Bullish Look for potential Reversal bullish candlestick formation upon the retest of four hour demand zone
EURUSD trade ideas
Forex Market Analysis - 9th May 2025Some forex market analysis starting with the DXY, then going into EURUSD mostly, with a bit of GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, AUDUSD, and NDZUSD.
I hope this gives you some insight into how I view the market.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD Will it go up or continuously go down?3 week long consolidation period of price action finally over after breaking out below the consolidation reaching the weekly FVG . Will it be get respected? Or will it turns out to be an IFVG.
check the trendGiven the breakdown of the support level and trend line, it is expected that after the specified corrections to the resistance levels, a continuation of the downward trend will form.
EUR/USD at Make or Break Zone — Will the 200 SMA Hold the Line?EUR/USD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 8, 2025
📊 Current Market Condition:
EUR/USD is retesting key confluence support at 1.1220 where the ascending channel, horizontal support, and 200 SMA align. Price has closed below the 50 EMA and the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting short-term bearish pressure — but a rebound is still possible.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Price is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel
200 SMA (red) is acting as last line of defense
50 EMA (blue) crossed above price = bearish structure
Stochastic near oversold = possible bullish divergence setup
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas:
📌 Setup 1 — Long Reversal at Channel + 200 SMA Support
Entry: 1.1225–1.1200 (on bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1175 (beneath recent low and channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1325 (mid-level resistance)
Take Profit 2: 1.1450 (key resistance + top of channel)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2.5+
Note: Wait for confirmation with a bullish 4H close or stochastic crossover before entering.
📌 Setup 2 — Bearish Breakdown & Retest Short
Entry: On break and retest of 1.1200 as resistance
Stop Loss: Above 1.1240 (back inside the channel)
Take Profit 1: 1.1150
Take Profit 2: 1.1080 (previous consolidation zone)
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2+
Note: Look for clean candle close below 1.1200 and rejection from underside before entering.
⚠️ Important Note:
FOMC speeches or USD data could cause unexpected volatility — manage risk accordingly.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EURUSD Technical Analysis.The second chart you uploaded shows the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, as displayed on TradingView.
Key observations:
1. Uptrend and Downtrend Channels:
The green trend lines indicate a bullish phase where the price moved upward.
The red trend lines indicate a subsequent bearish phase with a strong downward movement.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Gray boxes highlight key support and resistance areas.
The price broke below the lower support zone, indicating a bearish breakout.
3. Rebound and Target:
After the sharp decline to around 1.12256, the chart shows a potential recovery toward the resistance zone near 1.13000.
The projected path shows a zigzag upward movement, suggesting a cautious recovery phase.
This chart indicates that after a significant bearish breakdown, there is an expectation of a pullback to retest the 1.13000 resistance zone.
Would you like insights on potential entry and exit strategies for this setup?
Euro back to back hits from the dollar Taking trades on these moves to the dowside.Adding on Retests until i see change
EURUSD bulling ideaAlthough there is no single significant event directly affecting the euro-dollar exchange rate on May 8, from a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated on that day, having a certain impact on the euro-dollar exchange rate. The U.S. dollar index once broke the 100 mark. Generally speaking, the strength of the U.S. dollar index has an inverse relationship with the euro-dollar exchange rate. From different time cycles, on the monthly chart, the euro-dollar is supported at the 1.0800 level, and the long-term trend is regarded as bullish. At the weekly level, the price is supported in the 1.0900 area, and the medium-term outlook remains bullish
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSDDaily Head and Shoulders developing
H4 Head and shoulder already broke the neckline, retested ,and rejected.
EURUSD bulling idea as we have been waiting for EU to take shape in the bullish push that started weeks ago . we might see a retest of the weekly/daily zone to the upside
EURO/USD bearish movement will coming soonIts seems like dollar is getting strong against euro so will be sell position maybe,my predictions will go down bcz base is strong...
Euro-dollar holds around $1.13Trade and monetary policy remain important drivers for euro-dollar, so with the former calming down somewhat and the latter shifting towards a likely large gap in rates by the end of the year, upward momentum has declined. Markets seem to be pricing in 1.6% for the deposit facility rate by the end of the year while the most likely scenario now for the Fed’s funds rate at the end of 2025 is 3.5-3.75%.
The test of $1.15 on 21-22 April was rejected but so far there’s been no clear push below $1.13, making that a main technical reference and likely support given the presence of the 61.8% monthly Fibonacci retracement. Volume has declined sharply since early April, which probably makes sense since movements this time last month were really exceptional. An immediate movement lower also seems questionable because the slow stochastic is clearly oversold.
