EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURUSD D1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the D1 chart, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.1236, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1527, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is set at 1.0935, a pullback support.
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ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut.
Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets.
The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too.
At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high.
Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency.
EURUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
More information in my RU profile.
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EURUSD Broke around 3 strong resistance areas is likely go upEURUSD was moving within an upward trend channel and has surpassed the channel's upper resistance. It also broke through the weekly downtrend channel resistance and another horizontal reistance indicating a strong bullish momentum that is likely to continue driving the price higher. let us see..
EUR/USD Long📍 Entry (Buy Limit):
1.1085
This is just above the 1.1000 psychological level but below previous minor structure at 1.1100.
Captures a shallow retest without risking being front-run by liquidity sweeps.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
1.0910
Below consolidation zone and wicks around 1.10
Provides enough space beneath the major breakout level while staying tight for R:R
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1500 (Previous weekly resistance, already tested but not broken)
TP2: 1.2000 (Next clean monthly structure level)
TP3 (macro): 1.2400 (Upper range of long-term channel, highly reactive zone)
⚖️ Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~175 pips
Reward:
• TP1: ~415 pips
• TP2: ~915 pips
• TP3: ~1,315 pips
R:R = 2.4 to 1, 5.2 to 1, 7.5 to 1
EURUSD OUTLOOK APRIL 14 - 18EURUSD has been extremely bullish for the past few weeks and broke through some seemingly strong areas but in hindsight we see that fundamentals over powered technical areas.
I see two ways of EU continuing it's upward move and that is to just continue pushing up at the start of the week or pullback into the FVG or Order block then after some sort of lower time frame confirmation, continue higher.
At this moment I don't see any real bearish argument to be made aside from thee possible pullback. If that changes I will update my analysis.
EURUSD - Ranges overview (update) Let's see how EURUSD moved in light of all the current situations and announcements.
As previously discussed, we deviated from the sellside and closed back above it.
For those who might have forgotten what is meant by 'deviation/deviating' - trading below or above a specific price point (buyside or sellside) and failing to close below or above the specific price point (buyside or sellside) but failed to close below the HTF sellside).
We are currently heading towards our target of 1.1500. From there sighs on 1.21542.
IF we fail to hold the current HTF sellside, expect us to retrace back down.
This is a long term trade so PATIENCE will be key if you want to play it.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least.
If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing.
In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move.
Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the
Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets.
CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair.
Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
EUR/USDTrade active from Friday:
— Entry: 1.12945
— SL: 1.12526
— TP: 1.25280
— Trailing Stop: 33 pips
If not already in the position, a clean break above 1.14120 may signal continuation.
Near-term target sits at ~1.14734, aligning with previous resistance levels.
📚 All setups shared for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
EUR/USD – Bullish Structure Just Now Getting StartedI’m very impressed by how EUR/USD is performing right now. On the 20-hour time frame, the candle has officially closed and we’re seeing the new candle tracing previous price levels. This is exactly how I like to observe the market — letting one candle close and watching how the new one respects that prior structure.
While this strategy plays out beautifully on the lower time frames, I still prefer to wait for the higher time frame candle to complete, ideally seeing a clean pullback and then a fresh bullish candle emerge. It gives me the confirmation I need to ride the trend with confidence.
Looking at the broader picture, EUR/USD still has room to move — and in my opinion, this bullish structure is just now heating up. Price still has a retest level at 1.14736 in sight, and momentum looks healthy. I'm excited to see how this plays out in the coming sessions.
Whether you're swing trading or position holding, always align your entry with structure and candle behavior across time frames. Patience and timing matter.
📊 Stay sharp and trade smart!
EUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three YearsEUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three Years
This morning, the euro surged above the 1.1300 mark against the US dollar for the first time since February 2022.
Throughout this week, the EUR/USD pair has broken through the highs of both 2023 and 2024.
Why Is EUR/USD Rising?
Amid the whirlwind of news surrounding the imposition and suspension of tariffs in US–EU trade, one dominant factor stands out — the sell-off of US bonds.
According to Reuters, long-term US Treasury bonds are being heavily sold this week. The yield on 10-year notes has jumped from 3.9% to around 4.4%, marking the steepest increase in yields since 2001. This may reflect a reaction by foreign holders of US debt to sanctions imposed by the White House, combined with growing uncertainty about the US economy — especially as recession fears gain more media attention.
As a result, the US dollar is showing weakness against a range of currencies, including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and the euro.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
The chart reveals a clear ascending channel (marked in blue), with the price repeatedly interacting with its upper, lower, and median boundaries — highlighted with markers and arrows.
Current bullish sentiment has pushed the pair towards the upper boundary of this channel. It’s possible this resistance line could halt further gains, potentially leading to a correction — perhaps down to the 1.11 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance point.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1355 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1173
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Euro will decline to support zone, breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking out from a long consolidation phase, the Euro entered a strong upward trend supported by a clearly defined trend line. This breakout was backed by strong momentum, allowing the price to push above Support 1 and climb rapidly. However, after reaching the 1.1450 area, bullish strength started fading. The market printed a sharp rejection from the highs, and soon after, the price broke back below the trend line. This breakdown signals a shift in sentiment. The price is now approaching the previous support zone between 1.1160 and 1.1120 points, which acted as a key accumulation area during the bullish move. The reaction from this zone will be crucial, but considering the breakdown from the trend line and the aggressive rejection from the top, sellers now appear to be in control. Currently, EUR is trading below the broken trend line, and bearish pressure continues to build. Given the rejection from higher levels, structure break, and weak recovery attempts, I expect EURUSD to decline toward my current goal at 1.1160 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️