The Endgame for EUR/USD? Final Impulse Before a Macro Reversal📉 FX_IDC:EURUSD Forecast — Final Growth Phase Within a Corrective Structure
🌍 Macro View (Weekly Chart):
FX:EURUSD remains in a long-term corrective structure that has been developing since 2008. The sequence of zigzags and connecting waves suggests a W–X–Y pattern, where the current upward leg is part of wave (B) before a potential final drop into wave (C).
🧭 Mid-Term Structure (3D Chart):
Since early 2023, wave (B) has been unfolding to the upside, with wave C forming inside it as a five-wave impulsive move.
⏱️ Short-Term Structure (6h Chart):
Since the start of 2025, an impulsive wave structure has been developing. Currently, OANDA:EURUSD is likely completing wave 3 and entering wave 4.
⚠️ Wave 4 may take one of the following forms:
FL — Flat
EFL — Expanding Flat
RFL — Running Flat
cT — Contracting Triangle
bT — Barrier Triangle
d3 — Double Three
Once wave 4 completes, I expect a final push upward (wave 5), marking the culmination of the current cycle before a potential reversal into wave (C) of the higher degree.
🔁 Correlation with the ICEUS:DXY TVC:DXY :
This outlook closely aligns with my previously published forecast on the CAPITALCOM:DXY , which has already started playing out:
🔗
📌 FOREXCOM:EURUSD holds potential for completing its fifth wave up, after which a reversal and the beginning of a broader decline may follow.
The scenario is further validated by the mirror correlation with DXY dynamics.
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout & Retest Setup – Targeting 1.10955Instrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Indicators Used:
EMA 30 (Red): 1.09821
EMA 200 (Blue): 1.09698
Key Levels Identified:
Entry Point: 1.09695
Stop Loss: Around 1.09067
Resistance Zone: ~1.09911
Target Zone: ~1.10918 to 1.10955
Projected Gain: ~147.3 pips (1.35%)
Price Action Analysis:
Bullish Breakout:
The price broke out from a consolidation zone (marked in purple).
A bullish trend is forming as price moves above the 200 EMA.
EMAs Alignment:
The 30 EMA is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend continuation.
However, price is slightly below the 30 EMA now, suggesting some short-term pullback or resistance.
Retest at Entry Zone:
Price retested the entry zone at 1.09695 after the breakout and is now hovering near it.
This retest is healthy for confirming support before another move up.
Trade Setup Insight:
Entry Strategy: A long (buy) entry at or around 1.09695.
Stop Loss Placement: Below the previous support zone near 1.09067 to manage risk.
Target Strategy: Aiming for the resistance zone around 1.10918–1.10955 for profit booking.
Conclusion:
This looks like a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The confluence of:
EMA support,
Price structure (breakout & retest),
and defined resistance/target zone
EUR/USD Weekly Resistance Rejection – Potential Short SetupAfter a strong bullish rally, EUR/USD has approached a major weekly resistance zone around 1.1295, a level that has held multiple times since 2023.
On the weekly timeframe:
Price has tapped into this resistance area and is showing signs of hesitation.
The RSI is at 67.59, approaching overbought territory.
A solid move has already played out, and we could be looking at a potential mean reversion move.
Volume has spiked, indicating possible distribution.
I've placed a short position at the current level, targeting a move back toward the 1.0950 area – near previous consolidation and the rising 21-week SMA (now at 1.0560, gradually catching up).
Stop loss: 1.1295
Take profit: 1.0950
Risk: -2.25 CAD on a 20,000 unit position
This setup offers a decent risk-to-reward ratio, and I'm closely watching how price behaves around this resistance. If the level breaks with momentum and volume, I’ll re-evaluate the bearish bias.
What do you think? Do you see EUR/USD pushing through or rejecting hard from here?
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Resistance #RSI #WeeklyChart #ShortSetup
EURUSD: Watch for buys around 1.09625!Hey traders!
EURUSD has played out beautifully according to yesterday’s analysis, hitting our key levels with precision. The bullish momentum remains intact, and I'm still targeting the previous week's high at 1.11450.
Before the next leg up, I anticipate a pullback towards the Asian session low around 1.09625. This level could serve as a potential liquidity grab and demand zone, a perfect spot for buyers to step back in.
✅ Watch for bullish rejections or confirmation candles around 1.09625 to signal that buyers are defending the level. If confirmed, it could be the start of a solid move back to the upside.
📊 What’s your bias on EURUSD today? Bullish or bearish?
Let me know in the comments below! 👇
If you found this idea helpful, please consider supporting it with a boost, your support means a lot! 🙏🔥
Previous Idea
How it played out
EUR-USD Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD grew nicely
Today but will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Level of 1.1279 so after
The retest we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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EUR/USD Breaks the Rules: Rising Euro Defies Falling YieldsEUR/USD is rising despite a falling 10Y yield differential, signaling a divergence from typical rate-driven behavior. This move is likely fueled by expectations of Fed rate cuts due to soft U.S. economic data, a recovering Eurozone trade surplus, and broader macro flows like de-dollarization and geopolitical tensions. Tariff risks and speculative positioning are also driving capital toward the euro, overriding yield-based fundamentals for now
EURUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on EURUSD
EURUSD is on a strong 3-week rally correction that was almost got rejected on Friday due to the UK and US GDP data that came pretty strong and weak respectively.
That said, I am still quite anticipating for a possible correction to continue towards the 50% fib level at 1.0650, before we can start looking for a possible buy entry in the long term.
Trading Plan:
1. BUY if the resistance gets broken and retest successfully.
2. SELL if the current region acts as resistance for rejection towards the downside with an engulfing called on the 4H chart.
Targets:
1. Can be 1:2 for either entries.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) indicates an Overbought but easing gradually towards the 50 level.
Please like, follow, and comment!!
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
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EURUSD Technical AnalysisTechnical Analysis
The RSI indicator recently reached oversold levels, suggesting strong downward pressure. Currently, RSI is testing a descending resistance trendline, which has previously acted as a dynamic ceiling for momentum.
Given this setup, there is a higher probability that the price may continue to move lower, especially if RSI gets rejected at this trendline once again. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering any short positions.
EURUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends (especially Mr. Mehdi)
I left this analysis for Mr. Mehdi.
Given our prediction that the price growth in the EURUSD currency pair was expected, this analysis went completely according to our expectations, of course I hope you have benefited from this analysis.
Now, considering the formation of a 5-wave pattern in wave 1 of 3 or C and waves 2 and 3 of the main wave 3 or C,
We will expect the formation of a corrective wave in the main wave 4.
Given the price reaching 1.618 wave 1 and forming a shadow, we will most likely enter a correction.
Given the strength of its wave 3, this correction can be partial or deep.
But considering the support levels, the minimum correction will be the 1.07500 range, if this level is lost and decreases, the next range will be 1.0600 and then, less likely, the 1.0500 range.
Be successful and profitable.
Lingrid | EURUSD breaks HIGHER Amid Dollar WeaknessFX:EURUSD market broke and closed above the consolidation zone. The price broke above the previous month's high and nearly tested the high of 2024. The price overall is making higher highs and higher lows, and at this point, the price may form a triangle pattern around the key level at 1.1000 before continuing to push higher. If the market rejects the support level, we can expect the price to move to higher levels, at least retesting the recent resistance zone. My goal is resistance zone around 1.11075
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD | 10.04.2025SELL 1.10750 | STOP 1.11650 | TAKE 1.09550 | Since the beginning of April, the price continues to move in a wide sideways channel. Probably consolidation is turned to further strengthening of the US dollar. Accordingly, we expect the price to go down and consolidate under the level of 1.09000 with further downward movement.
EURUSD SHORT CONCEPTE-U sell sides swing concept.
