EURUSD Upbrake of the trend will confirm buy target.i have made several analysis of this in recent weeks and it moves excatly i predicted so far. soon with the upbrake of the trend will confirm our 1.1890 target
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD - potential bearish move incoming
The daily chart shows us that the current trend is upwards with higher highs and higher lows.
On the 4 hour chart, we have price trading in a falling wedge for the past 28 days. Combining this with the daily uptrend, this current downtrend on the 4 hour is considered a pause that will eventually explode to the upside, and resume the daily uptrend
Price recently formed a red shooting star candle on high volume, signaling a short term reversal.
An opportunity exists for a short term trade targeting the nearest clustered support zone with a stop loss placed slightly outside the shooting star candle, thus granting a 1:2 RR trade.
EURUSDECB VS FED.Rate cut verse rate hold .As geopolitical tension cools off and fed hawkish rhetoric's verses ECB dovish stance ,this simple market fundamental could cap euro gains in coming months. if the pressure insist we could see a breakout of demand floor sending euro downswing.
#eurusd#dollar #usd
Euro jumps as Eurozone core CPI risesThe euro is sharply higher on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1250, up 0.79% on the day.
Eurozone headline inflation was confirmed at 2.2% y/y and 0.6% m/m in April, unchanged from the preliminary estimates. The core rate was also confirmed at 2.7% y/y and 1% m/m. Services inflation rose to 3.9% from 3.5%.
The European Central Bank will be pleased that inflation was unchanged in the final April release but remains concerned about services inflation, which remains persistently high. The ECB trimmed its key rate by a quarter point to 2.25% last month and meets next on June 5. The markets have priced in another rate cut, as the ECB looks to take advantage of stable inflation and lower rates in order to boost economic growth.
The ECB can be expected to be cautious with its rate path and continue its data-driven approach. There is much uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs, which has made it difficult for the ECB to make inflation and growth projections. What is clear is that eurozone growth has taken a hit from the tariffs and the outlook and the outllook for global growth has been revised downwards. The damage from the tariffs could be mitigated if the US and China can reach an agreement which removes the tariffs betweeen them.
The uncertainty surrounding US trade policy has also pushed the Federal Reserve into a wait-and-see stance, despite Trump's loud calls for a rate cut. The Fed held rates at this month's meeting and is widely expected to stay on the sidelines again in June. The Fed is waiting for more clarity on the tariff front, but any surprises from inflation or employment data could have a signifcant impact on rate policy.
EURUSD Sell – May 19, 2025📍Context:
Reaction from 15m Orderblock
HTF is bearish
LTF BOS as confirmation
🎯 TP:
Targeting Gap and Asia Lows
EURUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1244
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1181
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | EURUSD holding the 1.12 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price defended the rising-channel median (1.1200) and formed a bullish pennant against the blue corrective trend-line; pattern completion projects to the next horizontal/diagonal confluence at 1.1380.
● Momentum is flipping positive as the pair climbs back above the short-term descending channel roof, turning it into support and aligning with repeat bounces off 1.1100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● May euro-area flash PMIs surprised on the upside while US industrial output slipped, narrowing growth differentials and cooling USD demand.
✨ Summary
Pennant + channel support and firmer EU data vs. softer US output back a push toward 1.1300 → 1.1380; bias void if 1.1100 breaks.
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EURUSD is set to flyIt looks like we have the perfect storm for this pair as macro news will contribute to create some bullish momentum, news liike this one of 2 days ago:
"Moody's cuts America's pristine credit rating, citing rising debt"
www.reuters.com
My technical analysis is pretty clear, we have a descending wedge that has been taking shape for the last 15 years. We had a breakout and a retest so bullish momentum can resume now.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For This Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.1250 - 1.1295 area
Resistance 2: 1.1368 - 1.1381 area
Resistance 3: 1.1420 - 1.1427 area
Resistance 4: 1.1510 - 1.1574 area
Support 1: 1.1051 - 1.1093 area
Support 2: 1.1085 - 1.1089 area
Support 3: 1.1073 - 1.1078 area
Consider these zones for pullback/breakout trading.
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Euro can continue to decline in channel to buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the Euro formed a symmetrical triangle, where the price squeezed between resistance and support lines before breaking out with a strong impulse move. After this breakout, the pair quickly climbed toward the 1.1420 - 1.1455 resistance area, a major seller zone, but failed to hold above it. Since then, the price structure shifted into a well-defined downward channel. Within this channel, we’ve seen repeated rejections from the upper boundary and controlled declines toward the support line. Recently, EUR rebounded again from the resistance line, confirming that sellers remain in control. Now the price is heading lower once more. Given this repeated rejection and the prevailing bearish structure, I expect the decline to continue toward the next key area, the 1.1070 - 1.1035 buyer zone. This level aligns with the channel’s support and has acted as a reaction zone in the past. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1035, the bottom of the buyer zone and a logical target within this bearish setup. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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SELL!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON EURUSD FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
SELL!!!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON!
EURUSD IS READY TO TAKE YOUR ACCOUNT. THERE IS A WRAFT OF KEY LEVELS TO POTENTIALLY SHORT FROM.
I KNOW. I HAVE INDEED IDENTIFIED THEM HOWEVER ... let's not KILL out accounts !!!!! lets be sure when to pull the trigger on shorts!!!!
I'll be honest, I foresee a reaction from every point of interest BUT, dependant on YOUR entry model, depends if you can get Breakeven faster than the rest or even to take profit.
SELL IS THE PLAY BUT BE SMART...
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅HTF Bearish price action
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.12590 👀Possible scenario:
The euro fell 1.31% against the US dollar on May 16, despite expectations that the ECB would maintain a hawkish policy stance due to persistent core inflation. ECB President Lagarde called the recent strengthening of the euro “counterintuitive but justified,” citing waning confidence in U.S. policy.
It's quiet on the macroeconomic front on May 19, but the Eurozone Consumer Price Index at 12:00 GMT could cause some movement. Traders should also keep an eye on news on US trade policy and peace talks in Eastern Europe.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.10850.
Resistance level is located at 1.13000.
EURUSD Near Top Of Channel — Correction Imminent!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trading in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) , near the upper line of the descending channel and the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed five main impulse waves , and with the break of the Uptrend lines , we should expect corrective waves . Most likely, EURUSD is completing microwave 4 , and we should expect the next decline and the formation of microwave 5 .
I expect EURUSD to fall to at least $1.1073 , and the next targets are marked on the chart.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1330 , we should expect further gains.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EURUSD Eyes 1.13 on Moody's Credit DowngradeThe latest rebound from head & shoulders targets on both the US Dollar Index and EURUSD was amplified by Moody’s credit rating downgrade
Markets are expected to watch the Trump administration for reassuring headlines, reasserting the 1.1290 resistance on the pair before sustaining another leg higher in line with the 2025 uptrend. Key levels near neckline zones and 2025 extremes remain in focus for H2 reassessment.
🔼 Resistance Levels: 1.1200, 1.1330, 1.1380, 1.1450
🔽 Support Levels: 1.1140, 1.1070, 1.0970, 1.0890
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥
Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave.
Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play.
💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes.
❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
EUR/USD Wave 5 Setup – The Calm Before the SurgeWe're tracking a potential Wave (5) extension on EUR/USD after a clean completion of Wave (4), which bounced right from the golden zone between the 0.382–0.5 fib levels.
🔍 Structure & Context:
Wave (4) bottomed at 1.1065, aligning with key fib confluence and RSI oversold bounce.
Price is now showing early signs of bullish momentum, currently trading just under 1.1200, above the 0.382 retracement.
If this count holds, we could be entering the early phase of a bullish impulse leg toward 1.1572 and possibly 1.1755 for Wave (5).
🧩 Technical Confluences:
✅ Fib retracement support (0.382–0.5) held strong
✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMAs; 200 EMA still overhead but flattening
✅ RSI recovering above 47, showing room for upside
✅ Minor resistance at 1.1272 → watch for breakout confirmation
🎯 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 1.1150–1.1190
Wave 5 Target:
⚡ TP1: 1.1388 (0.618 ext)
⚡ TP2: 1.1572 (wave projection)
⚡ TP3: 1.1755 (extended target)
Invalidation: Break and close below 1.1045
📌 Plan: Looking for bullish continuation confirmation above 1.1225 with strong momentum. Tight risk with upside reward aligning beautifully with the wave structure 📈
💬 Let me know your thoughts on this count—bullish or premature?
📊 Drop a like if you're trading EUR/USD & follow for more wave-based setups!
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see price has broken structure to the upside, giving us the confluence to suggest enough Demand has been introduced to see price now trade us higher longer term.
The reason this here is a valid break in structure is because the high that set the lowest low within this correction has now been broken, suggesting that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness.
In order for us to be able to get involved in this market now with the longer term bias to take it long, we want to see price pullback initially to set a higher low, once price does that, that is when we can look to take part in the market.
I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will fall back down and into before trading us higher, we want to see price trade down and into this, then break structure fractally before taking us higher in the market.
EURUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.116.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.118 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD SHORT EUR/USD AFTER break out base confirmed a good FTR .Everything is clear on chart.
entry:1.12774
tp1:1.11995
tp2:1.11679
tp3:1.11172
sl:1.12947
r/r:9.24
Gartley harmonic pattern EURUSD DOWNThe D point marks the completion of the Gartley pattern and is typically a potential reversal zone (PRZ).
Given the strong bullish move to the D point, the pattern suggests that the upward trend may soon reverse, leading to a bearish move.
Stay Green :)
EURUSD Stuck Between Key Support and Resistance LevelsEURUSD appears to be setting up for round two. The white trendline, which represents the long-term trend from 2008, was tested at the beginning of this week. The expected bounce followed, pushing EURUSD back toward the yellow trendline. Now, the pair is once again approaching to white trend.
A clear break below the trendline could easily push EURUSD lower in the coming weeks, possibly toward 1.07. However, the outlook remains uncertain, with new developments and data pointing in different directions.
My base case is that the range between the 1.1050–1.11 support zone and the 1.1275 resistance will hold for a few more days. With limited U.S. data scheduled for next week, EURUSD may take the opportunity to consolidate and trade sideways.
Of course, if a breakout occurs in either direction, I would expect volatility to increase significantly.
EURUSD 1st 4H Death Cross after 7 months. Is it enough to short?The EURUSD pair just formed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since October 04 2024. The last such formation signaled the bearish extension of the trend by breaking below its Higher Lows trend-line.
That was a similar Higher Lows trend-line the price rebounded on on May 12, exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). With the 1D RSI on levels similar with that previous Death Cross, we will wait for confirmation before shorting again and the price to break is the Higher Low/ 1D MA50 Cluster.
If broken, our Target will be just above the 0.618 Fibonacci from the bottom at 1.07350.
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