EURUSD trade ideas
Market next move 🔻 Disruption Scenarios:
1. Resistance Zone at Target Level
The marked "Target" could coincide with a strong resistance level from a previous high.
Price may reject this level again, forming a double top or bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing).
2. Volume Divergence
The recent uptrend shows a slight drop in buying volume.
If price increases while volume decreases, it signals a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
3. Upcoming News Events (Fundamentals)
The chart shows several upcoming economic events (news icons).
Any negative surprise from U.S. data or positive Eurozone data could reverse the trend sharply.
For example, better-than-expected U.S. employment data could strengthen the USD, pushing EUR/USD down.
4. Overbought Condition
If we add an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Stochastic oscillator, the price might already be in the overbought zone, suggesting a correction is due.
5. Fake Breakout Trap
If the price hits the “Target” but then fails to close above it, it could be a bull trap, triggering short positions and leading to a sharp sell-off.
EURUSD Trade Executed London 2 MacroEURUSD Trade Executed
London 2 Macro
Parent bias Bull
Discount coming into Asia
May 28 delivery
Sell off since Tuesday. Dealing range price expanded to the sell side rebalancing FVG and equal lows. Price gravitated to the Event Horizon.
Wick did the damage taking the equal lows.
Trade Notes
I anticipate for price to set up for a buy day after taking equal low liquidity/discount after the dealing range delivery.
*Note: GBP lower to and through its equal lows. Compared to EUR, EUR it just wicked through.
*Cross reference the DXY gapped open to the buy side taking its equal highs
London 2 Macro Logic
*Previous session NY closed in premium taking sell side liquidity in a consolidation
*Price comes into Asia in a deep discount
*DXY was in a deep Premium after its energetic dealing range
* I did trade Asia and closed the trade after I knew it would consolidate and don't have the mental capital to babysit the consolidation cycle-I do want to learn and toughen up to trade the days range. FOMO on 18 pips. Oh well.
I seen this so many times I am getting more and more trusting. ICT model 2022
1 minute analysis
0:30 expected swing low for engineered session equal lows, Judus swing
1:36 equal lows taken
1:46 another set of equal lows taken
1:50 price lowers to first presented FVG on candle 21:22
1:49 swing high created then 1:50 creates a swing low
1:50 wick also stops at a ORDER BLOCK? still discerning
1:53 displacement candle folks, validates the swing low shift occurring
1:59 was my entry but I missed getting in
2:00 1.2469 was my entry price
stop loss 1.12412
take profit 1.2757 target previous range 50 level
Very happy with this trade. Sloppy entry. Clean exit. I took a partial and let it ride until it predictively retraced as it should and again I am learning one model and next is to incorporate is holding for the day range. Especially when the range is 70 pips.
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12265 👀Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) dropped 0.32% on May 29, marking its third straight loss, after a U.S. court ruled Trump's reciprocal tariffs unlawful—beyond just the original plaintiffs. The decision, expected to be appealed, adds fresh uncertainty to U.S. trade policy and investor sentiment. Markets are also watching the U.S. Senate, where Trump’s tax and spending plan faces pushback. Meanwhile, the Fed’s latest minutes showed a cautious stance, citing inflation risks and possible rising unemployment—hinting at a delicate policy balance ahead.
Focus now shifts to key U.S. data due May 29 at 12:30 p.m. UTC—GDP and jobless claims. Strong numbers could delay Fed rate cuts, pushing EUR/USD below 1.1180. Weak data may lift the euro above 1.1300.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
Euro Weakens Near 1.1240 Amid Economic ReleasesEUR/USD extended its decline for a third straight session, trading near 1.1240 during Thursday’s Asian hours. Market attention is now turning to key upcoming U.S. economic releases, including Q1 Annualized GDP, quarterly PCE Prices, and weekly Jobless Claims. The U.S. dollar gained strength following a federal court decision on Wednesday, which blocked former President Trump’s attempt to enforce "Liberation Day" tariffs, ruling the measure unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority, according to a Manhattan court panel.
The key resistance is located at 1.1290 and the first support stands at 1.1200.
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE
📊 MACRO OUTLOOK:
Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term.
Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness.
On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern.
Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure.
Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish.
Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES:
Resistance Zones:
• 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5)
• 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure
• 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top)
Support Zones:
• 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area
• 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone
🧭 TRADE STRATEGY:
Scenario A – Sell the Pullback:
• Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone
• Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms
• SL: 1.1376
• TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220
Scenario B – Invalid Breakout:
• If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest.
Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp:
• If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310
• This is high-risk and counter-trend.
⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES:
EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
EURUSD – Technical rebound, but bearish pressure still loomsAfter a sharp drop to the support zone around 1.12255, EURUSD has made a mild recovery and is now retesting the 1.13360 resistance area – which aligns with both the 34 and 89 EMAs. This confluence zone could trigger renewed selling pressure if price fails to break above.
The 3-hour chart shows a zigzag-like recovery forming, but each new high is still lower than the previous one – indicating that the downtrend remains intact. If EURUSD continues to struggle at this resistance, it is likely to reverse and retest the 1.11910 support area.
On the news front, markets are awaiting CPI data from both the Eurozone and the U.S. this week. If U.S. inflation comes in higher than expected, the dollar may continue to strengthen – increasing short-term downside pressure on EURUSD.
EURUSD Tests 200-Hour SMA After 1.1425 RejectionEURUSD is sitting on the 200-hour simple moving average after failing to break the 1.1425 resistance. The implementation and then postponement of the proposed 50% tariffs on Europe added to short-term volatility. Formal trade talks between the EU and US are expected to begin soon.
A green trend channel has now formed, with previously tested key support and resistance levels continuing to play a major role. EURUSD tends to test these key points at the same time with the trendlines. The next major level to watch is 1.1275, which aligns closely with the lower bound of the channel. As long as this level holds, a bullish reaction is possible. To the upside, 1.1375–1.1425 remains the critical resistance zone.
If 1.1275 breaks, downside targets could include 1.1215 in the short term and the broader 1.1050–1.11 zone over the medium term.
EURUSD – Bullish Bias ReconfirmedWe saw the pair pull back yesterday to our 1.12372 level, providing a textbook HRHR entry. The market has since bounced and looks poised for further upside if key levels break:
🎯 HRHR Buys: Already triggered at 1.12372
✅ Safe Buys: Above 1.14149, continuation setup
🛡️ Safest Buys: Above 1.16020, clean breakout targeting next key swing zones
We remain long-biased as long as 1.12372 holds.
EURUSD: Breaks Down : Is 1.11000 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD continues to follow its bearish trajectory after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. At this key level, price formed a converging triangle pattern and has now broken to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure.
If sellers maintain control at this zone, we could see price fall toward 1.11000, a key support level that aligns well as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential recovery.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing sell volume before entering short positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Eurusd has the potential to Sell (short)Eurusd has the potential to sell all the way down to 1.09134 for a nice swing trade .
we also have a head and shoulder pattern that was formed , and that already broke the neckline of the head and shoulder pattern .
Price decided to go bullish for some time but I think we got a full correction to the upside before the impulsive move back down, which is what I'm expecting but my first Area to target would be 1.110654 . It is a strong Area of interest so I will be expecting price to react from that level before reaching its final target .
EURUSD SellEU has formed a diagonal which is a reversal pattern. We anticipate the a swing bearish move to 0.9 region. On weekly timeframe, the market is still in a corrective phase to complete the last leg of WXYXZ correction. Our first TP for the bearish impulsive move is 1.008. Wave z has 5 impulsive waves, we now on wave 3.
EURUSD played out really nicely I set a sell limit on EURUSD, and it’s performing perfectly. I’m confident it will reach my target before the London open! 🎯
After the buy-side liquidity was swept, the price retraced to take out the previous highs on the buy-side liquidity. I waited until Monday, which was a bank holiday, to place my sell limit. It became active during the Asian session at midnight, and I successfully hit my take profit.
EURUSD is Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Market next move Current Analysis Breakdown:
Pair: EUR/USD on a 1-hour timeframe.
Recent Action: Sharp decline with a small bullish reversal candle.
Assumption: A potential bounce or reversal targeting the area marked as "Target."
Volume: Increased during the decline and slightly bullish at the last candle.
Technical Area: The “Target” is set above the current price, implying a bullish move is expected.
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Disrupting the Analysis:
Let’s introduce potential bearish or contrarian scenarios to question the bullish target assumption:
1. False Reversal / Dead Cat Bounce
The small green candle after a strong red volume drop could simply be a temporary retracement or a dead cat bounce—a short-lived recovery before the price resumes falling.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction
While volume has increased, the spike occurred mostly during red candles (bearish). This indicates strong selling pressure, not accumulation. The green candle’s volume is relatively small, suggesting weak buyer interest.
Long Setup in Play"If price moves toward higher highs before reaching the entry zone, the probability of a successful trade decreases."
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled.
I use two main concepts in my strategy:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones
Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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