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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – SHORT SETUPEUR/USD has broken below the ascending triangle pattern, signaling potential downside movement. The price is currently testing support at 1.0782, with the next key level around 1.0732. A retest of the broken trendline may confirm further bearish momentum. Traders watching for a short setup with a stop above 1.0812 and a target around 1.0732. 💡 Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Short
by seventeacup
EUR/USD possible short setupCurrent news:  – European data: The EUR inflation flash reading and related core inflation numbers (high‐ and medium‐impact) are on the radar. Although the forecast for the headline rate was 2.1% (down from 2.3%), the eventual outcome remains unknown, leaving the market sensitive.  – U.S. indicators: Medium–to–high impact US manufacturing data (ISM PMI and job openings) scheduled later today may add volatility and influence risk sentiment. • Trend Probability:  – Short Trade: With the price currently trading below the previously indicated support, a bearish continuation is more likely. Based on technical break and pending high-impact news, a short trade outcome is estimated at roughly a 65–70% probability.  – Long Trade: A countertrend bounce toward support is less likely given the breakdown. The probability for a successful long trade stands roughly at 30–35%. • Technical Analysis:  – Support/Resistance: The key support area (historically around the 1.0800 level) has now been breached. This breakout suggests potential further declines, with lower support possibly near 1.0770–1.0760.  – Price Action & Indicators: Recent M15 candles have confirmed a downward slide beyond a previous rally zone, and while some oscillators show mixed readings, the overall picture reinforces bearish momentum.  – Moving averages: The 50– and 200–period SMAs remain closely monitored. The break below support suggests that price is not only declining but may struggle to regain grip above these averages. • Trade Setups & Levels:     • Entry: Consider entering around the current price (roughly 1.0784–1.0786)   • Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss just above the previous support zone, around 1.0805 to limit risk in case of a reversal.   • Take Profit (TP): Aim for lower support targets near 1.0760 or even 1.0755, adjusting based on emerging price action. Disclaimer: this is just an idea and not recommendation or any kind of advice.
Short
by VS-NTC
The Day Ahead Key Events for Tuesday, April 1, 2025 Economic Data Releases: US: ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending, JOLTS Job Openings, Vehicle Sales China: Caixin Manufacturing PMI Japan: Tankan Survey, Jobless Rate, Job-to-Applicant Ratio Italy: Manufacturing PMI, Car Sales, Unemployment Rate, Budget Balance Eurozone: CPI (Inflation), Unemployment Rate Canada: Manufacturing PMI Central Banks: Fed: Barkin speaks ECB: Lagarde & Lane speak BoE: Greene speaks RBA: Holds rates at 4.1% Other: US House Special Elections in Florida (Could impact markets) This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD: Eurozone CPI expectations and PMIs in Europe and the US.By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD trades cautiously on Tuesday, in a context marked by the release of key data that could define its direction in the coming days. The pair is trading slightly lower by 0.09%, reflecting investors' uncertainty ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) and manufacturing PMIs in Europe and the United States. Eurozone CPI under the spotlight The market expects March CPI in the Eurozone to have risen by 2.2% y/y, one tenth less than in February, while core inflation could come in at 2.5%, also one tenth below the previous figure. A lower-than-expected figure could reinforce expectations of a more moderate stance by the European Central Bank (ECB), which would put further pressure on the euro against the dollar. PMI and economic outlook Manufacturing PMIs will also be released today in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, the Eurozone and the US. These data will offer insight into the health of the manufacturing sector and could influence perceptions of economic strength in both regions. If the data in Europe shows weakness and the US data beats expectations, the dollar could strengthen further, extending the downward pressure on the EURUSD. Technical Analysis The EURUSD is currently climbing in price since April 26th, supporting its climb at higher supports at each time 1.07364, 1.07649, 1.07913 its current POC, and today it has broken out generating support near 1.08 dollars per euro. If this price holds as support, we will see an increase in the value of the euro against the dollar. The 1-day chart shows an upward expansion of the averages, but if we go to 4 hours this expansion is much more timid. And in 1 hour this expansion is non-existent and the three averages are about to make a possible confluence of averages. In the Asian day there has been some correction with volume which could mark, together with the RSI currently at 43.10%, a recovery of the price. It is likely that in the news hours these prices will soar throughout the day, especially at the beginning of the American session that will put on the table the US data, which after the consequences of the tariff pressure are generating undesirable effects towards the United States, with its consequent weakening. If the U.S. data shows strength, the next area of movement for the dollar would be its second support indicated at 1.07649. In this environment, investors will continue to watch bond market signals and central bankers' speeches for clues on future monetary policy decisions that could impact the EURUSD price. EURUSD remains in a key zone, with support at 1.08, awaiting inflation and PMI data. If European data disappoints and the US shows strength, the dollar could gain ground. The US session will set the direction of the pair. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