All of these technical factors might suggest a period of consolidation before the next significant movement. Traders are looking primarily at American inflation on 13 May for a possible driver, but attention will also remain on politics and ongoing negotiations around tariffs.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis 5.8.25EUR/USD Technical Research Report
Overview
The EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced fluctuations amid economic and tariff uncertainties. The recent trend shows a general upward movement with some volatility.
Historical Price Analysis
- April 1 to May 7, 2025: The exchange rate started at approximately 1.08 and peaked around 1.14 before stabilizing near 1.13.
- Volatility: The rate exhibited significant volatility, particularly around mid-April, likely influenced by geopolitical and economic factors.
Key Influences:
1. Economic Indicators: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has provided some stability, but ongoing inflation concerns continue to impact the market.
2. Trade Talks: Positive developments in US-China trade talks have buoyed market sentiment, potentially supporting the euro.
3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions may contribute to future volatility.
Technical Indicators:
- Support Level: Around 1.08, where the rate found initial support.
- Resistance Level: Near 1.14, where the rate faced resistance before stabilizing.
- Momentum: The upward momentum suggests potential for further gains, but caution is warranted due to underlying economic concerns.
Outlook:
- Short-term: Expect continued volatility with potential upward movement if positive economic data and trade developments persist.
- Long-term: Economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may lead to fluctuations, requiring close monitoring of economic indicators and trade negotiations.
Recommendations:
- Traders: Consider short-term opportunities with a focus on technical levels and economic data releases.
- Investors: Maintain a cautious approach, keeping an eye on geopolitical developments and central bank policies.
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The next EUR/USD move could pay twice”Current Price Structure:
Price is forming a potential Head & Shoulders / distribution near resistance (blue + red zone).
There is a clear supply zone overhead around 1.14255–1.14496.
Key demand zone (yellow box) 1.12274–1.11800.
3. Potential Trade Ideas (2 setups):
First short from the current resistance (blue box), aiming towards yellow demand zone.
Second opportunity: After a potential bounce → re-test of lower highs (blue box again) → another short towards demand zone (confluence short twice).
4. Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.14255 – 1.14496
Support: 1.12274 – 1.11800
Current price: 1.13115
5. Bias:
Short-term bearish towards 1.1227 zone.
Wait for confirmation with structure breaks and lower highs.
eurusdthis has been ranging since, i will like to join the the buy on confirmation after the pull back.
currently on bigger time frame the momentum is bulish bias....
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12725 👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) fell 0.59% on May 7 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, as expected. The U.S. dollar strengthened, supported by the Fed’s cautious tone on inflation and unemployment risks, as well as optimism around upcoming U.S.-China trade talks set for May 10 in Switzerland.
On May 8, EURUSD held above the 50-day moving average. Traders are watching the Bank of England’s rate decision at 11:00 a.m. UTC, which could spark volatility in euro pairs. U.S. Jobless Claims data, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, may also influence USD movements across the board.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12725.
Resistance level is now located at 1.14220.
Remembering Key Levels Indicators are reading neutral which I can see
Right now price is ranging 1.13700-1.12700
Price is making LH and LL on the 4hr and Daily Time frame
Price is near a key support area and from my aspect of price action it looks like it isn't breaking 1.12700
DXY is also heading near a recent high 99.932 and the probability of his breaking is weak if it does this trade becomes invalid
Right now price is in the contraction phase waiting to go into expansion
In order for me to Sell EURUSD I need to see a strong push to the down side forming within the bodies of candles no wicks
Otherwise I am Still Bullish on EURUSD
BUY 1.12868
SL 1.12660
TP1 1.3200
TP2 1.13360
TP3 1.13650
EUR USD Buy nowTook a EUR/USD buy after a clear sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by a bullish CHOCH (Change of Character) and a break of structure (BOS). Waited for price to retrace into the fair value gap on the 5-minute timeframe, then entered on the confirmation. Targeting buy-side liquidity above.
EURUSD Poised for a Sharp DeclineAfter what appears to be a completed distribution phase, FX:EURUSD looks ready to break lower toward key support levels. The first significant level to watch is 1.1263 — a clean break below it would likely open the way to the next two targets at 1.1145 and 1.1094. This move is supported by a strengthening TVC:DXY , which also appears bullish.
eurusd 2025-5-8ptice is bettwen to level
fvg 1hour on top and ssl level on bottom
so when price reach to this level we wait to see good setup to entry .
on top we should sell and on bottom we should buy
