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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD: Don't chase the car, Snoopy! This is a relief rally.Hello all. Apologies if my "dog chasing a car" expression does not resonate with everyone. However, I think we can all use a little levity once in a while. I entered into a long EUR/USD position last week although it was a gamble what with the German election this weekend. However, I have a very tight trailing stop on this trade. It definitely has the legs to reach 1.0530-40. Higher than that, we'll see. Allow me to explain my point of view. Investors, especially institutions, like certainty. The German election is over and with that some certainty that there is the will to form a coalition government ASAP. It is not my place to criticize the German people's choice but it seems that the immigration haters like the AdF party, DJT and Musk, who did not hesitate to support them, did not win the day. There is however a steep road ahead until a formal government is in place. Germany's economy has been in decline and the ECB rate decisions have reflected that. The Ukraine/Russia war seems to be the EUR/USD driver now that Trump and his mouthpiece, Hegseth, have essentially showed that they do not care about Europe's future, OR FOR THAT MATTER THE INTERNATIONAL ORDER AND THE USA'S ROLE IN IT AS A PEACEKEEPER. More alarming is the claim that Ukraine started the war. DJT is still cozying up to Putin and nobody except him knows why. This cavalier approach by the Trump administration has raised the specter of European powers having to produce their own weapons and also leaning on the UK to assist. This may boost economic output but I would not invest in that prospect for now. What the planet needs is an end to this war and the USA to show some real leadership. Now is also the time for the USA, Euro Zone and Japan to start urging China and India to assist in stopping this insanity started by Putin. The UN needs to step up to the plate too. If Trump really wants monetary compensation for aiding Ukraine, then let it be so. He can start by insisting on a slice of the reported USD280 billion in frozen Russian assets. And if it does come to Ukraine having to give some mineral rights to the USA in return for a peace keeping force and repayment for military aid, well, fine by me as a tax payer one way or another. There is however not a snow ball's chance in hell that the USA congress will approve what will be seen by Putin as an act of war against Russia. HERE IS A THOUGHT: what if DJT wakes up tomorrow morning and start using his bully pulpit to promote all nations to get along instead of barking about tariffs and other not so important issues like the weak stream of water from his shower. Just kidding, of course, but one may dream... I have just booked profit on my long position and will monitor it for another position, long or short. Chasing it in the hope of reaching 1.0600? Of course. That is what we do as traders. But keep the risk small. Best of luck all.
by jvrfxalerts
3
SHORTING EURUSDTechnical Overview: Timeframe: Daily (1D) Pair: EUR/USD Indicator: EMA 21 (Exponential Moving Average) Key Levels: Resistance: ~1.05155 Support: ~1.03330 Psychological Level: 1.04550 (current price zone) Major Support Zone: ~1.02500 Analysis: Market Structure: The market is in a retracement phase after a bullish move. A bearish rejection at resistance (~1.05155) led to a pullback, which is now interacting with the 21 EMA and a possible support zone. Price Action & Rejection: The recent bearish candle pushed the price down, but there was an immediate rejection from a demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. This suggests that buyers are stepping in, showing potential support at the 1.0400 - 1.0450 zone. Confluence Factors: EMA 21 Acting as Dynamic Support: The price has previously respected the 21 EMA, and the latest reaction suggests it may hold as support. Order Block/Reliquidity Grab: A small liquidity grab below the previous lows before bouncing indicates that smart money may be accumulating long positions. Bullish Rejection Wick: The last candle shows buyer pressure, hinting at a possible move higher. Trade Bias: If the price holds above the EMA 21 and current support, bullish continuation is expected. A break above 1.0455 could signal further bullish movement toward 1.05155. However, if price breaks below 1.0400, it could indicate further downside toward 1.03330.
Short
by jamesprivado20
1
EURUSD 16/2/25Coming into the second week of February, we have a bullish bias once again. In our Monday session, we have targets set at the highs. We're expecting price to give us a full pullback so we can trade from the lows into the highs. Since we have a bullish bias, if price continues to push higher without a deep pullback, don’t be surprised. If you do manage to find an entry in one of the lower areas, look to trade this using the Orion entries. Trade safe, stick to your plan, and follow Orion.
