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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD BREAKS ABOVE RESISTANCE APPROACHING JULY HIGH! Hey Traders so looking at the EUR/USD still looking bullish if you took the buy zone at 1.571 consider moving stop now to Break Even. IMO taking the risk out of a trade is the first step before locking in a profit. So now we approach July high at 1.833. I always say markets can do 3 things as they approach significant support or resistance. 1. Consolidate 2. Breakthrough 3. Reverse However you want to give the market room to breathe so I would start to lock in profit by staying 3 days behind market. So if you want to try this profit taking wait until tommorows candle finishes and then move the stop 3 days behind the market at 1.1670. Then just manually let the market decide when to stop you out. Just say behind 3 days behind market. So if bullish consider protecting stops or small profit taking. However if Bearish I don't think now is the time to short unless a significant reversal takes place and support is broken. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
Long
by TradeTheIndex
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
14
EUR/USD Surges into Resistance Ahead of ECBEuro is poised to snap a two-week losing streak with EUR/USD up more than 1.2% since the Sunday open. The advance takes price back into weekly resistance ahead of tomorrow’s European Central Bank rate decision and the focus now shifts to the weekly close for guidance. Euro plunged more than 2.3% off the June high with price briefly registering an intraweek low at 1.1557 before rebounding. The rally takes EUR/USD into resistance at the objective high-week close (HWC) / high-close at 1.1775- looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close above needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the close of the month. Initial weekly support remains with the 2016 swing high at 1.1616 with the medium-term outlook still constructive while above the March trendline (red). Ultimately, a break below the 2020 / 2022 highs at 1.1497 would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway with subsequent support seen at the 2024 high close / May low-week close (LWC) at 1.1164. A breach / close above this pivot zone exposes the upper parallel (blue), currently near 1.1840s, with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.1917-1.2020- a region defined by the 100% extension of the 2022 advance and the 38.2% retracement of the 2008 decline (area of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2021 HWC at 1.2227 and the 2018 high-close at 1.2456. Bottom line: Euro rebounded just ahead of the March uptrend with the rally now testing the yearly high-close ahead of the ECB- watch the Friday close with respect to 1.1775. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses would need to be limited to this week’s low IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel still needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD About to Trap the Bears? Final Push Before the Drop! EUR/USD is showing a solid short-term bullish structure, with a move initiated from the demand base around 1.1560, fueling a strong rally toward the current level near 1.1770. Price is now approaching a significant supply zone between 1.1790 and 1.1875, previously responsible for the last major bearish swing. This area also aligns with projected Fibonacci levels (25%-100%), reinforcing its relevance as a possible inflection point. This movement suggests there’s still room for price to push higher, likely completing the final leg of this bullish cycle before a more convincing short setup develops. At this stage, Fibonacci levels are not acting as firm supports, but rather as hypothetical pullback projections: once price enters the 1.1800–1.1875 area, it will be key to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A rejection here may initiate a bearish retracement toward 1.1670–1.1650, in line with the 62–70.5% fib levels. Retail sentiment remains highly contrarian: 76% of traders are short, positioning themselves too early against the trend. This imbalance adds fuel for a potential continuation higher, as the market may seek to "squeeze" these premature shorts. Additionally, the COT report confirms growing institutional interest in the euro, with non-commercials increasing their net longs, while USD net long exposure continues to shrink. Seasonality adds further confluence: late July is historically bullish for EUR/USD, suggesting one final leg up could materialize before a typically weaker August. ✅ Trading Outlook EUR/USD is technically aligned for a final push toward the 1.1800–1.1875 premium zone, where a potential short opportunity may arise. The rally is currently driven by overextended retail shorts and supportive institutional flows. Only after price interacts with the upper supply zone should reversal signs be evaluated, with correction targets around 1.1670–1.1650. The ideal play: wait for confirmation of bearish intent in August, when seasonal weakness typically kicks in.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Educational EUR/USD Chart Breakdown – Price Action at Key LevelsEducational EUR/USD Chart Breakdown – Price Action at Key Levels This EUR/USD (1-hour) chart provides a great example of how support and resistance zones, combined with price action and indicators like Bollinger Bands, can help anticipate market moves. 🔹 Resistance Zone Tested: The pair recently approached the 1.17500–1.17800 resistance zone. This level had previously acted as a supply zone, and price once again showed rejection here, indicating selling pressure. 🔹 Bollinger Band Overextension: Notice how the price extended beyond the upper Bollinger Band—this often signals that the market is overbought in the short term, leading to a potential reversal or correction. 🔹 Bearish Reaction & Target: After rejection from resistance, the chart outlines a bearish move with a target at 1.16097. This level lies just above the next strong support zone (1.15500–1.16100), offering a realistic area for price to stabilize if the downtrend continues. 🔹 What to Learn: Support & Resistance: Prices often react at key zones; previous resistance can turn into support and vice versa. Confluence Tools: Use indicators like Bollinger Bands with price structure to increase confidence. Target Planning: Identify likely reaction zones for risk management and profit-taking. 📚 Summary This setup is a clean example of trading within a range and using technical confluence to plan entries and exits. If price breaks below 1.17130 with strong momentum, the probability increases for the market to reach the 1.16097 target.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
EUR/USD Set to Fly – Don’t Miss This Perfect Channel Breakout!Hi traders!, Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, we can observe that price is respecting the ascending channel and reacting to the dynamic trendline support (green dashed lines). A recent bounce suggests a potential bullish continuation within this structure. 🔹 Entry: 1.17399 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.17640 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.17056 Price remains above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish environment. The bounce aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and follows a short consolidation period, indicating buying pressure. The RSI also shows signs of recovery after approaching oversold levels, supporting the idea of upward momentum. This long setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aims to capture continuation toward upper channel resistance. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Long
by Trading-On-Top
EURUSD Weekly Technical Analysis – Major Downtrend Line in Focus📈 EURUSD Weekly Technical Analysis – Major Downtrend Line in Focus As seen on the chart, EURUSD is currently approaching a long-term descending trendline on the weekly timeframe. This trendline has historically acted as a strong supply zone, so it’s crucial to have it drawn on your chart. 🔸 If price manages to break above the resistance at 1.17545, we could see a bullish continuation toward the next targets at 1.17900, 1.18545, and potentially 1.19000. 🔻 However, if price gets rejected around the resistance zone (1.17500–1.17800), key supports to watch are 1.16960, 1.16500, and the major support at 1.14900. ⏳ A move toward the downtrend line is highly likely, but it may take time. Stay patient and monitor these key zones closely. 💬 Follow for more real-time analysis and updates!
by SepidehArjmand
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
EURUSDHello traders, I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today. 🔍 **Trade Details** ✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D ✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22 ✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy ✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281 ✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997 ✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874 🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
DeGRAM | EURUSD breakout📊 Technical Analysis ● Breakout – candles have closed twice above the channel roof (black), then retested 1.1690 as support (blue circled zone); the pull-back printed higher-lows along the intraday trend-line, confirming a bullish transition. ● The flag forming beneath 1.1750 measures toward the confluence of the July swing high and rising fork top at 1.1810; invalidation rests at the last swing-low 1.1615. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Euro sentiment improves after Euro-area core CPI edged up to 2.9 % y/y while soft US durable-goods orders trimmed 2-yr Treasury yields, narrowing the rate gap. ✨ Summary Buy 1.1685-1.1700; hold above 1.169 targets 1.175 ➜ 1.181. Exit on an H1 close below 1.1615. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
6