support — Key support at 1.1570–1.1540 held strong — Bullish momentum targets the 1.1859 resistance (D1) — Bullish candlestick pattern formed on rebound Key Levels: Support: 1.1570, 1.1540 Resistance: 1.1859 (D1) Scenario: Primary: continuation toward 1.1859 Alternative: if 1.1540 breaks, possible retracement to 1.1450
Long
by DENOLLAFINANCERU
EURUSD - M15 Supply Zone RetestThe current price action shows that the market is expected to first fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area, which acts as a price inefficiency zone demanding liquidity clearance. After the FVG is filled, the price is anticipated to retest the Higher Time Frame (HTF) Supply Zone, which serves as a strong resistance area. Following the retest of the supply zone, the prevailing downtrend is likely to resume, pushing the price downwards towards the HTF Demand Zone. This demand zone is identified as a key support level where buying interest is expected to emerge, potentially halting the decline temporarily or initiating a reversal. This trading plan emphasizes waiting patiently for the FVG fill as a prerequisite step before looking for a supply zone retest confirmation to enter short positions targeting the demand zone below, aligning with the overall bearish trend continuation.
Short
by famousone_chn
EURUSD - Bullish Bias with Tactical Short Setup• Pair: EURUSD • Bias: Bullish overall | Tactical short into demand • HTF Overview (4H): • Bullish structure confirmed. • Price took out SSL liquidity — likely draw is internal structure OB below. • Expecting deeper pullback before continuation. • MTF Refinement (30M): • Looking for price to sell off into 4H OB. • Price already mitigated 30M OB and rejected — watching for follow-through. • LTF Confirmation (5M): • Still in analysis mode — waiting on a CHoCH from 5M OB. • Green lines on chart reflect 5M internal structure. • Entry Zone: • Enter short only after 5M shift confirms. • Ride short into 4H OB demand zone. • Targets: • Short-term: 30M lows. • Major: 4H OB for bullish reaction. • Mindset Note: • No rush to enter — analysis leads, execution follows. • Let price deliver confirmation before switching to trader mode. Bless Trading!
Short
by Juicemannn
DXY was looking for More Liquidity to sweepIt appears that the DXY was searching for more liquidity before continuing its decline. There are good buying areas for the EURUSD, as the liquidity swept to the bottom, and the immediate rebound indicates the strength of this area and can be considered a buying zone. This area coincides with the 61 Fibonacci support line, confirming the possibility of an upside move. The GBPUSD was targeting the bottom to trigger a liquidity sweep on the weekly timeframe. This is also an SMT signal, but it is somewhat weak, but it confirms the complete vision of the analysis.
Long
by Mr_Liquidity1