EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD possible long from 1.1610 area for 1.1730#eurusd market rallied 1.1450 - 1.1640. then consolidation between 1.1580-1640 area. Institutions put more buy orders and price rallied again after bases out and reached upto 1.1830 area. Now market sell off / retracement to test demand area to fill the remaining unfilled order for another leg higher. Demand zone: 1.1610-1.1590. stop loss: 1.1565, target: 1.1730. in weekly and daily chart market forming distribution shape for big sell opportunity.
Long-Term Opportunity: Euro’s Resilience Can Drive Bullish MovesCurrent Price: $1.16822
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $1.1785
- T2 = $1.1830
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.1660
- S2 = $1.1625
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro.
**Key Insights:**
The Euro continues to show resilience despite broader market challenges, presenting selective bullish opportunities. Germany's industrial production recovery and the Euro's strength against weaker currencies like the Japanese Yen and New Zealand Dollar reinforce the potential for upward pressure. However, critical upcoming events such as CPI and retail sales data could serve as catalysts for significant price movement. A data-driven approach remains crucial, with an eye on key support and resistance levels to validate bullish momentum.
Euro sentiment has also been influenced by global interest rate dynamics and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, which impacts the US Dollar. Still, the Euro has found footing as investors weigh potential policy shifts from the European Central Bank (ECB) later in the year.
**Recent Performance:**
The Euro has defended against broader weakness in regional European markets while managing to sustain strength against select global currencies. Recently, EUR/USD experienced a steady recovery from critical multi-week lows at $1.1650 as traders focused on better-than-expected German industrial production of +1.2%. However, softer retail sales (-0.7%) and export data (-1.4%) have tempered some of the optimism.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts highlight that while weak macroeconomic data out of Europe remains a drag, selective trades offer strong upside potential for the Euro. Germany's industrial production continues to underpin sentiment, with analysts recommending long positions after confirming swing lows and bullish patterns. Technical setups focusing on Fibonacci retracement levels provide critical entry points, which suggest limited downside risk relative to the potential upside reward.
**News Impact:**
Key developments such as renewed tariff tensions and slower global economic momentum continue to shape Euro outlooks. The upcoming release of UK CPI on Wednesday and Eurozone retail sales updates may spark additional volatility. Professional traders emphasize careful monitoring of headline risk, with potential for surprising bullish catalysts that would justify higher pricing levels in the near term.
**Trading Recommendation:**
The Euro is poised for a potential rebound in the coming weeks, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning to suggest a bullish trajectory. Current price levels offer attractive entry points, provided stop-loss levels are respected to mitigate downside risk. Focus on a long-term perspective, leveraging data-driven insights to capture potential gains toward $1.1785 and beyond.
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
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Key Points
- Attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell are intensifying, mainly from President Trump and his close aides. Analysts say the tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve has reached a serious level.
- President Trump announced on Truth Social that starting next month, a 30% reciprocal tariff will be imposed on both the EU and Mexico.
- Canada added 83,100 jobs in June compared to the previous month, in line with market expectations. The unemployment rate came in at 6.9%, slightly below the forecast of 6.9%. The strong labor market data likely reduced the chances of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in July.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ July 15: U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 16: U.K. June Consumer Price Index, U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ July 17: Eurozone June Consumer Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The price has broken below the trend channel and is now forming under the 1.17000 level. The downside appears more likely than an upward move. The expected support level is around 1.15000. Whether the price bounces from this area or breaks further downward will likely determine the future direction.
EUR USD -+As it's approximately in the middle of the channel, there is no clear direction for me. Also, today is a French bank holiday, so I expect little to no range to be created. Therefore, we might not trade this pair today. The price movement is as slow as a snail crawling toward the bottom..
good luck ...
EUR/USD| - Bullish BiasHTF Context: Noted a clear break of structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish intent. Originally expected a deeper liquidity grab, but price shifted before reaching lower zones.
MTF Refinement: Dropped down to the 30M for better alignment — spotted a liquidity sweep confirming smart money interest.
LTF Execution Plan: Now watching for mitigation of the 30M OB. Once tapped, I’ll look for internal structure shift (1M/5M BOS or CHoCH) to confirm continuation.
Mindset: Staying patient — if price wants higher, it should respect this OB and show its hand first.
Bless Trading!
EURUSD: NEW WEEK TECHNICAL BIAS ( MARKET OPEN) Higher Timeframe Bias:
The Ascend Sequence on Monthly, Weekly, and Daily remains intact; current Descend Sequence is viewed as a pullback within bullish orderflow. HTF bullish stance is maintained unless invalidated.
Current Structure (Short-Term):
Descend Sequence is still active across Daily, 4H, 1H, and micro-timeframes—momentum favors sell-side flow for now.
Decision Range:
Defined Decision Zone: 1.17494 – 1.16624
▫︎ A break below 1.16624 strengthens the case for continuation of bearish leg.
▫︎ A break above 1.17494 would signal a bullish reclaim and potential Trend Signature Shift (TSS).
Execution Scenarios:
Scenario 1: If price trades into the 4H Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) from below and shows weakness, I’ll consider a short setup, ideally via Momentum Breach Entry (MBE) or a Retrace Precision Entry (RPE).
