EUR/USD Analysis – Difficulty at Resistance and Possible PullbacThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading at a strong resistance level. This area stands out both because it has historically been a zone of intensified selling pressure and because indicators like the RSI are giving overbought signals.
On the other hand, the DXY being at a support area and the potential for an upward response suggests that the dollar may strengthen against the euro. If this scenario occurs, we are likely to see a downward correction in the EUR/USD pair.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD May 6 Trade ExecutionEURUSD
May 6 Trade Execution
Coming into Asia Price was in a discount on the previous range and had been in a reversal from NY 9 am macro, that retraced and then consolidated.
Once Price expanded to the minor equal lows into a FVG I started to hunt for the model 2022 form.
Was also crossing referencing with DXY and GBP to frame this trade.
When DXY and GBP started to turn and break structure I suspected that the lower noted equal lows price was going to seek higher prices.
Price expands at 20:00 taking the liquidity noted equal lows.
Analysis taken from the 1 min chart
Prices weaves in a small consolidation
21:33 price creates displacement and a FVG
21:40 prices creates another FVG
21:50 price creates another FVG
21:56 I entered
First target 1.13331
Second target 1.3448
Third target 1.13449
Amazing to get up and analyze to discern a narrative about what I suspected price would do in Asia and for it to complete my 3 targets doesn't get any sweeter than that.
Rinse wash and retrade this model when it forms.
May 6, 2025 - EURUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% (+0.5% potential add-on) | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (75% off), final TP > 1:8
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily Orderblock, broke structure on 15m ⛓️.
Refined entry from 15m OB → 5m OB for more precision on the tap entry🎯.
2x Asia lows below = high-probability targets 🔻.
Looking to add 0.5% if 1m BOS + retracement OB confirm.
⚠️ Note:
There’s unmitigated Asia High & 15m OB above, but too far to affect today’s bearish idea.
EURUSD**EUR/USD Short Signal – 15-Minute Time Frame Description**
**Signal Overview:**
EUR/USD has given a clear **short (sell)** signal on the **15-minute time frame**. The price formed a **lower high** and was rejected from a key **resistance zone**, indicating bearish pressure. A strong **bearish candlestick pattern** — such as a **bearish engulfing** or **rejection wick** — confirms the momentum shift.
**Technical Confirmations:**
* **RSI** reversed from the overbought zone (near 70), signaling potential downside.
* **EMA crossover** (e.g., 20 and 50) is showing bearish alignment.
* **Volume** supports the selling pressure, adding to the strength of the signal.
**Trade Setup (Scalp Idea):**
* **Entry:** Near the resistance area after bearish candle confirmation
* **Stop Loss (SL):** Just above the recent high
* **Take Profit (TP):** At the nearest support or based on a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
**Note:**
If you want detailed chart analysis or live trade updates, **you can DM me**.
Would you like me to include a chart image or visual for this setup?
EURUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1340 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1315
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Great Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1326
Stop Loss - 1.1285
Take Profit - 1.1402
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Potential ShortDue to the descending nature of recent move.
Creating Lower Swing Points we can conclude that the short downtrend can occure.
Volume can posses great significance in finding the good pullback opportunities.
Here we can see the top of candle with higher than average volume in immediate past.
Even the full number of price near.
We can look for the bounce from there downside to retest the recent bottom.
We shall see.
EUR/USD Part 2 – Trade the Break, Not the ChopIn my previous post, I highlighted a massive double bottom on the EUR/USD monthly chart, potentially signaling the birth of a multi-month bullish cycle.
Now, zooming in to the H4 timeframe, the pair is trading in a key decision zone ahead of the FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday.
Decision Zone: 1.1200–1.1400
This range is technically dangerous for new entries:
Below 1.1200, we risk confirming a local Head and Shoulders pattern → could trigger a bearish breakdown toward 1.11 or lower.
Above 1.1400, we would see a local Double Bottom, in line with the larger monthly pattern → likely continuation of the uptrend.
That’s why I believe the safest strategy right now is to wait for a breakout and confirmation — either above 1.1400 or below 1.1200. Trading inside this band means fighting uncertainty just days before a major macro event.
Reversal patterns work best when used within trends, not against them.
The current ascending structure on H4 supports a bullish continuation — if the market provides confirmation.
Until then, let the range resolve. Smart money waits, not guesses.
EURUSD 6/5/25This week, the Euro remains bearish, and we’re expecting price action to target and run the lows we’ve already identified.
One important principle we’ve repeatedly shared with our Members is this: when we hold a bearish bias, we should not expect price to return to our ideal sell zones. Instead, we should anticipate that price will move toward our projected downside targets.
If we’re fortunate enough to get a pullback into our preferred sell zones, we’ll welcome it with open arms. However, focusing too much on where you want to sell from creates the wrong mindset. It leads you to expect a pullback — a counter-directional move — even while holding a bearish bias. That approach is backwards.
Stay grounded in the principle: we expect price to reach the downside targets. If a pullback occurs, we’ll act accordingly. We've maintained a bearish outlook for some time, and recent price action has confirmed that with a significant sell-off. We expect this momentum to continue.
Orion has signalled that price should come lower, and we will continue to follow that direction. As always, stick to your risk parameters, follow your rule set, and let Orion lead the way.
Why Financial Clarity Comes Before Any Forex Trade?Before any strategy or setup, I ask one thing: is my personal financial foundation strong enough to support this trade?
In this reflection, I explore the direct impact that personal finance management has on trading performance — not as an abstract idea, but as a daily reality. When financial clarity is missing, emotional decision-making creeps in. When it’s present, I trade with more patience, discipline, and perspective.
This is not trading advice. It’s a caution to those who see trading as a way out, rather than something built upon stable ground.
Guess what? I am on a Demo Account. I will keep on trading on a Demo Account until I know that I have a solid risk management plan and a trading methodology that both will give me consistent profits.
The whole Idea with personal finance management in forex trading is to know whether you can afford trading and once you know the answer to that what is your game plan.
Just a quick hint.. If your answer is no; meaning that today you cannot afford trading, don't be discouraged, there is still a plan that can be designed. Actually, I think the ones who cannot afford trading are in a better positions than those who can.
The ones who cannot afford trading today, can easily start learning without having the itch to open a live account.
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 30M - As you can see from this market, price looks to be accumulating as its protecting lows, setting higher lows and looks to be building strength to press price higher.
I have gone ahead and marked out a level of Demand I would love to see price come down and trade into, once it does I would like to see a clean rejection. Using this area to set a new higher low.
In order for me to enter long in this market moving forward I want to see price break structure to the upside, this will give us the confluence we need in order to confirm a reversal.
A break in the last protected fractal high will tell us that price is no longer heavily weighed down by Supply but now enough Demand has been introduced to actually break those highs and continue to protect those lows.
EURUSD INTRADAY bullish consolidation supported at 1.1240Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails.
1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day AheadTuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance
Key Data Releases:
US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it.
China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD).
UK April Data:
Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact.
New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity.
France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR.
Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly.
Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields.
Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD.
Major Earnings Releases (market movers):
Tech & Growth Focus:
Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues.
AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space.
Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending.
Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals.
Consumer & Travel:
Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends.
Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer.
Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health.
Autos & Industrials:
Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum.
Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends.
Financial & Healthcare:
Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials.
IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook.
Bond Market:
US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength.
Trading Relevance Summary:
FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation).
Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas).
Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields.
Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD EURUSD presents another buy opportunity, and I've just activated the trade.
I wanted to share it with you as well. This trade has three different Take Profit levels, which are:
1.13455 / 1.13563 / 1.13786
However, I personally plan to close the trade at 1.13455 in order to stick to my game plan.
This will be the last trade of the day for me.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 1:2.50 / 1:4.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 1.13290
✔️ Take Profit: 1.13455
✔️ Stop Loss: 1.13180
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
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EURUSD main trend is up, but we are in the correction wavemain trend is up. depending on the correction we will have clear target i expect 1.19-1.23 closely watching the trend brakes. daily or h4 candle brakes are cruical. correction might be ending if not it might give us better buy opportunities around 1.11 or little bit below 1.11