Long
by PipSurfingSociety
1
HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line before continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. From this chart, it's clear that the price initially moved upward within a rising channel. At one point, it briefly dipped below the 1.0260 level but quickly recovered and pushed higher. After hovering around this level for a while, the price resumed its upward movement within the channel. Later, the Euro reached Support 1, which aligned with a support zone, and consolidated there for some time before breaking through. The price then climbed to 1.0520 before reversing and starting to decline. In a short span, it dropped back to Support 1, broke below it again, exited the channel, and fell further to the trend line, forming a strong gap and breaking through Support 2 along the way. However, the price soon reversed sharply, rallying back to Support 1 before correcting below the trend line. Following this correction, the price began to climb below the trend line, and after some time, EURUSD managed to break above both the trend line and Support 1. Currently, it is continuing its upward movement near the trend line. In my view, EURUSD is likely to drop back to the trend line before resuming its upward trajectory. With that in mind, I’ve set my target at 1.0560. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
9
Martingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading StrategiesMartingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading Strategies Martingale and Anti-Martingale trading strategies are contrasting approaches to risk management. While one doubles down on potential losses to recover with a single effective trade, the other scales up on potentially effective trades and reduces positions when suffering losses. Both have their strengths and challenges, making them intriguing options for traders. In this article, we’ll break down how each strategy works, so you can decide which or none suits your trading style. What Is Martingale Trading? The Martingale trading strategy originated in the casino industry in the 18th century. In the 20th century, French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy introduced it into probability theory. Later, it was adapted for trading. At its core, the strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after every loss. The idea is simple: one eventual effective trade will offset previous losses and generate a net return. While it can seem appealing in theory, the Martingale method requires significant capital to sustain, as losses can quickly escalate. This makes it particularly risky in volatile markets or without strict loss limits. It’s most commonly used in lower-volatility settings where price movements might be easier to gauge, but even then, the financial risks should not be underestimated. How Martingale Works A Martingale algorithm works by increasing the size of a trade after every loss, aiming to recover all previous losses with one trade. Once an effective trade occurs, a trader returns to the original position size and repeats the process. Here’s an example: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If it’s a loss, you double the next trade size to $20. - If that trade also loses, you increase to $40 for the next trade. - Suppose this $40 trade is effective. It covers all previous losses ($10 + $20 = $30) and leaves a $10 return. - After this trade, you reset your trade size back to $10. This approach relies on the assumption that consecutive losses won’t continue indefinitely and that one effective trade will balance the account. However, if multiple losses occur, the required position size increases rapidly. For instance, after just six consecutive losses, the next trade would need to be $1260, with the total exposure already exceeding $1,000. Key Considerations When using the Martingale strategy, it’s crucial to weigh the risks and choose the right conditions for its application. Choosing the Right Market The Martingale strategy is popular in low-volatility markets, where prices are potentially less prone to extreme swings. Instruments like currency pairs with narrow trading ranges could be more suitable. Highly volatile assets can cause significant losses before a recovery. Assessing Capital Requirements The strategy demands a large capital reserve to sustain consecutive losses if they occur. Each losing trade doubles the position size, and costs can escalate quickly. Before using Martingale, traders check if their accounts have enough balance to absorb potential losses without hitting margin limits. Setting a Maximum Loss Limit To prevent devastating drawdowns, traders often establish a hard stop on the total amount they’re willing to lose. For instance, if your account is $10,000, you might set a cap at $1,000. Once reached, the strategy halts. This keeps losses manageable and avoids the risk of depleting the account entirely. What Is Anti-Martingale Trading? Anti-Martingale strategy, also known as the reverse Martingale strategy, uses the opposite approach. It involves halving the size of each position after a loss and doubling it after an effective trade. How Anti-Martingale Works The Anti-Martingale strategy takes the opposite approach to Martingale, adjusting position sizes based on the effectiveness of a trade rather than failure. After each trade where a trader gets returns, the position size is increased to capitalise on potentially favourable conditions. Following a losing trade, the position size is reduced to potentially minimise further losses. This method balances potential risks and rewards. Here’s an example to break it down: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If you get a return, you double the next position size to $20. - If you get a return again, you double the position to $40. - If the $40 trade loses, you halve your position size to $20 for the next trade. - After another loss, you halve the size again, returning to $10. This dynamic scaling should ensure that you could maximise returns during strong market trends while potentially limiting losses during weaker periods. For instance, if you got returns in three consecutive trades followed by two losses, you would end up with a net gain, as larger position sizes during effective trades offset smaller losses. However, the risks of the Anti-Martingale strategy include overexposure after effective trades, where larger positions can lead to significant losses if the market reverses, and undercapitalisation after losing trades, which makes recovery challenging. Key Considerations When using the Anti-Martingale strategy, careful planning and risk management are essential. Here are the key considerations to keep in mind: Choosing the Right Market The Anti-Martingale strategy is popular in trending markets. Traders could choose instruments like major currency pairs, indices, or commodities with clear directional