Scenario 2: If market opens with a sharp Impulse Drive to the downside without tapping into the OCZ, I may consider tactical short opportunities, but only with caution and reduced risk.
Target Zone for Shorts:
Primary short-term target: Discount Zone of the Weekly/Daily price leg, where a Weekly PIZ and Rally Origin align.
Bias Invalidation:
A strong reclaim and hold above the decision range will invalidate short bias and reposition me for long setups in alignment with the HTF bullish framework.
Summary:
Sell-side lean remains valid short-term. However, macro bullish context persists. Awaiting structural resolution from decision range to confirm directional intent.
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation SetupMarket Structure Overview:
The market remains in a clear higher timeframe bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price has entered a descending channel, resembling a bull flag formation — a classic continuation pattern that typically precedes a strong bullish breakout.
Key Observations:
✅ Descending Channel (Bull Flag): Price is respecting a downward-sloping channel while remaining above key demand zones.
💧 Liquidity Pools: Multiple liquidity highs have been left untouched above — suggesting fuel for a potential impulsive move upward.
🧹 Liquidity Sweep: On both H4 and H1, we see a clear sweep of previous equal lows, tapping into a significant demand zone.
📈 Reaction from Demand: Strong reaction from the demand zone suggests institutional buying interest.
🔵 Projection: A bullish breakout from the flag could target the liquidity above 1.1800, with immediate resistance near 1.1740–1.1760.
Bias:
🔼 Bullish — as long as price holds above the most recent demand zone (~1.1649), the bias remains bullish with expectations of a breakout and continuation toward previous highs.
Note: We must see how the market opens on Sunday night going into Monday. Based on the initial price action, we can determine the best trading opportunities and direction for the upcoming week.
EURUSD LONG TERM UPEURUSD Live Trading Session/ EURUSD analysis #forex #forextraining #forexHello Traders
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EURUSD Daily: More trouble ahead or ready to recover?The last Friday NY bearish closed sited at Fibo(38.2) and still showing a strong bullish move since last March we may see a bit more downward move to test the Fibo(50) at 1.16388 before start another bullish leg up again. While the price stays above the 1.5956 level I will look for any price action towards 1.18298 but with all chaos caused by this tariff war we need to be careful.
As a technical reference, Resistance at 1.182998, Support at 1.14522 and RSI(14) at 58 that seems to be heading to test the 50 level.
What Are Bollinger Bands? How to use it.✅ What Are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are a volatility-based technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger. They consist of three lines:
1. Middle Band: 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA)
2. Upper Band: Middle Band + 2 standard deviations
3. Lower Band: Middle Band - 2 standard deviations
The bands expand and contract based on price volatility.
📊 What Bollinger Bands Tell You
Contraction (Squeeze): Low volatility, possible breakout coming
Expansion: High volatility, breakout in progress or exhausted
Price Touches Band: Doesn’t mean reversal—it's a sign of strength or weakness
🎯 Mastering Strategies with Bollinger Bands
1. Bollinger Band Squeeze (Breakout Strategy)
Setup: Bands are very close together (low volatility)
Signal: Wait for breakout and volume spike
Action: Enter in direction of breakout
Tip: Combine with MACD or RSI for confirmation
> 🔍 Example: If the price breaks above the upper band with strong volume after a squeeze → potential long entry.
2. Mean Reversion (Reversal Strategy)
Setup: Price touches or exceeds upper/lower band
Signal: Look for RSI divergence, candlestick reversal patterns
Action: Fade the move back to the 20 SMA (mean reversion)
Tip: Works best in ranging markets
> ⚠️ Warning: Don’t short just because price touches the upper band. Look for confluence.
3. Trend Riding with Bands
Setup: Price rides upper/lower band
Signal: Pullbacks to the 20 SMA in a strong trend
Action: Enter on bounce near SMA if the trend is strong
Tip: Use higher timeframes to confirm the trend
> 🟢 In an uptrend, buy near the 20 SMA when price pulls back but doesn’t break lower band.
📌 Key Tips for Mastery
1. Adjust settings for asset/timeframe (e.g., crypto might need a 10 or 14 SMA)
2. Never use Bollinger Bands alone – combine with:
RSI (for overbought/oversold confirmation)
MACD (trend confirmation)
Volume (for breakout confirmation)
3. Use multiple timeframes – e.g., 4H for trend, 15m for entry
4. Avoid chasing band breakouts without confirmation
5. Backtest strategies with your preferred asset
🧠 Advanced Concepts
Double Bottoms Outside Band: When price forms a W-bottom with the second low outside the lower band bullish reversal setup.
Walking the Band: In strong trends, price can "walk" along the band don’t fade too early.
Band Width: Track the width of bands to detect upcoming breakouts.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This guide is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EUR/USD Falling Wedges Forming. Breakout Expected?Hello Traders,
Falling wedges can be seen in Eurusd chart and price is expected to breakout.
Wait for the price to break 1.17229 to go long or if it breaks below 1.1629 consider short.
This analysis is solely based on chart patterns and some indicators like MACD, RSI and Moving Averages.
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1689
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1748
My Stop Loss - 1.1659
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK