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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD long: Save the dateHello traders I have entered into a long position at 1.1665. The charts show a base being built right around that level. DXY is ticking down but US 10Y yield is steady. Bitcoin at an all time high is in my opinion not a sign of risk on but rather USD liquidation in favor of BTC. Gold has just broken above the last daily high. There are rumors making the rounds that FOMC Powell is considering resigning which will be negative for the USD. Keep in mind, Jerome Powell is the spokesperson for the FOMC, not the only voting member. 7/30/2025 FOMC rate decision 7/31/2025 The Federal Appeals Court starts hearing arguments for the use of IEEPA to impose sweeping tariffs that was declared unlawful by the Court of International Trade located in Manhattan, NY. August 2025 More threatened tariffs may start. Things are heating up. Best of luck.
by jvrfxalerts
EUR/USD drops post US CPI reportAfter gaining ground last week, the US dollar initially came under slight pressure earlier today. However, it regained momentum in the aftermath of a mixed US inflation report. Despite the nuanced inflation print, market expectations around interest rate policy remained largely unchanged. Investors continue to anticipate a slower pace of rate reductions, a sentiment that could further weigh on the EUR/USD pair—provided confidence in the Federal Reserve’s monetary approach remains intact. Mixed Signals from US Inflation Data The consumer price index for June presented a mixed picture. Headline CPI increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, surpassing both the previous 2.4% figure and the 2.6% forecast. However, core CPI (which excludes food and energy) showed a slightly softer reading, rising by only 0.2% month-on-month—below the expected 0.3%. The annual core rate stood at 2.9%, in line with expectations. This mixed data has not allayed fears that inflation could remain sticky for longer. As a result, the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, although a possible move in September remains on the table. Adding to the dollar’s bullish case, President Trump has proposed aggressive tariffs—35% on select Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if no agreements are reached by August 1. These protectionist threats, combined with his expansive fiscal agenda, could drive inflation higher and bolster the dollar if market faith in US policy stays strong. Euro Zone Data Shows Resilience, But the Euro Falters Despite some encouraging macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone, the euro slipped. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index rose to 52.7, outperforming both expectations (50.8) and the previous reading (47.5). Additionally, industrial production climbed 1.7% month-on-month, beating forecasts. While these positive data points reflect a degree of resilience in the euro area, trade tensions are looming. The European Union has said it will retaliate on US products—ranging from aircraft to alcohol—should trade talks collapse or fail to yield agreements by the August 1 deadline. Technical Outlook Technically, EUR/USD breached the bullish trendline established since Q1, a development that bears are watching as the session wears on. Currently, the pair is testing a key support zone between 1.1570 and 1.1630—an area that served as resistance in both April and mid-June before the rally that followed. Should prices fall decisively below this support today or in the coming days, the technical bias could shift bearish. On the upside, resistance lies at 1.1700 and 1.1750. A break above these levels would clear the way for bulls to target a fresh 2025 high above 1.1830. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
#AN021: TRUMP Threats on Tariffs and FOREX Tensions Global markets are waking up to a currency cold war. Hi, I'm Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share the latest news with you. Donald Trump set the day alight, launching a barrage of threats from a rally in Ohio: "If re-elected, I will impose 60% tariffs on all of China, 20% on Mexico, and 10% on the European Union. And I'm telling Putin clearly: if you continue to help China evade our embargoes, we will hit Russia too." The words reverberated across global investment banks, triggering an immediate reaction in the dollar and emerging market currencies. Markets React: USD Soars, GBP and NOK on Alert The US dollar gained ground against nearly all major currencies, while the GBP collapsed under pressure from fears of a BoE rate cut and a slowing labor market. The GBP/NOK pair, in particular, is showing signs of a structured bearish breakout: the pound is under dual pressure (domestic politics + trade war), while the Norwegian krone is indirectly benefiting from rising energy prices and pro-commodity sentiment. US CPI at 2:30 PM: The Real Detonator The US core inflation figure will be released at 2:30 PM Italian time. The consensus is for +3.4%, but a higher reading could push the Fed to remain more hawkish for longer. This would strengthen the dollar and create new shock waves in weak and emerging market currencies. Specifically: USD/JPY could break above 162.00 with strength. GBP/USD risks a break below 1.29. USD/SEK and USD/MXN are the key pairs to watch for explosive movements. Trump vs. Powell: A Showdown Meanwhile, fears are growing of a direct attack by Trump on the Fed. According to Deutsche Bank, markets are underestimating the possibility that Trump will attempt to remove Jerome Powell if he returns to the White House. "The market is ignoring the Trump-Powell variance. If he really tries, the dollar could fall 4% in a week," – Deutsche Bank We are about to enter the best time of the month for Forex. Those who get their timing wrong today will burn capital. Those who wait for the right signal can ride the trend arising from a predicted global crisis.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
LONG EURUSD I am LONG on this pair at time of writing. IT is important to adjust your paper profits NOT SO high that it will wipe you out and you need to restart at a higher buying price. Say you have 2 contracts and is in profits position, you can take 1 contract or 0.5 or 1.5 size and leave the remaining to run at breakeven SL position. That way, if you are riding on the market trend, then your remaining position be it 0.5 or 1.5 will still benefit and you can just accumulate as it trends up. This works for me but may not be for everyone. Choose a strategy that fits you. Different folks, different strokes.