I'm precipitating an upsurge in the dollar index and a vice versa on both EURUSD & GBPUSD.
Since last week Friday, we've been on a low resistance liquidity run to the downside 1 hr t.f.
Though we got to a HTF sweet spot/ point of interest on selling pressure. We're kinda sluggish to melt to the downside.
I might not know what move the markets might pull out today, but I'm looking for that selling pressure.
I'll only look for buying pressure if the market gets above prev monthly highs and shows buy side interest.
Comment below on what you think, hit that boost & follow for more content.
Stay tuned for updates, entries and more...
Don't Let It Slip Away: Dragon Signal Active on EUR/USDHi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential Dragon pattern with long opportunity:
🔹 Entry: 1.0956
🔹 TP: 1.11367
🔹 SL: 1.07787
Price action has formed a classic Dragon pattern — two symmetrical legs and a clear head, with the neckline (the hump) being retested as support. Currently, the pair is testing the neckline zone just above the 200 EMA. RSI is mid-range and curving up, showing early signs of bullish momentum.
If the neckline holds, we may see a strong bullish wave toward 1.1136. This pattern often leads to explosive upside moves once confirmed.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
EUR/USD Clears Resistance, Eyes 1.1200 RetestThe euro jumped +1.66% on the day, decisively clearing the key 1.0940 resistance level with a powerful bullish candle that now opens the door to a retest of the August 2024 high near 1.1200.
🔹 MACD remains in bullish territory, reaffirming upward momentum
🔹 RSI is climbing near 69, approaching overbought but not flashing reversal yet
🔹 Price now trades well above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, both rising
Momentum is clearly in the bulls' favor. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.0940, pullbacks may be seen as buying opportunities ahead of a potential break toward 1.1200.
Trend shift confirmed. Bulls back in charge.
-MW
EURUSD - SellPrice just swept the Asian high, grabbing buy-side liquidity. Now, I expect a reversal to target the session low (sell-side liquidity).
Liquidity taken ✅
Premium pricing ✅
Bearish order flow incoming...
Short from here. Let’s see how it plays out.
TRADE
Entry: 1.09931
Stop Loss: 1.10157
Take Profit: 1.09431
This is a 1:2.2 targeting 50 pips.
Euro may continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. We can see how the pair spent a long time inside a wide range, repeatedly testing the buyer zone between 1.0365 - 1.0400 points. After multiple rebounds and false breakouts, Euro finally broke through the resistance and started forming a strong upward channel. The bullish structure was further confirmed when the price respected the support line of the channel and created a new higher low near 1.0885, which now acts as the current support level. This level also coincides with the bottom of the seller zone, which was recently flipped into support. Price reacted with a sharp impulse up, breaking the consolidation range and confirming continued bullish pressure. Now Euro is approaching the middle of the channel and gaining strength again. I expect the pair to make a slight pull-back to the support area, followed by a continuation of the upward trend toward TP1 - 1.1250 points, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as EUR remains above 1.0885 points and respects the bullish structure, I’m looking for another leg higher. The chart structure supports the bullish case, and the upward momentum is clearly in play. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.10999 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.10273.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long Trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (EUR/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 4.00 AM (New York Time) – Tokyo to LND Session AM
📈 Pair: EUR/USD
📈 Trade Direction: Buy (Long)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.10245
Take Profit (TP): 1.11064 (+0.74%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.10027 (–0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.76
Price tapping into a discounted demand zone, aiming to ride the NY session continuation into a liquidity target above prior session highs
EURUSD BULLISHPrice formed a Higher High, confirming an uptrend.
Current pullback respected the Fibonacci 0.618 level, which often acts as a strong support zone during healthy retracements.
We’re now expecting a Higher Low to form
Bullish candle with strong wick rejection at 0.618
USD is under pressure due to expected Fed rate pause or potential cuts later this year.
EUR is stable but watch for ECB commentary—hawkish tone supports EUR.
DXY is weakening — supports EURUSD uptrend.