EUR/USD BuyHello dear traders I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me. These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible. And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them. Be sure to follow the capital management. Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions. Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades. (Good luck)
Long
by khakzadi
Go Long on Euro/USD: Potential Bullish Trend Ahead - Key Insights: The Euro is showing signs of a bullish reversal against the US Dollar. With the Euro/USD pair forming a bullish candle pattern and facing a weakening US Dollar, the currency presents an attractive long opportunity. Focusing on the Euro's interaction with support and resistance levels could reveal further buying potential. - Price Targets: Next week, traders should consider the following targets and stops: - Target 1 (T1): 1.09 - Target 2 (T2): 1.10 - Stop Level 1 (S1): 1.07 - Stop Level 2 (S2): 1.06 - Recent Performance: The Euro/USD pair has recently demonstrated resilience, respecting key support levels and forming bullish reversal indicators. Despite previous bearish trends, there is an observable shift in sentiment as the Euro positions itself for potential gains. - Expert Analysis: Experts predict a strengthening of the Euro, supported by the ongoing bearish trend in the US Dollar Index. Analysts suggest long setups are promising, provided that bullish confirmations—such as price movements above resistance levels—are observed. - News Impact: Economic data releases and central bank policies are critical, as they can significantly influence the Euro/USD pair. The anticipated US Dollar weakness, driven by economic indicators and policy changes, could enhance the Euro's strength and create favorable trading conditions for the Euro/USD.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 31, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is attracting some buyers after falling in the Asian session to the 1.08000 area and hopes to consolidate the rebound from the multi-week low reached last Thursday. However, this rise lacks bullish confidence, and spot prices are currently trading around 1.0835, unchanged for the day. The US Dollar (USD) continues to face selling pressure for the third consecutive day, as investors assess the potential for stagflation in the US. This has exerted downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Dollar bulls have not been impressed by signs of rising inflation, which could deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from resuming its rate-cutting cycle in June. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, released on Friday, showed that the core measure (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) rose by 0.4% in February, marking the largest monthly gain since January 2024 and pushing the annual rate to 2.8%. Additionally, a survey conducted by the University of Michigan revealed that 12-month inflation expectations increased in March to the highest level in almost 2-1.5 years. This was despite a 0.4% rise in consumer spending in February, following a downwardly revised 0.3% decline in January. This comes amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policies, which should allow the Fed to adopt a 'wait-and-see' approach to further monetary easing. However, these forecasts are not expected to significantly bolster the US Dollar, nor do they exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, the shared currency appears to be benefiting from a reduction in concerns regarding a trade war between the EU and the US. The European Commission has announced that it has prepared concessions for the US to avoid Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs, which he will announce on Wednesday. Nevertheless, the prevailing risk-off mood may provide some support to the safe-haven dollar and limit gains in EUR/USD. Traders are anticipating the release of preliminary German consumer inflation data, which is expected to provide a boost. The fundamental backdrop remains supportive of the pair's prospects for further growth. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.08500, SL 1.07650, TP 1.09550
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
A noobs perspective So I've been trading here and there for a little bit mostly taking losses. So here's normally where I buy where I marked in the white circles but those large wicks are classic manipulation from what I learned on YouTube lol. But seriously large institutions where drag the price to a high pointed out and retail noobs like myself will be stupid and long at market at the spots pointed out when you should really be selling against that like the big players. If your a noob and you lose alot like me go spend time learning how institutions trade, what are order blocks and learn structure I'm still learning it as we go here but yea. I hope I've inspired someone to do the right thing lol and learn from noobs mistakes like me.
Short
by christiansmithtrades
EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA. A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
Long
by unichartz
A fresh lookAs you can see the price close below key (turning points) and the market will need to find further structure for more upside but the price is still not bullish as we still need to close above the trend line noted. Therefore there is “limited upside” to the euro, price can fall to the1.065 level. I believe the market is very volatile right now and all we’re seeing is just pure volatility and the real trend is still bearish right now before another anticipated rally to the level but I’d say we’re to early for the uptrend as of this moment . right
Short
by christiansmithtrades
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