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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360 Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern) Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout --- 🚫 Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it. Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone. Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal. 2. Fundamental Risk What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly. Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility. Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs. 3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable) What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising. Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals. Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD May 30 Failed tradesEURUSD May 30 Failed trades Logic coming into today was Price would reach for equal highs liquidity, which I tried to trade wasting valuable mental capital on a swing with a small pip reward. I went long for equal highs not once but twice, anticipating to then short for the London sentiment *21:00 entry anticipating a long to equal highs risk to reward was 15 pips I suspected a swing to the higher high at price 1.13923 target *Came back on me stopped me out Embarrassed to write this out and yet lets go! *20:21 super revenge trade on my idea so low brow move same thing longed at a stupid time and got stopped out after it took session liquidity, and rolled over Broke rules *never buy in a premium *only trade macro times *suppress the urge to revenge trade *always trade after liquidity is taken Notes for failed sells I took that were poorly executed London Macro 2:00 entry with a 5 pip stop loss-stopped out 2:15 entry with a larger stop loss and came back again *Lack of trust in my bias after a dismal morning adding to over analyzing *Broke my rule of1 to 2 trades a day *If I would have taken the time to just review the morning cross reference DXY/GBP and had faith that my logic was correct both 1:45 and 2:45 provided entries *I witness the value of getting in early and yet when its right there I freeze *Focus on sound logic to reframe your confidence *stick to bias and follow through *Your idea played out and you were too eager and excited to trade-learn to calm and stay focused *small stop loss were employed, if I would have stuck to my bias in Asia and London today would have been a large success *greed in the morning captured me with wanting both swings-1 swing at a time *fear of more loss prevented a larger stop loss which at 2 macro would have held me in the trade
by LeanLena
EURUSD: weekly overviewTake FOMC meeting under observation, the US GDP is also a really important news. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD | Bearish Divergence | Bearish MomentumCurrently, EURUSD is clearly in a downtrend, consistently forming lower lows and lower highs, confirming a bearish market structure. According to Dow Theory, the recent bullish momentum has now shifted into a confirmed downtrend. Additionally, the 1-hour trendline support has been broken, signaling weakness in the previous bullish leg. We now anticipate a pullback toward the recently broken structure or resistance zone, where further bearish continuation is likely. On the 1-hour timeframe, a well-formed bearish divergence on the RSI adds confluence to our bias, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a potential trend continuation to the downside. Since our initial entry was slightly late, we’ve strategically placed a limit order near the retest zone and executed a partial position at the current market price to secure early exposure. Overall, structure and momentum both align with short-term bearish sentiment.
Short
by awaisulabdeen
EUR/USD Drifts Lower as Dollar ReboundsEUR/USD is struggling to hold onto Thursday’s rebound from the 1.1200 region—its lowest in nearly 10 days—and trades with a slight bearish bias in Friday’s Asian session. The pair is hovering near the mid-1.1300s, down around 0.15% on the day. The US Dollar regained some ground due to renewed safe-haven demand after a federal appeals court reinstated former President Trump’s broad trade tariffs, injecting fresh uncertainty into the markets. However, the dollar’s momentum remains limited by concerns over the US fiscal outlook and expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025. The euro finds partial support as Trump postponed tariffs on EU imports. Market focus now shifts to the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which may influence Fed policy expectations, followed by next Thursday’s ECB meeting for further direction. Resistance is seen at 1.1400, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1500. Support is located at 1.1300, followed by 1.1260 and 1.1210.
by ChartMage
EURUSD – Bullish trend at risk amid PCE and technical pressureEURUSD has just reached the 1.13860 resistance zone – a confluence with the previous peak and former supply area. A weak rebound and a rounding top pattern are gradually forming, indicating weakening buying momentum. The 34 and 89 EMAs on the H4 chart add further pressure from a technical perspective. If the price continues to be rejected at 1.13860, it may drop toward 1.12670 – which aligns with the ascending trendline support. A break below this level would confirm a clearer bearish trend. The upcoming Core PCE data is forecasted to rise – indicating inflation remains elevated. This raises the likelihood that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for longer, supporting the USD and weighing on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD May Face Minor Pullback Amid USD Strength📊 Market Overview: EUR/USD is trading around 1.1330, slightly retreating after reaching near 1.1390 earlier this week. The US dollar is strengthening due to robust consumer confidence data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Meanwhile, the euro faces pressure as investors await upcoming Eurozone inflation data. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 1.1390 • Nearest Support: 1.1255 • EMA: Price remains above the 9-day EMA, indicating the uptrend is still intact. • RSI: Near 60, suggesting mild overbought conditions. • MACD: Forming a bearish crossover, signaling potential short-term correction. 📌 Outlook: EUR/USD may continue to pull back in the short term if it fails to break above the 1.1390 resistance and the US dollar maintains its strength. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: Sell EUR/USD at: 1.1380 – 1.1390 🎯 Take Profit: 1.1255 ❌ Stop Loss: 1.1420 Buy EUR/USD at: 1.1255 🎯 Take Profit: 1.1350 ❌ Stop Loss: 1.1215
Short
by Mian-FXSignals
EURUSD Buy- look for buy when price pull back to discount level - refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Long
by Vincent-DA