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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD, Position TradeStill holding a bullish bias on EURUSD. Price has respected the Monthly Orderblock from Jan 1st, 2001 and has continued to show strength, rejecting the lows and pushing higher. The market has cleared the Sellside liquidity and is now drawing toward Buyside Liquidity and the Fair Value Gap (FVG) above. We are still within the accumulation and expansion phase based on the ICT AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) framework. As long as price holds above the Major Institutional Level (1.1000), I remain long-biased targeting the FVG and higher Buystops. DXY remains bearish, further supporting this bias.
Long
by Mike_Fxar
EUR/USD 1H analysis🧱 Supply and Demand Zones Supply Zones (Red/Orange boxes): 1.13996 - 1.13812: Major untested supply; strong selling pressure expected. 1.12930 - 1.12658: Cluster of supply zones; significant resistance area. 1.12281 - 1.12198: Recently formed supply, tested once. 1.11704 - 1.11645: Currently active supply zone; price just rejected this level. Demand Zone (Blue box): 1.10653: Strong demand zone from previous swing low; price bounced significantly here on May 13. 🔍 Trend and Price Action Trend: Short-term bearish. Price has made lower highs and lower lows. A large bearish impulse drop occurred between May 13 and 14. Minor consolidation is forming after the recent drop. Current Price: Around 1.11614 — just below a supply zone (1.11704 - 1.11645) and under the influence of selling pressure. Recent Reaction: The price attempted to move up but was rejected at the supply zone. Now pulling back and potentially targeting lower demand levels. 🔄 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.11704 - 1.11645 (Immediate) 1.12281 1.12800 Support: 1.10653 (Major Demand) Intermediate minor supports may form during the descent. 📈 Potential Scenarios Bearish Continuation: Price may continue lower towards the demand zone at 1.10653. If this level breaks, it could lead to further downside, possibly forming new demand. Bullish Reversal: If price breaks and holds above 1.11704, the next test could be the 1.12198 - 1.12281 supply zone. Bullish confirmation would require breaking 1.12930 with strength. 🧠 Summary Market structure favors short-term bears. Strong supply zones are capping upside. The key demand at 1.10653 is the next potential support. Traders may look for short entries near supply and long opportunities near demand, depending on confirmation and context.
by SandhyaNagpur
Pair: USD/EUR (U.S. Dollar vs Euro)🔻 Trade Type: Short (Sell Setup) Current Price: 0.8956 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart 🔍 Technical Setup Pattern: Rising wedge / triangle near resistance → bearish breakout potential Entry Point: Just below 0.8965–0.8956, after rejection from triangle resistance (yellow circle) Structure: Lower high near resistance zone (0.8984) Price forming a tightening range with potential to break down 🎯 Targets & Stop-Loss Take-Profit (TP): TP1: 0.8927 (support zone) TP2: 0.8888 (major support level) Stop-Loss (SL): Above resistance: 0.8984 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Estimated R:R: ~2:1 or better Good risk control by placing SL just above the recent spike 🧠 Trade Logic Strong resistance at 0.8984 held firm Price rejected from top of the wedge Clear path to retest lower support zones Consolidation breakout setup favors bears if breakdown confirms
Short
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD May 15 Trade Executed EURUSD May 15 Trade Executed Trade Logic Bias for Asia/London hunting for a buy day to equal highs/retracement of NY delivery *sell side liquidity taken closing NY *deep discount for ET *small consolidation before reversing creating equal highs coming into Asia *Asia expands to buy side up into FVG target and consolidates *cross referenced heavily on DXY and GBP for confirmation on directional bias NOTE:To be honest I traded the Asia expansion trade. I am back testing and instead of trusting my full idea I got scared out due to a consolidation cycle. I did not give up and came back for London to analyze my buy day idea. Elements of Model 2022 *Fake swing at 1 *minor liquidity taken *1:24 4 candle formation *1:36 swing high candle *1:45 candle lowers to a 20:24 first presented FVG candle *1:54 energetic displacement to the up side/swing high broken 2:03 entered 2:57 exited with my TP being activated It was a long day to get this trade. Analysis at 5 am and learning how my pre market brain is the clearest. If I can learn to trust and enter with no fear. I suspected that the 2 Macro would be a fake run to stops when the liquidity was taken at 3 my mental capital was done. Key liquidity is a high probability trade set up, this is not greed speaking it me celebrating my morning analysis delivering. I am working on Asia to London trades. Very happy very pleased with price action.
by LeanLena
Two target/Take Profit Levels on EUR/USDDaily EURUSD still below the 10EMA, so I am bearish. Levels as you can see at the below dashed ray lines (1.11464 and 1.11156) looking to take profit on the short at these points and reverse into a buy for a quick day trade/scalp. First level reached has confluence as a previous resistance and a fair value gap (still not convinced on the validity of these). Lower level has also been a previous resistance creating a weak high on 3rd April. 2025.
Short
by BabylonAlchemy
EURO/USD It aims to capture a high-probability reversal Chart Analysis Overview: Market Structure: The overall market appears to have formed a support zone at the lower end and a resistance zone at the upper range. A prior bullish move led to a Fair Value Gap (FVG), highlighted as an area of potential institutional interest. Fair Value Gap (FVG): The FVG is marked as an imbalance area where price moved impulsively, suggesting unfilled orders. Traders might anticipate a return to this zone before resuming a trend. Resistance & Liquidity: A clear resistance level is established, followed by price consolidation and a sweep of liquidity (marked just before a drop). This implies potential stop hunts or liquidity grabs by smart money before a market reversal. Entry & Target Zones: The chart suggests a long (buy) trade setup: Entry Zone: Highlighted in a pink box, where price is expected to retrace to. Target Zone: Defined by the blue box, indicating the projected price level based on prior structure and liquidity objectives. Trade Concept: After a liquidity sweep and structure break, the market is expected to form a higher low before moving toward the upside target. This is a typical smart money reversal setup, where price reclaims levels post-manipulation. Time & Date: The most recent activity is timestamped around May 6, 2025, suggesting the trader is monitoring a current or upcoming setup. --- Conclusion: This chart represents a well-structured smart money concept strategy on EUR/USD. The setup involves key elements like liquidity sweeps, FVGs, and support/resistance dynamics. It aims to capture a high-probability reversal after institutional manipulation, using refined entry and exit zones based on market inefficiencies and order flow behavior.
Long
by Johnson67
Trade Setup Summary – EUR/USD (30-Min Chart)!📈 🔹 Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout (Bullish Reversal) ✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.12069 (Confirmed breakout above wedge resistance) 🔒 Stop-Loss (SL): Below 1.11643 or 1.11442 (Support levels under structure) 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: 1.12322 – Immediate resistance TP2: 1.12621 – Previous consolidation resistance TP3: 1.12779 – Major supply zone TP4 (Aggressive): 1.13352 – Key breakout level 📊 Technical Highlights: Multiple wedge patterns followed by strong bullish breakouts. Each wedge shows decent risk-reward ratio (green vs. red box). Price is currently retesting the breakout zone for potential continuation. Bullish structure is intact as long as price stays above 1.11759–1.11442 range.
Long
by ProfittoPath
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.12590 👉🏼Possible scenario: The euro (EUR) saw a volatile session on May 14, hitting 1.12661 before closing 0.11% lower, as traders reacted to easing global trade tensions. The U.S. dollar index jumped over 1% on May 13 after the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, easing recession fears. On May 15, EUR traders should watch for updates on global trade and peace talks in Eastern Europe. The U.S. Retail Sales report at 12:30 p.m. UTC could move EURUSD — strong data may push it down to 1.11660, while weak data could lift it back toward 1.12680. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Now, the support level is located at 1.10850. Resistance level is located at 1.12590.
by MaxOnMarkets
Euro-dollar rejects move below $1.12 for nowNews on 12 May that China and the USA had agreed to pause the large majority of new tariffs for 90 days initially drove the dollar up in most of its pairs. Now though the initial push below $1.12 seems to have been excessive given that tariffs remain relatively high and longer term effects of recent disruption remain to be seen. Lower American inflation doesn’t seem to have increased the probability of a cut by the Fed; the consensus remains September for the next change to the funds rate. Meanwhile the ECB’s deposit facility rate might still go as low at 1.8% by the end of the year. 14 May’s initially strong continuation of the bounce was retraced quite quickly and the price held around $1.12 early the next day. This area remains a primary technical reference, supported by the 50 SMA from Bands not far below and with a probable resistance slightly below $1.13 around the 61.8% monthly Fibonacci retracement. In the immediate future small gains seem more likely than ongoing losses below $1.12 given the overall uptrend and the slow stochastic being close to oversold. However, there might be lower momentum in the next few days: volume remains low compared to the peak in the first half of April and there’s no really critical economic data until American GDP and PCE on 29 and 30 May. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
EURUSD Channel ascending in Bullish sideA New analysis of EURUSD will bullish pattern forecast Mr Martin Date 15 May 2025 EUR/USD 1H Analysis: Pattern Observed: Ascending channel (bullish structure) Bearish breakout below the channel—indicating a possible shift in market sentiment Price may retest the broken support (now resistance). A bearish rejection at this level would confirm the shift Target could be recent swing lows or next demand zone. You may find more details in the Chart Thanks Best of Luck Buddies.
by MrMartin_11
Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand. Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports. EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
by ChartMage