Long
by dchua1969
The Day AheadMacro Data Highlights United States June CPI – Crucial inflation gauge; likely to shape Fed rate expectations. Empire Manufacturing Index (July) – Regional economic activity snapshot. China Q2 GDP – Key read on the health of the world’s second-largest economy. June Retail Sales / Industrial Production / Home Prices – Important for tracking domestic demand and real estate trends. Europe Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (July) – Investor sentiment indicators, especially relevant amid sluggish European growth. Eurozone May Industrial Production – Tracks output momentum in manufacturing-heavy economies. Italy May Government Debt – Sovereign debt level insights amid fiscal scrutiny. Canada June CPI – Important for BoC policy outlook. Existing Home Sales / May Manufacturing Sales – Indicators of economic activity and housing market resilience. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Bowman, Barr, Collins, Barkin – Watch for comments on inflation and rate cut timing. BoE: Governor Bailey – May impact GBP and UK rate expectations. Earnings (Focus: Financials) JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock Q2 results will offer insights into: Net interest income trends Credit quality & loan growth Capital market activity (BlackRock focus on AUM and inflows) Trading Takeaway U.S. CPI and bank earnings are the top market movers – inflation print could shift rate cut expectations for September. China data may influence commodity and EM sentiment. Fed/BoE speakers may provide policy clarity amid disinflationary trends. Financials earnings will be key to market tone, especially for value stocks and financial sector ETFs. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16869 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16975.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾 EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a 🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and 🤑a take profit at 1.18266 Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart shows the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key technical elements: Key Features: 1. Purple Zones (Rectangles): Top Rectangle (~1.1695 - 1.1700): Resistance zone. Bottom Rectangle (~1.1660): Support zone. 2. Pink Descending Trendline: Represents a downtrend or dynamic resistance. Price recently approached or tested this trendline from below. 3. Yellow Zigzag and Arrow: Illustrates potential price movement—an anticipated rejection from the trendline and a move down toward support. 4. Current Price: 1.16858, sitting just below the trendline and within the resistance zone. --- Interpretation: Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a potential short opportunity if the price fails to break
Short
by Rickypher
EURUSD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1671 Support and resistance levels: 1.1714 1.1698 1.1687 1.1654 1.1644 1.1628 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 1.1671, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1687 If it breaks through 1.1654, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1644
Long
by NicolaZhu
LONG | EUR/USD | 1DCurrent Level: ~1.1662 Revised Entry Zone: 🔄 Buy the dip around 1.1660–1.1670 This aligns with 50-day EMA and daily/4H pivot (~1.1630–1.1670) acting as support. Stop Loss: 1.1630 (just below 50 EMA & recent low) Target: 1.1750 → 1.1800 (range high/resistance) Risk:Reward: ~1:3.8 ✅ Institutional Rationale: Momentum remains bullish, though momentum indicators are cooling—price retesting structural support (mid-BB, pivot zone). Weekly outlook still favors bulls while above 1.1637–1.1670—suggesting accumulated buy orders in this zone. Event risk: U.S. employment and Fed speakers imminent—creates ideal buy-on-dip opportunities with tight stops.