movement. Choppy or range-bound markets are less popular for this strategy. Evaluating Capital Needs While this strategy typically requires less capital than Martingale due to its risk-reduction approach in the period of losing trades, you still need sufficient funds to navigate potential fluctuations. Having a comfortable buffer allows you to continue trading even after a series of losses. Setting a Loss Cap Establishing a maximum loss limit is critical to potentially protect a trader’s account. For example, if a trader risks a small percentage of their account on each trade, they might ensure that even scaled-down trades don’t exceed their overall risk tolerance. This might help them keep losses manageable and prevent overexposure. Comparing the Martingale and Anti-Martingale The Martingale strategy involves increasing position sizes after a loss, aiming to recover past losses and secure a net return with one trade. While this approach could deliver quick recoveries in low-volatility markets, it’s inherently risky. Consecutive losses can lead to exponentially larger trade sizes, depleting capital rapidly. Traders using Martingale need substantial account balances and strict loss limits to avoid catastrophic drawdowns. In contrast, the Anti-Martingale strategy focuses on increasing position sizes after a trader gets returns and reducing them after they experience losses. This method leverages favourable trends, allowing traders to maximise potential returns while limiting losses. However, this strategy leads to increasing exposure after effective trades, which can magnify losses, and potentially slow recovery due to reduced position sizes after losses. Is it worth combining Martingale and Anti-Martingale techniques? As these are opposite approaches, the theory states a trader should choose the one that meets their requirements. Start by defining your risk tolerance and trading objectives, and then adapt your strategy to changing market conditions. By doing this, you will understand whether it’s more important for you to increase potential returns or reduce potential risks. Pros and Cons of Each Strategy Both Martingale and Anti-Martingale strategies have unique advantages and challenges, making them suitable for different trading styles and risk profiles. Martingale Pros - Potential recovery with a single trade: One effective trade could recover all prior losses. - Simplifies decision-making: The fixed doubling method removes complexity in adjusting position sizes. - Popular in low-volatility markets: This strategy is popular in markets with generally lower volatility where extreme price swings are less likely. Martingale Cons - High capital requirements: Losses can snowball quickly, requiring significant funds to maintain positions. - Risk of large drawdowns: A long period of losing trades can wipe out an account without strict limits. - Unpopular for volatile markets: Extreme market movements make it even riskier. Anti-Martingale Pros - Risk management focus: Reducing position sizes after losses could limit potential drawdowns. - Popular in trend trading: Larger trades in solid trends could potentially maximise returns. Less demanding on capital: Scaling down after losses conserves funds. Anti-Martingale Cons - Less popular in sideways markets: Struggles in sideways or inconsistent market conditions. - Lower recovery potential: Halving position sizes after losses makes it harder to recover quickly. - Discipline-dependent: Requires precise execution to avoid over-adjusting positions. Final Thoughts Although both strategies have their own benefits and drawbacks, it’s vital to determine the most important aspects for yourself as there is no one-size-fits-all approach. Remember, trading is not just about strategy; it’s also about discipline, patience, and continuous learning. To develop your own trading approach, open an FXOpen account to trade with low commissions and tight spreads. FAQ What Is a Martingale Strategy? The Martingale strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after each loss, aiming to recover losses and secure potential returns with one trade. It’s high-risk and requires substantial capital to withstand potential losing trades. Does Martingale Strategy Work in Forex? Using the Martingale strategy in forex can work, especially in low-volatility currency pairs, but it bears high risks. Forex markets are volatile, and a series of losses can quickly escalate, requiring significant funds to continue trading. Is Martingale a Good Strategy? Martingale is not inherently good or bad—it depends on the trader’s risk tolerance and capital. While it offers recovery potential, the risks of large drawdowns or account depletion make it unsuitable for most. What Is the Alternative Martingale System? The Anti-Martingale strategy, or reverse Martingale, is a common alternative. It takes the opposite approach by increasing trade size after effective trades and reducing it after losses, focusing on capitalising on trends while minimising risks during downturns. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD is offering the best risk to reward ratio for shortsEURUSD is at a key level that is sperating the price action, and now is the time for bears to take a stand, or give up and be run over. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
1
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0487 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0390 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel. The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel. In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? The EUR/USD pair has been moving in a range-bound and choppy manner over the past week. However, as long as the price does not break below the identified support level, we expect it to rise at least toward the specified target zone. A break above the key resistance area could provide a buying opportunity, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish trend. If this resistance is breached, further upside movement may be expected. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
21
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0456 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0478 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Greenback in my Favour against the Euro Hey Traders, I hope everyone is having a great trading week! In my last post on EUR/USD , I shared my view on dollar strength. Since then, price has surged to a key level at 1.05 , where it is currently showing signs of rejection on lower timeframes. My bias remains bearish unless we see a clear breakout above 1.06. For this setup, I’ll exit the trade if price breaks above the previous high of 1.0533 . My target for this trade remains 1.0 Remember, the only thing we can truly control in trading is risk . Stick to your plan, manage your risk, and stay disciplined! Happy Friday & trade safe! R.P. 🚀
Short
by Tradebudz
1