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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geEURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geopolitics. As the elections in the United States approach, we increasingly begin to pay attention to geopolitics, which affects the currency markets, and especially the dollar, at the expense of technical and fundamental analysis. In reality, only one working week remains until the all-important elections, where the world decides which way it will go next. Escalation of the two major conflicts into full-scale wars is a completely possible scenario. This would affect the United States depending on how involved the US would be. A further escalation of the wars could strengthen the dollar as US industry would produce more of the real good - weapons, as opposed to peace, where services are the driving force of the US economy. We expect new developments in the last days of the campaign, be it new attacks against Trump or escalation in the Middle East, after another batch of missile attacks against Tehran (Iran). On Monday, we don't really have any important data for the United States or Europe. On Tuesday we expect data on Consumer Confidence, Housing Price Index and JOLTS Job Openings. Big expectations for fundamental news from the United States are expected in the second half of the week, with the important Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) report at the end. Expectations for Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) are for a sharp decline in the numbers to weaker jobs data. That is why the dollar stopped the EURUSD downward trend in the last almost month. Thus, from the great growth of the dollar (EURUSD) from 1.12 at the end of September, to 1.0761 on October 23, 2024. This trend ended in the 43rd week of this year (the last week) to pass into expectations of a decline in the dollar and return to levels above 1.08. Thus, the downtrend is over and a break below 1.0760 is unlikely until at least Friday. Use the moment to trade in a neutral trend with a move of 25-40 pips or an uptrend in anticipation of levels above 1.0860. Let's also mention the BRICS meeting, which leaves the Dollar as the leading world currency in international payments for now, but more and more the Dollar will give way to the power of China, Russia and the rest of the world.
by World-Signals
EURUSD Sellas we were bearish last week and now still this week too we are bearish although we have NFP pending this week if data goes into favor we will have a rally downwards and profits will be taken we have some bearish confluences over the pair which are lined up as Confluence EUR vs Dollar is in bearish trend from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 we are all bearish the pair is making Lower highs and Lower low formation from last week and has completed its retracment and am waiting for BOS only we will go bearish over it Geo politics is also a factor for EUR to be bearish All currencies are affectee of this Situation we will be bearish this week and let the price play if any change in price character is seen i will be mentioning that into my analysis
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
EUR/USD Outlook: Scenario with Yield Spread The chart suggests a few key points about EUR/USD: What is the Yield Spread? The yield spread is simply the difference between the interest rates (or yields) of two different bonds, usually from different countries or types of bonds. For example, in this analysis, we’re looking at the yield spread between German 10-year bonds and U.S. 10-year bonds. If the U.S. bond yield is higher than the German bond yield, the yield spread is negative, making U.S. investments more attractive, which can strengthen the dollar compared to the euro. In short, the yield spread gives us a quick way to see which country’s bonds are offering better returns, helping us understand currency trends. 1/ Yield Spread (Germany vs. U.S.) The yield spread (pink line) is falling, showing that U.S. bonds offer better returns than German bonds. This makes the dollar more attractive than the euro, adding downward pressure on EUR/USD. 2/ EUR/USD Downtrend: EUR/USD has been trending down, moving in line with the yield spread. If this trend continues, EUR/USD could keep dropping. However, the RSI indicator shows oversold levels (below 30), suggesting a possible short-term bounce. 3/ RSI Oversold Signal: With RSI in the oversold zone, EUR/USD might see a short-term rebound, although the main trend remains bearish. Two Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Short-Term Rebound, Then Further Drop What could happen: EUR/USD might bounce to a nearby resistance (around 1.0850) due to the oversold RSI. After that, it could resume its fall as the yield spread still favors the dollar. Trading Tip: Look for sell opportunities if EUR/USD rises temporarily, expecting a continuation of the downtrend. Scenario 2: No Rebound, Continued Downtrend What could happen: If the yield spread keeps dropping, EUR/USD could fall directly to lower levels like 1.0600, with no significant rebound. Trading Tip: Consider holding or adding to short positions if the spread keeps falling and supporting the dollar. Conclusion: The yield spread currently favors a strong dollar, which could continue to push EUR/USD lower. Although a short-term rebound is possible due to the oversold RSI, the overall trend likely remains downward unless there’s a shift in the yield spread. However, it’s important to remember that the yield spread is only a powerful indicator, providing insight into the current market sentiment. This is just one possible scenario and should not be viewed as a guaranteed outcome. Market conditions can change rapidly, and no indicator is 100% reliable.
by yashida
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.079. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.068 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Eur USD 4h.time frame had a breakout of the descending wedge ,also if you will take a look you will see that there is a fully formed diamond pattern. Those two patterns are bearish sign, so could be a retest of the wedge and then further move downside. But keep in mind that so far it does look also as a perfect Elliot Wave. I have marked wave 5 with a target of red straight line, what is 2023 highest point. Hard to tell which way this forex pair will choose, but I think it's worth to watch.
by DRDollFace
"EUR/USD Approaching Critical Support1. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance: The price has previously faced resistance near 1.10409 and 1.09127 (marked by horizontal purple lines). The recent peak suggests that 1.10409 is a strong resistance level where sellers may exert pressure. Support: The price has bounced around the 1.07532 level, which acts as a key support zone. This level aligns with the trendline support, making it a crucial area for potential bullish reversals. 2. Descending Triangle Pattern The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, formed by the downward-sloping resistance line and the trendline support. This setup typically indicates bearish momentum, where a breakdown below the support could lead to further downside movement. 3. Moving Averages Multiple moving averages (e.g., 20, 50, and 100-day) are visible, showing a recent bearish crossover. The price currently trades below these averages, hinting at continued bearish sentiment. 4. Volume Analysis Recent volume bars suggest higher selling pressure, especially as the price approaches the support region. Increased volume during a breakdown could confirm further bearish action. 5. Potential Scenarios Bearish Breakdown: A close below the 1.07532 level, accompanied by strong volume, could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, possibly targeting the next support zone around 1.06500. Bullish Reversal : If buyers step in at 1.07532 and the price rebounds, a move towards 1.09127 could be possible. Summary This EUR/USD chart hints at a bearish bias as it approaches a significant support level. Traders may look for a confirmation of direction, as a breakdown could signal further declines, while a reversal at support might lead to a short-term rally. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice.
by AngshumanSaikia