Long
by per5onanongrata
Eurousd techinical analysis.This chart displays the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, with a technical analysis setup that includes: 1. Downward Trendline (Pink): This suggests a prevailing bearish trend, with price respecting lower highs. 2. Support and Resistance Zones (Purple Boxes): Several horizontal purple rectangles highlight areas of previous support and resistance. These zones represent price levels where buying or selling pressure has historically emerged. 3. Price Action & Pattern (Yellow Line): A clear "M" shape or double-top pattern formed, indicating potential bearish reversal. The pattern breaks down below a key support zone, suggesting a continuation to the downside. 4. Projection Arrow (Yellow Arrow): The yellow arrow
Short
by Rickypher
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1684 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1633 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1776 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Analysis – Smart Money Breakout + Reversal Zone in Play🔹 1. Bearish Channel & Liquidity Trap Setup Price action from late June into mid-July formed a clearly defined descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure likely attracted retail traders into short positions, expecting continued downside. 💡 Key Insight: The initial breakout of the channel was a fake move — often referred to as a liquidity grab or inducement. This is typical in smart money models where institutions trap early traders before the real move begins. 🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Shortly after the fakeout, price sharply reversed and broke a major internal structure level, giving us our first CHoCH confirmation. This is a critical event in SMC, signaling a possible trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Why it matters: A CHoCH after a channel + fakeout combo is a strong reversal signal, especially when supported by volume and aggression. Visual cue: Look at the bullish engulfing momentum candle post-fakeout — this was the moment smart money entered. 🔹 3. Trendline Break + SR Interchange (Support/Resistance Flip) Following the CHoCH, price broke the trendline and came back down to test a high-probability SR Interchange Zone — an area where previous resistance turned into fresh support. This zone also aligns with the order block and inefficiency area, making it a premium entry for institutions. Notice how price respected the zone before launching aggressively upward. 🧠 Note: This was the cleanest entry point in this setup — combining structure break, liquidity, and a demand zone. 🔹 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) After the retest, EURUSD broke the last major lower high, confirming a Bullish BOS (Break of Structure). This is where many traders realized the trend had shifted. Market sentiment flipped from bearish to bullish. Momentum increased, indicating institutional buying pressure. 🔹 5. Next Target: Reversal Zone (Supply Area) Price has now reached a critical supply zone (1.1930 – 1.1970) where the next major reaction is likely to occur. This area was previously a strong rejection point, and it aligns with a potential higher timeframe supply zone. ⚠️ Watch for: Bearish rejection wicks Liquidity sweeps above highs Bearish engulfing or mitigation patterns CHoCH on lower timeframes (1H, 15m) ✅ Key Trading Takeaways: Liquidity Trap: Retail was trapped inside a clean channel. Fakeout Move: Induced shorts were wiped out. CHoCH & BOS: Clear reversal pattern with momentum. Perfect Retest Entry: Price retested demand and launched. Current Area = Supply/Distribution: Great place to look for shorts or take profits. 📌 Possible Trading Plans: 🔸 Plan A: Reversal Short (Countertrend) Entry: Inside 1.1930–1.1970 zone Confirmation: Bearish PA + LTF CHoCH TP1: Previous BOS (~1.1830) TP2: Demand zone retest (~1.1650) SL: Above 1.1980–1.2000 🔸 Plan B: Continuation Long (Breakout Bias) Entry: Break + Retest above 1.2000 psychological level SL: Below breakout wick TP1: 1.2100 TP2: 1.2200+ 🔖 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (CHoCH, BOS, liquidity sweep) Price Action Structure Trendline break and retest Supply & Demand Zones Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange) Volume + Momentum Confirmation 🔄 Conclusion: This chart demonstrates a classic Smart Money narrative: “Trap the retail, shift the structure, drive price into premium, then reverse.” We're now at a make-or-break supply zone. Watch price behavior carefully — this is where smart traders either secure profits or prepare for the next leg.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades